SNDRSchneider National, Inc.Industrials · Truckingas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $32.75 · now $32.75 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SNDR has typically landed between $28.65 and $37.62 — a range of −12.5% to +14.9% from the issuance price $32.75.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,353 overlapping 1 month windows · 2017-04-06 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($32.75) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where SNDR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $32.75 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$28.65worst · -12.5%$37.62best · +14.9%
  • now $32.75 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $32.85 (+0.3%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $30.84–$34.85
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $28.65–$37.62
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,353 windows spanning 2017-04-06 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-13−25.9%−25.9%+0.0%
2020-02-06−25.8%−25.8%+0.2%
2020-02-11−25.1%−25.1%+0.8%
3 best
2025-11-20+32.6%+0.0%+32.6%
2026-05-13+32.1%+0.0%+32.9%
2026-05-12+31.7%+0.0%+34.0%

2,353 overlapping windows · 2017-04-06 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~10 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
78%
+3.0%
n=9
Feb
56%
−2.2%
n=9
Mar
33%
−1.7%
n=9
Apr
33%
+0.7%
n=9
May
80%
+3.8%
n=10
Jun
70%
+2.7%
n=10
Jul
70%
+3.3%
n=10
Aug
70%
−0.2%
n=10
Sep
40%
−1.7%
n=10
Oct
56%
−0.4%
n=9
Nov
67%
+3.9%
n=9
Dec
44%
+0.6%
n=9

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$39$202026-08-04: 3 insider sales, $1.9M — Rourke Mark B. …2026-08-03: 1 insider sale, $715K — Rourke Mark B.2026-06-10: 1 insider sale, $753K — Jackson Thomas G2026-06-08: 1 insider sale, $322K — Devgun Shaleen2026-05-06: 1 insider sale, $75K — Dumas Magnin Shelly A2026-05-05: 1 insider sale, $239K — Fish Angela M2026-05-04: 1 insider sale, $188K — Fish Angela M2026-02-19: 1 insider sale, $173K — Campbell Darrell George2025-08: 2 open-market sales, $892K2026-02: 1 open-market sale, $173K2026-05: 3 open-market sales, $502K2026-06: 2 open-market sales, $1.1M2026-08: 4 open-market sales, $2.6M↑ buys↓ salesdirector Rourke Mark B. — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Rourke Mark B. — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Rourke Mark B. — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Rourke Mark B. — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Jackson Thomas G — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Devgun Shaleen — Sale on 2026-06-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Dumas Magnin Shelly A — Sale on 2026-05-06, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Fish Angela M — Sale on 2026-05-05, filed same dayofficer Fish Angela M — Sale on 2026-05-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Campbell Darrell George — Sale on 2026-02-19, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-04Rourke Mark B.directorSale24,000 @ $36.12$867K−9.8% of holding−6.7%not yet — horizon still open221,522Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-04Rourke Mark B.directorSale15,474 @ $35.98$557K−6.2% of holding−6.7%not yet — horizon still open234,730Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-04Rourke Mark B.directorSale13,208 @ $35.58$470K−5.6% of holding−6.7%not yet — horizon still open221,522Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-03Rourke Mark B.directorSale20,312 @ $35.18$715K−8.4% of holding−4.3%not yet — horizon still open221,522Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-10Jackson Thomas GofficerSale20,271 @ $37.15$753K−20.8% of holding−4.3%not yet — horizon still open77,174Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-08Devgun ShaleenofficerSale8,352 @ $38.59$322K−17.8% of holding−6.1%not yet — horizon still open38,619Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-06Dumas Magnin Shelly AofficerSale2,425 @ $30.90$75K−8.9% of holding+19.9%not yet — horizon still open24,697Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-05Fish Angela MofficerSale7,869 @ $30.43$239K−11.9% of holding+18.9%not yet — horizon still open58,095Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-04Fish Angela MofficerSale6,250 @ $30.01$188K−9.8% of holding+16.9%not yet — horizon still open57,486Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-19Campbell Darrell GeorgeofficerSale6,000 @ $28.89$173K−8.3% of holding−12.8%+9.9%66,275Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-07Jackson Thomas GofficerSale19,836 @ $24.28$482K−21.4% of holding−1.4%+13.1%72,870Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-07Jackson Thomas GofficerSale16,760 @ $24.46$410K−15.3% of holding−1.4%+13.1%92,706Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-12-20Devgun ShaleenofficerSale10,000 @ $29.04$290K−9.5% of holding−1.3%−20.3%95,191Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade
2024-12-04Reich Robert M JRofficerSale3,706 @ $31.75$118K−2.3% of holding−4.1%−23.0%155,366Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-12-04Reich Robert M JRofficerSale2,544 @ $31.59$80K−1.6% of holding−4.1%−23.0%159,072Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

155 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-04Rourke Mark B.directorOption exercise24,000245,522Form 4
2026-08-04Rourke Mark B.directorOption exercise13,208234,730Form 4
2026-08-04Rourke Mark B.directorOption exercise15,474250,204Form 4
2026-08-04Rourke Mark B.directorOption exercise24,00015,474Form 4
2026-08-04Rourke Mark B.directorOption exercise15,4740Form 4
2026-08-04Rourke Mark B.directorOption exercise13,2080Form 4
2026-08-03Rourke Mark B.directorOption exercise20,312241,834Form 4
2026-08-03Rourke Mark B.directorOption exercise20,31213,208Form 4
2026-07-10GIERTZ JAMES RdirectorAward / grant1267,225Form 4
2026-07-01Filter James ScottofficerAward / grant14,767205,926Form 4
2026-06-24Schneider Paul J.directorGift3,665433,719Form 4
2026-06-10Jackson Thomas GofficerOption exercise20,27197,445Form 4
2026-06-10Jackson Thomas GofficerOption exercise20,2710Form 4
2026-06-08Devgun ShaleenofficerOption exercise8,35246,971Form 4
2026-06-08Devgun ShaleenofficerOption exercise8,3520Form 4
2026-05-27DePrey Mary P.directorGift25,173589,373Form 4
2026-05-05Fish Angela MofficerOption exercise8,47865,964Form 4
2026-05-05Fish Angela MofficerOption exercise8,4780Form 4
2026-05-04Fish Angela MofficerOption exercise6,72563,736Form 4
2026-05-04Fish Angela MofficerOption exercise6,7258,478Form 4
2026-05-01Fish Angela MofficerAward / grant63657,011Form 4
2026-04-30Chopra JyotidirectorAward / grant5,46841,471Form 4
2026-04-30Welch James LdirectorAward / grant5,46857,703Form 4
2026-04-30Swainson John AdirectorAward / grant5,46852,231Form 4
2026-04-30Ramirez Austin MdirectorAward / grant5,4685,468Form 4
2026-04-30KNIGHT ROBERT M JRdirectorAward / grant5,46846,275Form 4
2026-04-30STREICH JULIE KdirectorAward / grant5,46825,620Form 4
2026-04-30GIERTZ JAMES RdirectorAward / grant5,46867,213Form 4
2026-04-30DePrey Mary P.directorAward / grant5,468614,546Form 4
2026-04-30Schneider Paul J.directorAward / grant5,468437,384Form 4
2026-04-08GIERTZ JAMES RdirectorAward / grant1561,745Form 4
2026-02-26Devgun ShaleenofficerGift9,415122,787Form 4
2026-02-26Devgun ShaleenofficerGift9,41538,619Form 4
2026-02-18Rourke Mark B.directorGift66,918943,108Form 4
2026-02-18Rourke Mark B.directorGift66,918221,522Form 4
2026-02-15Rourke Mark B.directorWithheld for tax27,745297,620Form 4
2026-02-15Rourke Mark B.directorWithheld for tax12,537329,889Form 4
2026-02-15Rourke Mark B.directorWithheld for tax9,180288,440Form 4
2026-02-15Filter James ScottofficerWithheld for tax6,327193,114Form 4
2026-02-15Rourke Mark B.directorWithheld for tax4,524325,365Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.