SNDASonida Senior Living, Inc.Healthcare · Medical - Care Facilitiesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $39.43 · now $39.43 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SNDA has typically landed between $31.38 and $48.69 — a range of −20.4% to +23.5% from the issuance price $39.43.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,002 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($39.43) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where SNDA has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $39.43 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$31.38worst · -20.4%$48.69best · +23.5%
  • now $39.43 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $39.17 (-0.7%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $35.87–$42.47
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $31.38–$48.69
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,002 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-20−83.2%−83.2%+3.0%
2020-02-18−82.7%−82.7%+5.9%
2020-02-21−81.7%−83.4%+1.7%
3 best
2021-01-06+206.6%+0.0%+206.6%
2021-01-05+190.1%+0.0%+190.1%
2021-01-07+186.1%+0.0%+199.9%

5,002 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+2.4%
n=20
Feb
70%
+4.6%
n=20
Mar
55%
+3.0%
n=20
Apr
60%
+6.9%
n=20
May
35%
−1.4%
n=20
Jun
55%
+0.7%
n=20
Jul
40%
−2.2%
n=20
Aug
35%
−2.3%
n=20
Sep
45%
−0.4%
n=20
Oct
45%
−1.6%
n=20
Nov
55%
+4.5%
n=20
Dec
50%
−1.8%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$43$252026-09-01: 1 insider sale, $3.7M — Simanovsky Michael2026-08-28: 2 insider sales, $1.0M — Simanovsky Michael …2026-08-27: 1 insider sale, $585K — Simanovsky Michael2026-08-26: 1 insider sale, $618K — Simanovsky Michael2026-08-25: 1 insider sale, $4.7M — Simanovsky Michael2026-08-14: 2 insider sales, $249K — Harris Benjamin P …2026-05-13: 1 insider sale, $94K — Harris Benjamin P2026-03-11: 4 insider purchases, $100.0M — Simanovsky Michael …2026-03: 4 open-market purchases, $100.0M2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $94K2026-08: 7 open-market sales, $7.1M2026-09: 1 open-market sale, $3.7M↑ buys↓ salesdirector Simanovsky Michael — Sale on 2026-09-01, filed same daydirector Simanovsky Michael — Sale on 2026-08-28, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Simanovsky Michael — Sale on 2026-08-28, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Simanovsky Michael — Sale on 2026-08-27, filed same daydirector Simanovsky Michael — Sale on 2026-08-26, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Simanovsky Michael — Sale on 2026-08-25, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Harris Benjamin P — Sale on 2026-08-14, filed 5 days after the tradedirector Harris Benjamin P — Sale on 2026-08-14, filed 5 days after the tradedirector Harris Benjamin P — Sale on 2026-05-13, filed 33 days after the tradedirector Simanovsky Michael — Purchase on 2026-03-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Simanovsky Michael — Purchase on 2026-03-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Simanovsky Michael — Purchase on 2026-03-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Simanovsky Michael — Purchase on 2026-03-11, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-01Simanovsky MichaeldirectorSale97,581 @ $38.42$3.7M−49.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open100,373Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-28Simanovsky MichaeldirectorSale21,792 @ $38.16$832K−9.7% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open202,569Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-28Simanovsky MichaeldirectorSale4,615 @ $39.25$181K−2.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open197,954Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-27Simanovsky MichaeldirectorSale15,000 @ $39.00$585K−6.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open224,361Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-26Simanovsky MichaeldirectorSale15,086 @ $40.94$618K−5.9% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open239,361Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-25Simanovsky MichaeldirectorSale115,000 @ $40.71$4.7M−31.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open254,447Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-14Harris Benjamin PdirectorSale3,195 @ $39.79$127K−24.1% of holding+3.8%not yet — horizon still open10,037Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-08-14Harris Benjamin PdirectorSale3,074 @ $39.79$122K−18.9% of holding+3.8%not yet — horizon still open13,232Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-05-13Harris Benjamin PdirectorSale2,500 @ $37.46$94K−21.4% of holding−9.5%not yet — horizon still open9,182Form 4 · filed 33 days after the trade
2026-03-11Simanovsky MichaeldirectorPurchase1,834,951 @ $26.74$49.1Mownership Δ n/a−4.1%+5.4%1,834,951Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-11Simanovsky MichaeldirectorPurchase1,592,406 @ $26.74$42.6M+99.1% of holding−4.1%+5.4%3,199,998Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-11Simanovsky MichaeldirectorPurchase224,829 @ $26.74$6.0Mownership Δ n/a−4.1%+5.4%224,829Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-11Simanovsky MichaeldirectorPurchase87,530 @ $26.74$2.3M+1.7% of holding−4.1%+5.4%5,353,689Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-21Ribar BrandondirectorPurchase4,000 @ $24.67$99K+1.2% of holding−5.4%+15.5%327,176Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-01-10Simanovsky MichaeldirectorPurchase27,111 @ $21.31$578K+1.7% of holding+11.8%+9.1%1,607,592Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-01-08Simanovsky MichaeldirectorPurchase15,000 @ $21.34$320K+1.0% of holding+12.2%+14.5%1,580,481Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2024-12-06Harris Benjamin PdirectorSale3,000 @ $24.00$72K−25.6% of holding−10.2%+3.0%8,697Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

259 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-02Simanovsky MichaeldirectorOther acquisition100,3730Form 4
2026-09-02Simanovsky MichaeldirectorOther acquisition100,3730Form 4
2026-09-02Simanovsky MichaeldirectorOther acquisition100,3730Form 4
2026-09-02Simanovsky MichaeldirectorOther acquisition100,3730Form 4
2026-09-02Simanovsky MichaeldirectorOther acquisition100,3730Form 4
2026-09-02Simanovsky MichaeldirectorOther acquisition100,3730Form 4
2026-08-21Simanovsky MichaeldirectorOther acquisition1,182,595652,356Form 4
2026-08-10Simanovsky MichaeldirectorOption exercise1,504,1346,857,823Form 4
2026-08-10Simanovsky MichaeldirectorOption exercise97,371807,115Form 4
2026-08-10Simanovsky MichaeldirectorAward / grant38,74238,742Form 4
2026-08-10Simanovsky MichaeldirectorAward / grant2,5082,508Form 4
2026-08-10Simanovsky MichaeldirectorOption exercise38,7420Form 4
2026-08-10Simanovsky MichaeldirectorOption exercise2,5080Form 4
2026-08-10Simanovsky MichaeldirectorDisposition1,504,1345,353,689Form 4
2026-08-10Simanovsky MichaeldirectorDisposition97,371709,744Form 4
2026-08-10Simanovsky MichaeldirectorAward / grant38,74238,742Form 4
2026-08-10Simanovsky MichaeldirectorAward / grant2,5082,508Form 4
2026-08-10Simanovsky MichaeldirectorDisposition38,7420Form 4
2026-08-10Simanovsky MichaeldirectorDisposition2,5080Form 4
2026-08-10Simanovsky MichaeldirectorAward / grant38,74238,742Form 4
2026-08-10Simanovsky MichaeldirectorAward / grant2,5082,508Form 4
2026-08-10Simanovsky MichaeldirectorOption exercise38,7420Form 4
2026-08-10Simanovsky MichaeldirectorOption exercise2,5080Form 4
2026-08-10Simanovsky MichaeldirectorDisposition1,504,1345,353,689Form 4
2026-08-10Simanovsky MichaeldirectorDisposition97,371709,744Form 4
2026-08-10Simanovsky MichaeldirectorAward / grant38,74238,742Form 4
2026-08-10Simanovsky MichaeldirectorAward / grant2,5082,508Form 4
2026-08-10Simanovsky MichaeldirectorDisposition38,7420Form 4
2026-08-10Simanovsky MichaeldirectorDisposition2,5080Form 4
2026-08-10Simanovsky MichaeldirectorAward / grant38,74238,742Form 4
2026-08-10Simanovsky MichaeldirectorAward / grant2,5082,508Form 4
2026-08-10Simanovsky MichaeldirectorOption exercise38,7420Form 4
2026-08-10Simanovsky MichaeldirectorOption exercise2,5080Form 4
2026-08-10Simanovsky MichaeldirectorDisposition1,504,1345,353,689Form 4
2026-08-10Simanovsky MichaeldirectorDisposition97,371709,744Form 4
2026-08-10Simanovsky MichaeldirectorAward / grant38,74238,742Form 4
2026-08-10Simanovsky MichaeldirectorAward / grant2,5082,508Form 4
2026-08-10Simanovsky MichaeldirectorDisposition38,7420Form 4
2026-08-10Simanovsky MichaeldirectorDisposition2,5080Form 4
2026-08-10Simanovsky MichaeldirectorAward / grant38,74238,742Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.