SNDSmart Sand, Inc.Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $5.18 · now $5.18 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SND has typically landed between $4.08 and $6.93 — a range of −21.2% to +33.7% from the issuance price $5.18.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,457 overlapping 1 month windows · 2016-11-04 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($5.18) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where SND has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $5.18 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$4.08worst · -21.2%$6.93best · +33.7%
  • now $5.18 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $5.23 (+1.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $4.74–$5.72
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $4.08–$6.93
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,457 windows spanning 2016-11-04 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−68.1%−68.1%+7.5%
2020-02-21−63.5%−70.0%+0.0%
2020-02-19−62.6%−69.1%+4.2%
3 best
2022-02-04+123.8%+0.0%+123.8%
2022-02-03+119.3%+0.0%+119.3%
2025-11-06+114.9%−2.0%+114.9%

2,457 overlapping windows · 2016-11-04 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~10 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
80%
+4.2%
n=10
Feb
50%
+13.9%
n=10
Mar
30%
−2.4%
n=10
Apr
40%
−1.1%
n=10
May
30%
−7.9%
n=10
Jun
40%
−3.3%
n=10
Jul
50%
−0.3%
n=10
Aug
50%
−1.0%
n=10
Sep
40%
+1.4%
n=10
Oct
44%
+0.7%
n=9
Nov
56%
+10.1%
n=9
Dec
40%
+1.0%
n=10

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$6$22026-08-24: 1 insider sale, $11K — Young James Douglas2026-08-21: 1 insider sale, $92K — Young James Douglas2026-08-20: 1 insider sale, $124K — Young James Douglas2026-08-19: 2 insider sales, $296K — Beckelman Lee E, Young James Douglas2026-08-18: 1 insider sale, $80K — Young James Douglas2026-08-17: 1 insider sale, $14K — Spurlin Sharon2026-08-14: 2 insider sales, $146K — Spurlin Sharon, Green Christopher M.2026-05-29: 1 insider purchase, $20K — WHELAN RONALD P2026-05-26: 1 insider sale, $247K — Spurlin Sharon2026-03-11: 1 insider sale, $102K — Pawlenty Timothy2026-03-10: 1 insider sale, $290K — Porcelli Francis Michael2026-03-09: 1 insider sale, $189K — Porcelli Francis Michael2026-03-05: 1 insider sale, $603K — Porcelli Francis Michael2026-03-04: 1 insider sale, $403K — Porcelli Francis Michael2025-11-28: 1 insider purchase, $13K — WHELAN RONALD P2025-11-26: 1 insider purchase, $10K — WHELAN RONALD P2025-09-05: 1 insider purchase, $38K — YOUNG CHARLES EDWIN2025-09-04: 1 insider purchase, $16K — YOUNG CHARLES EDWIN2025-09-03: 1 insider purchase, $20K — YOUNG CHARLES EDWIN2025-08-28: 1 insider sale, $22K — Green Christopher M.2025-08-19: 1 insider purchase, $17K — YOUNG CHARLES EDWIN2025-08-18: 1 insider purchase, $22K — YOUNG CHARLES EDWIN2025-08-15: 1 insider purchase, $57K — YOUNG CHARLES EDWIN2025-08: 3 open-market purchases, $96K2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $22K2025-09: 3 open-market purchases, $74K2025-11: 2 open-market purchases, $22K2026-03: 5 open-market sales, $1.6M2026-05: 1 open-market purchase, $20K2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $247K2026-08: 9 open-market sales, $763K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Young James Douglas — Sale on 2026-08-24, filed same dayofficer Young James Douglas — Sale on 2026-08-21, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Young James Douglas — Sale on 2026-08-20, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Beckelman Lee E — Sale on 2026-08-19, filed same dayofficer Young James Douglas — Sale on 2026-08-19, filed same dayofficer Young James Douglas — Sale on 2026-08-18, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Spurlin Sharon — Sale on 2026-08-17, filed same daydirector Spurlin Sharon — Sale on 2026-08-14, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Green Christopher M. — Sale on 2026-08-14, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer WHELAN RONALD P — Purchase on 2026-05-29, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Spurlin Sharon — Sale on 2026-05-26, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Pawlenty Timothy — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Porcelli Francis Michael — Sale on 2026-03-10, filed same daydirector Porcelli Francis Michael — Sale on 2026-03-09, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Porcelli Francis Michael — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed same daydirector Porcelli Francis Michael — Sale on 2026-03-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer WHELAN RONALD P — Purchase on 2025-11-28, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer WHELAN RONALD P — Purchase on 2025-11-26, filed 5 days after the tradedirector YOUNG CHARLES EDWIN — Purchase on 2025-09-05, filed same daydirector YOUNG CHARLES EDWIN — Purchase on 2025-09-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector YOUNG CHARLES EDWIN — Purchase on 2025-09-03, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Green Christopher M. — Sale on 2025-08-28, filed 5 days after the tradedirector YOUNG CHARLES EDWIN — Purchase on 2025-08-19, filed same daydirector YOUNG CHARLES EDWIN — Purchase on 2025-08-18, filed 1 day after the tradedirector YOUNG CHARLES EDWIN — Purchase on 2025-08-15, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-24Young James DouglasofficerSale2,236 @ $4.70$11K−0.6% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open360,821Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-21Young James DouglasofficerSale19,078 @ $4.83$92K−5.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open363,057Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-20Young James DouglasofficerSale25,716 @ $4.83$124K−6.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open382,135Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-19Beckelman Lee EofficerSale50,000 @ $4.79$240K−6.5% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open721,845Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-19Young James DouglasofficerSale11,669 @ $4.84$56K−3.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open344,958Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-18Young James DouglasofficerSale16,301 @ $4.93$80K−4.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open356,627Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-17Spurlin SharondirectorSale2,700 @ $5.10$14K−1.5% of holding+7.9%not yet — horizon still open172,261Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-14Spurlin SharondirectorSale15,000 @ $5.06$76K−7.9% of holding+3.8%not yet — horizon still open174,961Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-14Green Christopher M.officerSale13,874 @ $5.06$70K−28.8% of holding+3.8%not yet — horizon still open34,293Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-29WHELAN RONALD PofficerPurchase4,444 @ $4.50$20K+0.9% of holding+17.7%not yet — horizon still open472,941Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-26Spurlin SharondirectorSale50,000 @ $4.93$247K−20.8% of holding−3.8%not yet — horizon still open189,961Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-11Pawlenty TimothydirectorSale27,975 @ $3.66$102K−11.3% of holding+32.5%+33.8%220,547Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-10Porcelli Francis MichaeldirectorSale75,000 @ $3.87$290K−9.2% of holding+25.9%+32.9%744,060Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-09Porcelli Francis MichaeldirectorSale50,000 @ $3.78$189K−5.8% of holding+30.4%+32.9%819,060Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-05Porcelli Francis MichaeldirectorSale150,000 @ $4.02$603K−14.7% of holding+25.9%+21.7%869,060Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-04Porcelli Francis MichaeldirectorSale100,000 @ $4.03$403K−8.9% of holding+29.0%+20.4%1,019,060Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-28WHELAN RONALD PofficerPurchase4,325 @ $2.91$13K+1.0% of holding+35.0%+60.6%457,266Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-26WHELAN RONALD PofficerPurchase3,333 @ $2.94$10K+0.7% of holding+33.9%+56.4%452,941Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-09-05YOUNG CHARLES EDWINdirectorPurchase20,000 @ $1.91$38K+1.4% of holding+10.9%+97.9%1,477,628Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-04YOUNG CHARLES EDWINdirectorPurchase8,401 @ $1.92$16K+0.6% of holding+5.9%+109.4%1,457,628Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-03YOUNG CHARLES EDWINdirectorPurchase10,630 @ $1.89$20K+0.7% of holding+7.0%+114.9%1,449,227Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-28Green Christopher M.officerSale11,500 @ $1.95$22K−17.6% of holding+6.1%+111.5%53,959Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-08-19YOUNG CHARLES EDWINdirectorPurchase8,910 @ $1.96$17K+0.6% of holding+5.2%+177.7%1,438,597Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-18YOUNG CHARLES EDWINdirectorPurchase11,498 @ $1.87$22K+0.8% of holding+0.2%+171.5%1,429,687Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-15YOUNG CHARLES EDWINdirectorPurchase29,592 @ $1.92$57K+2.1% of holding+0.8%+171.6%1,418,189Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

114 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-19Young James DouglasofficerAward / grant62,893407,851Form 4
2026-08-19YOUNG CHARLES EDWINdirectorAward / grant110,0631,625,096Form 4
2026-08-19SPEAKER ANDREW RdirectorAward / grant18,868996,221Form 4
2026-08-19Spurlin SharondirectorAward / grant18,868191,129Form 4
2026-08-19YOUNG WILLIAM JOHNofficerAward / grant62,893680,680Form 4
2026-08-19WHELAN RONALD PofficerAward / grant41,929512,256Form 4
2026-08-19Beckelman Lee EofficerAward / grant62,893784,738Form 4
2026-08-19Green Christopher M.officerAward / grant12,17646,469Form 4
2026-08-19KISZKA ROBERTofficerAward / grant41,929581,529Form 4
2026-08-19Pawlenty TimothydirectorAward / grant18,868239,415Form 4
2026-08-19Porcelli Francis MichaeldirectorAward / grant18,868762,928Form 4
2026-07-23Green Christopher M.officerWithheld for tax1,73848,167Form 4
2026-07-10Green Christopher M.officerWithheld for tax1,71749,905Form 4
2026-06-05YOUNG CHARLES EDWINdirectorWithheld for tax5,8111,515,033Form 4
2026-06-05YOUNG WILLIAM JOHNofficerWithheld for tax3,885617,787Form 4
2026-06-05Beckelman Lee EofficerWithheld for tax3,321771,845Form 4
2026-06-05WHELAN RONALD PofficerWithheld for tax2,614470,327Form 4
2026-06-05KISZKA ROBERTofficerWithheld for tax2,591539,600Form 4
2026-06-05Young James DouglasofficerWithheld for tax2,500372,928Form 4
2026-03-17YOUNG CHARLES EDWINdirectorWithheld for tax5,8111,520,844Form 4
2026-03-17YOUNG WILLIAM JOHNofficerWithheld for tax3,885621,672Form 4
2026-03-17Beckelman Lee EofficerWithheld for tax3,321775,166Form 4
2026-03-17WHELAN RONALD PofficerWithheld for tax2,614468,497Form 4
2026-03-17KISZKA ROBERTofficerWithheld for tax2,591542,191Form 4
2026-03-17Young James DouglasofficerWithheld for tax2,500375,428Form 4
2026-02-28YOUNG CHARLES EDWINdirectorWithheld for tax13,8961,526,655Form 4
2026-02-28SPEAKER ANDREW RdirectorWithheld for tax12,469977,353Form 4
2026-02-28YOUNG WILLIAM JOHNofficerWithheld for tax9,291625,557Form 4
2026-02-28Beckelman Lee EofficerWithheld for tax7,941778,487Form 4
2026-02-28WHELAN RONALD PofficerWithheld for tax6,250442,260Form 4
2026-02-28KISZKA ROBERTofficerWithheld for tax6,194515,836Form 4
2026-02-28Young James DouglasofficerWithheld for tax5,977377,928Form 4
2026-02-27YOUNG CHARLES EDWINdirectorWithheld for tax25,8621,540,551Form 4
2026-02-27YOUNG WILLIAM JOHNofficerWithheld for tax17,292634,848Form 4
2026-02-27Beckelman Lee EofficerWithheld for tax14,779786,428Form 4
2026-02-27WHELAN RONALD PofficerWithheld for tax11,610477,361Form 4
2026-02-27KISZKA ROBERTofficerWithheld for tax11,515550,976Form 4
2026-02-27Young James DouglasofficerWithheld for tax11,124383,905Form 4
2026-02-27Young James DouglasofficerAward / grant18,587373,155Form 4
2026-02-27Young James DouglasofficerAward / grant21,874395,029Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.