SN · TickerCove

SNSharkNinja, Inc.Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliancesas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $170.68 · now $170.68 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SN has typically landed between $139.16 and $216.20 — a range of −18.5% to +26.7% from the issuance price $170.68.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

765 overlapping 1 month windows · 2023-07-31 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($170.68) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$170.68 · 80% of range

$84.57 low$192.86 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+5.0%

typical move · IQR 19.6%

−18.5%worst (p90)+26.7%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where SN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $170.68 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $170.68 (+0.0%)
typical $179.28 (+5.0%)
middle 50% $162.54–$196.03
90% range $139.16–$216.2

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 765 windows spanning 2023-07-31 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2025-03-05	−27.8%	−27.8%	+0.0%
2025-03-10	−24.2%	−24.2%	+6.3%
2025-02-06	−24.1%	−24.1%	+0.3%
3 best
2025-04-21	+40.1%	+0.0%	+42.6%
2025-04-08	+39.6%	+0.0%	+39.6%
2025-04-11	+39.2%	−2.4%	+39.2%

765 overlapping windows · 2023-07-31 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~4 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

67%

+3.9%

n=3

Feb

67%

+4.5%

n=3

Mar

33%

−6.4%

n=3

Apr

67%

+2.9%

n=3

May

100%

+13.0%

n=3

Jun

67%

+10.2%

n=3

Jul

100%

+8.6%

n=3

Aug

75%

+6.7%

n=4

Sep

50%

+5.8%

n=4

Oct

−14.1%

n=3

Nov

100%

+12.8%

n=3

Dec

67%

+6.8%

n=3

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-26	Shah Neil B.	officer	Sale	39,059 @ $186.66	$7.3M	−7.3% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	497,220	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-26	Shah Neil B.	officer	Sale	10,941 @ $185.27	$2.0M	−2.0% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	536,279	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-20	Feld Peter	director	Sale	5,000 @ $180.00	$900K	−48.4% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	5,328	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-10	Shah Neil B.	officer	Sale	18,721 @ $184.58	$3.5M	−30.6% of holding	−7.7%	not yet — horizon still open	42,378	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-10	Shah Neil B.	officer	Sale	1,457 @ $186.12	$271K	−3.5% of holding	−7.7%	not yet — horizon still open	40,766	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-10	Shah Neil B.	officer	Sale	155 @ $185.00	$29K	−0.4% of holding	−7.7%	not yet — horizon still open	42,223	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-07	Shah Neil B.	officer	Sale	22,723 @ $186.67	$4.2M	−25.0% of holding	−4.7%	not yet — horizon still open	68,043	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-07	Shah Neil B.	officer	Sale	6,944 @ $187.07	$1.3M	−10.2% of holding	−4.7%	not yet — horizon still open	61,099	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-07	Quigley Adam	officer	Sale	1,750 @ $183.94	$322K	−94.2% of holding	−4.7%	not yet — horizon still open	107	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-06	Barrocas Mark	director	Sale	250,000 @ $185.00	$46.3M	−14.3% of holding	−3.9%	not yet — horizon still open	1,496,659	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-05	Barrocas Mark	director	Sale	250,000 @ $170.00	$42.5M	−12.5% of holding	−4.2%	not yet — horizon still open	1,746,659	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-17	Barrocas Mark	director	Sale	250,000 @ $155.01	$38.8M	−11.1% of holding	+14.9%	not yet — horizon still open	1,996,659	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-07-10	Wang Xuning	director	Sale	2,668,200 @ $150.36	$401.2M	−5.0% of holding	+19.6%	not yet — horizon still open	50,639,560	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-25	Barrocas Mark	director	Sale	100,000 @ $145.00	$14.5M	−4.3% of holding	+6.6%	not yet — horizon still open	2,246,659	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-18	Barrocas Mark	director	Sale	100,000 @ $140.00	$14.0M	−4.1% of holding	+4.7%	not yet — horizon still open	2,346,659	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-06-04	Lopez-Baldrich Pedro J.	officer	Sale	2,200 @ $122.60	$270K	−96.8% of holding	+23.2%	not yet — horizon still open	73	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-08	Quigley Adam	officer	Sale	5,979 @ $112.85	$675K	−68.9% of holding	+15.1%	not yet — horizon still open	2,694	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-08	Quigley Adam	officer	Sale	944 @ $113.75	$107K	−35.0% of holding	+15.1%	not yet — horizon still open	1,750	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-04	Quigley Adam	officer	Sale	2,620 @ $114.36	$300K	−23.2% of holding	−5.1%	+40.3%	8,673	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-03	Lopez-Baldrich Pedro J.	officer	Sale	12,236 @ $115.85	$1.4M	−83.3% of holding	−4.6%	+38.6%	2,458	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-03	Lopez-Baldrich Pedro J.	officer	Sale	8,202 @ $114.75	$941K	−35.8% of holding	−4.6%	+38.6%	14,694	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-03	Lopez-Baldrich Pedro J.	officer	Sale	3,476 @ $113.64	$395K	−13.2% of holding	−4.6%	+38.6%	22,896	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-03	Lopez-Baldrich Pedro J.	officer	Sale	185 @ $116.37	$22K	−7.5% of holding	−4.6%	+38.6%	2,273	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-26	Barrocas Mark	director	Sale	46,511 @ $129.00	$6.0M	−2.1% of holding	−11.8%	+39.5%	2,161,654	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-13	Shah Neil B.	officer	Sale	64,367 @ $130.42	$8.4M	−11.3% of holding	−18.1%	+26.2%	504,668	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-13	Shah Neil B.	officer	Sale	24,689 @ $129.57	$3.2M	−4.2% of holding	−18.1%	+26.2%	569,035	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-13	Shah Neil B.	officer	Sale	5,828 @ $128.56	$749K	−1.0% of holding	−18.1%	+26.2%	593,724	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-13	Shah Neil B.	officer	Sale	5,116 @ $131.18	$671K	−1.0% of holding	−18.1%	+26.2%	499,552	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

70 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-07	Barrocas Mark	director	Withheld for tax	78,700	1,617,959	Form 4
2026-08-07	Shah Neil B.	officer	Withheld for tax	19,340	90,766	Form 4
2026-08-07	Shah Neil B.	officer	Option exercise	40,000	110,106	Form 4
2026-08-07	Shah Neil B.	officer	Option exercise	40,000	60,000	Form 4
2026-08-07	Barrocas Mark	director	Option exercise	200,000	1,696,659	Form 4
2026-08-07	Barrocas Mark	director	Option exercise	200,000	300,000	Form 4
2026-07-31	Quigley Adam	officer	Award / grant	107	1,857	Form 4
2026-07-30	Wang Barney Tianhao	director	Award / grant	861	861	Form 4
2026-06-18	Hui Chi Kin Max	director	Award / grant	1,338	1,338	Form 4
2026-06-18	Wang Barney Tianhao	director	Option exercise	2,085	0	Form 4
2026-06-18	Wang Barney Tianhao	director	Award / grant	1,338	1,338	Form 4
2026-06-18	Barton Kathryn J.	director	Option exercise	2,085	4,305	Form 4
2026-06-18	Barton Kathryn J.	director	Option exercise	2,085	0	Form 4
2026-06-18	Barton Kathryn J.	director	Award / grant	1,338	1,338	Form 4
2026-06-18	Feld Peter	director	Option exercise	2,085	10,328	Form 4
2026-06-18	Feld Peter	director	Option exercise	2,085	0	Form 4
2026-06-18	Feld Peter	director	Award / grant	1,338	1,338	Form 4
2026-06-18	Hui Chi Kin Max	director	Option exercise	2,085	3,777	Form 4
2026-06-18	Hui Chi Kin Max	director	Option exercise	2,085	0	Form 4
2026-06-18	Paul Dennis	director	Option exercise	2,085	10,328	Form 4
2026-06-18	Paul Dennis	director	Option exercise	2,085	0	Form 4
2026-06-18	Wortendyke Jason	director	Option exercise	726	726	Form 4
2026-06-18	Wortendyke Jason	director	Option exercise	726	0	Form 4
2026-06-18	Wortendyke Jason	director	Award / grant	1,338	1,338	Form 4
2026-06-18	Warner Timothy R.	director	Option exercise	2,085	4,828	Form 4
2026-06-18	Warner Timothy R.	director	Option exercise	2,085	0	Form 4
2026-06-18	Warner Timothy R.	director	Award / grant	1,338	1,338	Form 4
2026-06-18	Wang Barney Tianhao	director	Option exercise	2,085	4,568	Form 4
2026-06-18	Wang Barney Tianhao	director	Option exercise	2,085	4,568	Form 4
2026-04-16	Wang Xuning	director	Option exercise	461,334	1,384,000	Form 4
2026-04-16	Wang Xuning	director	Option exercise	11,533,334	0	Form 4
2026-02-28	Barrocas Mark	director	Withheld for tax	182,904	2,446,659	Form 4
2026-02-28	Shah Neil B.	officer	Withheld for tax	33,740	70,086	Form 4
2026-02-28	Lopez-Baldrich Pedro J.	officer	Withheld for tax	19,581	26,354	Form 4
2026-02-28	Quigley Adam	officer	Withheld for tax	2,186	6,243	Form 4
2026-02-28	Quigley Adam	officer	Withheld for tax	1,384	9,134	Form 4
2026-02-28	Shah Neil B.	officer	Withheld for tax	20	70,106	Form 4
2026-02-28	Lopez-Baldrich Pedro J.	officer	Withheld for tax	18	26,372	Form 4
2026-02-28	Quigley Adam	officer	Withheld for tax	13	6,255	Form 4
2026-02-28	Wang Barney Tianhao	director	Withheld for tax	4	2,483	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i