SMRTSmartRent, Inc.Technology · Software - Applicationas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $1.14 · now $1.14 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SMRT has typically landed between $0.84 and $1.47 — a range of −26.6% to +28.6% from the issuance price $1.14.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,388 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-02-05 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($1.14) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where SMRT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $1.14 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$0.8372worst · -26.6%$1.47best · +28.6%
  • now $1.14 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $1.08 (-4.9%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $0.979–$1.19
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $0.8372–$1.47
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,388 windows spanning 2021-02-05 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2022-08-03−51.0%−51.0%+0.0%
2022-08-05−48.1%−50.9%+0.0%
2022-08-04−47.8%−49.7%+2.3%
3 best
2025-07-21+57.3%+0.0%+57.3%
2026-07-16+55.6%−1.0%+55.6%
2025-07-18+55.3%−1.3%+55.3%

1,388 overlapping windows · 2021-02-05 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
20%
−8.8%
n=5
Feb
0%
−10.2%
n=5
Mar
0%
−7.0%
n=6
Apr
33%
−6.4%
n=6
May
50%
+7.0%
n=6
Jun
67%
+2.2%
n=6
Jul
67%
−1.1%
n=6
Aug
50%
+2.3%
n=6
Sep
33%
−11.0%
n=6
Oct
40%
+2.1%
n=5
Nov
60%
+5.4%
n=5
Dec
40%
+2.0%
n=5

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$2$12026-08-20: 1 insider purchase, $20K — Bohjalian Thomas N2026-08-19: 1 insider purchase, $56K — Bohjalian Thomas N2026-08-11: 3 insider purchases, $302K — Pinczuk Ana G., Martell Frank, Bohjalian Thomas N2026-06-10: 1 insider purchase, $83K — Bohjalian Thomas N2026-06-05: 1 insider purchase, $45K — Martell Frank2026-06-04: 1 insider purchase, $24K — Martell Frank2026-05-26: 1 insider purchase, $13K — Ponathil Sangeeth2026-05-12: 1 insider purchase, $118K — Martell Frank2026-05-08: 1 insider purchase, $56K — Martell Frank2026-03-12: 1 insider purchase, $260K — Bohjalian Thomas N2025-12-16: 1 insider purchase, $40K — Martell Frank2025-12-15: 1 insider purchase, $63K — Martell Frank2025-12-12: 1 insider purchase, $52K — Martell Frank2025-12-11: 1 insider purchase, $52K — Martell Frank2025-12-10: 1 insider purchase, $60K — Martell Frank2025-12-09: 1 insider purchase, $61K — Martell Frank2025-12-05: 1 insider purchase, $237K — Martell Frank2025-12-04: 1 insider purchase, $188K — Martell Frank2025-12-03: 1 insider purchase, $51K — Martell Frank2025-12-02: 2 insider purchases, $133K — Bohjalian Thomas N, Martell Frank2025-12-01: 1 insider purchase, $31K — Martell Frank2025-11-25: 1 insider purchase, $87K — Martell Frank2025-11-24: 1 insider purchase, $79K — Martell Frank2025-11-21: 1 insider purchase, $81K — Martell Frank2025-11-20: 1 insider purchase, $138K — Martell Frank2025-09-16: 1 insider purchase, $79K — Martell Frank2025-09-15: 1 insider purchase, $77K — Martell Frank2025-09-12: 1 insider purchase, $72K — Martell Frank2025-08-22: 1 insider purchase, $99K — Pinczuk Ana G.2025-08-19: 1 insider purchase, $150K — Bohjalian Thomas N2025-08-18: 2 insider purchases, $191K — DORMAN JOHN C, Bohjalian Thomas N2025-08-15: 1 insider purchase, $162K — Martell Frank2025-08-12: 2 insider purchases, $212K — Martell Frank, Bohjalian Thomas N2025-08: 10 open-market purchases, $1.3M2025-09: 3 open-market purchases, $228K2025-11: 4 open-market purchases, $385K2025-12: 12 open-market purchases, $968K2026-03: 1 open-market purchase, $260K2026-05: 3 open-market purchases, $187K2026-06: 3 open-market purchases, $152K2026-08: 5 open-market purchases, $378K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Bohjalian Thomas N — Purchase on 2026-08-20, filed same daydirector Bohjalian Thomas N — Purchase on 2026-08-19, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Pinczuk Ana G. — Purchase on 2026-08-11, filed same daydirector Martell Frank — Purchase on 2026-08-11, filed same daydirector Bohjalian Thomas N — Purchase on 2026-08-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Bohjalian Thomas N — Purchase on 2026-06-10, filed same daydirector Martell Frank — Purchase on 2026-06-05, filed same daydirector Martell Frank — Purchase on 2026-06-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Ponathil Sangeeth — Purchase on 2026-05-26, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Martell Frank — Purchase on 2026-05-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Martell Frank — Purchase on 2026-05-08, filed same daydirector Bohjalian Thomas N — Purchase on 2026-03-12, filed same daydirector Martell Frank — Purchase on 2025-12-16, filed same daydirector Martell Frank — Purchase on 2025-12-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Martell Frank — Purchase on 2025-12-12, filed same daydirector Martell Frank — Purchase on 2025-12-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Martell Frank — Purchase on 2025-12-10, filed same daydirector Martell Frank — Purchase on 2025-12-09, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Martell Frank — Purchase on 2025-12-05, filed same daydirector Martell Frank — Purchase on 2025-12-04, filed same daydirector Martell Frank — Purchase on 2025-12-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Bohjalian Thomas N — Purchase on 2025-12-02, filed same daydirector Martell Frank — Purchase on 2025-12-02, filed same daydirector Martell Frank — Purchase on 2025-12-01, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Martell Frank — Purchase on 2025-11-25, filed same daydirector Martell Frank — Purchase on 2025-11-24, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Martell Frank — Purchase on 2025-11-21, filed same daydirector Martell Frank — Purchase on 2025-11-20, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Martell Frank — Purchase on 2025-09-16, filed same daydirector Martell Frank — Purchase on 2025-09-15, filed same daydirector Martell Frank — Purchase on 2025-09-12, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Pinczuk Ana G. — Purchase on 2025-08-22, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Bohjalian Thomas N — Purchase on 2025-08-19, filed same daydirector DORMAN JOHN C — Purchase on 2025-08-18, filed same daydirector Bohjalian Thomas N — Purchase on 2025-08-18, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Martell Frank — Purchase on 2025-08-15, filed same daydirector Martell Frank — Purchase on 2025-08-12, filed same daydirector Bohjalian Thomas N — Purchase on 2025-08-12, filed same day
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-20Bohjalian Thomas NdirectorPurchase15,000 @ $1.36$20K+2.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open781,062Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-19Bohjalian Thomas NdirectorPurchase40,000 @ $1.40$56K+5.5% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open766,062Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-11Pinczuk Ana G.directorPurchase107,000 @ $1.43$153K+38.4% of holding−16.1%not yet — horizon still open385,704Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-11Martell FrankdirectorPurchase100,000 @ $1.42$142K+2.8% of holding−16.1%not yet — horizon still open3,672,086Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-11Bohjalian Thomas NdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $1.34$7K+0.7% of holding−16.1%not yet — horizon still open726,062Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-10Bohjalian Thomas NdirectorPurchase75,000 @ $1.11$83K+11.6% of holding−13.4%not yet — horizon still open721,062Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-05Martell FrankdirectorPurchase40,260 @ $1.13$45K+1.3% of holding−5.9%not yet — horizon still open3,225,526Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-04Martell FrankdirectorPurchase20,000 @ $1.19$24K+0.6% of holding−6.8%not yet — horizon still open3,185,266Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-26Ponathil SangeethofficerPurchase10,000 @ $1.25$13Kownership Δ n/a−8.3%not yet — horizon still open10,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-12Martell FrankdirectorPurchase100,000 @ $1.18$118K+3.3% of holding+0.9%not yet — horizon still open3,165,266Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-08Martell FrankdirectorPurchase50,000 @ $1.12$56K+1.7% of holding+1.0%not yet — horizon still open3,065,266Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-12Bohjalian Thomas NdirectorPurchase150,000 @ $1.74$260K+42.9% of holding−16.6%−45.1%500,000Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-16Martell FrankdirectorPurchase19,466 @ $2.07$40K+0.9% of holding−12.4%−55.8%2,113,796Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-15Martell FrankdirectorPurchase30,534 @ $2.06$63K+1.5% of holding−17.1%−57.3%2,094,330Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-12Martell FrankdirectorPurchase25,000 @ $2.07$52K+1.2% of holding−15.6%−58.5%2,063,796Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-11Martell FrankdirectorPurchase25,000 @ $2.07$52K+1.2% of holding−13.7%−54.8%2,038,796Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-10Martell FrankdirectorPurchase30,000 @ $1.99$60K+2.0% of holding−12.4%−51.5%1,507,290Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-09Martell FrankdirectorPurchase30,000 @ $2.03$61K+2.1% of holding−12.3%−51.7%1,477,290Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-05Martell FrankdirectorPurchase124,086 @ $1.91$237K+9.4% of holding−7.5%−50.7%1,447,290Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-04Martell FrankdirectorPurchase100,000 @ $1.88$188K+8.2% of holding−1.9%−48.5%1,323,204Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-03Martell FrankdirectorPurchase27,722 @ $1.86$51K+2.3% of holding+3.0%−48.0%1,223,204Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-02Bohjalian Thomas NdirectorPurchase50,000 @ $1.68$84K+16.7% of holding+12.3%−43.9%350,000Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-02Martell FrankdirectorPurchase28,846 @ $1.69$49K+2.5% of holding+12.3%−43.9%1,195,482Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-01Martell FrankdirectorPurchase18,432 @ $1.69$31K+1.6% of holding+19.7%−41.9%1,166,636Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-25Martell FrankdirectorPurchase50,435 @ $1.73$87K+4.6% of holding+14.1%−40.3%1,148,204Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-24Martell FrankdirectorPurchase49,565 @ $1.60$79K+4.7% of holding+16.8%−35.0%1,097,769Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-21Martell FrankdirectorPurchase56,236 @ $1.44$81K+5.7% of holding+38.1%−24.2%1,048,204Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-20Martell FrankdirectorPurchase93,764 @ $1.47$138K+10.4% of holding+37.1%−27.5%991,968Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-16Martell FrankdirectorPurchase50,000 @ $1.58$79K+5.9% of holding−4.3%+3.1%898,204Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-15Martell FrankdirectorPurchase50,000 @ $1.53$77K+6.3% of holding−5.1%+9.1%848,204Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-12Martell FrankdirectorPurchase50,000 @ $1.44$72K+6.7% of holding−4.6%+16.3%798,204Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-22Pinczuk Ana G.directorPurchase67,094 @ $1.48$99K+233.9% of holding+5.0%−0.4%95,778Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-19Bohjalian Thomas NdirectorPurchase100,000 @ $1.50$150K+50.0% of holding+3.2%+3.1%300,000Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-18DORMAN JOHN CdirectorPurchase100,000 @ $1.53$153K+35.3% of holding+6.9%+4.0%382,968Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-18Bohjalian Thomas NdirectorPurchase25,000 @ $1.49$37K+14.3% of holding+6.9%+4.0%200,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-15Martell FrankdirectorPurchase120,000 @ $1.35$162K+19.1% of holding+14.9%+15.2%748,204Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-12Martell FrankdirectorPurchase130,000 @ $1.37$178K+26.1% of holding+7.2%+19.7%628,204Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-12Bohjalian Thomas NdirectorPurchase25,000 @ $1.37$34K+16.7% of holding+7.2%+19.7%175,000Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-11Bohjalian Thomas NdirectorPurchase150,000 @ $1.26$189Kownership Δ n/a+11.8%+31.3%150,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-11Martell FrankdirectorPurchase100,000 @ $1.26$126K+25.1% of holding+11.8%+31.3%498,204Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-08Martell FrankdirectorPurchase150,000 @ $1.25$188K+60.4% of holding+12.9%+27.5%398,204Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-12Paladin Michael ShaneofficerSale43,859 @ $0.87$38Kownership Δ n/a+10.5%+63.5%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-13Paladin Michael ShaneofficerPurchase43,859 @ $1.14$50Kownership Δ n/a−27.3%+14.3%43,859Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-10DORMAN JOHN CdirectorPurchase125,000 @ $1.20$150K+119.1% of holding−0.0%+9.2%229,965Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-07STEMM DARYLofficerPurchase10,000 @ $1.24$12K+15.1% of holding−1.0%+6.3%76,272Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

255 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-14McQuaid Brian MichaelofficerOption exercise28,43585,305Form 4
2026-08-14McQuaid Brian MichaelofficerOption exercise28,43539,817Form 4
2026-08-14McQuaid Brian MichaelofficerOption exercise28,43539,817Form 4
2026-08-14McQuaid Brian MichaelofficerOption exercise28,43539,817Form 4
2026-08-14McQuaid Brian MichaelofficerOption exercise28,43539,817Form 4
2026-06-30Martell FrankdirectorWithheld for tax223,110226,890Form 4
2026-06-30Martell FrankdirectorOption exercise450,0000Form 4
2026-06-30Martell FrankdirectorOption exercise450,000450,000Form 4
2026-06-30Martell FrankdirectorOption exercise450,000450,000Form 4
2026-05-20Cariola NatalieofficerWithheld for tax23,356130,082Form 4
2026-05-20Cariola NatalieofficerOption exercise86,98686,987Form 4
2026-05-20Cariola NatalieofficerOption exercise86,986153,438Form 4
2026-05-20Cariola NatalieofficerOption exercise86,986153,438Form 4
2026-05-12Martell FrankdirectorWithheld for tax63,256119,670Form 4
2026-05-12Sperling AnndirectorAward / grant131,578131,578Form 4
2026-05-12DORMAN JOHN CdirectorAward / grant131,578131,578Form 4
2026-05-12Dean AlisondirectorAward / grant131,578131,578Form 4
2026-05-12Pinczuk Ana G.directorAward / grant131,578131,578Form 4
2026-05-12Bohjalian Thomas NdirectorAward / grant131,578131,578Form 4
2026-05-12Martell FrankdirectorAward / grant131,578131,578Form 4
2026-05-12Martell FrankdirectorAward / grant600,000600,000Form 4
2026-05-11Martell FrankdirectorOption exercise182,9260Form 4
2026-05-11Sperling AnndirectorOption exercise182,9260Form 4
2026-05-11DORMAN JOHN CdirectorOption exercise182,9260Form 4
2026-05-11Dean AlisondirectorOption exercise182,9260Form 4
2026-05-11Pinczuk Ana G.directorOption exercise182,9260Form 4
2026-05-11Bohjalian Thomas NdirectorOption exercise146,0620Form 4
2026-05-11DORMAN JOHN CdirectorOption exercise182,926565,894Form 4
2026-05-11Martell FrankdirectorOption exercise182,926182,926Form 4
2026-05-11Sperling AnndirectorOption exercise182,926340,894Form 4
2026-05-11Pinczuk Ana G.directorOption exercise182,926278,704Form 4
2026-05-11Dean AlisondirectorOption exercise182,926235,929Form 4
2026-05-11Bohjalian Thomas NdirectorOption exercise146,062646,062Form 4
2026-05-11Pinczuk Ana G.directorOption exercise182,926278,704Form 4
2026-05-11Bohjalian Thomas NdirectorOption exercise146,062646,062Form 4
2026-05-11Sperling AnndirectorOption exercise182,926340,894Form 4
2026-05-11DORMAN JOHN CdirectorOption exercise182,926565,894Form 4
2026-05-11Martell FrankdirectorOption exercise182,926182,926Form 4
2026-05-11Dean AlisondirectorOption exercise182,926235,929Form 4
2026-04-23Bansi PankajofficerAward / grant68,02768,027Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.