SMCSummit Midstream Corp.Energy · Oil & Gas Midstreamas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $32.69 · now $32.69 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SMC has typically landed between $27.12 and $37.70 — a range of −17.0% to +15.3% from the issuance price $32.69.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

516 overlapping 1 month windows · 2024-07-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($32.69) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where SMC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $32.69 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$27.12worst · -17.0%$37.7best · +15.3%
  • now $32.69 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $32.89 (+0.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $30.75–$35.03
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $27.12–$37.7
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 516 windows spanning 2024-07-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2025-03-07−32.6%−32.6%+0.0%
2025-03-10−29.2%−31.0%+0.0%
2025-03-13−28.3%−28.3%+5.1%
3 best
2025-11-07+30.5%+0.0%+30.5%
2025-11-06+23.9%−0.1%+24.2%
2024-12-18+23.8%−0.8%+23.8%

516 overlapping windows · 2024-07-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~3 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
100%
+8.8%
n=2
Feb
100%
+5.6%
n=2
Mar
50%
−11.1%
n=2
Apr
50%
−6.6%
n=2
May
0%
−12.7%
n=2
Jun
50%
+2.2%
n=2
Jul
100%
+6.0%
n=2
Aug
33%
+0.1%
n=3
Sep
0%
−7.3%
n=3
Oct
50%
+3.2%
n=2
Nov
100%
+11.2%
n=2
Dec
50%
+3.3%
n=2

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$35$192026-07-02: 1 insider sale, $77K — Johnston James David2026-05-19: 1 insider sale, $320K — PETERS JERRY L2026-03-31: 1 insider purchase, $37.9M — Connect Midstream, LLC2025-08-28: 1 insider purchase, $550K — Connect Midstream, LLC2025-08-27: 1 insider purchase, $972K — Connect Midstream, LLC2025-08-26: 1 insider purchase, $1.5M — Connect Midstream, LLC2025-08: 3 open-market purchases, $3.0M2026-03: 1 open-market purchase, $37.9M2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $320K2026-07: 1 open-market sale, $77K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Johnston James David — Sale on 2026-07-02, filed 4 days after the tradedirector PETERS JERRY L — Sale on 2026-05-19, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Connect Midstream, LLC — Purchase on 2026-03-31, filed 13 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Connect Midstream, LLC — Purchase on 2025-08-28, filed 5 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Connect Midstream, LLC — Purchase on 2025-08-27, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner Connect Midstream, LLC — Purchase on 2025-08-26, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-07-02Johnston James DavidofficerSale2,600 @ $29.72$77K−3.3% of holding+2.9%not yet — horizon still open75,357Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-19PETERS JERRY LdirectorSale10,000 @ $32.00$320K−37.1% of holding−12.3%not yet — horizon still open16,979Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-31Connect Midstream, LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase1,220,918 @ $31.08$37.9M+833.5% of holding−5.8%not yet — horizon still open1,367,397Form 4 · filed 13 days after the trade
2025-08-28Connect Midstream, LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase26,319 @ $20.89$550K+21.9% of holding+1.7%+35.9%146,479Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-08-27Connect Midstream, LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase47,401 @ $20.50$972K+65.1% of holding+7.3%+37.2%120,160Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-26Connect Midstream, LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase72,759 @ $20.46$1.5Mownership Δ n/a+5.9%+36.6%72,759Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-28Deneke J HeathofficerSale950 @ $34.63$33K−0.4% of holding−14.6%−56.4%266,220Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-28Deneke J HeathofficerSale50 @ $35.45$2K−0.0% of holding−14.6%−56.4%266,170Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-27Deneke J HeathofficerSale1,000 @ $35.33$35K−0.4% of holding−12.7%−53.7%267,170Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-26Deneke J HeathofficerSale1,000 @ $35.33$35K−0.4% of holding−12.6%−53.1%268,170Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-25Deneke J HeathofficerSale1,000 @ $35.74$36K−0.4% of holding−11.9%−52.0%269,170Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-24Deneke J HeathofficerSale1,000 @ $36.32$36K−0.4% of holding−14.4%−55.6%270,170Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-21Deneke J HeathofficerSale1,000 @ $36.30$36K−0.4% of holding−14.2%−58.1%271,170Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-20Deneke J HeathofficerSale1,000 @ $37.73$38K−0.4% of holding−17.3%−59.6%272,170Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-19PETERS JERRY LdirectorSale6,700 @ $37.40$251K−22.4% of holding−16.4%−56.1%23,246Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-19Deneke J HeathofficerSale900 @ $37.63$34K−0.3% of holding−16.4%−56.1%273,270Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-19Deneke J HeathofficerSale100 @ $38.15$4K−0.0% of holding−16.4%−56.1%273,170Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-18Deneke J HeathofficerSale950 @ $37.99$36K−0.3% of holding−19.7%−57.2%274,220Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-18PETERS JERRY LdirectorSale52 @ $38.00$2K−0.2% of holding−19.7%−57.2%29,946Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-18Deneke J HeathofficerSale50 @ $38.48$2K−0.0% of holding−19.7%−57.2%274,170Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-17PETERS JERRY LdirectorSale3,303 @ $39.12$129K−9.9% of holding−23.2%−55.7%29,998Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-17Deneke J HeathofficerSale533 @ $38.09$20K−0.2% of holding−23.2%−55.7%275,637Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-17Deneke J HeathofficerSale467 @ $38.96$18K−0.2% of holding−23.2%−55.7%275,170Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-14Deneke J HeathofficerSale1,000 @ $37.47$37K−0.4% of holding−23.4%−57.6%231,326Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-13Deneke J HeathofficerSale1,000 @ $37.12$37K−0.4% of holding−25.4%−56.5%232,326Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-12Deneke J HeathofficerSale800 @ $37.90$30K−0.3% of holding−22.1%−56.2%233,526Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-12Deneke J HeathofficerSale200 @ $38.61$8K−0.1% of holding−22.1%−56.2%233,326Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-11Deneke J HeathofficerSale800 @ $37.70$30K−0.3% of holding−21.8%−57.3%234,526Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-11Deneke J HeathofficerSale200 @ $38.55$8K−0.1% of holding−21.8%−57.3%234,326Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-10Deneke J HeathofficerSale850 @ $38.36$33K−0.4% of holding−18.1%−57.4%235,476Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-10Deneke J HeathofficerSale150 @ $39.43$6K−0.1% of holding−18.1%−57.4%235,326Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-07Deneke J HeathofficerSale500 @ $39.70$20K−0.2% of holding−20.5%−56.5%236,326Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-07Deneke J HeathofficerSale500 @ $38.76$19K−0.2% of holding−20.5%−56.5%236,826Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-06Deneke J HeathofficerSale600 @ $39.29$24K−0.3% of holding−13.8%−55.1%237,726Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-06Deneke J HeathofficerSale400 @ $40.25$16K−0.2% of holding−13.8%−55.1%237,326Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-05Deneke J HeathofficerSale1,000 @ $40.55$41K−0.4% of holding−13.7%−54.5%238,326Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-04Deneke J HeathofficerSale850 @ $41.33$35K−0.4% of holding−9.5%−58.7%239,476Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-04Deneke J HeathofficerSale150 @ $41.80$6K−0.1% of holding−9.5%−58.7%239,326Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-03Deneke J HeathofficerSale500 @ $44.04$22K−0.2% of holding−18.3%−57.9%240,326Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-03Deneke J HeathofficerSale500 @ $42.96$21K−0.2% of holding−18.3%−57.9%240,826Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-28Deneke J HeathofficerSale650 @ $44.91$29K−0.3% of holding−19.2%−58.1%241,326Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-28Deneke J HeathofficerSale200 @ $42.39$8K−0.1% of holding−19.2%−58.1%242,126Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-28Deneke J HeathofficerSale150 @ $44.08$7K−0.1% of holding−19.2%−58.1%241,976Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-27Deneke J HeathofficerSale1,000 @ $42.44$42K−0.4% of holding−14.2%−62.0%242,326Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-26Deneke J HeathofficerSale1,000 @ $41.96$42K−0.4% of holding−11.6%−60.8%243,326Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-25Deneke J HeathofficerSale850 @ $41.64$35K−0.3% of holding−11.2%−59.6%244,476Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-25Deneke J HeathofficerSale150 @ $42.13$6K−0.1% of holding−11.2%−59.6%244,326Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-24Deneke J HeathofficerSale1,000 @ $42.63$43K−0.4% of holding−12.1%−60.9%245,326Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-21Deneke J HeathofficerSale550 @ $43.84$24K−0.2% of holding−12.5%−60.5%246,776Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-21Deneke J HeathofficerSale450 @ $44.67$20K−0.2% of holding−12.5%−60.5%246,326Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-20Deneke J HeathofficerSale500 @ $44.77$22K−0.2% of holding−12.4%−60.4%247,326Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-20Deneke J HeathofficerSale500 @ $43.68$22K−0.2% of holding−12.4%−60.4%247,826Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-19Deneke J HeathofficerSale1,000 @ $45.08$45K−0.4% of holding−8.9%−61.9%248,326Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-18Deneke J HeathofficerSale700 @ $45.21$32K−0.3% of holding−8.7%−61.3%249,326Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-18Deneke J HeathofficerSale300 @ $44.45$13K−0.1% of holding−8.7%−61.3%250,026Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-14Deneke J HeathofficerSale1,000 @ $44.20$44K−0.4% of holding−7.2%−61.0%250,326Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-13Deneke J HeathofficerSale724 @ $44.06$32K−0.3% of holding−7.4%−60.0%251,602Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-02-13Deneke J HeathofficerSale276 @ $45.16$12K−0.1% of holding−7.4%−60.0%251,326Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-02-12Deneke J HeathofficerSale1,000 @ $43.80$44K−0.4% of holding−8.0%−61.7%252,326Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-11Deneke J HeathofficerSale850 @ $43.75$37K−0.3% of holding−7.2%−57.9%253,476Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

152 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-04-20PETERS JERRY LdirectorGift3,7330Form 4
2026-04-20PETERS JERRY LdirectorGift3,73326,979Form 4
2026-03-16Sicinski Matthew B.officerAward / grant5,69229,712Form 4
2026-03-16Johnston James DavidofficerAward / grant17,54490,734Form 4
2026-03-16Johnston James DavidofficerAward / grant17,54473,838Form 4
2026-03-16Oates RommeldirectorAward / grant3,73326,170Form 4
2026-03-16PETERS JERRY LdirectorAward / grant3,7333,733Form 4
2026-03-16CLEARY JAMES JdirectorAward / grant3,73337,004Form 4
2026-03-16Stone Carolyn JdirectorAward / grant3,7333,733Form 4
2026-03-16McNally Robert JosephdirectorAward / grant3,73337,004Form 4
2026-03-16Sicinski Matthew B.officerAward / grant5,69224,230Form 4
2026-03-16Jacobe James LeedirectorAward / grant3,73345,686Form 4
2026-03-16Deneke J HeathofficerAward / grant59,807297,251Form 4
2026-03-16Deneke J HeathofficerAward / grant59,807239,424Form 4
2026-03-16Mault William J.officerAward / grant18,07172,960Form 4
2026-03-16Mault William J.officerAward / grant18,07190,467Form 4
2026-03-13Deneke J HeathofficerWithheld for tax22,239326,518Form 4
2026-03-13Deneke J HeathofficerWithheld for tax11,811354,350Form 4
2026-03-13Johnston James DavidofficerWithheld for tax7,46869,196Form 4
2026-03-13Mault William J.officerWithheld for tax6,50280,608Form 4
2026-03-13Deneke J HeathofficerWithheld for tax6,247336,146Form 4
2026-03-13Johnston James DavidofficerWithheld for tax3,85477,957Form 4
2026-03-13Mault William J.officerWithheld for tax3,36288,694Form 4
2026-03-13Mault William J.officerWithheld for tax1,88783,514Form 4
2026-03-13Johnston James DavidofficerWithheld for tax1,83172,018Form 4
2026-03-13Sicinski Matthew B.officerWithheld for tax1,52535,961Form 4
2026-03-13Sicinski Matthew B.officerWithheld for tax77339,505Form 4
2026-03-13Sicinski Matthew B.officerWithheld for tax36837,104Form 4
2026-03-13Johnston James DavidofficerOption exercise9,79356,294Form 4
2026-03-13Mault William J.officerOption exercise8,54254,889Form 4
2026-03-13Sicinski Matthew B.officerOption exercise3,17418,538Form 4
2026-03-13Deneke J HeathofficerOption exercise15,875209,632Form 4
2026-03-13Deneke J HeathofficerOption exercise30,015179,617Form 4
2026-03-13Mault William J.officerOption exercise4,79363,431Form 4
2026-03-13Mault William J.officerOption exercise16,52268,224Form 4
2026-03-13Deneke J HeathofficerOption exercise58,049225,507Form 4
2026-03-13Sicinski Matthew B.officerOption exercise1,51121,712Form 4
2026-03-13Johnston James DavidofficerOption exercise4,65366,087Form 4
2026-03-13Sicinski Matthew B.officerOption exercise6,13923,223Form 4
2026-03-13Johnston James DavidofficerOption exercise18,97770,740Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.