SLVMSylvamo CorpBasic Materials · Paper, Lumber & Forest Productsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $35.98 · now $35.98 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SLVM has typically landed between $30.30 and $43.27 — a range of −15.8% to +20.3% from the issuance price $35.98.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,229 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-09-23 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($35.98) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where SLVM has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $35.98 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$30.3worst · -15.8%$43.27best · +20.3%
  • now $35.98 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $36.19 (+0.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $33.55–$38.84
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $30.3–$43.27
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,229 windows spanning 2021-09-23 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2022-06-03−42.4%−42.4%+0.0%
2022-06-07−41.9%−41.9%+0.0%
2022-06-08−40.4%−40.4%+0.0%
3 best
2022-07-15+45.2%+0.0%+45.2%
2022-09-30+42.1%+0.0%+42.1%
2022-07-14+40.7%−0.6%+40.7%

1,229 overlapping windows · 2021-09-23 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~5 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
60%
+1.0%
n=5
Feb
60%
+6.9%
n=5
Mar
20%
−4.6%
n=5
Apr
60%
+5.5%
n=5
May
40%
−1.1%
n=5
Jun
20%
−9.2%
n=5
Jul
80%
+8.6%
n=5
Aug
60%
+0.4%
n=5
Sep
60%
−2.7%
n=5
Oct
40%
+4.6%
n=5
Nov
100%
+11.7%
n=5
Dec
20%
−6.6%
n=5

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$54$352026-06-15: 1 insider sale, $51K — Bruce Lizanne M2026-03-17: 1 insider sale, $254K — Wilczynski Patrick2026-03-09: 1 insider sale, $105K — Ferguson Kevin W2026-03-04: 1 insider sale, $151K — Davoli Rodrigo2025-12-09: 1 insider sale, $97K — Ferguson Kevin W2025-11-14: 1 insider sale, $46K — Ferguson Kevin W2025-11-12: 1 insider sale, $97K — Ferguson Kevin W2025-11: 2 open-market sales, $143K2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $97K2026-03: 3 open-market sales, $510K2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $51K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Bruce Lizanne M — Sale on 2026-06-15, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Wilczynski Patrick — Sale on 2026-03-17, filed same dayofficer Ferguson Kevin W — Sale on 2026-03-09, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Davoli Rodrigo — Sale on 2026-03-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Ferguson Kevin W — Sale on 2025-12-09, filed same dayofficer Ferguson Kevin W — Sale on 2025-11-14, filed same dayofficer Ferguson Kevin W — Sale on 2025-11-12, filed same day
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-06-15Bruce Lizanne MdirectorSale1,230 @ $41.70$51K−7.8% of holding−2.2%not yet — horizon still open14,475Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-17Wilczynski PatrickofficerSale6,000 @ $42.28$254K−13.5% of holding−1.4%−24.0%38,313Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-09Ferguson Kevin WofficerSale2,500 @ $42.06$105K−28.5% of holding−2.2%−29.3%6,257Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-04Davoli RodrigoofficerSale3,250 @ $46.46$151K−6.5% of holding−4.3%−33.7%46,484Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-09Ferguson Kevin WofficerSale2,000 @ $48.25$97K−24.5% of holding+4.3%−20.3%6,149Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-14Ferguson Kevin WofficerSale1,000 @ $45.77$46K−10.9% of holding+13.4%−28.3%8,149Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-12Ferguson Kevin WofficerSale2,000 @ $48.70$97K−17.9% of holding+7.3%−27.3%9,149Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-11Bruce Lizanne MdirectorSale2,000 @ $52.60$105K−14.5% of holding−7.5%−18.1%11,829Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-24Ribieras JeanMicheldirectorSale20,232 @ $66.13$1.3M−15.3% of holding−3.2%−49.6%111,662Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-17Ribieras JeanMicheldirectorSale21,250 @ $65.14$1.4M−13.9% of holding−3.1%−46.0%131,894Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-10Ribieras JeanMicheldirectorSale21,250 @ $65.53$1.4M−12.2% of holding−2.3%−48.5%153,144Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-05Ribieras JeanMicheldirectorSale22,268 @ $68.69$1.5M−11.3% of holding−2.1%−46.4%174,394Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

203 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-01Ferguson Kevin WofficerWithheld for tax785,975Form 4
2026-07-28SIMS JOHN VdirectorAward / grant5763,780Form 4
2026-07-28PETRATIS DAVID DdirectorAward / grant4642,869Form 4
2026-07-28Devlin Donald P.officerAward / grant2801,102Form 4
2026-07-28Davoli RodrigoofficerAward / grant2521,614Form 4
2026-07-28Barron MatthewofficerAward / grant1771,546Form 4
2026-07-28Kalman Hirschfeld TatianaofficerAward / grant1761,256Form 4
2026-07-28JOHNSON JOIA MdirectorAward / grant1611,297Form 4
2026-07-28Lawson ShawnofficerAward / grant156760Form 4
2026-07-28Desmond Jeanmarie F.directorAward / grant136644Form 4
2026-07-28Vargas MarciaofficerAward / grant101846Form 4
2026-07-28Wilczynski PatrickofficerAward / grant961,232Form 4
2026-07-28Ferguson Kevin WofficerAward / grant70691Form 4
2026-07-28Breves Christine SdirectorAward / grant68584Form 4
2026-07-28JOHNSON JOIA MdirectorAward / grant4545Form 4
2026-07-28Zallie James P.directorAward / grant45327Form 4
2026-07-28Bruce Lizanne MdirectorAward / grant45327Form 4
2026-07-28Breves Christine SdirectorAward / grant45219Form 4
2026-06-01Lawson ShawnofficerWithheld for tax98016,676Form 4
2026-06-01Devlin Donald P.officerWithheld for tax81328,174Form 4
2026-06-01Ferguson Kevin WofficerWithheld for tax2046,053Form 4
2026-05-15PETRATIS DAVID DdirectorAward / grant7,62335,106Form 4
2026-05-15Zallie James P.directorAward / grant3,87616,705Form 4
2026-05-15Desmond Jeanmarie F.directorAward / grant3,87616,734Form 4
2026-05-15JOHNSON JOIA MdirectorAward / grant3,87616,705Form 4
2026-04-28SIMS JOHN VdirectorAward / grant5093,204Form 4
2026-04-28PETRATIS DAVID DdirectorAward / grant3062,405Form 4
2026-04-28Devlin Donald P.officerAward / grant281823Form 4
2026-04-28Davoli RodrigoofficerAward / grant2231,362Form 4
2026-04-28Lawson ShawnofficerAward / grant179603Form 4
2026-04-28Barron MatthewofficerAward / grant1571,369Form 4
2026-04-28Kalman Hirschfeld TatianaofficerAward / grant1561,080Form 4
2026-04-28JOHNSON JOIA MdirectorAward / grant1431,136Form 4
2026-04-28Vargas MarciaofficerAward / grant90744Form 4
2026-04-28Wilczynski PatrickofficerAward / grant851,136Form 4
2026-04-28Desmond Jeanmarie F.directorAward / grant81508Form 4
2026-04-28Ferguson Kevin WofficerAward / grant70621Form 4
2026-04-28Breves Christine SdirectorAward / grant60516Form 4
2026-04-28Zallie James P.directorAward / grant28282Form 4
2026-04-28Breves Christine SdirectorAward / grant28191Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.