Issued 2026-09-16 at $1.12 · now $1.12 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SLNH has typically landed between $0.60 and $1.78 — a range of −46.3% to +58.7% from the issuance price $1.12.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,994 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($1.12) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where SLNH has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $1.12 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $1.12 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $0.988 (-11.8%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $0.7842–$1.19
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $0.602–$1.78
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,994 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2025-07-11 | −70.2% | −71.6% | +0.0% |
| 2022-11-25 | −67.5% | −67.5% | +0.0% |
| 2022-11-30 | −67.5% | −67.5% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2025-08-22 | +626.1% | −3.6% | +626.1% |
| 2025-08-25 | +516.0% | −2.7% | +633.3% |
| 2025-08-26 | +452.7% | −6.7% | +603.4% |
4,994 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
45%
+4.7%
n=20
Feb
40%
−0.0%
n=20
Mar
40%
+1.9%
n=20
Apr
35%
+0.9%
n=20
May
35%
−4.2%
n=20
Jun
55%
+4.8%
n=20
Jul
45%
+14.7%
n=20
Aug
55%
−0.0%
n=20
Sep
30%
+17.9%
n=20
Oct
60%
+7.9%
n=20
Nov
35%
−5.0%
n=20
Dec
25%
−5.3%
n=20
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Phelan William P | director | Sale | 12,037 @ $1.12 | $13K | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 2,279,985 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-28 | PICCHI MICHAEL | officer | Purchase | 20,000 @ $1.13 | $23K | +1.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,431,250 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-26 | Belizaire John | director | Purchase | 50,000 @ $1.20 | $60K | +0.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 7,063,105 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | PICCHI MICHAEL | officer | Purchase | 10,000 @ $1.14 | $11K | +0.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,411,250 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-20 | PICCHI MICHAEL | officer | Purchase | 20,000 @ $1.15 | $23K | +1.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,401,250 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | Thomas Jessica L. | officer | Sale | 4,838 @ $1.70 | $8K | −0.3% of holding | −28.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,516,760 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Bottomley John | director | Sale | 1,000 @ $10.00 | $10K | −3.6% of holding | −23.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 26,489 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-21 | PICCHI MICHAEL | officer | Purchase | 100,000 @ $1.63 | $163K | +7.8% of holding | −7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,381,250 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-06 | Belizaire John | director | Sale | 1,000 @ $7.25 | $7K | −1.0% of holding | +108.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 100,042 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-16 | Phelan William P | director | Sale | 1,300 @ $1.41 | $2K | −0.1% of holding | +14.6% | +9.4% | 1,318,715 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-12 | MICHAELS DAVID C | director | Sale | 5,669 @ $9.26 | $52K | −9.7% of holding | −12.6% | −18.5% | 52,977 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-12 | MICHAELS DAVID C | director | Sale | 1,017 @ $2.19 | $2K | −0.1% of holding | −12.6% | −18.5% | 1,179,787 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-21 | Belizaire John | director | Sale | 4,922 @ $1.44 | $7K | −0.4% of holding | −2.7% | +8.7% | 1,212,478 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-21 | Belizaire John | director | Sale | 4,300 @ $1.45 | $6K | −0.4% of holding | −2.7% | +8.7% | 1,217,400 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-12 | Tunison John | officer | Purchase | 1,000 @ $2.48 | $2K | +3.8% of holding | +15.2% | +182.6% | 27,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-11 | Phelan William P | director | Sale | 3,350 @ $2.80 | $9K | −1.9% of holding | +59.5% | +196.0% | 172,071 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-10 | Phelan William P | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $2.98 | $30K | −5.4% of holding | +118.3% | +175.0% | 175,421 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-10 | Thomas Jessica L. | officer | Sale | 3,300 @ $2.80 | $9K | −49.3% of holding | +118.3% | +175.0% | 3,400 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-10 | Tunison John | officer | Purchase | 1,000 @ $2.80 | $3K | +4.0% of holding | +118.3% | +175.0% | 26,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-02 | OReilly Mary Jennifer | officer | Sale | 1,400 @ $3.67 | $5K | −8.3% of holding | +4.3% | +139.4% | 15,400 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-02 | OReilly Mary Jennifer | officer | Sale | 100 @ $3.75 | $375 | −0.6% of holding | +4.3% | +139.4% | 16,800 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-02 | OReilly Mary Jennifer | officer | Sale | 100 @ $3.61 | $361 | −0.6% of holding | +4.3% | +139.4% | 16,900 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-22 | Thomas Jessica L. | officer | Sale | 8,000 @ $0.78 | $6K | −12.7% of holding | −31.0% | +87.7% | 55,188 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-22 | Thomas Jessica L. | officer | Sale | 2,851 @ $0.77 | $2K | −4.3% of holding | −31.0% | +87.7% | 63,188 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-20 | Marusak Thomas J | director | Sale | 1,991 @ $0.80 | $2K | −1.4% of holding | −31.7% | +111.8% | 144,727 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-11 | TOPOREK MICHAEL | director | Sale | 574 @ $10.00 | $6K | −0.0% of holding | −35.9% | −81.0% | 1,246,188 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-10 | MICHAELS DAVID C | director | Sale | 400 @ $3.15 | $1K | −0.2% of holding | −33.9% | −80.2% | 176,491 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-10 | TOPOREK MICHAEL | director | Sale | 100 @ $10.40 | $1K | −0.0% of holding | −33.9% | −80.2% | 1,246,762 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-09 | Lipman Matthew E. | director | Sale | 762 @ $10.65 | $8K | −2.8% of holding | −29.0% | −80.2% | 26,489 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-09 | TOPOREK MICHAEL | director | Sale | 208 @ $10.60 | $2K | −0.0% of holding | −29.0% | −80.2% | 1,246,862 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-12-06 | Lipman Matthew E. | director | Sale | 100 @ $11.20 | $1K | −0.4% of holding | −34.2% | −80.5% | 27,289 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-06 | Lipman Matthew E. | director | Sale | 38 @ $11.15 | $424 | −0.1% of holding | −34.2% | −80.5% | 27,251 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-05 | TOPOREK MICHAEL | director | Sale | 12 @ $11.50 | $138 | −0.0% of holding | −18.0% | −78.1% | 1,247,070 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-11-04 | Lipman Matthew E. | director | Sale | 20,600 @ $3.11 | $64K | −18.6% of holding | −5.4% | −73.8% | 90,100 | Form 4 · filed 144 days after the trade |
| 2024-11-04 | TOPOREK MICHAEL | director | Sale | 20,600 @ $3.11 | $64K | −18.6% of holding | −5.4% | −73.8% | 90,100 | Form 4 · filed 144 days after the trade |
| 2024-11-01 | TOPOREK MICHAEL | director | Sale | 31,300 @ $3.39 | $106K | −22.0% of holding | −8.8% | −77.7% | 110,700 | Form 4 · filed 147 days after the trade |
| 2024-11-01 | Lipman Matthew E. | director | Sale | 31,300 @ $3.39 | $106K | −22.0% of holding | −8.8% | −77.7% | 110,700 | Form 4 · filed 147 days after the trade |
| 2024-10-31 | Lipman Matthew E. | director | Sale | 8,000 @ $3.44 | $28K | −5.3% of holding | −12.0% | −76.8% | 142,000 | Form 4 · filed 148 days after the trade |
| 2024-10-31 | TOPOREK MICHAEL | director | Sale | 8,000 @ $3.44 | $28K | −5.3% of holding | −12.0% | −76.8% | 142,000 | Form 4 · filed 148 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
52 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Carver Ryan | officer | Award / grant | 3,200,000 | 3,200,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Belizaire John | director | Withheld for tax | 58,984 | 7,013,105 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | MICHAELS DAVID C | director | Award / grant | 849,556 | 2,029,343 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Marusak Thomas J | director | Award / grant | 849,556 | 1,998,596 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | OReilly Mary Jennifer | officer | Award / grant | 726,401 | 1,703,675 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Phelan William P | director | Award / grant | 973,307 | 2,292,022 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Thomas Jessica L. | officer | Award / grant | 726,401 | 1,521,598 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | TOPOREK MICHAEL | director | Award / grant | 7,310,534 | 17,132,816 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Lipman Matthew E. | director | Award / grant | 726,401 | 1,703,803 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Hirshfield Edward R | director | Award / grant | 726,401 | 1,702,719 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Hazelip William | director | Award / grant | 726,401 | 1,702,859 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Bottomley John | director | Award / grant | 726,401 | 1,703,559 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Belizaire John | director | Award / grant | 3,018,802 | 7,072,089 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | Thomas Jessica L. | officer | Award / grant | 460,000 | 795,197 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | OReilly Mary Jennifer | officer | Award / grant | 685,074 | 977,274 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | Bottomley John | director | Award / grant | 685,074 | 977,158 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | Phelan William P | director | Award / grant | 917,932 | 1,320,015 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | Hazelip William | director | Award / grant | 685,074 | 976,458 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | Thomas Jessica L. | officer | Award / grant | 226,108 | 338,609 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | TOPOREK MICHAEL | director | Award / grant | 6,894,614 | 9,822,282 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | MICHAELS DAVID C | director | Award / grant | 801,222 | 1,180,804 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | Budzyn Agnieszka Teresa | director | Award / grant | 350,000 | 485,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | Marusak Thomas J | director | Award / grant | 801,222 | 1,149,040 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | Belizaire John | director | Award / grant | 2,861,788 | 4,074,266 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | Hirshfield Edward R | director | Award / grant | 685,074 | 976,318 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | Lipman Matthew E. | director | Award / grant | 685,074 | 977,402 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-15 | Budzyn Agnieszka Teresa | director | Award / grant | 135,000 | 135,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-01 | Hazelip William | director | Award / grant | 99,679 | 291,384 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-01 | Lipman Matthew E. | director | Award / grant | 99,679 | 292,328 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-01 | MICHAELS DAVID C | director | Award / grant | 116,579 | 379,582 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-01 | Marusak Thomas J | director | Award / grant | 116,579 | 347,818 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-01 | Phelan William P | director | Award / grant | 133,560 | 402,083 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-01 | Hirshfield Edward R | director | Award / grant | 66,453 | 258,018 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-01 | Hirshfield Edward R | director | Award / grant | 33,226 | 291,244 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-01 | OReilly Mary Jennifer | officer | Award / grant | 99,679 | 292,200 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-01 | Thomas Jessica L. | officer | Award / grant | 32,899 | 112,501 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-01 | TOPOREK MICHAEL | director | Award / grant | 1,003,176 | 2,927,668 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-01 | Belizaire John | director | Award / grant | 416,394 | 1,221,700 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-01 | Bottomley John | director | Award / grant | 99,679 | 292,084 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-01 | Bottomley John | director | Award / grant | 73,972 | 192,405 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.