Issued 2026-09-16 at $38.56 · now $38.56 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SLGN has typically landed between $34.48 and $43.12 — a range of −10.6% to +11.8% from the issuance price $38.56.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($38.56) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where SLGN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $38.56 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $38.56 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $38.79 (+0.6%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $37.03–$40.55
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $34.48–$43.12
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-09-16 | −24.1% | −24.1% | +5.3% |
| 2008-09-19 | −24.1% | −27.9% | +0.0% |
| 2008-09-18 | −23.2% | −25.7% | +3.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-03-24 | +31.8% | +0.0% | +31.8% |
| 2020-03-23 | +31.1% | +0.0% | +31.9% |
| 2020-03-27 | +29.0% | +0.0% | +29.0% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | Ulmer Kimberly Irene | officer | Purchase | 1,000 @ $38.11 | $38K | +1.0% of holding | −1.5% | −6.7% | 105,321 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-31 | Greenlee Adam J | director | Purchase | 7,000 @ $38.19 | $267K | +2.2% of holding | +2.1% | −3.5% | 328,164 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-22 | LEWIS ROBERT B | director | Sale | 11,000 @ $46.70 | $514K | −7.2% of holding | −13.7% | −3.6% | 142,378 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-19 | LEWIS ROBERT B | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $55.92 | $559K | −6.1% of holding | −4.4% | −45.1% | 153,378 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-16 | ALLOTT ANTHONY J | director | Sale | 81,152 @ $55.22 | $4.5M | −18.1% of holding | −3.3% | −44.7% | 367,511 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-06 | Prinzen B Frederik | officer | Sale | 2,378 @ $54.05 | $129K | −63.3% of holding | −6.9% | −49.6% | 1,380 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-24 | Greenlee Adam J | director | Sale | 125,000 @ $54.73 | $6.8M | −35.5% of holding | −4.6% | −22.5% | 227,332 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-13 | LEWIS ROBERT B | director | Sale | 20,000 @ $53.22 | $1.1M | −11.6% of holding | +1.0% | −18.1% | 152,133 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
103 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-27 | Ramdev Niharika | director | Award / grant | 3,254 | 12,610 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | Cleland Nielsen Fiona | director | Award / grant | 3,254 | 8,228 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | DONOVAN WILLIAM T | director | Award / grant | 3,254 | 31,940 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | LEWIS ROBERT B | director | Award / grant | 3,254 | 114,353 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | ALLOTT ANTHONY J | director | Award / grant | 3,254 | 373,027 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | LICH BRAD A | director | Award / grant | 3,254 | 22,587 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | Miller Shannon | director | Award / grant | 3,254 | 5,516 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | Ramdev Niharika | director | Award / grant | 3,254 | 12,610 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | ABRAMSON LEIGH J | director | Award / grant | 3,254 | 26,453 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | ABRAMSON LEIGH J | director | Award / grant | 3,254 | 26,453 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | ALLOTT ANTHONY J | director | Award / grant | 3,254 | 373,027 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | DONOVAN WILLIAM T | director | Award / grant | 3,254 | 31,940 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | LEWIS ROBERT B | director | Award / grant | 3,254 | 114,353 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | LICH BRAD A | director | Award / grant | 3,254 | 22,587 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | Miller Shannon | director | Award / grant | 3,254 | 5,516 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | Cleland Nielsen Fiona | director | Award / grant | 3,254 | 8,228 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Greenlee Adam J | director | Withheld for tax | 57,047 | 376,117 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Chevrier Philippe | officer | Withheld for tax | 9,737 | 80,263 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | HOGAN FRANK W III | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,736 | 304,220 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Ulmer Kimberly Irene | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,631 | 105,890 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | LEWIS ROBERT B | director | Withheld for tax | 7,806 | 134,572 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | FABRY SHAWN C | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,064 | 75,449 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Hutter Alexander G | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,286 | 42,225 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Murphy Daniel Patrick | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,285 | 29,095 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Ulmer Kimberly Irene | officer | Award / grant | 12,700 | 118,590 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Murphy Daniel Patrick | officer | Award / grant | 6,200 | 35,295 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Hutter Alexander G | officer | Award / grant | 19,500 | 61,725 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | FABRY SHAWN C | officer | Award / grant | 20,500 | 95,949 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Hutter Alexander G | officer | Award / grant | 19,500 | 61,725 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | HOGAN FRANK W III | officer | Award / grant | 15,500 | 319,720 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | FABRY SHAWN C | officer | Award / grant | 20,500 | 95,949 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Murphy Daniel Patrick | officer | Award / grant | 6,200 | 35,295 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Greenlee Adam J | director | Award / grant | 64,900 | 441,017 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Chevrier Philippe | officer | Award / grant | 12,200 | 92,463 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Ulmer Kimberly Irene | officer | Award / grant | 12,700 | 118,590 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Chevrier Philippe | officer | Award / grant | 12,200 | 92,463 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | HOGAN FRANK W III | officer | Award / grant | 15,500 | 319,720 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Greenlee Adam J | director | Award / grant | 64,900 | 441,017 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Hutter Alexander G | officer | Award / grant | 25,000 | 43,511 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | HOGAN FRANK W III | officer | Award / grant | 8,800 | 312,956 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.