SLDP · TickerCove

SLDPSolid Power, Inc.Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Partsas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $2.39 · now $2.39 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SLDP has typically landed between $1.69 and $3.47 — a range of −29.4% to +45.2% from the issuance price $2.39.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

1,318 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-05-18 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($2.39) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$2.39 · 6% of range

$2 low$8.51 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−4.1%

typical move · IQR 28.9%

−29.4%worst (p90)+45.2%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where SLDP has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $2.39 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $2.39 (+0.0%)
typical $2.29 (-4.1%)
middle 50% $1.95–$2.64
90% range $1.69–$3.47

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,318 windows spanning 2021-05-18 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2022-11-14	−55.4%	−55.4%	+0.0%
2022-11-15	−55.1%	−55.1%	+0.0%
2022-11-11	−54.7%	−54.7%	+0.0%
3 best
2025-06-24	+130.5%	+0.0%	+130.5%
2025-06-20	+124.4%	+0.0%	+124.4%
2025-06-25	+121.0%	+0.0%	+121.0%

1,318 overlapping windows · 2021-05-18 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

60%

−0.2%

n=5

Feb

60%

−2.2%

n=5

Mar

40%

−1.6%

n=5

Apr

40%

−5.8%

n=5

May

60%

+10.3%

n=5

Jun

50%

−0.9%

n=6

Jul

67%

+10.9%

n=6

Aug

50%

+0.5%

n=6

Sep

33%

−7.7%

n=6

Oct

60%

+12.4%

n=5

Nov

20%

−9.9%

n=5

Dec

40%

−2.0%

n=5

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-05-20	Roe Lesa B	director	Sale	39,207 @ $2.66	$104K	−13.8% of holding	+0.4%	not yet — horizon still open	243,975	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-04	ANDERSON ERIK J	director	Sale	30,000 @ $5.20	$156K	−16.0% of holding	−7.1%	−53.9%	157,617	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-29	Roe Lesa B	director	Sale	29,000 @ $1.69	$49K	−10.8% of holding	+25.3%	+190.7%	239,049	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-27	Goldberg Steven H	director	Sale	82,365 @ $1.62	$133K	−40.9% of holding	+33.5%	+193.5%	118,808	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-06	Buettner-Garrett Joshua	officer	Sale	187,500 @ $1.13	$212K	−17.8% of holding	−3.9%	+250.7%	865,304	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-10	Buettner-Garrett Joshua	officer	Sale	187,500 @ $1.31	$246K	−17.8% of holding	−7.4%	+203.6%	865,304	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-01-06	Buettner-Garrett Joshua	officer	Sale	187,500 @ $2.09	$392K	−17.8% of holding	−34.7%	+24.1%	865,304	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-16	Buettner-Garrett Joshua	officer	Sale	187,500 @ $1.07	$201K	−17.7% of holding	+53.5%	+66.3%	869,720	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

62 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-06-30	Van Scoter John C.	director	Withheld for tax	154,512	4,717,639	Form 4
2026-06-30	Heller Linda C.	officer	Withheld for tax	72,310	1,948,844	Form 4
2026-06-30	Buettner-Garrett Joshua	officer	Withheld for tax	33,824	1,366,018	Form 4
2026-05-20	Miziolek Aleksandra A	director	Award / grant	44,133	341,062	Form 4
2026-05-20	Goldberg Steven H	director	Award / grant	44,133	162,941	Form 4
2026-05-20	Wright MaryAnn	director	Award / grant	44,133	331,730	Form 4
2026-05-20	Awada Kaled	director	Award / grant	44,133	351,621	Form 4
2026-05-20	ANDERSON ERIK J	director	Award / grant	44,133	304,503	Form 4
2026-05-20	Kreh Susan M	director	Award / grant	44,133	351,621	Form 4
2026-05-20	Roe Lesa B	director	Award / grant	44,133	283,182	Form 4
2026-05-20	STEPHENS JOHN JOSEPH	director	Award / grant	44,133	320,203	Form 4
2026-05-12	Buettner-Garrett Joshua	officer	Withheld for tax	5,519	1,399,842	Form 4
2026-05-11	Van Scoter John C.	director	Withheld for tax	308,010	4,872,151	Form 4
2026-05-11	Heller Linda C.	officer	Withheld for tax	136,122	2,021,154	Form 4
2026-05-11	Buettner-Garrett Joshua	officer	Withheld for tax	58,082	1,405,361	Form 4
2026-04-01	Van Scoter John C.	director	Award / grant	1,267,828	5,180,161	Form 4
2026-04-01	Heller Linda C.	officer	Award / grant	380,348	2,157,276	Form 4
2026-04-01	Buettner-Garrett Joshua	officer	Award / grant	183,518	1,463,443	Form 4
2026-03-31	Van Scoter John C.	director	Withheld for tax	42,842	3,912,333	Form 4
2026-03-31	Heller Linda C.	officer	Withheld for tax	26,659	1,776,928	Form 4
2026-03-31	Buettner-Garrett Joshua	officer	Withheld for tax	14,284	1,279,925	Form 4
2025-12-31	Van Scoter John C.	director	Withheld for tax	42,842	3,955,175	Form 4
2025-12-31	Heller Linda C.	officer	Withheld for tax	26,605	1,803,587	Form 4
2025-12-31	Buettner-Garrett Joshua	officer	Withheld for tax	14,284	1,294,209	Form 4
2025-09-30	Van Scoter John C.	director	Withheld for tax	42,842	3,998,017	Form 4
2025-09-30	Heller Linda C.	officer	Withheld for tax	26,605	1,830,192	Form 4
2025-09-30	Buettner-Garrett Joshua	officer	Withheld for tax	14,284	1,308,493	Form 4
2025-06-30	Van Scoter John C.	director	Withheld for tax	42,841	4,040,859	Form 4
2025-06-30	Heller Linda C.	officer	Withheld for tax	25,950	1,856,797	Form 4
2025-06-30	Buettner-Garrett Joshua	officer	Withheld for tax	14,285	1,322,777	Form 4
2025-06-17	Heller Linda C.	officer	Withheld for tax	103,800	1,882,747	Form 4
2025-05-21	Miziolek Aleksandra A	director	Award / grant	118,808	296,929	Form 4
2025-05-21	ANDERSON ERIK J	director	Award / grant	118,808	260,370	Form 4
2025-05-21	Goldberg Steven H	director	Award / grant	118,808	201,173	Form 4
2025-05-21	Kreh Susan M	director	Award / grant	118,808	307,488	Form 4
2025-05-21	STEPHENS JOHN JOSEPH	director	Award / grant	118,808	276,070	Form 4
2025-05-21	Wright MaryAnn	director	Award / grant	118,808	287,597	Form 4
2025-05-21	Awada Kaled	director	Award / grant	118,808	307,488	Form 4
2025-05-21	Roe Lesa B	director	Award / grant	118,808	268,049	Form 4
2025-05-12	Liebscher James	officer	Withheld for tax	5,865	667,157	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i