Issued 2026-09-16 at $52.30 · now $52.30 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SLB has typically landed between $45.17 and $61.26 — a range of −13.6% to +17.1% from the issuance price $52.30.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($52.30) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where SLB has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $52.3 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $52.3 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $52.97 (+1.3%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $49.4–$56.54
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $45.17–$61.26
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-18 | −64.2% | −64.2% | +1.9% |
| 2020-02-21 | −61.6% | −63.9% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-19 | −59.5% | −64.9% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2022-09-26 | +55.0% | +0.0% | +55.0% |
| 2020-10-28 | +54.3% | +0.0% | +56.8% |
| 2020-11-06 | +53.6% | +0.0% | +55.1% |
4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.
Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.
iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 22 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.- DCF (intrinsic)$59.46
- Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 20.3× · n=22$20.88
- Analyst target · range $48.00–$71.00$62.50
- Current price · last close 2026-09-16$52.30
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Le Peuch Olivier | director | Sale | 35,000 @ $60.00 | $2.1M | −2.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,296,328 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-31 | Le Peuch Olivier | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $60.00 | $300K | −0.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,331,328 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-27 | Le Peuch Olivier | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $55.00 | $275K | −0.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,336,328 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-26 | Le Peuch Olivier | director | Sale | 25,000 @ $52.55 | $1.3M | −1.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,341,328 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-27 | Le Peuch Olivier | director | Sale | 25,000 @ $56.99 | $1.4M | −1.8% of holding | −13.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,366,328 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-07 | de La Chevardiere Patrick | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $54.33 | $109K | −10.6% of holding | +6.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 16,953 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-01 | Gassen Steve Matthew | officer | Sale | 33,379 @ $56.19 | $1.9M | −41.3% of holding | −6.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 47,421 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-01 | Gassen Steve Matthew | officer | Sale | 20,000 @ $56.16 | $1.1M | −29.7% of holding | −6.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 47,421 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-29 | Le Peuch Olivier | director | Sale | 25,000 @ $56.48 | $1.4M | −1.8% of holding | −8.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,391,328 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-26 | de La Chevardiere Patrick | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $51.95 | $104K | −11.4% of holding | −5.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 15,525 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-25 | Le Peuch Olivier | director | Sale | 25,000 @ $50.56 | $1.3M | −1.7% of holding | −0.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,416,328 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-25 | de La Chevardiere Patrick | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $52.10 | $104K | −10.2% of holding | −0.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 17,525 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-25 | Le Peuch Olivier | director | Sale | 25,000 @ $52.00 | $1.3M | −1.7% of holding | +7.9% | −6.8% | 1,434,044 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-28 | Le Peuch Olivier | director | Sale | 25,000 @ $50.40 | $1.3M | −1.7% of holding | +7.0% | −6.0% | 1,459,044 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-26 | Biguet Stephane | officer | Sale | 61,017 @ $49.70 | $3.0M | −28.2% of holding | +4.5% | −5.8% | 155,548 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-26 | Merad Abdellah | officer | Sale | 60,000 @ $49.70 | $3.0M | −29.9% of holding | +4.5% | −5.8% | 140,602 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-26 | Ralston Dianne B. | officer | Sale | 18,617 @ $49.50 | $922K | −7.7% of holding | +4.5% | −5.8% | 224,097 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-26 | Guild Howard | officer | Sale | 13,268 @ $49.70 | $659K | −37.2% of holding | +4.5% | −5.8% | 22,407 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-26 | de La Chevardiere Patrick | director | Sale | 4,000 @ $50.29 | $201K | −17.0% of holding | +4.5% | −5.8% | 19,525 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-26 | Coleman Peter John | director | Sale | 5,500 @ $35.82 | $197K | −22.8% of holding | +5.6% | +43.4% | 18,671 | Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-13 | Biguet Stephane | officer | Sale | 38,447 @ $36.75 | $1.4M | −18.0% of holding | +6.7% | +49.0% | 175,690 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-11 | Merad Abdellah | officer | Sale | 60,000 @ $37.69 | $2.3M | −27.4% of holding | +7.2% | +40.1% | 159,371 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-12 | Ralston Dianne B. | officer | Sale | 39,727 @ $36.08 | $1.4M | −16.4% of holding | −10.4% | +25.8% | 202,201 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-22 | de La Chevardiere Patrick | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $33.58 | $168K | −17.5% of holding | −4.3% | −6.6% | 23,525 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-28 | Raman Aparna | officer | Sale | 25,133 @ $42.28 | $1.1M | −44.7% of holding | −18.3% | −34.9% | 31,031 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-26 | Rennick Gavin | officer | Sale | 26,990 @ $40.92 | $1.1M | −33.5% of holding | +8.0% | −20.0% | 53,584 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-01-31 | Rando Bejar Carmen | officer | Sale | 5,524 @ $40.41 | $223K | −15.2% of holding | +1.8% | −22.6% | 30,829 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-01-29 | Merad Abdellah | officer | Sale | 60,000 @ $41.44 | $2.5M | −22.2% of holding | +3.7% | −21.8% | 210,502 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-01-21 | Al Mogharbel Khaled | officer | Sale | 73,097 @ $44.19 | $3.2M | −23.8% of holding | −3.1% | −24.2% | 234,626 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-01-21 | Al Mogharbel Khaled | officer | Sale | 50,000 @ $43.94 | $2.2M | −21.3% of holding | −3.1% | −24.2% | 184,626 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-01-21 | Biguet Stephane | officer | Sale | 45,000 @ $43.87 | $2.0M | −17.9% of holding | −3.1% | −24.2% | 206,586 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-01-21 | Ralston Dianne B. | officer | Sale | 43,161 @ $43.96 | $1.9M | −15.5% of holding | −3.1% | −24.2% | 235,024 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-01-21 | Kasibhatla Vijay | officer | Sale | 25,000 @ $43.94 | $1.1M | −33.5% of holding | −3.1% | −24.2% | 49,595 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-01-21 | Guild Howard | officer | Sale | 13,568 @ $43.87 | $595K | −35.4% of holding | −3.1% | −24.2% | 24,728 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-01-21 | Prechner Ugo | officer | Sale | 7,000 @ $44.20 | $309K | −38.4% of holding | −3.1% | −24.2% | 11,240 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-09-04 | de La Chevardiere Patrick | director | Sale | 8,000 @ $41.94 | $336K | −26.0% of holding | +5.3% | −3.8% | 22,811 | Form 4 · filed 107 days after the trade |
| 2024-05-03 | de La Chevardiere Patrick | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $47.28 | $95K | −6.1% of holding | −12.3% | −27.9% | 30,811 | Form 4 · filed 231 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
213 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | Gassen Steve Matthew | officer | Option exercise | 21,980 | 80,800 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Gassen Steve Matthew | officer | Option exercise | 11,399 | 58,820 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Sheets Jeffrey Wayne | director | Award / grant | 3,428 | 42,453 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Narayanan Vanitha | director | Award / grant | 3,428 | 20,688 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Leupold Samuel Georg Friedrich | director | Award / grant | 3,428 | 29,136 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | HACKETT JAMES T | director | Award / grant | 5,450 | 26,416 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Coleman Peter John | director | Award / grant | 3,428 | 22,099 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | de La Chevardiere Patrick | director | Award / grant | 3,428 | 18,953 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Galuccio Miguel Matias | director | Award / grant | 3,428 | 51,653 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Moraeus Hanssen Maria | director | Award / grant | 3,428 | 35,016 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Gassen Steve Matthew | officer | Option exercise | 11,399 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Gassen Steve Matthew | officer | Option exercise | 21,980 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Le Peuch Olivier | director | Withheld for tax | 4,727 | 1,441,328 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Biguet Stephane | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,379 | 157,673 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Merad Abdellah | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,379 | 142,727 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Ralston Dianne B. | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,261 | 226,039 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Pafitis Demosthenis | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,189 | 106,903 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Gassen Steve Matthew | officer | Withheld for tax | 473 | 67,421 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Guild Howard | officer | Withheld for tax | 316 | 22,892 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Ralston Dianne B. | officer | Award / grant | 3,203 | 227,300 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Biguet Stephane | officer | Award / grant | 3,504 | 159,052 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Merad Abdellah | officer | Award / grant | 3,504 | 144,106 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Pafitis Demosthenis | officer | Award / grant | 2,502 | 108,092 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Le Peuch Olivier | director | Award / grant | 12,011 | 1,446,055 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Guild Howard | officer | Award / grant | 801 | 23,208 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Gassen Steve Matthew | officer | Award / grant | 1,201 | 67,894 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | Le Peuch Olivier | director | Withheld for tax | 70,001 | 1,484,044 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | Biguet Stephane | officer | Withheld for tax | 20,418 | 216,565 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | Merad Abdellah | officer | Withheld for tax | 20,418 | 200,602 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | Ralston Dianne B. | officer | Withheld for tax | 17,667 | 242,714 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | Pafitis Demosthenis | officer | Withheld for tax | 17,598 | 105,590 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | Gassen Steve Matthew | officer | Withheld for tax | 7,001 | 66,693 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | Guild Howard | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,639 | 35,675 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | Biguet Stephane | officer | Award / grant | 51,885 | 236,983 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | Le Peuch Olivier | director | Award / grant | 177,891 | 1,554,045 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | Merad Abdellah | officer | Award / grant | 51,885 | 221,020 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | Ralston Dianne B. | officer | Award / grant | 47,437 | 260,381 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | Pafitis Demosthenis | officer | Award / grant | 37,060 | 123,188 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | Gassen Steve Matthew | officer | Award / grant | 17,789 | 73,694 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | Guild Howard | officer | Award / grant | 11,860 | 40,314 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.
As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date
A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).
| Member | Chamber | Type | Filed | Traded | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Letlow | House | sale | 2026-01-13 | 2025-02-24 | $1–15K |
| Julia Letlow | House | purchase | 2026-01-13 | 2024-10-23 | $1–15K |
| Lisa Mcclain | House | sale | 2025-11-21 | 2025-10-30 | $1–15K |
| Lisa Mcclain | House | sale | 2025-11-21 | 2025-10-31 | $1–15K |
| Lisa Mcclain | House | purchase | 2025-11-21 | 2025-10-30 | $1–15K |
| Lisa Mcclain | House | purchase | 2025-10-22 | 2025-09-25 | $1–15K |
| Sheri Biggs | House | sale | 2025-10-05 | 2025-03-18 | $1–15K |
| Gilbert Cisneros | House | sale | 2025-09-12 | 2025-08-05 | $1–15K |
| Lisa Mcclain | House | purchase | 2025-08-13 | 2025-07-16 | $1–15K |
| Lisa Mcclain | House | sale | 2025-08-13 | 2025-07-22 | $1–15K |
| Gilbert Cisneros | House | purchase | 2025-06-06 | 2025-05-30 | $1–15K |
| Rob Bresnahan | House | sale | 2025-05-31 | 2025-05-15 | $1–15K |
| Jefferson Shreve | House | sale | 2025-05-08 | 2025-04-11 | $15–50K |
| Jefferson Shreve | House | purchase | 2025-04-11 | 2025-03-13 | $15–50K |
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.