Issued 2026-09-16 at $219.71 · now $219.71 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SLAB has typically landed between $181.73 and $271.34 — a range of −17.3% to +23.5% from the issuance price $219.71.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($219.71) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where SLAB has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $219.71 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $219.71 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $220.66 (+0.4%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $204.88–$236.44
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $181.73–$271.34
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2025-03-10 | −35.6% | −35.6% | +0.0% |
| 2025-03-07 | −34.2% | −34.2% | +0.0% |
| 2008-11-04 | −33.8% | −33.8% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2008-12-04 | +49.9% | +0.0% | +49.9% |
| 2026-02-03 | +48.8% | +0.0% | +51.7% |
| 2025-04-11 | +48.7% | +0.0% | +48.7% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | CONRAD ROBERT J | officer | Sale | 6,581 @ $218.21 | $1.4M | −21.7% of holding | +3.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 23,815 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Johnson Robert Matthew | director | Sale | 8,024 @ $216.83 | $1.7M | −9.1% of holding | +0.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 80,519 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-13 | Richardson Nina | director | Sale | 1,355 @ $149.00 | $202K | −13.7% of holding | +43.1% | +40.3% | 8,543 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-05 | Tolany Brandon | officer | Sale | 1,954 @ $141.49 | $276K | −3.0% of holding | +1.4% | +46.5% | 62,381 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-04 | Tolany Brandon | officer | Sale | 4,246 @ $140.17 | $595K | −6.4% of holding | +5.7% | +48.6% | 62,381 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-29 | Tolany Brandon | officer | Sale | 1,800 @ $133.57 | $240K | −2.8% of holding | −6.0% | +45.5% | 62,328 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-22 | Tolany Brandon | officer | Sale | 8,000 @ $145.23 | $1.2M | −11.4% of holding | −11.1% | +33.7% | 62,328 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-19 | Tolany Brandon | officer | Sale | 2,270 @ $132.69 | $301K | −3.5% of holding | +3.1% | +47.0% | 62,328 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-16 | Johnson Robert Matthew | director | Sale | 5,879 @ $131.20 | $771K | −7.4% of holding | +7.6% | −20.8% | 73,688 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-16 | CONRAD ROBERT J | officer | Sale | 4,029 @ $131.20 | $529K | −13.7% of holding | +7.6% | −20.8% | 25,380 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-13 | CONRAD ROBERT J | officer | Sale | 1,172 @ $130.00 | $152K | −6.8% of holding | +2.8% | −21.5% | 15,972 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-06 | Wyatt Christy | director | Sale | 546 @ $104.45 | $57K | −6.0% of holding | +10.0% | −2.7% | 8,492 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-02-18 | BOCK WILLIAM G | director | Sale | 1,000 @ $149.43 | $149K | −3.1% of holding | −11.0% | −19.1% | 31,115 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-02-06 | SOOCH NAVDEEP S | director | Sale | 2,640 @ $149.08 | $394K | −0.7% of holding | −1.7% | −20.6% | 397,927 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-05 | SOOCH NAVDEEP S | director | Sale | 2,360 @ $149.00 | $352K | −0.6% of holding | −2.3% | −21.9% | 400,567 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-22 | BOCK WILLIAM G | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $140.77 | $282K | −5.9% of holding | +12.0% | −8.2% | 32,115 | Form 4 · filed same day |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
64 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | Johnson Robert Matthew | director | Withheld for tax | 10,363 | 88,543 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Butler Dean Warren | director | Withheld for tax | 6,291 | 43,767 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Tolany Brandon | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,160 | 66,935 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | CONRAD ROBERT J | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,653 | 30,396 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | MAULDIN MARK D | officer | Withheld for tax | 858 | 21,090 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-30 | Butler Dean Warren | director | Award / grant | 152 | 50,058 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-30 | Tolany Brandon | officer | Award / grant | 45 | 71,095 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-30 | MAULDIN MARK D | officer | Award / grant | 18 | 21,948 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | LOWE GREGG A | director | Award / grant | 962 | 14,956 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | SOOCH NAVDEEP S | director | Award / grant | 1,226 | 401,502 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Richardson Nina | director | Award / grant | 962 | 9,505 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Wyatt Christy | director | Award / grant | 962 | 9,454 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Luther Sherri R | director | Award / grant | 962 | 6,701 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Sadana Sumit | director | Award / grant | 962 | 9,982 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | BOCK WILLIAM G | director | Award / grant | 962 | 33,920 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-15 | Butler Dean Warren | director | Award / grant | 11,033 | 49,906 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-15 | CONRAD ROBERT J | officer | Award / grant | 8,669 | 34,049 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-15 | MAULDIN MARK D | officer | Award / grant | 3,153 | 21,930 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-15 | Tolany Brandon | officer | Award / grant | 8,669 | 71,050 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-15 | Johnson Robert Matthew | director | Award / grant | 25,218 | 98,906 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-13 | MAULDIN MARK D | officer | Withheld for tax | 356 | 18,777 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-05 | Tolany Brandon | officer | Option exercise | 1,954 | 64,335 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-05 | Tolany Brandon | officer | Option exercise | 1,954 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-05 | Tolany Brandon | officer | Option exercise | 1,954 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-04 | Tolany Brandon | officer | Option exercise | 4,246 | 66,627 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-04 | Tolany Brandon | officer | Option exercise | 4,246 | 1,954 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-04 | Tolany Brandon | officer | Option exercise | 4,246 | 1,954 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-31 | Butler Dean Warren | director | Award / grant | 177 | 38,873 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-31 | Tolany Brandon | officer | Award / grant | 53 | 62,381 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-31 | MAULDIN MARK D | officer | Award / grant | 21 | 19,133 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-29 | Tolany Brandon | officer | Option exercise | 1,800 | 64,128 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-29 | Tolany Brandon | officer | Option exercise | 1,800 | 6,200 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-29 | Tolany Brandon | officer | Option exercise | 1,800 | 6,200 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-22 | Tolany Brandon | officer | Option exercise | 8,000 | 70,328 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-22 | Tolany Brandon | officer | Option exercise | 8,000 | 8,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-22 | Tolany Brandon | officer | Option exercise | 8,000 | 8,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-19 | Tolany Brandon | officer | Option exercise | 2,235 | 64,598 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-19 | Tolany Brandon | officer | Option exercise | 35 | 62,363 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-19 | Tolany Brandon | officer | Option exercise | 35 | 18,235 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-19 | Tolany Brandon | officer | Option exercise | 35 | 18,235 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.