SKYChampion Homes, Inc.as of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $84.89 · now $84.89 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SKY has typically landed between $69.31 and $102.98 — a range of −18.4% to +21.3% from the issuance price $84.89.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,673 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($84.89) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where SKY has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $84.89 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$69.31worst · -18.4%$102.98best · +21.3%
  • now $84.89 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $86.21 (+1.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $78.97–$93.46
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $69.31–$102.98
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,673 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-03-04−53.9%−53.9%+0.0%
2020-03-05−53.4%−53.4%+1.8%
2020-02-18−53.0%−53.0%+0.2%
3 best
2016-02-29+124.3%+0.0%+124.3%
2016-03-01+123.7%+0.0%+123.7%
2016-02-26+123.4%+0.0%+123.4%

4,673 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
56%
+7.4%
n=18
Feb
42%
+4.2%
n=19
Mar
53%
+5.0%
n=19
Apr
37%
−2.6%
n=19
May
32%
−2.6%
n=19
Jun
42%
+1.5%
n=19
Jul
68%
+6.8%
n=19
Aug
53%
+4.1%
n=19
Sep
53%
+1.6%
n=19
Oct
22%
−7.9%
n=18
Nov
67%
+5.3%
n=18
Dec
50%
+0.8%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$97$642026-08-10: 1 insider sale, $140K — Berman Michael B2026-08-07: 1 insider sale, $105K — Helgren Erin Claire2026-06-09: 1 insider sale, $304K — KIMMELL JOSEPH A.2026-06-05: 2 insider sales, $600K — KIMMELL JOSEPH A. …2026-03-06: 1 insider sale, $237K — KIMMELL JOSEPH A.2025-12-12: 2 insider sales, $1.1M — Burkhardt Timothy A. …2025-12-11: 1 insider sale, $159K — KIMMELL JOSEPH A.2025-11-24: 1 insider sale, $149K — KIMMELL JOSEPH A.2025-08: 2 open-market sales, $263K2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $149K2025-12: 3 open-market sales, $1.2M2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $237K2026-06: 3 open-market sales, $903K2026-08: 2 open-market sales, $244K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Berman Michael B — Sale on 2026-08-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Helgren Erin Claire — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer KIMMELL JOSEPH A. — Sale on 2026-06-09, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer KIMMELL JOSEPH A. — Sale on 2026-06-05, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer KIMMELL JOSEPH A. — Sale on 2026-06-05, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer KIMMELL JOSEPH A. — Sale on 2026-03-06, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Burkhardt Timothy A. — Sale on 2025-12-12, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Burkhardt Timothy A. — Sale on 2025-12-12, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer KIMMELL JOSEPH A. — Sale on 2025-12-11, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer KIMMELL JOSEPH A. — Sale on 2025-11-24, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-10Berman Michael BdirectorSale1,500 @ $93.22$140K−18.0% of holding−9.0%not yet — horizon still open6,825Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-07Helgren Erin ClairedirectorSale1,100 @ $95.00$105K−11.8% of holding+0.7%not yet — horizon still open8,196Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-09KIMMELL JOSEPH A.officerSale4,000 @ $75.91$304K−11.1% of holding+1.9%not yet — horizon still open32,118Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-05KIMMELL JOSEPH A.officerSale5,043 @ $75.83$382K−11.5% of holding+4.6%not yet — horizon still open38,997Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-05KIMMELL JOSEPH A.officerSale2,879 @ $75.48$217K−7.4% of holding+4.6%not yet — horizon still open36,118Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-06KIMMELL JOSEPH A.officerSale2,880 @ $82.25$237K−5.3% of holding−9.7%not yet — horizon still open51,297Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-12Burkhardt Timothy A.officerSale6,350 @ $87.44$555K−16.0% of holding+7.1%−18.9%33,230Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-12Burkhardt Timothy A.officerSale5,833 @ $87.37$510K−14.9% of holding+7.1%−18.9%33,230Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-11KIMMELL JOSEPH A.officerSale1,800 @ $88.35$159K−3.2% of holding+6.6%−21.4%54,177Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-24KIMMELL JOSEPH A.officerSale1,812 @ $82.04$149K−3.1% of holding+1.2%−24.3%55,977Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-11KIMMELL JOSEPH A.officerSale1,000 @ $65.24$65K−2.2% of holding+9.9%+27.2%43,568Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-08KIMMELL JOSEPH A.officerSale3,000 @ $66.03$198K−6.3% of holding+11.0%+22.1%44,568Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-03Berman Michael BdirectorSale1,000 @ $101.81$102K−12.3% of holding−3.7%−35.7%7,099Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-11Burkhardt Timothy A.officerSale3,823 @ $106.87$409K−10.5% of holding−4.0%−36.8%32,706Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-10KIMMELL JOSEPH A.officerSale4,335 @ $104.21$452K−9.9% of holding−3.2%−40.4%39,411Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

103 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-26Haack MichaeldirectorAward / grant1,6451,645Form 4
2026-08-15LYALL JONATHAN WADEofficerWithheld for tax1,80465,580Form 4
2026-08-15Krueger LaurelofficerWithheld for tax1,35637,068Form 4
2026-08-01Krueger LaurelofficerWithheld for tax75038,424Form 4
2026-07-30Robinette Gary EdirectorAward / grant1,86712,332Form 4
2026-07-30Helgren Erin ClairedirectorAward / grant1,8679,296Form 4
2026-07-30Patel NikuldirectorAward / grant1,8678,546Form 4
2026-07-30Berman Michael BdirectorAward / grant1,86712,451Form 4
2026-07-30Fedewa MarydirectorAward / grant1,8675,666Form 4
2026-06-12Kastanek John AllanofficerAward / grant6,26813,788Form 4
2026-03-31Larson Timothy MarkdirectorWithheld for tax1,053118,639Form 4
2026-03-29Hough Laurie M.officerWithheld for tax1,259125,411Form 4
2026-03-29KIMMELL JOSEPH A.officerWithheld for tax60644,040Form 4
2026-03-29LYALL JONATHAN WADEofficerWithheld for tax50867,384Form 4
2026-03-29Burkhardt Timothy A.officerWithheld for tax39928,292Form 4
2026-03-25Hough Laurie M.officerWithheld for tax4,814129,869Form 4
2026-03-25Larson Timothy MarkdirectorWithheld for tax3,92878,660Form 4
2026-03-25LYALL JONATHAN WADEofficerWithheld for tax3,46658,303Form 4
2026-03-25KIMMELL JOSEPH A.officerWithheld for tax3,46646,856Form 4
2026-03-25Hough Laurie M.officerWithheld for tax2,374127,495Form 4
2026-03-25Burkhardt Timothy A.officerWithheld for tax2,36930,171Form 4
2026-03-25Larson Timothy MarkdirectorWithheld for tax2,074121,620Form 4
2026-03-25Larson Timothy MarkdirectorWithheld for tax1,928119,692Form 4
2026-03-25KIMMELL JOSEPH A.officerWithheld for tax1,73645,120Form 4
2026-03-25LYALL JONATHAN WADEofficerWithheld for tax1,45668,289Form 4
2026-03-25Burkhardt Timothy A.officerWithheld for tax1,16828,691Form 4
2026-03-25Hough Laurie M.officerWithheld for tax825126,670Form 4
2026-03-25KIMMELL JOSEPH A.officerWithheld for tax47444,646Form 4
2026-03-25Krueger LaurelofficerWithheld for tax43639,174Form 4
2026-03-25LYALL JONATHAN WADEofficerWithheld for tax39767,892Form 4
2026-03-25Burkhardt Timothy A.officerWithheld for tax31229,859Form 4
2026-03-25Krueger LaurelofficerAward / grant5,67033,940Form 4
2026-03-25LYALL JONATHAN WADEofficerAward / grant5,72164,024Form 4
2026-03-25LYALL JONATHAN WADEofficerAward / grant5,72169,745Form 4
2026-03-25Kingston Timothy M.officerAward / grant1,8023,604Form 4
2026-03-25McKinstray DavidofficerAward / grant7,84223,984Form 4
2026-03-25McKinstray DavidofficerAward / grant7,84216,142Form 4
2026-03-25Krueger LaurelofficerAward / grant5,67039,610Form 4
2026-03-25Larson Timothy MarkdirectorAward / grant22,517101,177Form 4
2026-03-25Larson Timothy MarkdirectorAward / grant22,517123,694Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-04-072026-03-03$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-03-092026-02-23$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2025-07-102025-06-16$1–15K
Josh GottheimerHousesale2025-05-142025-04-09$1–15K
Josh GottheimerHousesale2024-07-092024-06-21$1–15K
Tommy TubervilleSenatesale2023-11-162023-10-16$1–15K
Tommy TubervilleSenatepurchase2023-05-112023-04-03$1–15K
Josh GottheimerHousesale2022-07-222022-06-21$1–15K
Josh GottheimerHousesale2022-03-182022-02-14$1–15K
Josh GottheimerHousesale2022-01-102021-12-02$1–15K
Josh GottheimerHousesale2021-08-092021-07-01$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2020-08-192020-07-17$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2020-03-102020-02-06$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2019-07-122019-06-27$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.