SKT · TickerCove

SKTTanger Inc.Real Estate · REIT - Retailas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $35.77 · now $35.77 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SKT has typically landed between $32.45 and $40.60 — a range of −9.3% to +13.5% from the issuance price $35.77.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($35.77) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$35.77 · 45% of range

$30.78 low$41.79 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.2%

typical move · IQR 10.1%

−9.3%worst (p90)+13.5%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where SKT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $35.77 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $35.77 (+0.0%)
typical $36.2 (+1.2%)
middle 50% $34.39–$38
90% range $32.45–$40.6

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-03-05	−64.5%	−64.5%	+0.0%
2020-03-04	−62.9%	−62.9%	+0.0%
2020-03-03	−60.8%	−60.8%	+3.0%
3 best
2020-12-24	+72.0%	−5.5%	+72.0%
2020-11-04	+67.7%	+0.0%	+67.7%
2020-10-28	+63.5%	+0.0%	+65.2%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

55%

+3.0%

n=20

Feb

40%

−1.0%

n=20

Mar

55%

−1.6%

n=20

Apr

60%

+4.1%

n=20

May

35%

−2.7%

n=20

Jun

45%

+0.8%

n=20

Jul

70%

+2.3%

n=20

Aug

50%

−0.1%

n=20

Sep

45%

+0.3%

n=20

Oct

70%

+3.0%

n=20

Nov

75%

+6.1%

n=20

Dec

45%

−0.4%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-05-15	RYAN BERMAN BRIDGET	director	Sale	14,698 @ $35.24	$518K	−14.5% of holding	+12.9%	not yet — horizon still open	86,593	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-06	SKERRITT SUSAN E	director	Sale	5,060 @ $36.22	$183K	−10.0% of holding	−1.2%	−9.8%	45,662	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-02-27	Guerrieri Thomas Joseph JR	officer	Sale	10,432 @ $37.61	$392K	−15.9% of holding	−0.6%	−9.3%	55,347	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-27	REDDIN THOMAS	director	Sale	10,000 @ $37.50	$375K	−25.3% of holding	−0.6%	−9.3%	29,602	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-05	Swanson Gallardo Leslie	officer	Sale	17,500 @ $34.74	$608K	−15.9% of holding	−8.1%	−0.3%	92,665	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-12	REDDIN THOMAS	director	Sale	7,000 @ $32.25	$226K	−15.0% of holding	−7.2%	−7.3%	39,602	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-05	Yalof Stephen	director	Purchase	3,348 @ $29.87	$100K	+0.4% of holding	−5.7%	−8.0%	831,611	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-11	Swanson Gallardo Leslie	officer	Sale	12,500 @ $32.38	$405K	−9.9% of holding	−0.8%	−12.2%	113,158	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-28	SKERRITT SUSAN E	director	Sale	9,844 @ $34.79	$342K	−18.3% of holding	+0.9%	−11.0%	44,091	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

99 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-14	CITRIN JEFFREY B	director	Award / grant	617	152,135	Form 4
2026-05-15	CITRIN JEFFREY B	director	Award / grant	589	151,412	Form 4
2026-03-20	Yalof Stephen	director	Withheld for tax	39,524	903,157	Form 4
2026-03-20	Bilerman Michael J	officer	Withheld for tax	20,601	176,432	Form 4
2026-03-20	Swanson Gallardo Leslie	officer	Withheld for tax	9,773	115,385	Form 4
2026-03-20	Stein Justin C	officer	Withheld for tax	6,337	64,757	Form 4
2026-03-20	Norman Jessica K	officer	Withheld for tax	2,689	37,791	Form 4
2026-03-20	Guerrieri Thomas Joseph JR	officer	Withheld for tax	1,325	62,591	Form 4
2026-03-20	Guerrieri Thomas Joseph JR	officer	Option exercise	9,313	0	Form 4
2026-03-20	Yalof Stephen	director	Option exercise	173,842	0	Form 4
2026-03-20	Stein Justin C	officer	Option exercise	24,835	71,094	Form 4
2026-03-20	Stein Justin C	officer	Option exercise	24,835	0	Form 4
2026-03-20	TANGER STEVEN B	director	Option exercise	49,669	1,047,022	Form 4
2026-03-20	TANGER STEVEN B	director	Option exercise	49,669	0	Form 4
2026-03-20	Swanson Gallardo Leslie	officer	Option exercise	49,669	125,158	Form 4
2026-03-20	Norman Jessica K	officer	Option exercise	10,574	0	Form 4
2026-03-20	Bilerman Michael J	officer	Option exercise	74,504	197,033	Form 4
2026-03-20	Bilerman Michael J	officer	Option exercise	74,504	0	Form 4
2026-03-20	Guerrieri Thomas Joseph JR	officer	Option exercise	9,313	63,916	Form 4
2026-03-20	Yalof Stephen	director	Option exercise	173,842	942,681	Form 4
2026-03-20	Norman Jessica K	officer	Option exercise	10,574	40,480	Form 4
2026-03-20	Swanson Gallardo Leslie	officer	Option exercise	49,669	0	Form 4
2026-03-20	Swanson Gallardo Leslie	officer	Option exercise	49,669	0	Form 4
2026-03-16	Yalof Stephen	director	Withheld for tax	12,066	768,839	Form 4
2026-03-16	Bilerman Michael J	officer	Withheld for tax	6,310	122,529	Form 4
2026-03-16	Swanson Gallardo Leslie	officer	Withheld for tax	2,993	75,489	Form 4
2026-03-16	Stein Justin C	officer	Withheld for tax	1,930	46,259	Form 4
2026-03-16	Guerrieri Thomas Joseph JR	officer	Withheld for tax	744	54,603	Form 4
2026-02-17	Yalof Stephen	director	Withheld for tax	50,706	780,905	Form 4
2026-02-17	Swanson Gallardo Leslie	officer	Withheld for tax	14,183	78,482	Form 4
2026-02-17	Stein Justin C	officer	Withheld for tax	10,036	48,189	Form 4
2026-02-17	Bilerman Michael J	officer	Withheld for tax	7,556	128,839	Form 4
2026-02-17	Guerrieri Thomas Joseph JR	officer	Withheld for tax	3,571	65,779	Form 4
2026-02-17	Norman Jessica K	officer	Withheld for tax	3,488	29,906	Form 4
2026-02-13	CITRIN JEFFREY B	director	Award / grant	521	150,717	Form 4
2026-02-13	Bilerman Michael J	officer	Award / grant	20,828	20,828	Form 4
2026-02-13	CITRIN JEFFREY B	director	Award / grant	5,207	10,267	Form 4
2026-02-13	REDDIN THOMAS	director	Award / grant	5,207	10,267	Form 4
2026-02-13	TANGER STEVEN B	director	Award / grant	5,207	10,267	Form 4
2026-02-13	Stein Justin C	officer	Award / grant	10,712	10,712	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i