SITESiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.Industrials · Industrial - Distributionas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $88.42 · now $88.42 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SITE has typically landed between $73.54 and $103.30 — a range of −16.8% to +16.8% from the issuance price $88.42.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,580 overlapping 1 month windows · 2016-05-12 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($88.42) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where SITE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $88.42 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$73.54worst · -16.8%$103.3best · +16.8%
  • now $88.42 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $87.51 (-1.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $80.87–$94.14
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $73.54–$103.3
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,580 windows spanning 2016-05-12 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-20−50.4%−51.1%+0.0%
2020-02-21−49.1%−49.1%+0.0%
2020-02-18−47.0%−50.2%+1.6%
3 best
2020-04-03+49.8%+0.0%+57.4%
2023-01-03+39.3%+0.0%+39.3%
2016-06-17+38.7%+0.0%+40.4%

2,580 overlapping windows · 2016-05-12 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~11 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+3.4%
n=10
Feb
50%
−1.3%
n=10
Mar
50%
+0.3%
n=10
Apr
40%
+0.5%
n=10
May
40%
+0.9%
n=10
Jun
64%
+3.6%
n=11
Jul
91%
+7.2%
n=11
Aug
55%
+0.8%
n=11
Sep
18%
−4.6%
n=11
Oct
50%
+1.0%
n=10
Nov
90%
+5.8%
n=10
Dec
60%
+0.1%
n=10

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$163$882026-08-26: 1 insider purchase, $481K — BLACK DOUG2026-08-04: 2 insider purchases, $816K — BLACK DOUG …2026-05-28: 1 insider sale, $63K — Diaz Fred M2026-05-27: 1 insider sale, $65K — Diaz Fred M2026-05-06: 1 insider purchase, $247K — Laughlin Daniel T.2026-02-13: 1 insider sale, $279K — Elema Eric J2025-11-26: 1 insider sale, $258K — GUTHRIE JOHN T2025-08-29: 1 insider sale, $125K — Diaz Fred M2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $125K2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $258K2026-02: 1 open-market sale, $279K2026-05: 1 open-market purchase, $247K2026-05: 2 open-market sales, $128K2026-08: 3 open-market purchases, $1.3M↑ buys↓ salesdirector BLACK DOUG — Purchase on 2026-08-26, filed 2 days after the tradedirector BLACK DOUG — Purchase on 2026-08-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector BLACK DOUG — Purchase on 2026-08-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Diaz Fred M — Sale on 2026-05-28, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Diaz Fred M — Sale on 2026-05-27, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Laughlin Daniel T. — Purchase on 2026-05-06, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Elema Eric J — Sale on 2026-02-13, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer GUTHRIE JOHN T — Sale on 2025-11-26, filed 5 days after the tradedirector Diaz Fred M — Sale on 2025-08-29, filed 5 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-26BLACK DOUGdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $96.13$481K+62.5% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open13,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-04BLACK DOUGdirectorPurchase4,000 @ $102.13$409K+100.0% of holding−2.1%not yet — horizon still open8,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-04BLACK DOUGdirectorPurchase4,000 @ $101.94$408Kownership Δ n/a−2.1%not yet — horizon still open4,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-28Diaz Fred MdirectorSale562 @ $112.52$63K−4.8% of holding+4.3%not yet — horizon still open11,267Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-27Diaz Fred MdirectorSale563 @ $115.13$65K−4.5% of holding+5.1%not yet — horizon still open11,829Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-06Laughlin Daniel T.officerPurchase2,000 @ $123.60$247Kownership Δ n/a−14.6%not yet — horizon still open2,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-13Elema Eric JofficerSale1,765 @ $158.01$279K−37.7% of holding−14.9%−53.0%2,911Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-26GUTHRIE JOHN TofficerSale1,915 @ $134.83$258K−12.4% of holding−8.2%−33.7%13,569Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-08-29Diaz Fred MdirectorSale865 @ $145.07$125K−7.1% of holding−13.6%−8.2%11,267Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-07-25BLACK DOUGdirectorSale7,384 @ $132.09$975K−1.2% of holding+7.9%+1.1%600,446Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-07-11BLACK DOUGdirectorSale29,760 @ $129.28$3.8M−4.8% of holding−0.1%−3.3%596,684Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-07-01Ketter JosephofficerSale39,640 @ $126.28$5.0M−74.4% of holding+6.8%−11.5%13,663Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-26BLACK DOUGdirectorSale7,386 @ $131.92$974K−1.3% of holding+1.8%+2.6%581,862Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

254 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-02Jackson Travis RyanofficerWithheld for tax160862Form 4
2026-06-02Jackson Travis RyanofficerOption exercise5471,642Form 4
2026-06-02Jackson Travis RyanofficerOption exercise5471,022Form 4
2026-06-02Jackson Travis RyanofficerOption exercise5471,022Form 4
2026-05-13Dunbar Webster RoydirectorAward / grant1,18611,671Form 4
2026-05-13Isbell Jeri LdirectorAward / grant1,1861,186Form 4
2026-05-13WYSZOMIERSKI JACK LdirectorAward / grant1,18619,120Form 4
2026-05-13Diaz Fred MdirectorAward / grant1,1861,186Form 4
2026-05-13Douglas William W IIIdirectorAward / grant1,18619,120Form 4
2026-05-13Sansone Judith SdirectorAward / grant1,1863,176Form 4
2026-05-13Drake LarisadirectorAward / grant1,1861,186Form 4
2026-05-12Diaz Fred MdirectorOption exercise1,1250Form 4
2026-05-12Drake LarisadirectorOption exercise1,1250Form 4
2026-05-12Isbell Jeri LdirectorOption exercise1,1250Form 4
2026-05-12Drake LarisadirectorOption exercise1,1257,313Form 4
2026-05-12Diaz Fred MdirectorOption exercise1,12512,392Form 4
2026-05-12Isbell Jeri LdirectorOption exercise1,12511,442Form 4
2026-05-12Diaz Fred MdirectorOption exercise1,12512,392Form 4
2026-05-12Drake LarisadirectorOption exercise1,1257,313Form 4
2026-05-01Isbell Jeri LdirectorOption exercise8780Form 4
2026-05-01Isbell Jeri LdirectorOption exercise87810,317Form 4
2026-05-01Isbell Jeri LdirectorOption exercise87810,317Form 4
2026-02-13Elema Eric JofficerOption exercise3,7554,676Form 4
2026-02-13Elema Eric JofficerOption exercise3,7550Form 4
2026-02-13BLACK DOUGdirectorGift10,000482,161Form 4
2026-02-13BLACK DOUGdirectorGift10,00013,591Form 4
2026-02-10BLACK DOUGdirectorWithheld for tax702492,161Form 4
2026-02-10Ketter JosephofficerWithheld for tax13014,636Form 4
2026-02-10Salmon ScottofficerWithheld for tax8613,705Form 4
2026-02-10Versaggi ShannonofficerWithheld for tax837,143Form 4
2026-02-10Elema Eric JofficerWithheld for tax25921Form 4
2026-02-10Salmon ScottofficerOption exercise2780Form 4
2026-02-10BLACK DOUGdirectorOption exercise1,5790Form 4
2026-02-10Versaggi ShannonofficerOption exercise2320Form 4
2026-02-10Elema Eric JofficerOption exercise720Form 4
2026-02-10Ketter JosephofficerOption exercise2550Form 4
2026-02-10BLACK DOUGdirectorOption exercise1,579492,863Form 4
2026-02-10BLACK DOUGdirectorOption exercise1,579492,863Form 4
2026-02-10Elema Eric JofficerOption exercise72946Form 4
2026-02-10Ketter JosephofficerOption exercise25514,766Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.