SHLS · TickerCove

SHLSShoals Technologies Group, Inc.Technology · Solaras of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $6.82 · now $6.82 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SHLS has typically landed between $4.89 and $9.50 — a range of −28.4% to +39.3% from the issuance price $6.82.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

1,395 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-01-27 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($6.82) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$6.82 · 16% of range

$5.71 low$12.77 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−0.9%

typical move · IQR 29.6%

−28.4%worst (p90)+39.3%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where SHLS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $6.82 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $6.82 (+0.0%)
typical $6.76 (-0.9%)
middle 50% $5.75–$7.77
90% range $4.89–$9.5

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,395 windows spanning 2021-01-27 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2022-03-23	−53.3%	−53.3%	+0.0%
2022-03-25	−51.0%	−51.0%	+0.0%
2022-03-22	−50.7%	−50.7%	+2.7%
3 best
2025-04-14	+83.5%	−2.4%	+83.5%
2022-02-22	+81.0%	−2.4%	+81.0%
2025-04-11	+76.8%	−4.7%	+76.8%

1,395 overlapping windows · 2021-01-27 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

40%

−7.1%

n=5

Feb

−16.4%

n=6

Mar

67%

+2.5%

n=6

Apr

33%

−8.8%

n=6

May

67%

+22.6%

n=6

Jun

50%

−1.3%

n=6

Jul

67%

+7.7%

n=6

Aug

50%

−3.0%

n=6

Sep

33%

−3.9%

n=6

Oct

60%

+8.2%

n=5

Nov

20%

−3.5%

n=5

Dec

60%

−1.8%

n=5

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-06-16	King Bobbie Lee Jr	officer	Sale	10,000 @ $10.41	$104K	−9.2% of holding	+4.1%	not yet — horizon still open	98,918	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-08	Bardos Dominic	officer	Sale	54,449 @ $8.48	$462K	−12.1% of holding	+9.0%	not yet — horizon still open	394,979	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-05	Bardos Dominic	officer	Sale	4,170 @ $7.83	$33K	−1.0% of holding	+9.2%	+11.8%	412,289	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-05	TOLNAR JEFFERY	officer	Sale	2,450 @ $7.85	$19K	−1.0% of holding	+9.2%	+11.8%	249,561	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-12	Bardos Dominic	officer	Purchase	35,000 @ $2.80	$98K	+9.1% of holding	+20.1%	+117.0%	418,217	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-10	TOLNAR JEFFERY	officer	Sale	2,700 @ $2.88	$8K	−1.1% of holding	+22.8%	+117.5%	253,426	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-10	Lund Inez	officer	Sale	1,900 @ $2.92	$6K	−3.0% of holding	+22.8%	+117.5%	61,134	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-05	MOSS BRANDON	director	Sale	21,700 @ $3.07	$67K	−2.0% of holding	+5.4%	+117.2%	1,051,303	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-05	Bardos Dominic	officer	Sale	7,450 @ $3.09	$23K	−1.9% of holding	+5.4%	+117.2%	383,217	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-05	TOLNAR JEFFERY	officer	Sale	5,800 @ $3.07	$18K	−2.2% of holding	+5.4%	+117.2%	256,126	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-05	Lund Inez	officer	Sale	1,025 @ $3.11	$3K	−1.6% of holding	+5.4%	+117.2%	63,034	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-05	Bardos Dominic	officer	Sale	4,300 @ $4.69	$20K	−1.8% of holding	+37.1%	+12.0%	236,109	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-05	TOLNAR JEFFERY	officer	Sale	1,310 @ $4.65	$6K	−1.0% of holding	+37.1%	+12.0%	124,451	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-05	Lund Inez	officer	Sale	850 @ $4.72	$4K	−2.3% of holding	+37.1%	+12.0%	36,825	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

43 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-09	Moen Kirsten	officer	Withheld for tax	2,790	95,651	Form 4
2026-08-13	MOSS BRANDON	director	Withheld for tax	104,386	1,041,482	Form 4
2026-07-17	MOSS BRANDON	director	Withheld for tax	9,133	1,145,868	Form 4
2026-06-16	King Bobbie Lee Jr	officer	Withheld for tax	6,377	108,918	Form 4
2026-06-16	King Bobbie Lee Jr	officer	Gift	1,000	97,918	Form 4
2026-06-15	King Bobbie Lee Jr	officer	Withheld for tax	6,377	115,295	Form 4
2026-06-01	Bardos Dominic	officer	Withheld for tax	30,204	364,775	Form 4
2026-06-01	TOLNAR JEFFERY	officer	Withheld for tax	8,630	273,800	Form 4
2026-06-01	Hart James Ryan	officer	Withheld for tax	6,479	102,173	Form 4
2026-04-30	JULIAN ROBERT K.	director	Award / grant	22,671	104,096	Form 4
2026-04-30	MILLS JEANNETTE M	director	Award / grant	22,671	104,096	Form 4
2026-04-30	Volpe Toni	director	Award / grant	22,671	122,452	Form 4
2026-04-30	Forth John Bradford	director	Award / grant	35,265	599,255	Form 4
2026-04-30	Daul Ty P.	director	Award / grant	22,671	127,952	Form 4
2026-04-30	Sundberg Lori S	director	Award / grant	22,671	122,452	Form 4
2026-04-30	Ramdev Niharika	director	Award / grant	22,671	96,011	Form 4
2026-03-04	MOSS BRANDON	director	Withheld for tax	92,738	1,155,001	Form 4
2026-03-04	Bardos Dominic	officer	Withheld for tax	27,114	449,428	Form 4
2026-03-04	TOLNAR JEFFERY	officer	Withheld for tax	23,206	282,430	Form 4
2026-02-17	Van Bibber David Sean	officer	Award / grant	10,515	10,515	Form 4
2026-02-17	Bardos Dominic	officer	Award / grant	64,253	476,542	Form 4
2026-02-17	MOSS BRANDON	director	Award / grant	205,608	1,247,739	Form 4
2026-02-17	King Bobbie Lee Jr	officer	Award / grant	28,038	121,672	Form 4
2026-02-17	TOLNAR JEFFERY	officer	Award / grant	56,075	305,636	Form 4
2025-10-17	Bardos Dominic	officer	Withheld for tax	1,758	416,459	Form 4
2025-07-17	MOSS BRANDON	director	Withheld for tax	9,172	1,042,131	Form 4
2025-06-16	King Bobbie Lee Jr	officer	Award / grant	93,634	93,634	Form 4
2025-05-01	Sundberg Lori S	director	Award / grant	47,746	99,781	Form 4
2025-05-01	Volpe Toni	director	Award / grant	47,746	99,781	Form 4
2025-05-01	Forth John Bradford	director	Award / grant	74,271	563,990	Form 4
2025-05-01	Daul Ty P.	director	Award / grant	47,746	105,281	Form 4
2025-05-01	Ramdev Niharika	director	Award / grant	47,746	73,340	Form 4
2025-05-01	JULIAN ROBERT K.	director	Award / grant	47,746	81,425	Form 4
2025-05-01	MILLS JEANNETTE M	director	Award / grant	47,746	81,425	Form 4
2025-03-31	TOLNAR JEFFERY	officer	Withheld for tax	1,415	252,011	Form 4
2025-02-20	MOSS BRANDON	director	Award / grant	479,303	1,073,003	Form 4
2025-02-20	Lund Inez	officer	Award / grant	27,234	64,059	Form 4
2025-02-20	TOLNAR JEFFERY	officer	Award / grant	130,719	261,926	Form 4
2025-02-20	Bardos Dominic	officer	Award / grant	149,783	390,667	Form 4
2025-02-18	TOLNAR JEFFERY	officer	Withheld for tax	5,450	131,207	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i