SHIMShimmick Corp.Industrials · Engineering & Constructionas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $3.42 · now $3.42 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SHIM has typically landed between $2.31 and $5.09 — a range of −32.5% to +48.9% from the issuance price $3.42.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

690 overlapping 1 month windows · 2023-11-14 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($3.42) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where SHIM has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $3.42 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$2.31worst · -32.5%$5.09best · +48.9%
  • now $3.42 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $3.33 (-2.8%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $2.85–$3.81
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $2.31–$5.09
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 690 windows spanning 2023-11-14 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2024-03-21−67.8%−67.8%+0.7%
2024-04-25−61.3%−63.2%+2.7%
2024-03-25−57.3%−68.0%+0.1%
3 best
2024-07-03+204.9%−3.1%+204.9%
2024-06-18+170.0%+0.0%+170.0%
2024-06-20+155.6%−2.0%+164.7%

690 overlapping windows · 2023-11-14 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~3 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
67%
+7.8%
n=3
Feb
0%
−9.7%
n=3
Mar
33%
−4.7%
n=3
Apr
33%
+0.6%
n=3
May
0%
−27.7%
n=3
Jun
67%
+3.7%
n=3
Jul
67%
+32.2%
n=3
Aug
33%
+20.6%
n=3
Sep
0%
−13.1%
n=3
Oct
0%
−14.5%
n=2
Nov
100%
+14.8%
n=2
Dec
100%
+9.1%
n=3

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$7$22026-03-17: 1 insider sale, $358K — Goldsteen Mitchell B.2025-08-29: 1 insider sale, $44K — Goldsteen Mitchell B.2025-08-28: 1 insider sale, $33K — Goldsteen Mitchell B.2025-08-27: 1 insider sale, $31K — Goldsteen Mitchell B.2025-08-15: 1 insider sale, $69K — Goldsteen Mitchell B.2025-08-14: 1 insider sale, $13K — Goldsteen Mitchell B.2025-08-13: 1 insider sale, $17K — Goldsteen Mitchell B.2025-08-12: 1 insider sale, $4K — Goldsteen Mitchell B.2025-08: 14 open-market sales, $284K2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $358K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Goldsteen Mitchell B. — Sale on 2026-03-17, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Goldsteen Mitchell B. — Sale on 2025-08-29, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Goldsteen Mitchell B. — Sale on 2025-08-28, filed 5 days after the tradedirector Goldsteen Mitchell B. — Sale on 2025-08-27, filed same daydirector Goldsteen Mitchell B. — Sale on 2025-08-15, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Goldsteen Mitchell B. — Sale on 2025-08-14, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Goldsteen Mitchell B. — Sale on 2025-08-13, filed same daydirector Goldsteen Mitchell B. — Sale on 2025-08-12, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-03-17Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale125,000 @ $2.86$358K−0.6% of holding+66.7%−3.7%20,974,873Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-29Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale14,706 @ $2.96$44K−0.1% of holding−16.6%+20.9%21,099,873Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-28Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale10,500 @ $3.18$33K−0.0% of holding−17.0%+18.6%21,114,579Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-08-27Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale9,229 @ $3.32$31K−0.0% of holding−22.1%+0.9%21,125,079Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-15Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale30,805 @ $2.23$69K−0.1% of holding+28.0%+49.8%21,134,308Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-14Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale6,300 @ $2.11$13K−0.0% of holding+40.2%+81.4%21,165,113Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-13Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale8,000 @ $2.10$17K−0.0% of holding+42.8%+70.9%21,171,413Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-12Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale2,116 @ $1.98$4K−0.0% of holding+56.6%+104.9%21,179,413Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-11Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale15,310 @ $1.96$30K−0.1% of holding+62.6%+103.7%21,181,529Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-08Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale2,500 @ $1.82$5K−0.0% of holding+67.5%+116.7%21,196,839Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-07Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale2,000 @ $1.72$3K−0.0% of holding+74.5%+129.6%21,199,339Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-06Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale5,092 @ $1.74$9K−0.0% of holding+64.4%+123.9%21,201,339Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-05Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale6,243 @ $1.73$11K−0.0% of holding+62.7%+137.8%21,206,431Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-04Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale7,175 @ $1.73$12K−0.0% of holding+66.6%+143.6%21,212,674Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-01Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale2,300 @ $1.68$4K−0.0% of holding+70.7%+136.0%21,219,849Form 4 · filed same day
2025-07-31Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale1,000 @ $1.79$2K−0.0% of holding+67.4%+101.8%21,222,149Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-30Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale4,000 @ $1.84$7K−0.0% of holding+66.4%+73.8%21,247,925Form 4 · filed same day
2025-07-29Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale3,958 @ $1.87$7K−0.0% of holding+72.3%+70.9%21,251,925Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-28Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale1,000 @ $2.07$2K−0.0% of holding+60.1%+58.3%21,255,883Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-25Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale3,800 @ $2.08$8K−0.0% of holding+52.3%+65.3%21,256,883Form 4 · filed same day
2025-07-24Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale3,900 @ $2.09$8K−0.0% of holding+41.2%+58.7%21,260,683Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-23Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale28,223 @ $2.10$59K−0.1% of holding+39.2%+71.0%21,264,583Form 4 · filed same day
2025-07-22Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale18,316 @ $2.10$38K−0.1% of holding+31.5%+85.5%21,292,806Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-21Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale800 @ $2.16$2K−0.0% of holding+28.2%+52.8%21,311,122Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-18Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale2,000 @ $2.19$4K−0.0% of holding+21.1%+55.4%21,311,922Form 4 · filed same day
2025-07-17Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale8,558 @ $2.20$19K−0.0% of holding+2.8%+50.4%21,313,922Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-16Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale2,100 @ $2.02$4K−0.0% of holding−1.4%+65.6%21,322,480Form 4 · filed same day
2025-07-15Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale7,000 @ $2.02$14K−0.0% of holding+3.7%+70.7%21,324,580Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-14Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale1,300 @ $1.99$3K−0.0% of holding−3.9%+76.5%21,331,580Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-11Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale1,000 @ $1.99$2K−0.0% of holding−2.5%+71.5%21,332,880Form 4 · filed same day
2025-07-10Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale2,200 @ $1.99$4K−0.0% of holding−7.8%+67.6%21,333,880Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-09Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale1,310 @ $2.01$3K−0.0% of holding−14.2%+58.5%21,336,080Form 4 · filed same day
2025-07-08Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale7,000 @ $1.97$14K−0.0% of holding−13.1%+42.6%21,337,390Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-07Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale2,677 @ $1.90$5K−0.0% of holding−8.1%+62.4%21,344,390Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-03Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale1,900 @ $2.01$4K−0.0% of holding−15.4%+41.9%21,347,067Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-07-02Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale4,470 @ $1.96$9K−0.0% of holding−13.7%+40.8%21,348,967Form 4 · filed same day
2025-07-01Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale29,639 @ $1.99$59K−0.1% of holding−16.4%+28.4%21,353,437Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-30Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale1,700 @ $1.72$3K−0.0% of holding+5.5%+74.0%21,383,076Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-27Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale916 @ $1.71$2K−0.0% of holding+7.2%+73.6%21,384,776Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-26Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale7,122 @ $1.69$12K−0.0% of holding+15.6%+51.3%21,385,692Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-25Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale900 @ $1.59$1K−0.0% of holding+24.9%+53.7%21,392,814Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-24Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale4,250 @ $1.66$7K−0.0% of holding+16.6%+38.5%21,393,714Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-23Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale6,000 @ $1.60$10K−0.0% of holding+30.9%+62.2%21,397,964Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-20Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale900 @ $1.60$1K−0.0% of holding+24.6%+64.3%21,403,964Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-18Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale702 @ $1.62$1K−0.0% of holding+25.7%+54.5%21,404,864Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-17Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale1,200 @ $1.62$2K−0.0% of holding+24.8%+62.2%21,405,566Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-16Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale500 @ $1.71$855−0.0% of holding+32.2%+43.0%21,406,766Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-13Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale700 @ $1.66$1K−0.0% of holding+20.6%+43.9%21,407,266Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-12Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale8,090 @ $1.70$14K−0.0% of holding+15.3%+41.6%21,407,966Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-11Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale10,058 @ $1.66$17K−0.0% of holding+15.0%+43.1%21,416,056Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-10Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale800 @ $1.56$1K−0.0% of holding+24.7%+57.7%21,426,114Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-09Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale820 @ $1.52$1K−0.0% of holding+22.1%+50.3%21,426,914Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-06Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale5,000 @ $1.48$7K−0.0% of holding+29.5%+64.9%21,427,734Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-06-05Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale2,000 @ $1.46$3K−0.0% of holding+30.5%+65.6%21,432,734Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-04Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale2,500 @ $1.49$4K−0.0% of holding+21.0%+65.1%21,434,734Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-03Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale3,500 @ $1.56$5K−0.0% of holding+28.8%+57.0%21,437,234Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-02Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale1,032 @ $1.62$2K−0.0% of holding+14.1%+40.7%21,440,734Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-30Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale1,000 @ $1.67$2K−0.0% of holding+19.0%+42.4%21,441,766Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-29Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale1,052 @ $1.71$2K−0.0% of holding−4.4%+31.2%21,442,766Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-28Goldsteen Mitchell B.directorSale3,392 @ $1.71$6K−0.0% of holding−6.1%+34.8%21,443,818Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

52 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-31Yal UraldirectorOption exercise311,615491,795Form 4
2026-08-31Yoder Todd WilburofficerOption exercise113,315234,691Form 4
2026-06-02Kravitz PeterdirectorOption exercise100,6710Form 4
2026-06-02DEL GUERCIO JOSEPHdirectorAward / grant44,00044,000Form 4
2026-06-02DEL GUERCIO JOSEPHdirectorOption exercise100,6710Form 4
2026-06-02Heekin Geoffrey E.directorOption exercise100,6710Form 4
2026-06-02Heekin Geoffrey E.directorAward / grant60,00060,000Form 4
2026-06-02Kravitz PeterdirectorAward / grant60,00060,000Form 4
2026-06-02Heekin Geoffrey E.directorOption exercise100,671209,449Form 4
2026-06-02DEL GUERCIO JOSEPHdirectorOption exercise100,671224,576Form 4
2026-06-02Heekin Geoffrey E.directorOption exercise100,671209,449Form 4
2026-06-02Kravitz PeterdirectorOption exercise100,671184,940Form 4
2026-06-02Kravitz PeterdirectorOption exercise100,671184,940Form 4
2026-06-02DEL GUERCIO JOSEPHdirectorOption exercise100,671224,576Form 4
2026-05-29Tacker Sarah BethofficerWithheld for tax8,46318,133Form 4
2026-05-29Tacker Sarah BethofficerOption exercise26,59688,652Form 4
2026-05-29Tacker Sarah BethofficerOption exercise26,59626,596Form 4
2026-05-29Tacker Sarah BethofficerOption exercise26,59626,596Form 4
2026-04-29Tacker Sarah BethofficerAward / grant88,65288,652Form 4
2026-04-29Tacker Sarah BethofficerAward / grant26,59626,596Form 4
2026-04-14Yoder Todd WilburofficerWithheld for tax22,33552,129Form 4
2026-04-14Yoder Todd WilburofficerWithheld for tax16,39395,519Form 4
2026-04-14Yoder Todd WilburofficerOption exercise72,4640Form 4
2026-04-14Yoder Todd WilburofficerOption exercise59,783121,376Form 4
2026-04-14Yoder Todd WilburofficerOption exercise59,783111,912Form 4
2026-04-14Yoder Todd WilburofficerOption exercise72,46474,464Form 4
2026-04-14Yoder Todd WilburofficerOption exercise59,783111,912Form 4
2026-04-14Yoder Todd WilburofficerOption exercise72,46474,464Form 4
2025-12-02Yal UraldirectorOption exercise270,270180,180Form 4
2025-12-02Yal UraldirectorOption exercise173,205173,205Form 4
2025-12-02Yal UraldirectorOption exercise173,205173,205Form 4
2025-08-21Yoder Todd WilburofficerAward / grant2,0002,000Form 4
2025-06-04Kravitz PeterdirectorOption exercise84,2690Form 4
2025-06-04Kravitz PeterdirectorAward / grant100,671100,671Form 4
2025-06-04Heekin Geoffrey E.directorAward / grant100,671100,671Form 4
2025-06-04Herron J BrendandirectorOption exercise84,2690Form 4
2025-06-04Heekin Geoffrey E.directorOption exercise84,2690Form 4
2025-06-04Trabuco CarolyndirectorOption exercise84,2690Form 4
2025-06-04DEL GUERCIO JOSEPHdirectorOption exercise84,2690Form 4
2025-06-04DEL GUERCIO JOSEPHdirectorAward / grant100,671100,671Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.