SHC · TickerCove

SHCSotera Health CompanyHealthcare · Medical - Diagnostics & Researchas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $19.33 · now $19.33 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SHC has typically landed between $16.04 and $23.28 — a range of −17.0% to +20.4% from the issuance price $19.33.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

1,438 overlapping 1 month windows · 2020-11-20 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($19.33) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$19.33 · 96% of range

$13.13 low$19.57 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−0.3%

typical move · IQR 15.4%

−17.0%worst (p90)+20.4%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where SHC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $19.33 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $19.33 (+0.0%)
typical $19.28 (-0.3%)
middle 50% $17.79–$20.76
90% range $16.04–$23.28

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,438 windows spanning 2020-11-20 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2022-08-22	−61.6%	−61.6%	+0.0%
2022-08-25	−61.5%	−61.5%	+0.0%
2022-08-24	−60.7%	−60.8%	+0.1%
3 best
2022-12-30	+124.2%	+0.0%	+124.2%
2022-12-28	+121.3%	+0.0%	+134.7%
2022-12-29	+120.8%	+0.0%	+121.0%

1,438 overlapping windows · 2020-11-20 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

50%

+13.9%

n=6

Feb

50%

−3.1%

n=6

Mar

17%

−6.1%

n=6

Apr

33%

−1.4%

n=6

May

50%

−1.9%

n=6

Jun

67%

+6.1%

n=6

Jul

67%

+2.9%

n=6

Aug

67%

+6.0%

n=6

Sep

50%

−8.9%

n=6

Oct

40%

−4.2%

n=5

Nov

60%

+1.0%

n=5

Dec

83%

+6.6%

n=6

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-17	Petras Michael B. Jr.	director	Sale	850,000 @ $18.50	$15.7M	−17.6% of holding	+5.2%	not yet — horizon still open	3,969,393	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-17	Petras Michael B. Jr.	director	Sale	294,515 @ $18.50	$5.4M	−42.5% of holding	+5.2%	not yet — horizon still open	397,912	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-07	Rutz Michael P	officer	Sale	150,000 @ $18.84	$2.8M	−31.0% of holding	−0.5%	not yet — horizon still open	334,279	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-13	WARBURG PINCUS & CO.	director	Sale	19,102,952 @ $15.17	$289.8M	−100.0% of holding	+4.7%	not yet — horizon still open	0	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-13	WARBURG PINCUS & CO.	director	Sale	19,102,952 @ $15.17	$289.8M	−100.0% of holding	+4.7%	not yet — horizon still open	0	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-13	GTCR INVESTMENT XI LLC	director	Sale	12,735,301 @ $15.17	$193.2M	−100.0% of holding	+4.7%	not yet — horizon still open	0	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-06	WARBURG PINCUS & CO.	director	Sale	15,000,000 @ $15.27	$229.1M	−44.0% of holding	+1.6%	+13.8%	19,102,952	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-06	WARBURG PINCUS & CO.	director	Sale	15,000,000 @ $15.27	$229.1M	−44.0% of holding	+1.6%	+13.8%	19,102,952	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-06	GTCR INVESTMENT XI LLC	director	Sale	10,000,000 @ $15.27	$152.7M	−44.0% of holding	+1.6%	+13.8%	12,735,301	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-08	Petras Michael B. Jr.	director	Sale	394,861 @ $16.45	$6.5M	−7.6% of holding	+12.2%	−8.7%	4,819,393	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-08	Petras Michael B. Jr.	director	Sale	315,896 @ $16.45	$5.2M	−36.4% of holding	+12.2%	−8.7%	552,790	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-08	Petras Michael B. Jr.	director	Sale	39,243 @ $16.45	$646K	−100.0% of holding	+12.2%	−8.7%	0	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-03	WARBURG PINCUS & CO.	director	Sale	9,720,000 @ $16.33	$158.7M	−22.2% of holding	+7.8%	−15.7%	34,102,952	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-03	WARBURG PINCUS & CO.	director	Sale	9,720,000 @ $16.33	$158.7M	−22.2% of holding	+7.8%	−15.7%	34,102,952	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-03	GTCR INVESTMENT XI LLC	director	Sale	6,480,000 @ $16.33	$105.8M	−22.2% of holding	+7.8%	−15.7%	22,735,301	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-10	WARBURG PINCUS & CO.	director	Sale	18,000,000 @ $15.65	$281.7M	−29.1% of holding	+6.4%	−11.2%	43,822,952	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-10	WARBURG PINCUS & CO.	director	Sale	18,000,000 @ $15.65	$281.7M	−29.1% of holding	+6.4%	−11.2%	43,822,952	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-10	GTCR INVESTMENT XI LLC	director	Sale	12,000,000 @ $15.65	$187.8M	−29.1% of holding	+6.4%	−11.2%	29,215,301	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-05	WARBURG PINCUS & CO.	director	Sale	12,000,000 @ $15.11	$181.3M	−16.3% of holding	−0.2%	−12.1%	61,822,952	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-05	WARBURG PINCUS & CO.	director	Sale	12,000,000 @ $15.11	$181.3M	−16.3% of holding	−0.2%	−12.1%	61,822,952	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-05	GTCR INVESTMENT XI LLC	director	Sale	8,000,000 @ $15.11	$120.9M	−16.3% of holding	−0.2%	−12.1%	41,215,301	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-22	Rutz Michael P	officer	Sale	126,611 @ $16.38	$2.1M	−22.0% of holding	−5.7%	−5.4%	450,204	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

77 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-05	Lyons Jonathan M.	officer	Withheld for tax	11,316	217,304	Form 4
2026-05-26	SHADER ALTON	director	Award / grant	203,634	579,573	Form 4
2026-05-26	SHADER ALTON	director	Award / grant	375,939	375,939	Form 4
2026-05-26	SHADER ALTON	director	Award / grant	101,817	101,817	Form 4
2026-05-22	Flynn Karen	director	Award / grant	14,970	54,191	Form 4
2026-05-22	Klee Ann R.	director	Award / grant	14,970	140,926	Form 4
2026-05-22	Krause Kenneth D.	director	Award / grant	14,970	14,970	Form 4
2026-05-22	Kyle Richard G	director	Award / grant	14,970	14,970	Form 4
2026-05-22	Neary James	director	Award / grant	14,970	95,751	Form 4
2026-05-22	PETRELLA VINCENT K	director	Award / grant	14,970	95,751	Form 4
2026-05-22	Simon, Christopher	director	Award / grant	14,970	34,102	Form 4
2026-05-22	Wheadon David E.	director	Award / grant	14,970	89,882	Form 4
2026-05-22	CUNNINGHAM SEAN LAURENCE	director	Award / grant	14,970	95,751	Form 4
2026-05-22	Chen Ruoxi	director	Award / grant	14,970	95,751	Form 4
2026-03-31	DIMITRIEF ALEXANDER	director	Withheld for tax	7,941	312,040	Form 4
2026-03-02	Petras Michael B. Jr.	director	Withheld for tax	79,104	452,179	Form 4
2026-03-02	Petras Michael B. Jr.	director	Withheld for tax	40,302	481,149	Form 4
2026-03-02	Petras Michael B. Jr.	director	Withheld for tax	39,552	531,283	Form 4
2026-03-02	Petras Michael B. Jr.	director	Withheld for tax	31,339	521,451	Form 4
2026-03-02	Lyons Jonathan M.	officer	Withheld for tax	23,988	177,505	Form 4
2026-03-02	DIMITRIEF ALEXANDER	director	Withheld for tax	23,619	319,981	Form 4
2026-03-02	Rutz Michael P	officer	Withheld for tax	17,497	439,056	Form 4
2026-03-02	Lyons Jonathan M.	officer	Withheld for tax	8,240	169,265	Form 4
2026-03-02	DIMITRIEF ALEXANDER	director	Withheld for tax	7,941	326,784	Form 4
2026-03-02	Lyons Jonathan M.	officer	Withheld for tax	6,046	183,556	Form 4
2026-03-02	Rutz Michael P	officer	Withheld for tax	4,495	441,980	Form 4
2026-03-02	Rutz Michael P	officer	Withheld for tax	3,729	446,475	Form 4
2026-03-02	Rutz Michael P	officer	Award / grant	45,223	484,279	Form 4
2026-03-02	Petras Michael B. Jr.	director	Award / grant	120,124	120,124	Form 4
2026-03-02	Lyons Jonathan M.	officer	Award / grant	59,355	228,620	Form 4
2026-03-02	Petras Michael B. Jr.	director	Award / grant	240,248	692,427	Form 4
2026-03-02	Rutz Michael P	officer	Award / grant	22,612	22,612	Form 4
2026-03-02	Lyons Jonathan M.	officer	Award / grant	29,678	29,678	Form 4
2026-03-02	Rutz Michael P	officer	Option exercise	14,573	9,716	Form 4
2026-03-02	Petras Michael B. Jr.	director	Option exercise	89,686	570,835	Form 4
2026-03-02	Petras Michael B. Jr.	director	Option exercise	89,686	59,790	Form 4
2026-03-02	Rutz Michael P	officer	Option exercise	14,573	456,553	Form 4
2026-03-02	Rutz Michael P	officer	Option exercise	14,573	456,553	Form 4
2026-03-02	Rutz Michael P	officer	Option exercise	14,573	9,716	Form 4
2026-03-02	Lyons Jonathan M.	officer	Option exercise	17,937	201,493	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i