SGRYSurgery Partners, Inc.Healthcare · Medical - Care Facilitiesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $13.93 · now $13.93 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SGRY has typically landed between $10.77 and $17.20 — a range of −22.7% to +23.5% from the issuance price $13.93.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,735 overlapping 1 month windows · 2015-09-30 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($13.93) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where SGRY has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $13.93 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$10.77worst · -22.7%$17.2best · +23.5%
  • now $13.93 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $13.63 (-2.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $12.45–$14.81
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $10.77–$17.2
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,735 windows spanning 2015-09-30 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-13−74.5%−74.5%+6.4%
2020-02-20−73.1%−76.1%+0.0%
2020-02-18−71.9%−74.3%+7.2%
3 best
2020-04-03+134.2%+0.0%+155.0%
2020-04-06+106.1%+0.0%+134.9%
2020-04-01+104.9%−9.1%+131.8%

2,735 overlapping windows · 2015-09-30 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~11 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
64%
+9.6%
n=11
Feb
64%
+2.5%
n=11
Mar
45%
−7.5%
n=11
Apr
45%
+8.3%
n=11
May
55%
+1.0%
n=11
Jun
45%
+1.9%
n=11
Jul
45%
+3.4%
n=11
Aug
45%
−6.1%
n=11
Sep
55%
−1.4%
n=11
Oct
27%
−6.4%
n=11
Nov
73%
+10.2%
n=11
Dec
55%
+3.6%
n=11

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$24$112026-08-18: 1 insider purchase, $144K — DeLuca Teresa2026-03-16: 2 insider sales, $365K — Evans Jason Eric, Doherty David T2026-03-13: 2 insider sales, $90K — Brittenham Marissa, Burkhalter Danielle2026-03-12: 1 insider sale, $76K — Baldock Jennifer2026-03-06: 6 insider sales, $727K — Doherty David T, Evans Jason Eric, Baldock Jennifer, Brittenham Marissa …2026-03-05: 1 insider sale, $25K — Webb William Trenton2025-09-04: 2 insider sales, $210K — Bane Harrison R. …2025-08: 3 open-market sales, $2.0M2025-09: 2 open-market sales, $210K2026-03: 12 open-market sales, $1.3M2026-08: 1 open-market purchase, $144K↑ buys↓ salesdirector DeLuca Teresa — Purchase on 2026-08-18, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Evans Jason Eric — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed same dayofficer Doherty David T — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed same dayofficer Brittenham Marissa — Sale on 2026-03-13, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Burkhalter Danielle — Sale on 2026-03-13, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Baldock Jennifer — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Doherty David T — Sale on 2026-03-06, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Evans Jason Eric — Sale on 2026-03-06, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Baldock Jennifer — Sale on 2026-03-06, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Brittenham Marissa — Sale on 2026-03-06, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Burkhalter Danielle — Sale on 2026-03-06, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Webb William Trenton — Sale on 2026-03-06, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Webb William Trenton — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Bane Harrison R. — Sale on 2025-09-04, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Bane Harrison R. — Sale on 2025-09-04, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-18DeLuca TeresadirectorPurchase10,000 @ $14.35$144K+17.6% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open66,843Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-16Evans Jason EricdirectorSale20,400 @ $12.47$254K−2.2% of holding+1.8%−3.6%920,386Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-16Doherty David TofficerSale8,867 @ $12.50$111K−3.8% of holding+1.8%−3.6%221,679Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-13Brittenham MarissaofficerSale3,657 @ $12.54$46K−3.7% of holding+0.7%−2.1%94,196Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-13Burkhalter DanielleofficerSale3,469 @ $12.83$45K−4.3% of holding+0.7%−2.1%76,864Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-12Baldock JenniferofficerSale5,798 @ $13.17$76K−1.7% of holding−0.5%−2.5%326,474Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-06Doherty David TofficerSale14,574 @ $13.84$202K−14.1% of holding−3.7%−8.4%88,803Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-06Evans Jason EricdirectorSale11,462 @ $13.79$158K−1.7% of holding−3.7%−8.4%662,680Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-06Baldock JenniferofficerSale10,082 @ $13.70$138K−2.9% of holding−3.7%−8.4%332,272Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-06Brittenham MarissaofficerSale8,785 @ $13.70$120K−13.9% of holding−3.7%−8.4%54,623Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-06Burkhalter DanielleofficerSale7,736 @ $13.60$105K−17.3% of holding−3.7%−8.4%37,103Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-06Webb William TrentonofficerSale272 @ $13.93$4K−0.4% of holding−3.7%−8.4%74,249Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-05Webb William TrentonofficerSale1,794 @ $13.86$25K−2.4% of holding−9.8%−13.7%72,455Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-04Bane Harrison R.officerSale5,726 @ $22.48$129K−4.5% of holding−8.8%−44.4%120,794Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-04Bane Harrison R.officerSale3,613 @ $22.48$81K−3.0% of holding−8.8%−44.4%117,181Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-11DeLuca TeresadirectorSale20,018 @ $22.74$455K−30.7% of holding−8.2%−48.2%45,173Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-11Maryland Patricia AnnedirectorSale20,018 @ $22.74$455K−81.4% of holding−8.2%−48.2%4,565Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-08Doherty David TofficerSale47,491 @ $23.39$1.1M−31.5% of holding−9.3%−52.5%103,377Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-14Baldock JenniferofficerSale612 @ $23.94$15K−0.3% of holding−5.7%−26.6%236,047Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-14Webb William TrentonofficerSale138 @ $23.70$3K−0.2% of holding−5.7%−26.6%74,521Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-14Burkhalter DanielleofficerSale74 @ $23.78$2K−0.2% of holding−5.7%−26.6%44,839Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-10Doherty David TofficerSale6,733 @ $24.02$162K−4.3% of holding−2.1%−24.0%150,868Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-10Bane Harrison R.officerSale4,045 @ $24.16$98K−3.1% of holding−2.1%−24.0%126,520Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-10Brittenham MarissaofficerSale3,156 @ $24.09$76K−4.7% of holding−2.1%−24.0%63,408Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-10Baldock JenniferofficerSale3,008 @ $23.97$72K−1.3% of holding−2.1%−24.0%236,659Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-10Webb William TrentonofficerSale2,057 @ $24.06$49K−2.7% of holding−2.1%−24.0%74,659Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-10Burkhalter DanielleofficerSale1,240 @ $24.14$30K−2.7% of holding−2.1%−24.0%44,913Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-07Bane Harrison R.officerSale56,315 @ $25.64$1.4M−34.5% of holding−0.9%−18.3%107,037Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-07Evans Jason EricdirectorSale26,520 @ $25.65$680K−4.5% of holding−0.9%−18.3%560,698Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-07Brittenham MarissaofficerSale14,700 @ $25.61$376K−22.7% of holding−0.9%−18.3%50,178Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-07Doherty David TofficerSale13,641 @ $25.61$349K−11.1% of holding−0.9%−18.3%108,862Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-07Baldock JenniferofficerSale5,681 @ $25.83$147K−2.8% of holding−0.9%−18.3%200,172Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-04Webb William TrentonofficerSale257 @ $25.70$7K−0.4% of holding−1.2%−18.6%60,330Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-04Burkhalter DanielleofficerSale167 @ $25.68$4K−0.6% of holding−1.2%−18.6%30,187Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

56 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-18HENDRIX BLAIR EdirectorAward / grant34,36452,895Form 4
2026-06-05DeLuca TeresadirectorAward / grant11,67056,843Form 4
2026-06-05Dean Lloyd HdirectorAward / grant11,67011,670Form 4
2026-06-05Deane John AdirectorAward / grant11,67045,922Form 4
2026-06-05Forese Laura LdirectorAward / grant11,67018,531Form 4
2026-06-05TURNER BRENTdirectorAward / grant11,67086,594Form 4
2026-06-05HENDRIX BLAIR EdirectorAward / grant11,67018,531Form 4
2026-06-05ADLERZ CLIFFORD GdirectorAward / grant11,67069,104Form 4
2026-03-05Evans Jason EricdirectorAward / grant141,743804,423Form 4
2026-03-05Evans Jason EricdirectorAward / grant136,363940,786Form 4
2026-03-05Doherty David TofficerAward / grant56,697145,500Form 4
2026-03-05Doherty David TofficerAward / grant54,545200,045Form 4
2026-03-05Baldock JenniferofficerAward / grant42,523278,570Form 4
2026-03-05Oppenheimer Justin RobertofficerAward / grant42,523120,259Form 4
2026-03-05Baldock JenniferofficerAward / grant40,909319,479Form 4
2026-03-05Doherty David TofficerAward / grant30,501230,546Form 4
2026-03-05Baldock JenniferofficerAward / grant22,875342,354Form 4
2026-03-05Webb William TrentonofficerAward / grant20,45492,909Form 4
2026-03-05Brittenham MarissaofficerAward / grant17,71772,340Form 4
2026-03-05Burkhalter DanielleofficerAward / grant17,71754,820Form 4
2026-03-05Burkhalter DanielleofficerAward / grant16,36371,183Form 4
2026-03-05Brittenham MarissaofficerAward / grant16,36388,703Form 4
2026-03-05Webb William TrentonofficerAward / grant11,438104,347Form 4
2026-03-05Burkhalter DanielleofficerAward / grant9,15080,333Form 4
2026-03-05Brittenham MarissaofficerAward / grant9,15097,853Form 4
2026-01-13Oppenheimer Justin RobertofficerAward / grant77,73677,736Form 4
2025-06-10Forese Laura LdirectorAward / grant6,8616,861Form 4
2025-06-10ADLERZ CLIFFORD GdirectorAward / grant6,86157,434Form 4
2025-06-10Maryland Patricia AnnedirectorAward / grant6,86124,583Form 4
2025-06-10TURNER BRENTdirectorAward / grant6,86174,924Form 4
2025-06-10Deane John AdirectorAward / grant6,86134,252Form 4
2025-06-10DeLuca TeresadirectorAward / grant6,86165,191Form 4
2025-06-10HENDRIX BLAIR EdirectorAward / grant6,86149,953,833Form 4
2025-03-21DeVeydt Wayne SdirectorAward / grant4,233105,203Form 4
2025-03-04Evans Jason EricdirectorAward / grant84,033644,731Form 4
2025-03-04Doherty David TofficerAward / grant33,613142,475Form 4
2025-03-04Evans Jason EricdirectorAward / grant29,411674,142Form 4
2025-03-04Baldock JenniferofficerAward / grant25,210225,382Form 4
2025-03-04Bane Harrison R.officerAward / grant17,226124,263Form 4
2025-03-04Doherty David TofficerAward / grant15,126157,601Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.