Issued 2026-09-16 at $8.14 · now $8.14 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SGHT has typically landed between $5.72 and $11.89 — a range of −29.7% to +46.1% from the issuance price $8.14.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,277 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-07-15 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($8.14) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where SGHT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $8.14 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $8.14 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $7.88 (-3.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $6.54–$9.23
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $5.72–$11.89
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2023-08-21 | −59.8% | −59.8% | +0.0% |
| 2023-08-22 | −58.0% | −59.1% | +0.0% |
| 2023-08-18 | −57.5% | −57.5% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2023-10-30 | +144.4% | +0.0% | +144.4% |
| 2025-10-14 | +131.8% | +0.0% | +131.8% |
| 2023-10-27 | +127.3% | +0.0% | +127.3% |
1,277 overlapping windows · 2021-07-15 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | HAYDEN JEREMY B. | officer | Sale | 12,733 @ $5.51 | $70K | −3.4% of holding | +0.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 357,037 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-06 | Badawi David | director | Sale | 7,418 @ $5.51 | $41K | −0.4% of holding | +0.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,982,872 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-02 | Bauerlein Alison | officer | Sale | 24,184 @ $5.36 | $130K | −3.5% of holding | −0.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 664,709 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Rodberg James | officer | Sale | 6,902 @ $5.36 | $37K | −3.0% of holding | −0.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 224,037 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Badawi Paul | director | Sale | 28,684 @ $5.42 | $155K | −0.5% of holding | −3.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,122,472 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Taylor Brenton | officer | Sale | 2,829 @ $5.42 | $15K | −1.1% of holding | −3.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 264,978 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | Encrantz Staffan | director | Purchase | 14,100 @ $4.88 | $69K | +1.0% of holding | +7.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,434,283 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Bauerlein Alison | officer | Sale | 12,728 @ $5.12 | $65K | −1.8% of holding | +2.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 688,893 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-06 | HAYDEN JEREMY B. | officer | Sale | 13,761 @ $3.55 | $49K | −3.6% of holding | +12.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 369,770 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-06 | Rodberg James | officer | Sale | 7,231 @ $3.55 | $26K | −3.0% of holding | +12.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 230,939 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-02 | Bauerlein Alison | officer | Sale | 25,874 @ $3.48 | $90K | −3.6% of holding | +10.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 701,621 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-02 | Badawi David | director | Sale | 8,168 @ $3.48 | $28K | −0.4% of holding | +10.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,990,290 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | Badawi Paul | director | Sale | 29,244 @ $3.70 | $108K | −0.5% of holding | +11.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,151,156 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | Taylor Brenton | officer | Sale | 2,869 @ $3.70 | $11K | −1.1% of holding | +11.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 267,807 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-16 | Badawi Paul | director | Sale | 22,362 @ $6.62 | $148K | −0.4% of holding | −17.9% | −32.9% | 6,025,840 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-16 | HAYDEN JEREMY B. | officer | Sale | 6,308 @ $6.62 | $42K | −2.3% of holding | −17.9% | −32.9% | 267,611 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-16 | Badawi David | director | Sale | 4,836 @ $6.62 | $32K | −0.3% of holding | −17.9% | −32.9% | 1,912,273 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-16 | Rodberg James | officer | Sale | 2,616 @ $6.62 | $17K | −1.7% of holding | −17.9% | −32.9% | 151,230 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-06 | Badawi Paul | director | Sale | 11,870 @ $7.48 | $89K | −0.2% of holding | −21.8% | −38.8% | 5,925,276 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-06 | Bauerlein Alison | officer | Sale | 9,647 @ $7.48 | $72K | −1.6% of holding | −21.8% | −38.8% | 599,983 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-06 | Badawi David | director | Sale | 3,695 @ $7.48 | $28K | −0.2% of holding | −21.8% | −38.8% | 1,917,109 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-06 | HAYDEN JEREMY B. | officer | Sale | 1,785 @ $7.48 | $13K | −0.7% of holding | −21.8% | −38.8% | 245,420 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-06 | Taylor Brenton | officer | Sale | 619 @ $7.48 | $5K | −0.4% of holding | −21.8% | −38.8% | 170,212 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-06 | Rodberg James | officer | Sale | 594 @ $7.48 | $4K | −0.4% of holding | −21.8% | −38.8% | 153,846 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-05 | Bauerlein Alison | officer | Sale | 10,896 @ $7.82 | $85K | −1.8% of holding | −20.4% | −39.6% | 609,630 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-05 | HAYDEN JEREMY B. | officer | Sale | 9,385 @ $7.82 | $73K | −3.7% of holding | −20.4% | −39.6% | 247,205 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-05 | Rodberg James | officer | Sale | 4,405 @ $7.82 | $34K | −2.8% of holding | −20.4% | −39.6% | 154,440 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-05 | Badawi David | director | Sale | 3,051 @ $7.82 | $24K | −0.2% of holding | −20.4% | −39.6% | 1,920,804 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-02 | Badawi Paul | director | Sale | 25,356 @ $7.43 | $188K | −0.4% of holding | −14.4% | −38.5% | 5,937,146 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-02 | Badawi David | director | Sale | 2,914 @ $7.43 | $22K | −0.2% of holding | −14.4% | −38.5% | 1,923,855 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-16 | Encrantz Staffan | director | Purchase | 13,958 @ $8.31 | $116K | +1.0% of holding | −25.1% | −48.0% | 1,391,922 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-02 | Rodberg James | officer | Sale | 2,518 @ $8.25 | $21K | −1.6% of holding | −10.4% | −56.3% | 158,845 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-25 | HAYDEN JEREMY B. | officer | Sale | 44,850 @ $8.08 | $362K | −14.9% of holding | +6.3% | −52.7% | 256,590 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-17 | Taylor Brenton | officer | Sale | 14,418 @ $7.06 | $102K | −7.8% of holding | +15.1% | −42.9% | 170,831 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-12 | HAYDEN JEREMY B. | officer | Sale | 3,150 @ $8.01 | $25K | −1.2% of holding | +5.2% | −44.3% | 256,590 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-06 | Taylor Brenton | officer | Sale | 591 @ $3.37 | $2K | −0.3% of holding | +47.7% | +2.3% | 185,249 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-03 | HAYDEN JEREMY B. | officer | Sale | 9,731 @ $3.27 | $32K | −3.7% of holding | +52.9% | +7.3% | 256,590 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-10-03 | Badawi David | director | Sale | 6,033 @ $3.27 | $20K | −0.3% of holding | +52.9% | +7.3% | 1,864,992 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-10-02 | Bauerlein Alison | officer | Sale | 19,948 @ $3.30 | $66K | −3.2% of holding | +51.0% | +8.2% | 597,520 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-10-01 | Badawi Paul | director | Sale | 24,441 @ $3.34 | $82K | −0.4% of holding | +49.9% | +6.4% | 5,962,502 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-03 | HAYDEN JEREMY B. | officer | Sale | 9,160 @ $4.17 | $38K | −3.3% of holding | −18.5% | +67.8% | 266,321 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-03 | Badawi David | director | Sale | 5,679 @ $4.17 | $24K | −0.3% of holding | −18.5% | +67.8% | 1,831,025 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-02 | Bauerlein Alison | officer | Sale | 19,260 @ $4.10 | $79K | −3.0% of holding | −21.6% | +80.1% | 617,468 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-02 | Link Matthew | director | Sale | 4,889 @ $4.10 | $20K | −0.6% of holding | −21.6% | +80.1% | 832,293 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-01 | Badawi Paul | director | Sale | 23,637 @ $4.15 | $98K | −0.4% of holding | −20.5% | +84.7% | 5,986,943 | Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-06 | Encrantz Staffan | director | Purchase | 27,900 @ $4.22 | $118K | +2.1% of holding | −20.7% | +76.6% | 1,377,964 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-05 | Encrantz Staffan | director | Purchase | 40,951 @ $4.24 | $174K | +3.2% of holding | −20.4% | +82.5% | 1,319,112 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-04 | Encrantz Staffan | director | Purchase | 21,674 @ $4.17 | $90K | +1.7% of holding | −22.4% | +86.5% | 1,278,161 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-03 | Encrantz Staffan | director | Purchase | 25,230 @ $3.97 | $100K | +2.0% of holding | −0.5% | +91.5% | 1,256,487 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-02 | Encrantz Staffan | director | Purchase | 30,799 @ $3.88 | $119K | +2.6% of holding | +2.0% | +94.6% | 1,231,257 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-30 | Encrantz Staffan | director | Purchase | 42,753 @ $3.67 | $157K | +3.7% of holding | +5.2% | +109.9% | 1,200,458 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-29 | Encrantz Staffan | director | Purchase | 60,128 @ $3.59 | $216K | +5.5% of holding | +12.3% | +122.5% | 1,157,705 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-28 | Encrantz Staffan | director | Purchase | 26,715 @ $3.52 | $94K | +2.5% of holding | +14.2% | +108.9% | 1,097,577 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-27 | Encrantz Staffan | director | Purchase | 41,346 @ $3.44 | $142K | +4.0% of holding | +19.7% | +104.0% | 1,070,862 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-19 | Bauerlein Alison | officer | Sale | 13,066 @ $3.48 | $45K | −2.0% of holding | +30.1% | +102.4% | 636,728 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-02 | Bauerlein Alison | officer | Sale | 19,397 @ $2.31 | $45K | −2.9% of holding | +35.2% | +27.9% | 649,794 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-02 | HAYDEN JEREMY B. | officer | Sale | 9,395 @ $2.31 | $22K | −3.3% of holding | +35.2% | +27.9% | 275,481 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-02 | Link Matthew | director | Sale | 5,042 @ $2.31 | $12K | −0.6% of holding | +35.2% | +27.9% | 830,551 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-01 | Badawi Paul | director | Sale | 24,174 @ $2.30 | $56K | −0.4% of holding | +34.9% | +26.4% | 6,010,580 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-01 | Badawi David | director | Sale | 5,980 @ $2.30 | $14K | −0.3% of holding | +34.9% | +26.4% | 1,836,704 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
49 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Rashid Kashif | officer | Award / grant | 181,818 | 181,818 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Burbach Gerhard F | director | Award / grant | 28,261 | 123,207 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Encrantz Staffan | director | Award / grant | 28,261 | 1,420,183 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Fountain Tamara | director | Award / grant | 28,261 | 109,650 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Mazzacco Catherine | director | Award / grant | 28,261 | 69,276 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Zurbay Donald | director | Award / grant | 28,261 | 193,613 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Badawi David | director | Option exercise | 21,270 | 1,998,458 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Badawi David | director | Option exercise | 21,270 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | Taylor Brenton | officer | Award / grant | 100,464 | 270,676 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | Badawi David | director | Award / grant | 64,915 | 1,977,188 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | Rodberg James | officer | Award / grant | 86,940 | 238,170 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | Badawi Paul | director | Award / grant | 154,560 | 6,180,400 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | Bauerlein Alison | officer | Award / grant | 127,512 | 727,495 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | HAYDEN JEREMY B. | officer | Award / grant | 115,920 | 383,531 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-26 | Badawi David | director | Option exercise | 21,270 | 1,926,769 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-26 | Badawi David | director | Option exercise | 21,270 | 21,270 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-25 | HAYDEN JEREMY B. | officer | Option exercise | 37,560 | 294,150 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-25 | HAYDEN JEREMY B. | officer | Option exercise | 7,290 | 301,440 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-25 | HAYDEN JEREMY B. | officer | Option exercise | 7,290 | 8,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-25 | HAYDEN JEREMY B. | officer | Option exercise | 37,560 | 40,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-12 | HAYDEN JEREMY B. | officer | Option exercise | 2,440 | 259,030 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-12 | HAYDEN JEREMY B. | officer | Option exercise | 710 | 259,740 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-12 | HAYDEN JEREMY B. | officer | Option exercise | 2,440 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-12 | HAYDEN JEREMY B. | officer | Option exercise | 710 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-11 | Bauerlein Alison | officer | Award / grant | 23,006 | 620,526 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-11 | Rodberg James | officer | Award / grant | 15,337 | 161,363 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-11 | Mazzacco Catherine | director | Gift | 37,492 | 41,015 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-02 | Taylor Brenton | officer | Award / grant | 25,840 | 185,840 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-17 | Badawi David | director | Option exercise | 40,000 | 1,871,025 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-17 | Badawi David | director | Option exercise | 40,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-05 | Zurbay Donald | director | Award / grant | 30,952 | 165,352 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-05 | Rogers Erica J. | director | Award / grant | 30,952 | 175,352 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-05 | Larsen-Becker Brenda Jane | director | Award / grant | 30,952 | 79,040 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-05 | Fountain Tamara | director | Award / grant | 30,952 | 81,389 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-05 | Encrantz Staffan | director | Award / grant | 30,952 | 1,350,064 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-05 | Mazzacco Catherine | director | Award / grant | 30,952 | 78,507 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-16 | Raheja Manohar K. | officer | Award / grant | 12,767 | 167,767 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-16 | Link Matthew | director | Award / grant | 6,631 | 837,182 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-12 | Burbach Gerhard F | director | Award / grant | 74,766 | 94,766 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-12 | Encrantz Staffan | director | Other acquisition | 243,000 | 5,086,920 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.