Issued 2026-09-16 at $5.10 · now $5.10 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SELF has typically landed between $4.74 and $5.62 — a range of −7.1% to +10.3% from the issuance price $5.10.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($5.10) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where SELF has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $5.1 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $5.1 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $5.11 (+0.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $4.97–$5.26
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $4.74–$5.62
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-09-10 | −40.1% | −40.1% | +1.9% |
| 2008-09-11 | −37.2% | −39.5% | +2.8% |
| 2008-09-09 | −32.8% | −32.8% | +0.9% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2021-05-12 | +32.9% | −0.3% | +32.9% |
| 2021-05-07 | +31.8% | +0.0% | +31.8% |
| 2021-05-11 | +31.5% | +0.0% | +31.8% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
55%
+1.8%
n=20
Feb
65%
+0.4%
n=20
Mar
50%
+1.8%
n=20
Apr
50%
+1.0%
n=20
May
45%
+1.9%
n=20
Jun
40%
+0.0%
n=20
Jul
45%
+0.6%
n=20
Aug
65%
+1.5%
n=20
Sep
55%
+1.0%
n=20
Oct
25%
−2.6%
n=20
Nov
55%
−0.2%
n=20
Dec
70%
+2.4%
n=20
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | WINMILL MARK CAMPBELL | director | Purchase | 292 @ $5.16 | $2K | +0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 372,582 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-10 | WINMILL MARK CAMPBELL | director | Purchase | 50 @ $5.16 | $258 | +0.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 372,290 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | WINMILL MARK CAMPBELL | director | Purchase | 2,058 @ $5.16 | $11K | +0.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 372,240 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | WINMILL MARK CAMPBELL | director | Purchase | 1,600 @ $5.16 | $8K | +0.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 370,182 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-26 | WINMILL & CO. INC | other | Purchase | 7,761 @ $5.64 | $44K | +3.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 228,512 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-25 | WINMILL & CO. INC | other | Purchase | 7,547 @ $5.66 | $43K | +3.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 220,751 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | WINMILL & CO. INC | other | Purchase | 8,022 @ $5.62 | $45K | +3.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 213,204 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-21 | WINMILL & CO. INC | other | Purchase | 7,117 @ $5.45 | $39K | +3.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 205,182 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | WINMILL & CO. INC | other | Purchase | 6,901 @ $5.42 | $37K | +3.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 198,065 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-19 | WINMILL & CO. INC | other | Purchase | 6,877 @ $5.40 | $37K | +3.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 191,164 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | WINMILL & CO. INC | other | Purchase | 5,736 @ $5.32 | $31K | +3.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 184,287 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-17 | WINMILL & CO. INC | other | Purchase | 7,117 @ $5.33 | $38K | +4.2% of holding | −0.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 178,551 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-14 | WINMILL & CO. INC | other | Purchase | 6,029 @ $5.23 | $32K | +3.6% of holding | −3.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 171,434 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-13 | WINMILL & CO. INC | other | Purchase | 5,629 @ $5.20 | $29K | +3.5% of holding | +1.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 165,405 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | BURKE RUSSELL E III | director | Purchase | 1,625 @ $5.21 | $8K | +4.2% of holding | +1.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 40,002 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-12 | WINMILL & CO. INC | other | Purchase | 6,248 @ $5.15 | $32K | +4.1% of holding | +0.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 159,776 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-11 | WINMILL & CO. INC | other | Purchase | 5,887 @ $5.17 | $30K | +4.0% of holding | +2.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 153,528 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | WINMILL MARK CAMPBELL | director | Purchase | 4,000 @ $5.33 | $21K | +1.1% of holding | −4.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 368,582 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-05 | WINMILL MARK CAMPBELL | director | Purchase | 3,600 @ $5.09 | $18K | +1.1% of holding | +1.9% | −3.1% | 339,238 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-05 | WINMILL MARK CAMPBELL | director | Purchase | 800 @ $5.05 | $4K | +0.2% of holding | +1.9% | −3.1% | 335,638 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-04 | WINMILL MARK CAMPBELL | director | Purchase | 6,000 @ $5.14 | $31K | +1.8% of holding | +0.5% | −6.8% | 334,838 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-03 | WINMILL MARK CAMPBELL | director | Purchase | 6,000 @ $5.13 | $31K | +1.9% of holding | −0.7% | −7.0% | 328,838 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-02 | Klimoski Donald II | officer | Purchase | 446 @ $5.05 | $2K | +0.5% of holding | +2.4% | −7.6% | 86,500 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-01 | WINMILL & CO. INC | other | Purchase | 3,062 @ $5.18 | $16K | +2.1% of holding | +0.1% | −8.9% | 147,641 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-28 | WINMILL & CO. INC | other | Purchase | 3,342 @ $5.16 | $17K | +2.4% of holding | −0.0% | −8.7% | 144,579 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-26 | WINMILL & CO. INC | other | Purchase | 4,873 @ $5.17 | $25K | +3.6% of holding | +1.0% | −7.9% | 141,237 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-25 | WINMILL & CO. INC | other | Purchase | 4,547 @ $5.18 | $24K | +3.4% of holding | −3.6% | −9.9% | 136,364 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-24 | WINMILL & CO. INC | other | Purchase | 4,064 @ $5.14 | $21K | +3.2% of holding | −3.1% | −10.8% | 131,817 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-21 | WINMILL & CO. INC | other | Purchase | 6,226 @ $5.09 | $32K | +5.1% of holding | −1.4% | −9.2% | 127,753 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-20 | WINMILL & CO. INC | other | Purchase | 5,870 @ $5.08 | $30K | +5.1% of holding | −5.7% | −9.7% | 121,527 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-19 | WINMILL & CO. INC | other | Purchase | 6,226 @ $5.13 | $32K | +5.7% of holding | −3.6% | −6.4% | 115,657 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-18 | WINMILL & CO. INC | other | Purchase | 5,618 @ $5.16 | $29K | +5.4% of holding | −3.1% | −9.3% | 109,431 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-17 | WINMILL & CO. INC | other | Purchase | 6,226 @ $5.12 | $32K | +6.4% of holding | −1.1% | −7.3% | 103,813 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-14 | WINMILL & CO. INC | other | Purchase | 7,035 @ $5.09 | $36K | +7.8% of holding | −1.0% | −2.4% | 97,587 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-13 | WINMILL & CO. INC | other | Purchase | 6,694 @ $5.03 | $34K | +8.0% of holding | −1.1% | −2.0% | 90,552 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-12 | WINMILL & CO. INC | other | Purchase | 6,055 @ $5.03 | $30K | +7.8% of holding | −0.6% | −1.1% | 83,858 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-11 | WINMILL & CO. INC | other | Purchase | 2,069 @ $4.97 | $10K | +2.7% of holding | +0.6% | +0.6% | 77,803 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-29 | WINMILL & CO. INC | other | Purchase | 4,592 @ $5.48 | $25K | +6.5% of holding | −10.0% | −7.6% | 75,734 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-28 | WINMILL & CO. INC | other | Purchase | 7,209 @ $5.42 | $39K | +11.3% of holding | −9.2% | −9.1% | 71,142 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-27 | WINMILL & CO. INC | other | Purchase | 5,477 @ $5.36 | $29K | +9.4% of holding | −7.3% | −9.2% | 63,933 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-26 | WINMILL & CO. INC | other | Purchase | 7,788 @ $5.26 | $41K | +15.4% of holding | −6.1% | −9.5% | 58,456 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-25 | WINMILL & CO. INC | other | Purchase | 7,823 @ $5.22 | $41K | +18.3% of holding | −5.8% | −9.5% | 50,668 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-25 | BURKE RUSSELL E III | director | Purchase | 105 @ $5.25 | $551 | +0.3% of holding | −5.8% | −9.5% | 35,100 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-22 | WINMILL & CO. INC | other | Purchase | 2,160 @ $5.15 | $11K | +5.3% of holding | −3.3% | −6.9% | 42,845 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-21 | WINMILL & CO. INC | other | Purchase | 502 @ $5.12 | $3K | +1.2% of holding | −5.2% | −6.7% | 40,685 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-21 | Carroll Sally Coonrad | director | Purchase | 1,776 @ $5.63 | $10K | +88.8% of holding | −4.8% | −21.2% | 3,776 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-19 | WINMILL MARK CAMPBELL | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $5.67 | $57K | +3.2% of holding | −0.8% | −19.7% | 322,838 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-16 | TUXIS CORP | other | Purchase | 9,600 @ $5.22 | $50K | +3.3% of holding | +4.6% | −17.5% | 303,758 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-15 | TUXIS CORP | other | Purchase | 9,680 @ $5.21 | $50K | +3.4% of holding | +5.4% | −15.1% | 294,158 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
30 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | BURKE RUSSELL E III | director | Award / grant | 196 | 38,377 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | Zachary William Chester | director | Award / grant | 196 | 18,296 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | BURKE RUSSELL E III | director | Award / grant | 94 | 38,181 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Zachary William Chester | director | Award / grant | 94 | 18,100 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Zachary William Chester | director | Award / grant | 2,739 | 18,006 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | BURKE RUSSELL E III | director | Award / grant | 2,739 | 38,087 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-24 | WINMILL MARK CAMPBELL | director | Award / grant | 12,672 | 364,582 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-24 | WINMILL MARK CAMPBELL | director | Award / grant | 12,672 | 351,910 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-24 | Klimoski Donald II | officer | Award / grant | 5,527 | 97,554 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-24 | OMalley Thomas | officer | Award / grant | 5,527 | 91,694 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-24 | Klimoski Donald II | officer | Award / grant | 5,527 | 92,027 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-24 | OMalley Thomas | officer | Award / grant | 5,527 | 86,167 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-24 | Kamerman Russell | officer | Award / grant | 500 | 5,925 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-13 | Zachary William Chester | director | Award / grant | 2,584 | 15,267 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-13 | BURKE RUSSELL E III | director | Award / grant | 248 | 35,348 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-19 | BURKE RUSSELL E III | director | Award / grant | 146 | 34,995 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-19 | Zachary William Chester | director | Award / grant | 146 | 12,683 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-17 | BURKE RUSSELL E III | director | Award / grant | 88 | 34,849 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-17 | Zachary William Chester | director | Award / grant | 88 | 12,537 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-20 | Zachary William Chester | director | Award / grant | 87 | 12,449 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-20 | BURKE RUSSELL E III | director | Award / grant | 87 | 34,761 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-01 | Zachary William Chester | director | Award / grant | 2,634 | 12,362 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-01 | BURKE RUSSELL E III | director | Award / grant | 2,634 | 34,674 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-25 | WINMILL MARK CAMPBELL | director | Award / grant | 12,672 | 300,166 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-25 | WINMILL MARK CAMPBELL | director | Award / grant | 12,672 | 312,838 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-25 | OMalley Thomas | officer | Award / grant | 5,527 | 75,113 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-25 | Klimoski Donald II | officer | Award / grant | 5,527 | 80,527 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-25 | Klimoski Donald II | officer | Award / grant | 5,527 | 86,054 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-25 | OMalley Thomas | officer | Award / grant | 5,527 | 80,640 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-25 | Kamerman Russell | officer | Award / grant | 500 | 5,425 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.