Issued 2026-09-16 at $64.60 · now $64.60 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SEI has typically landed between $51.15 and $88.00 — a range of −20.8% to +36.2% from the issuance price $64.60.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,328 overlapping 1 month windows · 2017-05-12 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($64.60) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where SEI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $64.6 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $64.6 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $65.53 (+1.4%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $58.8–$72.26
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $51.15–$88
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-21 | −64.6% | −64.6% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-20 | −62.4% | −62.4% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-19 | −62.2% | −62.2% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2024-11-05 | +102.9% | +0.0% | +102.9% |
| 2025-09-09 | +94.2% | +0.0% | +94.2% |
| 2024-10-31 | +88.2% | −1.7% | +88.2% |
2,328 overlapping windows · 2017-05-12 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~10 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | TEAGUE AJ | director | Purchase | 3,900 @ $64.25 | $251K | +35.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 14,960 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-08 | TEAGUE AJ | director | Purchase | 3,900 @ $64.21 | $250K | +3.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 116,865 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Wirtz Christopher P. | officer | Sale | 700 @ $77.22 | $54K | −1.9% of holding | −3.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 36,085 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-12 | Argo Laurie H | director | Sale | 5,200 @ $72.88 | $379K | −10.4% of holding | −0.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 44,839 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Powell Christopher M | officer | Sale | 25,492 @ $74.84 | $1.9M | −18.0% of holding | −6.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 116,298 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Powell Christopher M | officer | Sale | 9,179 @ $73.90 | $678K | −6.1% of holding | −6.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 141,790 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Powell Christopher M | officer | Sale | 2,181 @ $75.33 | $164K | −1.9% of holding | −6.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 114,117 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-08 | Walker Ray N JR | director | Sale | 56,841 @ $72.11 | $4.1M | −90.8% of holding | −5.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,760 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-08 | TEAGUE AJ | director | Purchase | 3,425 @ $72.98 | $250K | +3.2% of holding | −5.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 109,890 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-08 | TEAGUE AJ | director | Purchase | 2,750 @ $72.98 | $201K | +33.1% of holding | −5.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,060 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-06 | Keenan W Howard JR | director | Sale | 2,000,000 @ $74.50 | $149.0M | −100.0% of holding | −10.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-30 | KTR Management Company, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 2,000,000 @ $70.75 | $141.5M | −100.0% of holding | −12.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-17 | Durrett Cynthia M. | director | Sale | 47,011 @ $44.62 | $2.1M | −26.4% of holding | +34.0% | +91.3% | 131,152 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-17 | Brock Amanda M | director | Purchase | 3,669 @ $40.89 | $150K | +2.7% of holding | +34.0% | +91.3% | 141,080 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-17 | Argo Laurie H | director | Sale | 2,300 @ $44.25 | $102K | −4.4% of holding | +34.0% | +91.3% | 50,039 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-17 | TEAGUE AJ | director | Purchase | 2,310 @ $43.13 | $100K | +2.2% of holding | +34.0% | +91.3% | 106,465 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-17 | TEAGUE AJ | director | Purchase | 2,310 @ $43.11 | $100K | +38.5% of holding | +34.0% | +91.3% | 8,310 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-10 | BURKE JAMES R | director | Sale | 11,277 @ $53.03 | $598K | −66.4% of holding | −7.5% | +27.5% | 5,696 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-04 | KTR Management Company, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 2,114,783 @ $50.15 | $106.1M | −100.0% of holding | +1.3% | +27.7% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-10 | BURKE JAMES R | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $29.22 | $146K | −22.8% of holding | +59.8% | +80.4% | 16,973 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-09 | Zartler William A | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $24.83 | $248K | +1.0% of holding | +90.4% | +119.4% | 1,049,227 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-09 | Ramachandran Kyle S. | officer | Purchase | 2,000 @ $25.00 | $50K | +0.5% of holding | +90.4% | +119.4% | 370,338 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-26 | Powell Christopher M | officer | Sale | 12,750 @ $30.00 | $383K | −8.9% of holding | +26.1% | +64.2% | 130,615 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-25 | Giesinger Edgar R. JR. | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $28.86 | $289K | −9.9% of holding | +27.9% | +85.5% | 90,956 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-06 | KTR Management Company, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 4,000,000 @ $29.50 | $118.0M | −100.0% of holding | −18.7% | +38.8% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-28 | J Turbines, Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 4,000,000 @ $30.30 | $121.2M | −100.0% of holding | −9.7% | +56.4% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-05 | J Turbines, Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 75,000 @ $28.10 | $2.1M | −100.0% of holding | +14.8% | +87.9% | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-04 | J Turbines, Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 75,000 @ $27.56 | $2.1M | −50.0% of holding | +9.5% | +76.8% | 75,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-23 | TEAGUE AJ | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $26.77 | $27K | +1.0% of holding | −3.4% | +45.1% | 98,459 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-23 | TEAGUE AJ | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $26.73 | $27K | +20.0% of holding | −3.4% | +45.1% | 6,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-21 | Zartler William A | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $21.78 | $218K | +1.0% of holding | +24.8% | +92.1% | 1,039,227 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-05 | J Turbines, Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,850,000 @ $20.60 | $38.1M | −100.0% of holding | +18.8% | +120.7% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-01 | TEAGUE AJ | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $22.61 | $23K | +25.0% of holding | +14.4% | +110.8% | 5,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-01 | TEAGUE AJ | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $22.58 | $23K | +1.0% of holding | +14.4% | +110.8% | 97,459 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-11 | Argo Laurie H | director | Purchase | 4,000 @ $22.43 | $90K | +9.5% of holding | −11.4% | +14.6% | 46,064 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-07 | Zartler William A | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $23.23 | $232K | +1.0% of holding | −17.0% | −4.3% | 1,029,227 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-12-16 | Yorktown Energy Partners X, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 975,000 @ $24.01 | $23.4M | −100.0% of holding | +8.7% | +1.0% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-16 | Keenan W Howard JR | director | Sale | 975,000 @ $24.01 | $23.4M | −100.0% of holding | +8.7% | +1.0% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
81 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Argo Laurie H | director | Award / grant | 3,331 | 48,170 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Walker Ray N JR | director | Award / grant | 3,075 | 8,835 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | BURKE JAMES R | director | Award / grant | 3,075 | 8,771 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Giesinger Edgar R. JR. | director | Award / grant | 3,246 | 94,202 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | YZAGUIRRE MARIO MAX | director | Award / grant | 3,160 | 11,484 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | TEAGUE AJ | director | Award / grant | 3,075 | 112,965 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Keenan W Howard JR | director | Award / grant | 2,989 | 92,039 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Wirtz Christopher P. | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,303 | 34,782 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | Keenan W Howard JR | director | Other acquisition | 2,000,000 | 5,079,234 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | Keenan W Howard JR | director | Conversion | 2,000,000 | 2,000,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | Keenan W Howard JR | director | Conversion | 2,000,000 | 5,079,234 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | Keenan W Howard JR | director | Conversion | 2,000,000 | 5,079,234 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-30 | KTR Management Company, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 2,000,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-30 | KTR Management Company, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 2,000,000 | 2,000,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-30 | KTR Management Company, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 2,000,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Ramachandran Kyle S. | officer | Withheld for tax | 49,902 | 407,779 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Powell Christopher M | officer | Withheld for tax | 27,534 | 150,969 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Durrett Cynthia M. | director | Withheld for tax | 26,940 | 154,527 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Wirtz Christopher P. | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,206 | 36,785 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Ramachandran Kyle S. | officer | Award / grant | 37,004 | 407,342 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Ramachandran Kyle S. | officer | Award / grant | 50,339 | 457,681 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Brock Amanda M | director | Award / grant | 135,000 | 276,080 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Wirtz Christopher P. | officer | Award / grant | 3,296 | 37,177 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Wirtz Christopher P. | officer | Award / grant | 1,814 | 38,991 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Durrett Cynthia M. | director | Award / grant | 21,444 | 152,596 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Durrett Cynthia M. | director | Award / grant | 28,871 | 181,467 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Powell Christopher M | officer | Award / grant | 29,723 | 178,503 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Zartler William A | director | Award / grant | 150,000 | 1,199,227 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Zartler William A | director | Award / grant | 115,656 | 1,314,883 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Powell Christopher M | officer | Award / grant | 18,165 | 148,780 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Tompsett Stephan E | officer | Award / grant | 30,000 | 30,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-06 | KTR Management Company, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 2,114,783 | 2,000,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-04 | KTR Management Company, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 2,114,783 | 2,114,783 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-04 | KTR Management Company, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 2,114,783 | 2,000,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-16 | Brock Amanda M | director | Award / grant | 125,000 | 137,411 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-23 | Walker Ray N JR | director | Award / grant | 5,696 | 62,601 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-23 | BURKE JAMES R | director | Award / grant | 5,696 | 21,973 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-23 | YZAGUIRRE MARIO MAX | director | Award / grant | 5,963 | 8,324 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-23 | Giesinger Edgar R. JR. | director | Award / grant | 6,052 | 100,956 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-23 | Argo Laurie H | director | Award / grant | 6,275 | 52,339 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.