Issued 2026-09-16 at $1.90 · now $1.90 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SEER has typically landed between $1.39 and $2.43 — a range of −26.7% to +27.8% from the issuance price $1.90.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,430 overlapping 1 month windows · 2020-12-04 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($1.90) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where SEER has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $1.9 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $1.9 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $1.83 (-3.7%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $1.64–$2.02
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $1.39–$2.43
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2023-07-20 | −54.7% | −54.7% | +0.0% |
| 2023-07-19 | −52.0% | −52.0% | +3.6% |
| 2023-07-21 | −52.0% | −52.0% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2022-06-13 | +49.9% | +0.0% | +62.8% |
| 2023-05-12 | +45.3% | +0.0% | +57.0% |
| 2021-08-06 | +45.2% | −4.8% | +45.2% |
1,430 overlapping windows · 2020-12-04 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Horn David R. | director | Sale | 7,309 @ $2.03 | $15K | −1.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 486,650 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-08 | Nishar Dipchand | director | Sale | 10,660 @ $2.18 | $23K | −15.3% of holding | −2.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 59,044 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Horn David R. | director | Sale | 7,303 @ $1.69 | $12K | −1.5% of holding | +4.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 493,959 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-18 | Farokhzad Omid | director | Sale | 24,385 @ $1.99 | $49K | −0.7% of holding | −10.5% | −11.2% | 3,349,064 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-18 | Horn David R. | director | Sale | 7,743 @ $1.99 | $15K | −1.5% of holding | −10.5% | −11.2% | 501,262 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-19 | Farokhzad Omid | director | Sale | 33,838 @ $1.97 | $67K | −2.7% of holding | −13.5% | −23.7% | 1,238,230 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-19 | Horn David R. | director | Sale | 6,797 @ $1.97 | $13K | −1.5% of holding | −13.5% | −23.7% | 436,802 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-20 | Farokhzad Omid | director | Sale | 33,992 @ $2.04 | $69K | −2.6% of holding | +4.5% | −12.1% | 1,272,068 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-20 | Horn David R. | director | Sale | 6,827 @ $2.04 | $14K | −1.5% of holding | +4.5% | −12.1% | 436,802 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-13 | Nishar Dipchand | director | Sale | 30,253 @ $2.08 | $63K | −38.1% of holding | −2.5% | −29.8% | 49,204 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-20 | Farokhzad Omid | director | Sale | 33,663 @ $2.08 | $70K | −2.5% of holding | −4.4% | −17.2% | 1,306,060 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-20 | Horn David R. | director | Sale | 6,760 @ $2.08 | $14K | −1.5% of holding | −4.4% | −17.2% | 443,629 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-04 | Farokhzad Omid | director | Sale | 8,068 @ $2.24 | $18K | −0.6% of holding | −7.5% | −15.4% | 1,428,217 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-04 | Horn David R. | director | Sale | 3,550 @ $2.24 | $8K | −0.7% of holding | −7.5% | −15.4% | 476,961 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
42 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Roelofs Nicolas H PHD | director | Award / grant | 25,000 | 25,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-28 | Gulyani Meeta | director | Award / grant | 16,500 | 124,043 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-28 | Gulyani Meeta | director | Award / grant | 25,000 | 25,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-28 | LANGER ROBERT | director | Award / grant | 16,500 | 821,025 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-28 | LANGER ROBERT | director | Award / grant | 25,000 | 25,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-28 | MCGUIRE TERRANCE | director | Award / grant | 16,500 | 128,566 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-28 | MCGUIRE TERRANCE | director | Award / grant | 25,000 | 25,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-28 | Nishar Dipchand | director | Award / grant | 16,500 | 75,544 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-28 | Nishar Dipchand | director | Award / grant | 25,000 | 25,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-28 | Ro Isaac | director | Award / grant | 12,375 | 53,375 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-28 | Roelofs Nicolas H PHD | director | Award / grant | 16,500 | 91,496 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-28 | Ro Isaac | director | Award / grant | 18,750 | 18,750 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | Bazarko Anthony R. | officer | Award / grant | 225,000 | 225,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | Bazarko Anthony R. | officer | Award / grant | 75,000 | 75,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | Bazarko Anthony R. | officer | Award / grant | 75,000 | 75,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | Farokhzad Omid | director | Award / grant | 512,000 | 512,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | Horn David R. | director | Award / grant | 119,000 | 119,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | Farokhzad Omid | director | Award / grant | 697,162 | 3,373,449 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | Horn David R. | director | Award / grant | 79,000 | 509,005 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | Farokhzad Omid | director | Conversion | 2,117,138 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | Farokhzad Omid | director | Conversion | 1,438,057 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | MCGUIRE TERRANCE | director | Conversion | 4,088 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | MCGUIRE TERRANCE | director | Conversion | 4,088 | 215,070 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | MCGUIRE TERRANCE | director | Conversion | 4,088 | 215,070 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | Farokhzad Omid | director | Conversion | 1,438,057 | 2,676,287 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | Farokhzad Omid | director | Conversion | 2,117,138 | 2,117,138 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | Farokhzad Omid | director | Conversion | 1,438,057 | 2,676,287 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | Farokhzad Omid | director | Conversion | 2,117,138 | 2,117,138 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-02 | Ro Isaac | director | Award / grant | 61,000 | 61,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-02 | Ro Isaac | director | Award / grant | 41,000 | 41,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-07 | Gulyani Meeta | director | Award / grant | 20,500 | 107,543 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-07 | Gulyani Meeta | director | Award / grant | 30,500 | 30,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-07 | LANGER ROBERT | director | Award / grant | 30,500 | 30,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-07 | LANGER ROBERT | director | Award / grant | 20,500 | 804,525 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-07 | Roelofs Nicolas H PHD | director | Award / grant | 25,416 | 25,416 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-07 | MCGUIRE TERRANCE | director | Award / grant | 20,500 | 112,066 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-07 | MCGUIRE TERRANCE | director | Award / grant | 30,500 | 30,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-07 | Nishar Dipchand | director | Award / grant | 20,500 | 69,704 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-07 | Nishar Dipchand | director | Award / grant | 30,500 | 30,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-07 | Roelofs Nicolas H PHD | director | Award / grant | 17,083 | 74,996 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.