SEDG · TickerCove

SEDGSolarEdge Technologies, Inc.as of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $34.68 · now $34.68 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SEDG has typically landed between $23.55 and $47.88 — a range of −32.1% to +38.1% from the issuance price $34.68.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

2,853 overlapping 1 month windows · 2015-03-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($34.68) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$34.68 · 12% of range

$28.47 low$78.51 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−3.3%

typical move · IQR 27.9%

−32.1%worst (p90)+38.1%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

4 buys · 10 sells · 3 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where SEDG has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $34.68 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $34.68 (+0.0%)
typical $33.53 (-3.3%)
middle 50% $28.69–$38.37
90% range $23.55–$47.88

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,853 windows spanning 2015-03-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2024-05-30	−51.4%	−51.4%	+0.0%
2020-02-21	−51.1%	−51.1%	+0.0%
2020-02-20	−51.0%	−51.0%	+0.0%
3 best
2025-06-20	+92.9%	−2.8%	+92.9%
2026-04-29	+83.6%	−7.1%	+83.6%
2026-05-01	+83.0%	−10.0%	+83.0%

2,853 overlapping windows · 2015-03-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~12 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

55%

−0.9%

n=11

Feb

73%

+12.9%

n=11

Mar

55%

+0.9%

n=11

Apr

50%

−1.4%

n=12

May

67%

+17.9%

n=12

Jun

42%

−5.1%

n=12

Jul

58%

+5.8%

n=12

Aug

42%

−2.2%

n=12

Sep

50%

−3.8%

n=12

Oct

45%

−4.7%

n=11

Nov

64%

+3.8%

n=11

Dec

45%

+2.3%

n=11

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-05-07	AVERY MORE	director	Sale	1,355 @ $39.20	$53K	−0.5% of holding	+64.6%	not yet — horizon still open	296,590	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-07	AVERY MORE	director	Sale	1,211 @ $38.28	$46K	−0.4% of holding	+64.6%	not yet — horizon still open	295,379	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-04	AVERY MORE	director	Purchase	30,000 @ $13.70	$411K	+12.3% of holding	+15.3%	+111.5%	274,478	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

40 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-06-03	AVERY MORE	director	Award / grant	5,741	301,120	Form 4
2026-06-03	AVERY MORE	director	Award / grant	3,566	304,686	Form 4
2026-06-03	ATKINS BETSY S	director	Award / grant	2,634	20,007	Form 4
2026-06-03	Almogy Gilad	director	Award / grant	2,634	27,653	Form 4
2026-06-03	GECHT GUY	director	Award / grant	2,634	27,323	Form 4
2026-06-03	Gross Dana Rebecca	director	Award / grant	2,634	19,175	Form 4
2026-06-03	Gross Dana Rebecca	director	Award / grant	756	19,931	Form 4
2026-06-03	Tietz Yoram	director	Award / grant	2,634	30,035	Form 4
2026-06-03	Tietz Yoram	director	Award / grant	756	30,791	Form 4
2026-05-31	Sigron Maoz	officer	Award / grant	13,984	13,984	Form 4
2026-01-02	Huber Daniel	officer	Award / grant	17,538	100,441	Form 4
2026-01-02	Alperovitz Asaf	officer	Award / grant	22,321	59,681	Form 4
2026-01-02	Bechor Uri	officer	Award / grant	22,321	218,234	Form 4
2026-01-02	Nir Yehoshua	director	Award / grant	90,880	349,936	Form 4
2026-01-01	Bechor Uri	officer	Award / grant	50,000	190,824	Form 4
2026-01-01	Nir Yehoshua	director	Award / grant	50,000	319,518	Form 4
2025-09-15	Huber Daniel	officer	Award / grant	20,000	82,903	Form 4
2025-06-03	GECHT GUY	director	Award / grant	10,767	24,689	Form 4
2025-06-03	Gross Dana Rebecca	director	Award / grant	10,767	16,541	Form 4
2025-06-03	Tietz Yoram	director	Award / grant	10,767	27,401	Form 4
2025-06-03	AVERY MORE	director	Award / grant	23,467	297,945	Form 4
2025-06-03	ATKINS BETSY S	director	Award / grant	10,767	17,373	Form 4
2025-06-03	Almogy Gilad	director	Award / grant	10,767	25,019	Form 4
2025-06-03	Zafrir Nadiv	director	Award / grant	10,767	24,251	Form 4
2025-03-24	Alperovitz Asaf	officer	Award / grant	37,360	37,360	Form 4
2025-03-24	Alperovitz Asaf	officer	Award / grant	56,040	56,040	Form 4
2025-01-15	Tietz Yoram	director	Award / grant	9,208	9,208	Form 4
2025-01-15	Almogy Gilad	director	Award / grant	4,919	14,127	Form 4
2025-01-15	Almogy Gilad	director	Award / grant	9,208	9,208	Form 4
2025-01-15	Tietz Yoram	director	Award / grant	4,919	14,127	Form 4
2025-01-02	Nir Yehoshua	director	Award / grant	212,835	319,518	Form 4
2025-01-02	Bechor Uri	officer	Award / grant	60,810	150,810	Form 4
2025-01-02	Bechor Uri	officer	Award / grant	40,540	195,913	Form 4
2025-01-02	Porat Ariel	officer	Award / grant	40,540	97,085	Form 4
2025-01-02	Porat Ariel	officer	Award / grant	60,810	60,810	Form 4
2025-01-02	Nir Yehoshua	director	Award / grant	141,891	259,056	Form 4
2024-12-05	Bechor Uri	officer	Award / grant	120,000	155,373	Form 4
2024-12-05	Bechor Uri	officer	Award / grant	90,000	90,000	Form 4
2024-12-05	Nir Yehoshua	director	Award / grant	28,450	117,165	Form 4
2024-12-05	Nir Yehoshua	director	Award / grant	106,683	106,683	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iiDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks

Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

Member	Chamber	Type	Filed	Traded	Size
Michael T. McCaul	House	sale	2023-09-14	2023-08-08	$50–100K
Michael T. McCaul	House	sale	2023-09-14	2023-08-08	$50–100K
Lois Frankel	House	sale	2023-08-26	2023-08-04	$1–15K
Michael T. McCaul	House	sale	2023-08-16	2023-07-28	$100–250K
Michael T. McCaul	House	sale	2023-08-16	2023-07-31	$15–50K
Michael T. McCaul	House	sale	2023-08-16	2023-07-28	$50–100K
Michael T. McCaul	House	sale	2023-08-16	2023-07-20	$15–50K
Michael T. McCaul	House	sale	2023-08-16	2023-07-20	$50–100K
Michael T. McCaul	House	sale	2023-08-16	2023-07-31	$50–100K
Ro Khanna	House	sale	2023-07-11	2023-06-26	$1–15K
Michael T. McCaul	House	purchase	2023-06-22	2023-05-08	$15–50K
Michael T. McCaul	House	purchase	2023-06-22	2023-05-08	$15–50K
Ro Khanna	House	purchase	2023-06-12	2023-05-23	$1–15K
Michael T. McCaul	House	purchase	2023-05-12	2023-04-05	$15–50K

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Seasonality · by month i