SDRL · TickerCove

SDRLSeadrill LimitedEnergy · Oil & Gas Drillingas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $47.84 · now $47.84 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SDRL has typically landed between $39.73 and $57.11 — a range of −17.0% to +19.4% from the issuance price $47.84.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

962 overlapping 1 month windows · 2022-10-14 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($47.84) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$47.84 · 74% of range

$28.4 low$54.8 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.6%

typical move · IQR 15.2%

−17.0%worst (p90)+19.4%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where SDRL has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $47.84 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $47.84 (+0.0%)
typical $48.59 (+1.6%)
middle 50% $44.96–$52.22
90% range $39.73–$57.11

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 962 windows spanning 2022-10-14 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2025-01-30	−36.1%	−36.1%	+0.0%
2025-01-31	−36.0%	−36.0%	+0.0%
2025-02-03	−33.2%	−34.1%	+2.8%
3 best
2023-01-04	+39.6%	+0.0%	+44.2%
2022-12-27	+39.2%	−2.2%	+39.2%
2023-01-06	+39.1%	+0.0%	+39.8%

962 overlapping windows · 2022-10-14 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~4 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

50%

+6.4%

n=4

Feb

25%

−5.0%

n=4

Mar

50%

+4.4%

n=4

Apr

25%

−5.4%

n=4

May

50%

+3.0%

n=4

Jun

50%

+2.3%

n=4

Jul

100%

+13.7%

n=4

Aug

50%

−1.0%

n=4

Sep

−5.7%

n=4

Oct

33%

−2.8%

n=3

Nov

75%

+3.5%

n=4

Dec

75%

+4.4%

n=4

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-06-11	Creed Grant R	officer	Sale	27,952 @ $44.92	$1.3M	−54.8% of holding	−5.2%	not yet — horizon still open	23,064	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-11	Wieggers Marcel	officer	Sale	13,474 @ $44.94	$606K	−100.0% of holding	−5.2%	not yet — horizon still open	1	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-11	Creed Grant R	officer	Sale	6,195 @ $44.20	$274K	−10.8% of holding	−5.2%	not yet — horizon still open	51,016	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-11	Wieggers Marcel	officer	Sale	1 @ $44.61	$45	−100.0% of holding	−5.2%	not yet — horizon still open	0	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-10	Sauer-Petersen Torsten	officer	Sale	42,625 @ $44.68	$1.9M	−100.0% of holding	−9.2%	not yet — horizon still open	0	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-10	Strickler Todd D	officer	Sale	31,409 @ $44.69	$1.4M	−100.0% of holding	−9.2%	not yet — horizon still open	0	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

271 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-06-03	SCHULTZ ANDREW ELIOT	director	Award / grant	2,618	2,618	Form 4
2026-06-03	Zambelli Ana	director	Award / grant	2,618	2,618	Form 4
2026-06-03	Swinney Jonathan	director	Award / grant	2,618	2,618	Form 4
2026-06-03	Smith Paul Norman	director	Award / grant	2,618	2,618	Form 4
2026-06-03	CAHUZAC JEAN	director	Award / grant	2,618	2,618	Form 4
2026-06-03	Kjaervik Jan	director	Award / grant	2,618	2,618	Form 4
2026-06-03	MCCOLLUM MARK A	director	Award / grant	2,618	2,618	Form 4
2026-06-03	Quarls Harry	director	Award / grant	2,618	2,618	Form 4
2026-06-03	ROBERTSON JULIE J	director	Award / grant	3,272	3,272	Form 4
2026-05-14	Kjaervik Jan	director	Option exercise	4,860	0	Form 4
2026-05-14	Swinney Jonathan	director	Option exercise	4,860	0	Form 4
2026-05-14	ROBERTSON JULIE J	director	Option exercise	6,075	0	Form 4
2026-05-14	MCCOLLUM MARK A	director	Option exercise	4,860	0	Form 4
2026-05-14	Smith Paul Norman	director	Option exercise	4,860	0	Form 4
2026-05-14	Zambelli Ana	director	Option exercise	4,860	0	Form 4
2026-05-14	Quarls Harry	director	Option exercise	4,860	0	Form 4
2026-05-14	SCHULTZ ANDREW ELIOT	director	Option exercise	4,860	0	Form 4
2026-05-14	CAHUZAC JEAN	director	Option exercise	4,860	0	Form 4
2026-05-14	Smith Paul Norman	director	Option exercise	4,860	7,269	Form 4
2026-05-14	Kjaervik Jan	director	Option exercise	4,860	7,269	Form 4
2026-05-14	MCCOLLUM MARK A	director	Option exercise	4,860	7,269	Form 4
2026-05-14	Zambelli Ana	director	Option exercise	4,860	7,269	Form 4
2026-05-14	SCHULTZ ANDREW ELIOT	director	Option exercise	4,860	7,269	Form 4
2026-05-14	Swinney Jonathan	director	Option exercise	4,860	7,269	Form 4
2026-05-14	CAHUZAC JEAN	director	Option exercise	4,860	7,269	Form 4
2026-05-14	Quarls Harry	director	Option exercise	4,860	16,269	Form 4
2026-05-14	Smith Paul Norman	director	Option exercise	4,860	7,269	Form 4
2026-05-14	ROBERTSON JULIE J	director	Option exercise	6,075	9,086	Form 4
2026-05-14	Zambelli Ana	director	Option exercise	4,860	7,269	Form 4
2026-05-14	Kjaervik Jan	director	Option exercise	4,860	7,269	Form 4
2026-05-14	CAHUZAC JEAN	director	Option exercise	4,860	7,269	Form 4
2026-05-14	Quarls Harry	director	Option exercise	4,860	16,269	Form 4
2026-05-14	ROBERTSON JULIE J	director	Option exercise	6,075	9,086	Form 4
2026-05-14	MCCOLLUM MARK A	director	Option exercise	4,860	7,269	Form 4
2026-05-14	SCHULTZ ANDREW ELIOT	director	Option exercise	4,860	7,269	Form 4
2026-04-27	Creed Grant R	officer	Withheld for tax	4,816	57,211	Form 4
2026-04-27	Strickler Todd D	officer	Withheld for tax	3,130	31,409	Form 4
2026-04-27	Ali Samir H	officer	Withheld for tax	3,130	44,764	Form 4
2026-04-27	Sauer-Petersen Torsten	officer	Withheld for tax	3,130	42,625	Form 4
2026-04-27	Wieggers Marcel	officer	Withheld for tax	1,937	13,475	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i