SDGRSchrödinger, Inc.Technology · Software - Applicationas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $23.93 · now $23.93 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SDGR has typically landed between $18.21 and $30.83 — a range of −23.9% to +28.9% from the issuance price $23.93.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,640 overlapping 1 month windows · 2020-02-06 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($23.93) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where SDGR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $23.93 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$18.21worst · -23.9%$30.83best · +28.9%
  • now $23.93 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $23.34 (-2.5%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $20.51–$26.17
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $18.21–$30.83
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,640 windows spanning 2020-02-06 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2023-07-19−38.8%−38.8%+0.0%
2021-11-03−38.7%−38.7%+0.0%
2021-11-04−38.6%−38.6%+0.0%
3 best
2023-05-16+67.6%+0.0%+67.6%
2023-05-17+62.1%+0.0%+62.1%
2023-05-12+56.1%+0.0%+56.1%

1,640 overlapping windows · 2020-02-06 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~7 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+1.1%
n=6
Feb
33%
−0.4%
n=6
Mar
29%
−3.5%
n=7
Apr
57%
+2.5%
n=7
May
57%
+8.2%
n=7
Jun
71%
+11.8%
n=7
Jul
57%
+0.2%
n=7
Aug
14%
−7.3%
n=7
Sep
29%
−6.9%
n=7
Oct
33%
−4.2%
n=6
Nov
50%
+7.4%
n=6
Dec
67%
+1.5%
n=6

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$24$112026-07-16: 1 insider sale, $14K — Jain Rachit2026-04-17: 1 insider sale, $525K — Farid Ramy2026-04-16: 2 insider sales, $541K — Farid Ramy, Jain Rachit2026-03-06: 1 insider sale, $8K — Herman Jenny2026-03-05: 6 insider sales, $126K — Farid Ramy, Jain Rachit, Akinsanya Karen, Lorton Kenneth Patrick …2026-03-04: 1 insider sale, $17K — Abel Robert Lorne2026-03-02: 2 insider sales, $93K — Farid Ramy, Akinsanya Karen2026-02-10: 3 insider sales, $34K — Lorton Kenneth Patrick, Tran Yvonne, Herman Jenny2026-02-09: 1 insider sale, $17K — Abel Robert Lorne2025-10-16: 1 insider sale, $29K — Dugan Margaret2025-10: 1 open-market sale, $29K2026-02: 4 open-market sales, $50K2026-03: 10 open-market sales, $243K2026-04: 3 open-market sales, $1.1M2026-07: 1 open-market sale, $14K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Jain Rachit — Sale on 2026-07-16, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Farid Ramy — Sale on 2026-04-17, filed same daydirector Farid Ramy — Sale on 2026-04-16, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Jain Rachit — Sale on 2026-04-16, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Herman Jenny — Sale on 2026-03-06, filed same daydirector Farid Ramy — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Jain Rachit — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Akinsanya Karen — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Lorton Kenneth Patrick — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Tran Yvonne — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Herman Jenny — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Abel Robert Lorne — Sale on 2026-03-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Farid Ramy — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Akinsanya Karen — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Lorton Kenneth Patrick — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Tran Yvonne — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Herman Jenny — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Abel Robert Lorne — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Dugan Margaret — Sale on 2025-10-16, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-07-16Jain RachitofficerSale875 @ $15.60$14K−1.7% of holding+9.3%not yet — horizon still open50,877Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-17Farid RamydirectorSale43,000 @ $12.21$525K−11.5% of holding−6.4%not yet — horizon still open330,824Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-16Farid RamydirectorSale43,000 @ $12.33$530K−11.5% of holding−6.3%not yet — horizon still open330,824Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-16Jain RachitofficerSale844 @ $12.75$11K−1.6% of holding−6.3%not yet — horizon still open51,752Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-06Herman JennyofficerSale608 @ $12.84$8K−1.7% of holding−8.9%+42.5%34,804Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-05Farid RamydirectorSale3,661 @ $12.91$47K−1.1% of holding−8.6%+44.9%330,824Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-05Jain RachitofficerSale1,631 @ $12.90$21K−3.0% of holding−8.6%+44.9%52,596Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-05Akinsanya KarendirectorSale1,366 @ $12.90$18K−1.9% of holding−8.6%+44.9%69,956Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-05Lorton Kenneth PatrickofficerSale1,222 @ $12.90$16K−1.4% of holding−8.6%+44.9%89,241Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-05Tran YvonneofficerSale1,094 @ $12.89$14K−2.0% of holding−8.6%+44.9%52,683Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-05Herman JennyofficerSale775 @ $12.85$10K−2.1% of holding−8.6%+44.9%35,412Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-04Abel Robert LorneofficerSale1,300 @ $12.81$17K−2.3% of holding−7.7%+46.9%55,897Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-02Farid RamydirectorSale5,560 @ $11.90$66K−1.6% of holding−1.5%+48.1%334,485Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02Akinsanya KarendirectorSale2,206 @ $11.99$26K−3.0% of holding−1.5%+48.1%71,322Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-10Lorton Kenneth PatrickofficerSale925 @ $13.73$13K−1.7% of holding−7.0%+24.5%52,651Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-10Tran YvonneofficerSale776 @ $13.80$11K−3.3% of holding−7.0%+24.5%22,859Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-10Herman JennyofficerSale752 @ $13.79$10K−2.7% of holding−7.0%+24.5%26,597Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-09Abel Robert LorneofficerSale1,230 @ $13.51$17K−6.0% of holding−3.9%+25.5%19,385Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-16Dugan MargaretdirectorSale1,395 @ $21.07$29K−5.4% of holding−14.9%−44.9%24,574Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-14Akinsanya KarendirectorSale8,378 @ $25.11$210K−25.9% of holding−18.9%−50.3%23,970Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-14Akinsanya KarendirectorSale5,000 @ $25.11$126K−20.9% of holding−18.9%−50.3%18,970Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-14Akinsanya KarendirectorSale3,345 @ $25.00$84K−17.6% of holding−18.9%−50.3%15,625Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-06Herman JennyofficerSale666 @ $21.11$14K−2.4% of holding−2.8%−22.8%27,349Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-03Porges Geoffrey CraigofficerSale5,491 @ $21.76$119K−16.6% of holding−7.7%−20.4%27,544Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-18Tran YvonneofficerSale3,902 @ $28.00$109K−25.9% of holding−5.6%−30.7%11,135Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-11Lorton Kenneth PatrickofficerSale985 @ $24.43$24K−2.3% of holding−1.6%−26.2%41,076Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-11Herman JennyofficerSale859 @ $24.43$21K−4.5% of holding−1.6%−26.2%18,215Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-11Tran YvonneofficerSale828 @ $24.43$20K−6.9% of holding−1.6%−26.2%11,135Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-10Abel Robert LorneofficerSale1,225 @ $25.99$32K−13.1% of holding−2.0%−32.0%8,115Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

99 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-26Friesner RicharddirectorGift679,3730Form 4
2026-06-26Friesner RicharddirectorGift679,373679,373Form 4
2026-06-22Lynton MichaeldirectorAward / grant8,14125,388Form 4
2026-06-22Lynton MichaeldirectorAward / grant13,31313,313Form 4
2026-06-22OBEROI ARUNdirectorAward / grant8,14125,388Form 4
2026-06-22OBEROI ARUNdirectorAward / grant13,31313,313Form 4
2026-06-22van Kralingen Bridget AdirectorAward / grant8,14119,640Form 4
2026-06-22GINSBERG GARY LdirectorAward / grant8,14125,388Form 4
2026-06-22van Kralingen Bridget AdirectorAward / grant13,31313,313Form 4
2026-06-22Sender GarydirectorAward / grant8,14125,388Form 4
2026-06-22Thornberry NancydirectorAward / grant8,14125,388Form 4
2026-06-22Thornberry NancydirectorAward / grant13,31313,313Form 4
2026-06-22GINSBERG GARY LdirectorAward / grant13,31313,313Form 4
2026-06-22Sender GarydirectorAward / grant13,31313,313Form 4
2026-06-22Kapeller-Libermann RosanadirectorAward / grant8,14125,388Form 4
2026-06-22Kapeller-Libermann RosanadirectorAward / grant13,31313,313Form 4
2026-06-22Friesner RicharddirectorAward / grant8,141690,365Form 4
2026-06-22Chodakewitz JeffreydirectorAward / grant13,31313,313Form 4
2026-06-22Chodakewitz JeffreydirectorAward / grant8,14125,388Form 4
2026-06-22Friesner RicharddirectorAward / grant13,31313,313Form 4
2026-04-17Farid RamydirectorOption exercise74,527405,351Form 4
2026-04-17Farid RamydirectorOption exercise43,000373,824Form 4
2026-04-17Farid RamydirectorOption exercise74,5270Form 4
2026-04-17Farid RamydirectorOption exercise43,00074,527Form 4
2026-04-16Farid RamydirectorOption exercise43,000373,824Form 4
2026-04-16Farid RamydirectorOption exercise43,000117,527Form 4
2026-03-02Friesner RicharddirectorOption exercise160,527682,224Form 4
2026-03-02Tran YvonneofficerAward / grant17,13039,989Form 4
2026-03-02Herman JennyofficerAward / grant9,59036,187Form 4
2026-03-02Herman JennyofficerAward / grant8,2208,220Form 4
2026-03-02Farid RamydirectorAward / grant56,250278,182Form 4
2026-03-02Farid RamydirectorAward / grant13,604291,786Form 4
2026-03-02Farid RamydirectorAward / grant48,259340,045Form 4
2026-03-02Farid RamydirectorAward / grant112,500112,500Form 4
2026-03-02Akinsanya KarendirectorAward / grant24,25039,875Form 4
2026-03-02Akinsanya KarendirectorAward / grant48,50048,500Form 4
2026-03-02Lorton Kenneth PatrickofficerAward / grant17,13069,781Form 4
2026-03-02Lorton Kenneth PatrickofficerAward / grant20,68290,463Form 4
2026-03-02Tran YvonneofficerAward / grant34,25034,250Form 4
2026-03-02Akinsanya KarendirectorAward / grant6,07745,952Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.