SDSandRidge Energy, Inc.Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Productionas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $14.36 · now $14.36 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SD has typically landed between $12.20 and $17.56 — a range of −15.0% to +22.3% from the issuance price $14.36.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,479 overlapping 1 month windows · 2016-10-04 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($14.36) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where SD has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $14.36 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$12.2worst · -15.0%$17.56best · +22.3%
  • now $14.36 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $14.46 (+0.7%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $13.45–$15.47
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $12.2–$17.56
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,479 windows spanning 2016-10-04 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-20−65.4%−65.4%+0.0%
2020-02-19−65.0%−65.0%+0.0%
2020-02-13−64.1%−64.1%+0.0%
3 best
2020-04-01+158.3%−1.9%+191.7%
2020-03-27+146.5%−17.1%+146.5%
2020-04-02+140.5%−3.4%+187.2%

2,479 overlapping windows · 2016-10-04 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~10 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
60%
−0.2%
n=10
Feb
30%
−1.9%
n=10
Mar
40%
−5.0%
n=10
Apr
50%
+11.3%
n=10
May
60%
+4.2%
n=10
Jun
50%
−1.4%
n=10
Jul
60%
+3.2%
n=10
Aug
50%
+4.6%
n=10
Sep
50%
+0.2%
n=10
Oct
44%
−1.7%
n=9
Nov
50%
+4.4%
n=10
Dec
50%
+2.2%
n=10

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$18$102025-08-18: 1 insider purchase, $274K — INTRIERI VINCENT J2025-08: 1 open-market purchase, $274K↑ buys↓ salesdirector INTRIERI VINCENT J — Purchase on 2025-08-18, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2025-08-18INTRIERI VINCENT JdirectorPurchase25,000 @ $10.96$274K+113.8% of holding+4.4%+52.6%46,976Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

127 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-01Parrish DeanofficerWithheld for tax28938,798Form 4
2026-09-01Brown Brandon Louis Sr.officerWithheld for tax24428,402Form 4
2026-09-01Parrish DeanofficerOption exercise1,0001,000Form 4
2026-09-01Brown Brandon Louis Sr.officerOption exercise1,00028,646Form 4
2026-09-01Brown Brandon Louis Sr.officerOption exercise1,0001,000Form 4
2026-09-01Parrish DeanofficerOption exercise1,00039,087Form 4
2026-06-10Dunlap Nancy MartoridirectorAward / grant9,80447,833Form 4
2026-06-10Firestone Jaffrey AdamdirectorAward / grant9,80464,382Form 4
2026-06-10ICAHN BRETTdirectorAward / grant9,80422,709Form 4
2026-06-10Katz Jacob MdirectorAward / grant9,8049,804Form 4
2026-06-10INTRIERI VINCENT JdirectorAward / grant9,8049,804Form 4
2026-05-17Pranin Grayson RdirectorWithheld for tax1,378172,501Form 4
2026-05-17Parrish DeanofficerWithheld for tax54638,087Form 4
2026-05-17Brown Brandon Louis Sr.officerWithheld for tax42927,646Form 4
2026-05-17Brown Brandon Louis Sr.officerOption exercise1,7611,761Form 4
2026-05-17Pranin Grayson RdirectorOption exercise3,1383,138Form 4
2026-05-17Parrish DeanofficerOption exercise1,8911,891Form 4
2026-05-17Parrish DeanofficerOption exercise1,89138,633Form 4
2026-05-17Pranin Grayson RdirectorOption exercise3,138173,879Form 4
2026-05-17Parrish DeanofficerOption exercise1,89138,633Form 4
2026-05-17Brown Brandon Louis Sr.officerOption exercise1,76128,075Form 4
2026-05-17Brown Brandon Louis Sr.officerOption exercise1,76128,075Form 4
2026-05-17Pranin Grayson RdirectorOption exercise3,138173,879Form 4
2026-04-05Pranin Grayson RdirectorWithheld for tax1,035170,741Form 4
2026-04-05Parrish DeanofficerWithheld for tax45336,742Form 4
2026-04-05Brown Brandon Louis Sr.officerWithheld for tax16426,314Form 4
2026-04-05Parrish DeanofficerOption exercise1,5670Form 4
2026-04-05Pranin Grayson RdirectorOption exercise2,3580Form 4
2026-04-05Brown Brandon Louis Sr.officerOption exercise6720Form 4
2026-04-05Brown Brandon Louis Sr.officerOption exercise67226,478Form 4
2026-04-05Brown Brandon Louis Sr.officerOption exercise67226,478Form 4
2026-04-05Parrish DeanofficerOption exercise1,56737,195Form 4
2026-04-05Pranin Grayson RdirectorOption exercise2,358171,776Form 4
2026-04-05Parrish DeanofficerOption exercise1,56737,195Form 4
2026-04-05Pranin Grayson RdirectorOption exercise2,358171,776Form 4
2026-03-12Pranin Grayson RdirectorWithheld for tax2,278169,418Form 4
2026-03-12FRATES JONATHANofficerWithheld for tax2,06553,791Form 4
2026-03-12Pranin Grayson RdirectorWithheld for tax1,803163,781Form 4
2026-03-12Parrish DeanofficerWithheld for tax1,55835,628Form 4
2026-03-12FRATES JONATHANofficerWithheld for tax1,54449,737Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.