SCHL · TickerCove

SCHLScholastic CorporationCommunication Services · Publishingas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $35.01 · now $35.01 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SCHL has typically landed between $29.18 and $40.96 — a range of −16.7% to +17.0% from the issuance price $35.01.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($35.01) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$35.01 · 48% of range

$23.8 low$47.34 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.1%

typical move · IQR 12.9%

−16.7%worst (p90)+17.0%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where SCHL has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $35.01 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $35.01 (+0.0%)
typical $35.41 (+1.1%)
middle 50% $33.16–$37.66
90% range $29.18–$40.96

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-20	−39.1%	−39.1%	+0.8%
2022-09-01	−37.5%	−38.4%	+0.4%
2022-08-29	−37.5%	−37.5%	+2.0%
3 best
2009-03-05	+85.9%	+0.0%	+85.9%
2009-03-06	+81.5%	+0.0%	+83.8%
2009-03-11	+70.5%	+0.0%	+70.5%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

50%

−0.9%

n=20

Feb

70%

+2.2%

n=20

Mar

35%

−2.1%

n=20

Apr

45%

+1.3%

n=20

May

65%

+1.9%

n=20

Jun

55%

+2.1%

n=20

Jul

55%

+1.0%

n=20

Aug

50%

−0.2%

n=20

Sep

45%

−1.6%

n=20

Oct

60%

+0.2%

n=20

Nov

75%

+2.3%

n=20

Dec

60%

+1.2%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-26	Lucchese Iole	director	Sale	289,624 @ $39.76	$11.5M	−50.0% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	289,623	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-26	Alonso Andres A	director	Sale	2,112 @ $40.28	$85K	−9.1% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	21,189	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-07	Quinton Sasha	officer	Sale	22,151 @ $42.00	$930K	−29.2% of holding	−12.6%	not yet — horizon still open	53,828	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-06	Quinton Sasha	officer	Sale	5,139 @ $41.74	$214K	−8.4% of holding	−10.8%	not yet — horizon still open	56,238	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-06	Henderson Kaya	director	Sale	3,250 @ $40.25	$131K	−31.4% of holding	−10.8%	not yet — horizon still open	7,113	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-06	Quinton Sasha	officer	Sale	2,410 @ $42.05	$101K	−4.3% of holding	−10.8%	not yet — horizon still open	53,828	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-05	Quinton Sasha	officer	Sale	20,488 @ $43.17	$884K	−27.6% of holding	−10.2%	not yet — horizon still open	53,828	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-25	Hukkanen Paul	officer	Sale	10,000 @ $39.40	$394K	−42.3% of holding	−5.5%	not yet — horizon still open	13,620	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

56 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-26	Alonso Andres A	director	Option exercise	2,112	23,301	Form 4
2026-08-26	Alonso Andres A	director	Option exercise	2,112	0	Form 4
2026-08-07	Quinton Sasha	officer	Option exercise	22,151	75,979	Form 4
2026-08-07	Quinton Sasha	officer	Option exercise	22,151	0	Form 4
2026-08-06	Quinton Sasha	officer	Option exercise	7,549	61,377	Form 4
2026-08-06	Quinton Sasha	officer	Option exercise	7,549	22,151	Form 4
2026-08-05	Quinton Sasha	officer	Option exercise	20,488	74,316	Form 4
2026-08-05	Quinton Sasha	officer	Option exercise	20,488	29,700	Form 4
2026-07-21	Peter Warwick	director	Award / grant	46,425	184,088	Form 4
2026-07-21	Peter Warwick	director	Withheld for tax	25,674	158,414	Form 4
2026-07-21	Peter Warwick	director	Award / grant	21,533	21,533	Form 4
2026-07-01	Peter Warwick	director	Withheld for tax	8,345	129,656	Form 4
2026-07-01	Peter Warwick	director	Award / grant	8,007	137,663	Form 4
2026-07-01	Peter Warwick	director	Award / grant	7,048	7,048	Form 4
2026-05-07	Peter Warwick	director	Withheld for tax	2,033	138,001	Form 4
2026-05-07	Peter Warwick	director	Option exercise	2,112	140,034	Form 4
2026-05-07	Peter Warwick	director	Option exercise	2,112	0	Form 4
2026-03-25	Hukkanen Paul	officer	Option exercise	10,000	23,620	Form 4
2026-03-25	Hukkanen Paul	officer	Option exercise	10,000	0	Form 4
2026-01-22	Glover Haji	officer	Withheld for tax	422	25,322	Form 4
2025-10-01	Lucchese Iole	director	Withheld for tax	2,981	105,032	Form 4
2025-10-01	Quinton Sasha	officer	Withheld for tax	1,493	53,828	Form 4
2025-10-01	Glover Haji	officer	Withheld for tax	1,170	25,744	Form 4
2025-10-01	Hukkanen Paul	officer	Withheld for tax	399	13,620	Form 4
2025-10-01	Lick Chris	officer	Withheld for tax	176	12,574	Form 4
2025-09-26	Lucchese Iole	director	Withheld for tax	1,582	108,013	Form 4
2025-09-26	Quinton Sasha	officer	Withheld for tax	849	55,321	Form 4
2025-09-26	Hukkanen Paul	officer	Withheld for tax	291	14,019	Form 4
2025-09-26	Lick Chris	officer	Withheld for tax	147	12,750	Form 4
2025-09-23	Lucchese Iole	director	Award / grant	20,946	109,595	Form 4
2025-09-23	Quinton Sasha	officer	Award / grant	18,038	56,170	Form 4
2025-09-23	Glover Haji	officer	Award / grant	14,546	26,914	Form 4
2025-09-23	Mathews Jeffrey	officer	Award / grant	14,313	65,684	Form 4
2025-09-23	Lick Chris	officer	Award / grant	9,309	12,897	Form 4
2025-09-23	Hukkanen Paul	officer	Award / grant	4,654	14,310	Form 4
2025-09-22	Mathews Jeffrey	officer	Withheld for tax	2,622	51,371	Form 4
2025-09-22	Lucchese Iole	director	Withheld for tax	1,383	87,266	Form 4
2025-09-22	Quinton Sasha	officer	Withheld for tax	742	38,132	Form 4
2025-09-22	Hukkanen Paul	officer	Withheld for tax	255	9,656	Form 4
2025-09-22	Lick Chris	officer	Withheld for tax	128	3,588	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i