SCCOSouthern Copper CorporationBasic Materials · Copperas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $189.88 · now $189.88 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SCCO has typically landed between $164.03 and $232.39 — a range of −13.6% to +22.4% from the issuance price $189.88.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($189.88) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where SCCO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $189.88 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$164.03worst · -13.6%$232.39best · +22.4%
  • now $189.88 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $193.59 (+2.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $181.11–$206.06
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $164.03–$232.39
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-26−54.7%−54.7%+0.0%
2008-09-25−54.7%−54.7%+0.0%
2008-09-24−53.8%−53.8%+1.2%
3 best
2008-12-04+56.9%+0.0%+56.9%
2008-11-20+55.5%+0.0%+81.9%
2008-11-19+46.7%−9.9%+63.8%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
55%
+2.8%
n=20
Feb
50%
+4.1%
n=20
Mar
50%
+2.6%
n=20
Apr
55%
+1.5%
n=20
May
40%
−0.9%
n=20
Jun
40%
−0.9%
n=20
Jul
60%
+4.1%
n=20
Aug
45%
−0.1%
n=20
Sep
45%
−0.2%
n=20
Oct
75%
+5.0%
n=20
Nov
50%
+2.0%
n=20
Dec
55%
+3.8%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$220$912026-09-08: 1 insider sale, $21K — PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL2026-09-04: 1 insider sale, $20K — PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL2026-08-31: 1 insider sale, $87K — PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL2026-08-05: 2 insider sales, $40K — PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL …2026-08-04: 1 insider sale, $20K — PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL2026-07-24: 1 insider sale, $18K — PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL2026-06-05: 1 insider sale, $724 — PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL2026-06-02: 1 insider sale, $20K — PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL2026-05-21: 2 insider sales, $36K — PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL …2026-05-15: 1 insider sale, $18K — PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL2026-03-13: 1 insider sale, $34K — PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL2026-03-12: 1 insider sale, $1K — PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL2026-03-02: 1 insider sale, $997K — Castillo Sanchez Mejorada Enrique2026-02-03: 1 insider sale, $2.0M — Contreras Lerdo de Tejada Leonardo2025-12-03: 1 insider sale, $56K — PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL2025-11-10: 1 insider sale, $21K — PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL2025-11-06: 1 insider sale, $14K — PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL2025-11-05: 1 insider sale, $14K — PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL2025-11-04: 1 insider sale, $13K — PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL2025-10-31: 1 insider sale, $28K — PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL2025-09-12: 1 insider sale, $21K — PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL2025-09-03: 1 insider sale, $22K — PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL2025-08: 2 open-market sales, $80K2025-09: 2 open-market sales, $43K2025-10: 1 open-market sale, $28K2025-11: 4 open-market sales, $61K2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $56K2026-02: 1 open-market sale, $2.0M2026-03: 3 open-market sales, $1.0M2026-05: 3 open-market sales, $53K2026-06: 2 open-market sales, $21K2026-07: 1 open-market sale, $18K2026-08: 4 open-market sales, $146K2026-09: 2 open-market sales, $41K↑ buys↓ salesdirector PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL — Sale on 2026-09-08, filed 2 days after the tradedirector PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL — Sale on 2026-09-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL — Sale on 2026-08-31, filed 1 day after the tradedirector PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed same daydirector PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed same daydirector PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL — Sale on 2026-07-24, filed same daydirector PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL — Sale on 2026-06-05, filed same daydirector PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL — Sale on 2026-06-02, filed same daydirector PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL — Sale on 2026-05-21, filed 1 day after the tradedirector PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL — Sale on 2026-05-21, filed 1 day after the tradedirector PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL — Sale on 2026-05-15, filed 3 days after the tradedirector PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL — Sale on 2026-03-13, filed 5 days after the tradedirector PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 6 days after the tradedirector Castillo Sanchez Mejorada Enrique — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed same daydirector Contreras Lerdo de Tejada Leonardo — Sale on 2026-02-03, filed same daydirector PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL — Sale on 2025-12-03, filed same daydirector PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL — Sale on 2025-11-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL — Sale on 2025-11-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL — Sale on 2025-11-05, filed same daydirector PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL — Sale on 2025-11-04, filed same daydirector PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL — Sale on 2025-10-31, filed 3 days after the tradedirector PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL — Sale on 2025-09-12, filed same daydirector PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-08PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUELdirectorSale100 @ $210.00$21K−6.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open1,503Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-04PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUELdirectorSale100 @ $200.00$20K−5.9% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open1,603Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-31PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUELdirectorSale400 @ $217.50$87K−23.5% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open1,303Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-05PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUELdirectorSale100 @ $200.00$20K−5.5% of holding+2.6%not yet — horizon still open1,703Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-05PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUELdirectorSale100 @ $198.30$20K−5.3% of holding+2.6%not yet — horizon still open1,803Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-04PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUELdirectorSale100 @ $195.00$20K−5.0% of holding+7.3%not yet — horizon still open1,903Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-24PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUELdirectorSale100 @ $179.00$18K−5.9% of holding+18.3%not yet — horizon still open1,603Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-05PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUELdirectorSale4 @ $181.00$724−0.2% of holding−4.7%not yet — horizon still open1,703Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-02PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUELdirectorSale100 @ $200.00$20K−5.5% of holding−12.9%not yet — horizon still open1,707Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-21PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUELdirectorSale100 @ $179.85$18K−5.2% of holding+0.7%not yet — horizon still open1,807Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-21PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUELdirectorSale100 @ $175.80$18K−5.0% of holding+0.7%not yet — horizon still open1,907Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-15PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUELdirectorSale100 @ $178.20$18K−4.7% of holding+8.5%not yet — horizon still open2,007Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-13PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUELdirectorSale193 @ $174.60$34K−10.2% of holding+6.9%−2.7%1,707Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-03-12PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUELdirectorSale7 @ $190.00$1K−0.4% of holding+5.5%−5.7%1,900Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade
2026-03-02Castillo Sanchez Mejorada EnriquedirectorSale4,587 @ $217.39$997K−88.4% of holding−16.4%−14.7%600Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-03Contreras Lerdo de Tejada LeonardodirectorSale9,248 @ $211.34$2.0M−93.9% of holding−8.6%−19.1%600Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-03PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUELdirectorSale400 @ $139.00$56K−24.0% of holding+10.5%+19.1%1,265Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-10PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUELdirectorSale148 @ $140.00$21K−8.2% of holding+3.9%+31.5%1,665Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-06PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUELdirectorSale100 @ $137.50$14K−5.2% of holding+2.3%+25.4%1,813Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-05PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUELdirectorSale100 @ $135.00$14K−5.0% of holding+3.7%+28.2%1,913Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-04PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUELdirectorSale100 @ $131.90$13K−4.7% of holding+7.3%+29.7%2,013Form 4 · filed same day
2025-10-31PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUELdirectorSale200 @ $139.35$28K−10.5% of holding−1.3%+17.7%1,713Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-12PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUELdirectorSale200 @ $105.44$21K−9.5% of holding+24.3%+66.1%1,913Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-03PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUELdirectorSale214 @ $101.00$22K−9.2% of holding+19.9%+85.8%2,113Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-08PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUELdirectorSale414 @ $100.00$41K−15.1% of holding−0.4%+102.0%2,327Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-07PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUELdirectorSale400 @ $97.50$39K−12.7% of holding+5.4%+98.7%2,741Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-05PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUELdirectorSale400 @ $95.00$38K−12.7% of holding+2.3%+33.3%2,741Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-03-12PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUELdirectorSale100 @ $90.25$9K+3.8% of holding−3.6%+2.2%2,713Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-13PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUELdirectorSale100 @ $94.00$9K−3.4% of holding+7.0%−4.6%2,813Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

128 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-24Contreras Lerdo de Tejada LeonardodirectorAward / grant4001,400Form 4
2026-07-24Valenzuela Rionda Jose PedrodirectorAward / grant4005,548Form 4
2026-07-24Arrigunaga Gomez del Campo JavierdirectorAward / grant4005,548Form 4
2026-07-24VELASCO GERMAN LARREA MOTAdirectorAward / grant400404,926Form 4
2026-07-24Valenzuela Rionda Jose PedrodirectorAward / grant4005,548Form 4
2026-07-24Contreras Lerdo de Tejada LeonardodirectorAward / grant4001,400Form 4
2026-07-24SACRISTAN CARLOS RUIZdirectorAward / grant40029,047Form 4
2026-07-24VELASCO GERMAN LARREA MOTAdirectorAward / grant400404,926Form 4
2026-07-24SACRISTAN CARLOS RUIZdirectorAward / grant40029,047Form 4
2026-07-24PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUELdirectorAward / grant4002,003Form 4
2026-07-24Castillo Sanchez Mejorada EnriquedirectorAward / grant4001,400Form 4
2026-07-24ARIZTEGUI ANDREVE VICENTEdirectorAward / grant40011,070Form 4
2026-07-24ARIZTEGUI ANDREVE VICENTEdirectorAward / grant40011,070Form 4
2026-07-24Arrigunaga Gomez del Campo JavierdirectorAward / grant4005,548Form 4
2026-07-24Castillo Sanchez Mejorada EnriquedirectorAward / grant4001,400Form 4
2026-07-24PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUELdirectorAward / grant4002,003Form 4
2026-05-04Arrigunaga Gomez del Campo JavierdirectorAward / grant4005,148Form 4
2026-05-04PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUELdirectorAward / grant4002,107Form 4
2026-05-04Castillo Sanchez Mejorada EnriquedirectorAward / grant4001,000Form 4
2026-05-04ARIZTEGUI ANDREVE VICENTEdirectorAward / grant40010,670Form 4
2026-05-04SACRISTAN CARLOS RUIZdirectorAward / grant40028,647Form 4
2026-05-04VELASCO GERMAN LARREA MOTAdirectorAward / grant400404,526Form 4
2026-05-04SACRISTAN CARLOS RUIZdirectorAward / grant40028,647Form 4
2026-05-04Contreras Lerdo de Tejada LeonardodirectorAward / grant4001,000Form 4
2026-05-04Valenzuela Rionda Jose PedrodirectorAward / grant4005,148Form 4
2026-05-04VELASCO GERMAN LARREA MOTAdirectorAward / grant400404,526Form 4
2026-05-04Valenzuela Rionda Jose PedrodirectorAward / grant4005,148Form 4
2026-05-04ARIZTEGUI ANDREVE VICENTEdirectorAward / grant40010,670Form 4
2026-05-04Arrigunaga Gomez del Campo JavierdirectorAward / grant4005,148Form 4
2026-05-04Castillo Sanchez Mejorada EnriquedirectorAward / grant4001,000Form 4
2026-05-04PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUELdirectorAward / grant4002,107Form 4
2026-05-04Contreras Lerdo de Tejada LeonardodirectorAward / grant4001,000Form 4
2026-01-29ARIZTEGUI ANDREVE VICENTEdirectorAward / grant40010,270Form 4
2026-01-29VELASCO GERMAN LARREA MOTAdirectorAward / grant200403,726Form 4
2026-01-29Arrigunaga Gomez del Campo JavierdirectorAward / grant4004,425Form 4
2026-01-29Arrigunaga Gomez del Campo JavierdirectorAward / grant2004,748Form 4
2026-01-29SACRISTAN CARLOS RUIZdirectorAward / grant20027,847Form 4
2026-01-29SACRISTAN CARLOS RUIZdirectorAward / grant40028,247Form 4
2026-01-29SACRISTAN CARLOS RUIZdirectorAward / grant20027,847Form 4
2026-01-29PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUELdirectorAward / grant4001,907Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.