Issued 2026-09-16 at $30.87 · now $30.87 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SBLK has typically landed between $26.01 and $36.15 — a range of −15.7% to +17.1% from the issuance price $30.87.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,705 overlapping 1 month windows · 2007-12-03 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($30.87) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where SBLK has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $30.87 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $30.87 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $31.6 (+2.4%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $29.6–$33.59
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $26.01–$36.15
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2015-10-20 | −57.3% | −57.3% | +0.0% |
| 2015-11-05 | −56.5% | −56.5% | +0.0% |
| 2015-10-21 | −55.2% | −57.0% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2016-02-04 | +126.5% | −6.8% | +126.5% |
| 2016-02-03 | +114.5% | −6.8% | +114.5% |
| 2016-02-05 | +108.7% | −5.2% | +130.4% |
4,705 overlapping windows · 2007-12-03 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Spyrou Symeon | officer | Purchase | 15,000 @ $28.27 | $424K | +6.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 241,200 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-15 | Erhardt Koert | director | Purchase | 6,000 @ $28.27 | $170K | +59.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 16,080 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-15 | Karellis Nikolaos | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $28.27 | $57K | +26.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 9,580 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-25 | Zagari Raffaele | director | Sale | 50,000 @ $31.20 | $1.6M | −2.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,903,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | Zagari Raffaele | director | Sale | 50,000 @ $30.70 | $1.5M | +2.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,953,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | Plakantonaki Charis | officer | Sale | 10,825 @ $29.82 | $323K | −16.3% of holding | +5.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 55,778 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-14 | Plakantonaki Charis | officer | Sale | 10,825 @ $28.95 | $313K | −14.0% of holding | +9.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 66,603 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | Reskos Nikolaos | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $29.50 | $148K | −1.2% of holding | +13.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 400,875 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-30 | Reskos Nikolaos | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $28.99 | $145K | −1.2% of holding | +0.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 405,875 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | Karellis Nikolaos | director | Sale | 20,000 @ $26.96 | $539K | −100.0% of holding | −2.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Reskos Nikolaos | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $28.49 | $142K | −1.4% of holding | −9.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 362,775 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-21 | Reskos Nikolaos | officer | Sale | 30,000 @ $27.29 | $819K | −7.5% of holding | +3.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 367,775 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Reskos Nikolaos | officer | Sale | 9,914 @ $26.55 | $263K | −2.4% of holding | +0.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 397,775 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-19 | Reskos Nikolaos | officer | Sale | 86 @ $26.49 | $2K | −0.0% of holding | −1.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 407,689 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Reskos Nikolaos | officer | Sale | 33,103 @ $26.28 | $870K | −7.5% of holding | +3.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 407,775 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-15 | Reskos Nikolaos | officer | Sale | 8,406 @ $25.05 | $211K | −1.9% of holding | +1.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 440,878 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-14 | Reskos Nikolaos | officer | Sale | 1,594 @ $25.00 | $40K | −0.4% of holding | +1.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 449,284 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-08 | Plakantonaki Charis | officer | Sale | 16,500 @ $24.56 | $405K | +37.7% of holding | +0.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 60,228 | Form 4 · filed 8 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-31 | Zagari Raffaele | director | Sale | 11,500 @ $227538.00 | $2.6B | +135.3% of holding | −1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 20,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
16 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Capralos Spyridon | director | Gift | 118,720 | 245,456 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Erhardt Koert | director | Award / grant | 7,580 | 10,080 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Karellis Nikolaos | director | Award / grant | 7,580 | 7,580 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Norton Hamish | director | Award / grant | 35,800 | 305,847 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Pappa Milena Maria | director | Award / grant | 7,580 | 3,092,674 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Reskos Nikolaos | officer | Award / grant | 48,100 | 410,875 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Spyrou Symeon | officer | Award / grant | 26,200 | 226,200 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Weum Mikkel Storm | director | Award / grant | 1,760 | 1,760 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Weston Gary | director | Award / grant | 7,580 | 38,325 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Zagari Raffaele | director | Award / grant | 7,580 | 27,580 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Vrettou Eleni | director | Award / grant | 7,580 | 77,186 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Balakrishnan Mahesh | director | Award / grant | 7,580 | 39,080 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Plakantonaki Charis | officer | Award / grant | 17,200 | 77,428 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Begleris Christos | officer | Award / grant | 26,200 | 171,087 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Blystad Arne | director | Award / grant | 7,580 | 117,533 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Capralos Spyridon | director | Award / grant | 19,500 | 245,456 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.