SBCF · TickerCove

SBCFSeacoast Banking Corporation of FloridaFinancial Services · Banks - Regionalas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $33.82 · now $33.82 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SBCF has typically landed between $29.70 and $38.85 — a range of −12.2% to +14.9% from the issuance price $33.82.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($33.82) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$33.82 · 71% of range

$28.28 low$36.13 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−0.1%

typical move · IQR 11.3%

−12.2%worst (p90)+14.9%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where SBCF has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $33.82 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $33.82 (+0.0%)
typical $33.79 (-0.1%)
middle 50% $31.89–$35.7
90% range $29.7–$38.85

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2008-10-30	−55.4%	−55.4%	+0.0%
2009-02-04	−54.5%	−54.5%	+18.2%
2009-02-03	−53.0%	−53.0%	+16.8%
3 best
2008-11-21	+58.6%	−11.7%	+58.6%
2009-03-05	+52.0%	−4.4%	+75.4%
2008-12-01	+51.2%	+0.0%	+79.7%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

55%

−0.1%

n=20

Feb

50%

+0.1%

n=20

Mar

50%

−2.8%

n=20

Apr

60%

+3.9%

n=20

May

55%

−2.6%

n=20

Jun

50%

−2.5%

n=20

Jul

50%

−0.5%

n=20

Aug

60%

+1.9%

n=20

Sep

45%

+0.1%

n=20

Oct

65%

−1.3%

n=20

Nov

55%

+1.6%

n=20

Dec

65%

+4.0%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-27	Kleffel Juliette	officer	Sale	14,831 @ $34.31	$509K	−15.9% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	78,321	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-01	HUDSON DENNIS S III	director	Sale	4,000 @ $34.00	$136K	−1.8% of holding	+2.1%	not yet — horizon still open	216,854	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-16	HUDSON DENNIS S III	director	Sale	8,000 @ $31.41	$251K	−3.5% of holding	+9.1%	not yet — horizon still open	220,854	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-06	STALLINGS JAMES C III	officer	Sale	7,552 @ $31.16	$235K	−51.0% of holding	−4.3%	not yet — horizon still open	7,247	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-04	Shaffer Charles M	director	Sale	10,367 @ $30.88	$320K	−5.6% of holding	−10.3%	not yet — horizon still open	174,113	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-16	HUDSON DENNIS S III	director	Sale	8,000 @ $30.04	$240K	−3.4% of holding	+2.1%	+0.6%	228,854	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-04	HUDSON DENNIS S III	director	Sale	8,000 @ $31.34	$251K	−3.3% of holding	+1.4%	−2.5%	236,854	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-26	FORLENZA JOSEPH M	officer	Sale	12,635 @ $32.90	$416K	−23.0% of holding	−2.4%	−6.9%	42,392	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-23	SHEAROUSE JOSEPH B III	director	Purchase	700 @ $32.13	$22K	+2.0% of holding	−2.3%	−4.3%	36,200	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-12	SHEAROUSE JOSEPH B III	director	Purchase	4,000 @ $33.19	$133K	+12.7% of holding	−7.2%	−4.9%	35,500	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-02-03	GOEBEL MARYANN	director	Sale	3,419 @ $34.23	$117K	−36.3% of holding	−8.1%	−8.5%	6,000	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-03	ARCZYNSKI DENNIS J	director	Sale	3,419 @ $34.21	$117K	−77.4% of holding	−8.1%	−8.5%	1,000	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-03	Bradley Jacqueline Lynette	director	Sale	2,279 @ $33.54	$76K	−24.6% of holding	−8.1%	−8.5%	7,000	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-10	HUDSON DENNIS S III	director	Sale	8,000 @ $31.13	$249K	−3.1% of holding	+4.7%	−11.4%	251,275	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-05	STALLINGS JAMES C III	officer	Sale	3,245 @ $30.87	$100K	−46.5% of holding	+4.4%	−6.6%	3,727	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-21	ROSSIN THOMAS E	director	Sale	72 @ $29.25	$2K	−100.0% of holding	+0.4%	+3.5%	0	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

146 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-27	Kleffel Juliette	officer	Option exercise	14,831	93,152	Form 4
2026-08-27	Kleffel Juliette	officer	Option exercise	14,831	0	Form 4
2026-08-04	Shaffer Charles M	director	Option exercise	28,544	0	Form 4
2026-08-04	Shaffer Charles M	director	Withheld for tax	25,851	176,806	Form 4
2026-08-04	Shaffer Charles M	director	Option exercise	28,544	202,657	Form 4
2026-07-31	GRIFFIN MICHAEL E	director	Award / grant	2,015	2,115	Form 4
2026-07-31	HUDSON DALE M	other	Award / grant	2,015	34,061	Form 4
2026-07-31	HUDSON DENNIS S III	director	Award / grant	2,015	218,869	Form 4
2026-07-31	Kay Kathleen B	director	Award / grant	2,015	2,047	Form 4
2026-07-31	Lipstein Robert J	director	Award / grant	2,015	10,627	Form 4
2026-07-31	MOORE RANDOLPH A III	director	Award / grant	2,015	2,015	Form 4
2026-07-31	Monserrat Alvaro	director	Award / grant	2,015	25,793	Form 4
2026-07-31	ROSSIN THOMAS E	director	Award / grant	2,015	34,061	Form 4
2026-07-31	SHEAROUSE JOSEPH B III	director	Award / grant	2,015	12,815	Form 4
2026-07-31	ARCZYNSKI DENNIS J	director	Award / grant	2,015	15,331	Form 4
2026-07-31	Arriola Eduardo J	director	Award / grant	2,015	4,259	Form 4
2026-07-31	Bradley Jacqueline Lynette	director	Award / grant	2,015	30,964	Form 4
2026-07-31	CULBRETH H GILBERT JR	director	Award / grant	2,015	51,998	Form 4
2026-07-31	FOGAL CHRISTOPHER E	director	Award / grant	2,015	34,763	Form 4
2026-07-31	GOEBEL MARYANN	director	Award / grant	2,015	33,729	Form 4
2026-07-31	DEXTER TRACEY	officer	Option exercise	1,650	1,192	Form 4
2026-07-31	DEXTER TRACEY	officer	Option exercise	1,650	46,031	Form 4
2026-07-09	CULBRETH H GILBERT JR	director	Award / grant	390	49,983	Form 4
2026-04-15	Kleffel Juliette	officer	Award / grant	11,820	11,820	Form 4
2026-04-15	DEXTER TRACEY	officer	Award / grant	3,294	3,294	Form 4
2026-04-15	FORLENZA JOSEPH M	officer	Award / grant	3,294	3,294	Form 4
2026-04-15	Carroll Austen	officer	Award / grant	14,146	14,146	Form 4
2026-04-15	STALLINGS JAMES C III	officer	Award / grant	3,100	3,100	Form 4
2026-04-15	Shaffer Charles M	director	Award / grant	15,503	15,503	Form 4
2026-04-08	CULBRETH H GILBERT JR	director	Award / grant	463	49,593	Form 4
2026-04-01	Shaffer Charles M	director	Withheld for tax	5,896	16,663	Form 4
2026-04-01	Shaffer Charles M	director	Withheld for tax	2,145	11,495	Form 4
2026-04-01	Shaffer Charles M	director	Withheld for tax	1,513	0	Form 4
2026-04-01	Kleffel Juliette	officer	Withheld for tax	1,286	6,385	Form 4
2026-04-01	Carroll Austen	officer	Withheld for tax	1,286	6,385	Form 4
2026-04-01	DEXTER TRACEY	officer	Withheld for tax	1,155	5,737	Form 4
2026-04-01	FORLENZA JOSEPH M	officer	Withheld for tax	971	4,820	Form 4
2026-04-01	STALLINGS JAMES C III	officer	Withheld for tax	734	3,647	Form 4
2026-04-01	Carroll Austen	officer	Withheld for tax	383	3,449	Form 4
2026-04-01	Kleffel Juliette	officer	Withheld for tax	383	3,449	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i