Issued 2026-09-16 at $2.92 · now $2.92 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SANA has typically landed between $1.92 and $4.66 — a range of −34.4% to +59.7% from the issuance price $2.92.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,388 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-02-04 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($2.92) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where SANA has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $2.92 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $2.92 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $2.75 (-5.9%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $2.25–$3.24
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $1.92–$4.66
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2022-01-04 | −50.4% | −50.4% | +0.0% |
| 2022-01-03 | −48.8% | −49.0% | +0.0% |
| 2021-12-23 | −48.0% | −48.0% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2024-12-19 | +111.2% | +0.0% | +141.2% |
| 2024-12-23 | +109.2% | −1.2% | +136.8% |
| 2024-12-18 | +106.5% | −5.3% | +128.4% |
1,388 overlapping windows · 2021-02-04 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-08 | FMR LLC | other | Sale | 164,912 @ $6.71 | $1.1M | −3.5% of holding | +63.3% | +149.0% | 4,542,511 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-08 | FMR LLC | other | Sale | 100,000 @ $6.11 | $611K | −2.1% of holding | +63.3% | +149.0% | 4,732,423 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-08 | FMR LLC | other | Sale | 25,000 @ $6.50 | $163K | −0.5% of holding | +63.3% | +149.0% | 4,707,423 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-08 | FMR LLC | other | Sale | 1,000 @ $7.26 | $7K | −0.0% of holding | +63.3% | +149.0% | 4,541,511 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
85 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | PATEL DHAVALKUMAR DHIRAJLAL | officer | Withheld for tax | 41,158 | 183,352 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | PATEL DHAVALKUMAR DHIRAJLAL | officer | Option exercise | 125,000 | 224,510 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | PATEL DHAVALKUMAR DHIRAJLAL | officer | Option exercise | 125,000 | 250,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-06 | Bishop Hans Edgar | director | Award / grant | 6,297 | 5,854,800 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | NELSEN ROBERT | director | Award / grant | 90,000 | 90,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | REICIN ALISE | director | Award / grant | 90,000 | 90,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Rosiello Robert L. | director | Award / grant | 90,000 | 90,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Yang Patrick Y | director | Award / grant | 90,000 | 90,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Seitz Michelle | director | Award / grant | 90,000 | 90,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Mulligan Richard | director | Award / grant | 90,000 | 90,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Bishop Hans Edgar | director | Award / grant | 90,000 | 90,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Bilenker Joshua H. | director | Award / grant | 90,000 | 90,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-06 | Bishop Hans Edgar | director | Award / grant | 7,763 | 5,848,503 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-09 | Harr Steve | director | Withheld for tax | 12,819 | 7,944,251 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-09 | Harr Steve | director | Withheld for tax | 11,526 | 7,957,070 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-09 | Wyrick Susan D. | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,342 | 197,241 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-09 | Wyrick Susan D. | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,045 | 196,196 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-07 | Wyrick Susan D. | officer | Option exercise | 3,250 | 200,583 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-07 | Harr Steve | director | Option exercise | 50,000 | 7,968,596 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-07 | Wyrick Susan D. | officer | Option exercise | 3,250 | 6,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-07 | Harr Steve | director | Option exercise | 50,000 | 100,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Wyrick Susan D. | officer | Option exercise | 10,416 | 197,333 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Wyrick Susan D. | officer | Option exercise | 10,416 | 31,251 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Harr Steve | director | Option exercise | 41,666 | 7,918,596 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Harr Steve | director | Option exercise | 41,666 | 125,001 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Wyrick Susan D. | officer | Award / grant | 45,833 | 45,833 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Harr Steve | director | Award / grant | 900,000 | 900,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Harr Steve | director | Award / grant | 200,000 | 200,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Wyrick Susan D. | officer | Award / grant | 206,250 | 206,250 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Wyrick Susan D. | officer | Withheld for tax | 491 | 186,917 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Wyrick Susan D. | officer | Option exercise | 1,525 | 1,525 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Wyrick Susan D. | officer | Option exercise | 1,525 | 187,408 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Piper Brian | officer | Award / grant | 200,000 | 200,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Piper Brian | officer | Award / grant | 900,000 | 900,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | Wyrick Susan D. | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,407 | 185,883 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | Bishop Hans Edgar | director | Award / grant | 6,157 | 5,840,740 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Wyrick Susan D. | officer | Option exercise | 7,500 | 188,290 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Wyrick Susan D. | officer | Option exercise | 7,500 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Wyrick Susan D. | officer | Option exercise | 7,500 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | Wyrick Susan D. | officer | Withheld for tax | 873 | 180,790 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.