SAICScience Applications International CorporationTechnology · Information Technology Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $132.62 · now $132.62 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SAIC has typically landed between $116.98 and $150.11 — a range of −11.8% to +13.2% from the issuance price $132.62.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

3,249 overlapping 1 month windows · 2013-09-16 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($132.62) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where SAIC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $132.62 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$116.98worst · -11.8%$150.11best · +13.2%
  • now $132.62 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $135.06 (+1.8%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $127.49–$142.64
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $116.98–$150.11
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,249 windows spanning 2013-09-16 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-20−45.5%−45.5%+0.0%
2020-02-21−45.3%−45.3%+0.0%
2020-02-18−43.1%−43.1%+1.0%
3 best
2020-03-23+55.2%+0.0%+58.7%
2020-03-18+52.3%−4.0%+52.3%
2020-03-20+49.3%−0.8%+57.4%

3,249 overlapping windows · 2013-09-16 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~13 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
54%
+0.4%
n=13
Feb
62%
+0.9%
n=13
Mar
62%
+1.3%
n=13
Apr
54%
+1.7%
n=13
May
77%
+2.5%
n=13
Jun
46%
+1.2%
n=13
Jul
69%
+2.7%
n=13
Aug
69%
+2.5%
n=13
Sep
31%
−4.4%
n=13
Oct
62%
+4.0%
n=13
Nov
77%
+3.4%
n=13
Dec
54%
−0.5%
n=13

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$134$822026-04-09: 1 insider purchase, $9K — Attili Srinivas2025-12-31: 1 insider purchase, $10K — Attili Srinivas2025-12-23: 1 insider purchase, $15K — DiFronzo Vincent P.2025-12-16: 3 insider purchases, $311K — Natarajan Prabu, REAGAN JAMES, Hageman Hilary2025-10-10: 1 insider purchase, $10K — Attili Srinivas2025-10: 1 open-market purchase, $10K2025-12: 5 open-market purchases, $337K2026-04: 1 open-market purchase, $9K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Attili Srinivas — Purchase on 2026-04-09, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Attili Srinivas — Purchase on 2025-12-31, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer DiFronzo Vincent P. — Purchase on 2025-12-23, filed 14 days after the tradeofficer Natarajan Prabu — Purchase on 2025-12-16, filed same daydirector REAGAN JAMES — Purchase on 2025-12-16, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Hageman Hilary — Purchase on 2025-12-16, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Attili Srinivas — Purchase on 2025-10-10, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-04-09Attili SrinivasofficerPurchase100 @ $94.96$9K+0.6% of holding−9.3%not yet — horizon still open17,656Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-31Attili SrinivasofficerPurchase100 @ $101.26$10K+0.7% of holding−1.4%+4.0%13,635Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-23DiFronzo Vincent P.officerPurchase150 @ $102.89$15K+3.3% of holding+1.3%+1.7%4,722Form 4 · filed 14 days after the trade
2025-12-16Natarajan PrabuofficerPurchase2,000 @ $100.49$201K+40.0% of holding+8.9%−8.1%7,000Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-16REAGAN JAMESdirectorPurchase1,000 @ $100.17$100K+3.9% of holding+8.9%−8.1%26,460Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-16Hageman HilaryofficerPurchase100 @ $100.21$10K+0.5% of holding+8.9%−8.1%19,006Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-10Attili SrinivasofficerPurchase100 @ $97.35$10K+0.7% of holding−9.4%−8.4%13,535Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-03Attili SrinivasofficerPurchase100 @ $102.03$10K+0.7% of holding+9.4%−29.7%14,572Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-04-14Graham GarthdirectorPurchase215 @ $116.75$25K+3.1% of holding−7.8%−40.2%7,159Form 4 · filed same day
2025-04-07Handlon Carolyn BdirectorPurchase230 @ $109.93$25K+6.0% of holding−0.2%−40.0%4,032Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-04Attili SrinivasofficerPurchase100 @ $111.75$11K+0.9% of holding−1.7%−41.0%11,636Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-04-02Tien John K JrdirectorPurchase215 @ $116.50$25K+30.5% of holding+1.9%−31.7%919Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-28Townes-Whitley TonidirectorPurchase1,404 @ $111.74$157K+3.2% of holding+8.4%−32.7%45,183Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-28Townes-Whitley TonidirectorPurchase596 @ $111.50$66K+1.4% of holding+8.4%−32.7%43,779Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-28REAGAN JAMESdirectorPurchase450 @ $112.10$50K+12.1% of holding+8.4%−32.7%4,167Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-27McGuirt Milford WdirectorPurchase500 @ $110.58$55K+7.9% of holding+11.8%−29.1%6,841Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-27MCFARLAND KATHARINA G.directorPurchase230 @ $109.86$25K+3.4% of holding+11.8%−29.1%7,094Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-26Natarajan PrabuofficerPurchase2,000 @ $109.55$219K+66.7% of holding+14.2%−27.1%5,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-26Supplee BarbaraofficerPurchase360 @ $109.61$39K+9.8% of holding+14.2%−27.1%4,026Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-26Hageman HilaryofficerPurchase100 @ $109.74$11K+0.6% of holding+14.2%−27.1%16,993Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-25DiFronzo Vincent P.officerPurchase597 @ $108.85$65K+15.0% of holding+18.0%−22.7%4,572Form 4 · filed same day
2025-01-13MCFARLAND KATHARINA G.directorSale3,239 @ $117.70$381K−32.1% of holding−15.9%−12.8%6,864Form 4 · filed same day
2024-12-17Attili SrinivasofficerPurchase100 @ $113.42$11K+0.9% of holding+5.0%−8.5%11,536Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-16DiFronzo Vincent P.officerPurchase150 @ $112.59$17K+2.1% of holding+2.6%−7.8%7,130Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-12-11Supplee BarbaraofficerPurchase425 @ $116.36$49K+13.5% of holding+7.0%−6.7%3,579Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

121 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-04DiFronzo Vincent P.officerAward / grant4,2106,477Form 4
2026-09-04Cush C. DaviddirectorAward / grant1,2201,220Form 4
2026-09-04Benson David CdirectorAward / grant1,2201,220Form 4
2026-07-02DiFronzo Vincent P.officerGift2,6829,856Form 4
2026-07-02DiFronzo Vincent P.officerGift2,6822,267Form 4
2026-06-06McCarthy Kathleen T.officerWithheld for tax1,23312,014Form 4
2026-06-03REAGAN JAMESdirectorWithheld for tax74246,950Form 4
2026-06-03Tien John K JrdirectorAward / grant1,8864,449Form 4
2026-06-03Urban DaviddirectorAward / grant1,8863,139Form 4
2026-06-03Eremenko PauldirectorAward / grant2,1742,174Form 4
2026-06-03Handlon Carolyn BdirectorAward / grant1,8867,562Form 4
2026-06-03MCFARLAND KATHARINA G.directorAward / grant1,88610,624Form 4
2026-06-03MOREA DONNA SdirectorAward / grant1,88637,040Form 4
2026-06-03McGuirt Milford WdirectorAward / grant1,88610,371Form 4
2026-06-03Rogers Michael ScottdirectorAward / grant2,1742,174Form 4
2026-06-03SHANE STEVEN RdirectorAward / grant1,88639,971Form 4
2026-06-02SHANE STEVEN RdirectorWithheld for tax1,94138,085Form 4
2026-06-02SHANE STEVEN RdirectorOption exercise2,87640,026Form 4
2026-06-02SHANE STEVEN RdirectorOption exercise2,8760Form 4
2026-04-07MOREA DONNA SdirectorWithheld for tax2,24335,154Form 4
2026-04-07MOREA DONNA SdirectorOption exercise2,87637,397Form 4
2026-04-07Natarajan PrabuofficerWithheld for tax83770,566Form 4
2026-04-07Hageman HilaryofficerWithheld for tax67026,618Form 4
2026-04-07Supplee BarbaraofficerWithheld for tax24511,060Form 4
2026-04-07DiFronzo Vincent P.officerWithheld for tax2344,949Form 4
2026-04-07MOREA DONNA SdirectorOption exercise2,8760Form 4
2026-04-05Natarajan PrabuofficerWithheld for tax79071,403Form 4
2026-04-05Hageman HilaryofficerWithheld for tax60427,288Form 4
2026-04-05Supplee BarbaraofficerWithheld for tax23311,275Form 4
2026-04-05DiFronzo Vincent P.officerWithheld for tax1955,183Form 4
2026-04-04Natarajan PrabuofficerWithheld for tax89572,193Form 4
2026-04-04Hageman HilaryofficerWithheld for tax68527,892Form 4
2026-04-04Supplee BarbaraofficerWithheld for tax39411,508Form 4
2026-04-04DiFronzo Vincent P.officerWithheld for tax3515,378Form 4
2026-04-04Attili SrinivasofficerWithheld for tax28517,556Form 4
2026-04-03REAGAN JAMESdirectorAward / grant31,54347,692Form 4
2026-04-03Hageman HilaryofficerAward / grant5,46828,577Form 4
2026-04-03Natarajan PrabuofficerAward / grant7,57173,088Form 4
2026-04-03Attili SrinivasofficerAward / grant4,20617,841Form 4
2026-04-03Supplee BarbaraofficerAward / grant4,62711,902Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.