RYZ · TickerCove

RYZRyerson Holding CorporationIndustrials · Manufacturing - Metal Fabricationas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $24.24 · now $24.24 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, RYZ has typically landed between $18.35 and $30.33 — a range of −24.3% to +25.1% from the issuance price $24.24.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

3,023 overlapping 1 month windows · 2014-08-08 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($24.24) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$24.24 · 41% of range

$19.43 low$31.03 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.6%

typical move · IQR 19.2%

−24.3%worst (p90)+25.1%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where RYZ has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $24.24 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $24.24 (+0.0%)
typical $24.64 (+1.6%)
middle 50% $22.31–$26.96
90% range $18.35–$30.33

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,023 windows spanning 2014-08-08 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-18	−54.2%	−54.2%	+0.0%
2020-03-05	−54.0%	−54.0%	+0.0%
2020-02-19	−51.4%	−54.2%	+0.0%
3 best
2016-02-10	+88.5%	−0.9%	+90.6%
2016-04-07	+86.5%	+0.0%	+86.5%
2016-11-08	+83.5%	+0.0%	+83.5%

3,023 overlapping windows · 2014-08-08 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~13 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

33%

−5.3%

n=12

Feb

58%

+2.7%

n=12

Mar

67%

+6.0%

n=12

Apr

67%

+6.6%

n=12

May

50%

+3.3%

n=12

Jun

58%

+2.1%

n=12

Jul

42%

+0.9%

n=12

Aug

33%

−1.8%

n=12

Sep

54%

+1.6%

n=13

Oct

50%

+4.9%

n=12

Nov

58%

+5.7%

n=12

Dec

58%

+1.4%

n=12

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-07-28	Kannan Molly D	officer	Sale	500 @ $32.00	$16K	−2.0% of holding	−22.4%	not yet — horizon still open	24,136	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-11	Kannan Molly D	officer	Sale	1,000 @ $30.00	$30K	−3.9% of holding	−7.1%	not yet — horizon still open	24,636	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-29	Kannan Molly D	officer	Sale	3,000 @ $28.42	$85K	−10.5% of holding	−12.3%	not yet — horizon still open	25,636	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-28	Silver Mark S.	officer	Sale	11,174 @ $27.91	$312K	−8.5% of holding	−8.7%	not yet — horizon still open	120,181	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-13	Kannan Molly D	officer	Sale	2,500 @ $26.18	$65K	−8.0% of holding	+16.7%	not yet — horizon still open	28,636	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

90 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-07-23	Kumbier Michelle	director	Award / grant	97	3,242	Form 4
2026-07-23	Kumbier Michelle	director	Award / grant	3,067	3,067	Form 4
2026-07-23	Leggio Karen Marie	director	Award / grant	97	5,369	Form 4
2026-07-23	Leggio Karen Marie	director	Award / grant	3,067	3,067	Form 4
2026-07-23	MARABITO RICHARD T	director	Award / grant	5,000	5,000	Form 4
2026-07-23	CALHOUN KIRK K	director	Award / grant	97	4,673	Form 4
2026-07-23	Stovsky Richard P	director	Award / grant	97	17,799	Form 4
2026-07-23	Stovsky Richard P	director	Award / grant	3,067	3,067	Form 4
2026-07-23	Crawford Bruce T	director	Award / grant	97	1,549	Form 4
2026-07-23	Crawford Bruce T	director	Award / grant	3,067	3,067	Form 4
2026-07-23	Scott Peter Jennings	director	Award / grant	97	8,903	Form 4
2026-07-23	Scott Peter Jennings	director	Award / grant	3,067	3,067	Form 4
2026-07-23	CARRUTHERS COURT D	director	Award / grant	97	6,173	Form 4
2026-07-23	CARRUTHERS COURT D	director	Award / grant	3,067	3,067	Form 4
2026-06-18	Silver Mark S.	officer	Award / grant	46	6,873	Form 4
2026-06-18	Claussen James J	officer	Award / grant	28	4,154	Form 4
2026-06-18	Claussen James J	officer	Award / grant	62	9,163	Form 4
2026-06-18	Claussen James J	officer	Award / grant	89	13,289	Form 4
2026-06-18	Greiff Andrew S	officer	Award / grant	79	11,822	Form 4
2026-06-18	Kannan Molly D	officer	Award / grant	14	2,077	Form 4
2026-06-18	Kannan Molly D	officer	Award / grant	31	4,581	Form 4
2026-06-18	Kannan Molly D	officer	Award / grant	45	6,645	Form 4
2026-06-18	Lehner Edward J.	director	Award / grant	88	13,054	Form 4
2026-06-18	Lehner Edward J.	director	Award / grant	169	25,197	Form 4
2026-06-18	Lehner Edward J.	director	Award / grant	246	36,546	Form 4
2026-06-18	MARABITO RICHARD T	director	Award / grant	109	16,256	Form 4
2026-06-18	Silver Mark S.	officer	Award / grant	20	2,967	Form 4
2026-06-18	Silver Mark S.	officer	Award / grant	67	9,967	Form 4
2026-04-10	Larson Stephen P.	director	Award / grant	462	96,993	Form 4
2026-04-10	Scott Peter Jennings	director	Award / grant	203	8,806	Form 4
2026-04-10	CALHOUN KIRK K	director	Award / grant	389	4,576	Form 4
2026-04-10	CARRUTHERS COURT D	director	Award / grant	389	6,076	Form 4
2026-04-10	Crawford Bruce T	director	Award / grant	389	1,452	Form 4
2026-04-10	Stovsky Richard P	director	Award / grant	203	17,702	Form 4
2026-04-10	Leggio Karen Marie	director	Award / grant	389	5,272	Form 4
2026-04-10	Kumbier Michelle	director	Award / grant	389	3,145	Form 4
2026-03-31	Lehner Edward J.	director	Withheld for tax	32,000	645,564	Form 4
2026-03-31	Claussen James J	officer	Withheld for tax	10,415	88,488	Form 4
2026-03-31	Silver Mark S.	officer	Withheld for tax	7,509	131,355	Form 4
2026-03-31	Kannan Molly D	officer	Withheld for tax	4,691	31,136	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i