RYN · TickerCove

RYNRayonier Inc.as of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $20.04 · now $20.04 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, RYN has typically landed between $17.88 and $22.13 — a range of −10.8% to +10.5% from the issuance price $20.04.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

4,673 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($20.04) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$20.04 · 15% of range

$19.26 low$24.44 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−0.2%

typical move · IQR 9.7%

−10.8%worst (p90)+10.5%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 2 sells · 2 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where RYN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $20.04 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $20.04 (+0.0%)
typical $20 (-0.2%)
middle 50% $19.03–$20.97
90% range $17.88–$22.13

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,673 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2008-09-26	−43.0%	−43.0%	+0.0%
2008-09-25	−41.1%	−41.1%	+1.7%
2020-02-13	−35.4%	−36.0%	+1.4%
3 best
2009-03-06	+44.4%	−1.5%	+44.4%
2009-03-11	+41.2%	+0.0%	+41.2%
2009-03-05	+40.8%	+0.0%	+40.8%

4,673 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

67%

+1.6%

n=18

Feb

58%

+0.3%

n=19

Mar

53%

+3.1%

n=19

Apr

53%

+1.8%

n=19

May

47%

−0.5%

n=19

Jun

53%

−0.0%

n=19

Jul

74%

+3.0%

n=19

Aug

37%

−1.0%

n=19

Sep

42%

−1.7%

n=19

Oct

44%

−2.6%

n=18

Nov

72%

+2.6%

n=18

Dec

61%

+0.7%

n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-10	Bridwell Mark R	officer	Sale	5,318 @ $20.19	$107K	−3.9% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	131,661	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-20	WASECHEK WAYNE	officer	Sale	2,920 @ $21.17	$62K	−2.5% of holding	−10.2%	not yet — horizon still open	115,530	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-27	CREMERS ERIC J	director	Sale	169,200 @ $21.44	$3.6M	−19.3% of holding	+4.7%	−14.9%	709,583	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-19	CORR CHRISTOPHER T	officer	Sale	14,255 @ $21.12	$301K	−19.9% of holding	+0.5%	−15.1%	57,290	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

121 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-28	BASS KEITH E	director	Award / grant	1,136	46,314	Form 4
2026-05-29	BASS KEITH E	director	Award / grant	1,047	45,178	Form 4
2026-05-15	COVEY MICHAEL J	director	Award / grant	6,811	238,389	Form 4
2026-05-15	Gonsalves Gregg A	director	Award / grant	6,811	22,681	Form 4
2026-05-15	SULLIVAN LENORE M	director	Award / grant	6,811	67,472	Form 4
2026-05-15	Jones Scott R.	director	Award / grant	6,811	50,439	Form 4
2026-05-15	LELAND D MARK	director	Award / grant	6,811	64,007	Form 4
2026-05-15	Nelson Ann C	director	Award / grant	6,811	44,614	Form 4
2026-05-15	Breard Linda M.	director	Award / grant	6,811	66,514	Form 4
2026-05-15	BASS KEITH E	director	Award / grant	6,811	44,131	Form 4
2026-04-03	McHugh Mark	director	Withheld for tax	1,929	405,365	Form 4
2026-04-03	Rogers W. Rhett	officer	Withheld for tax	965	125,917	Form 4
2026-04-03	Bridwell Mark R	officer	Withheld for tax	817	136,979	Form 4
2026-04-03	CORR CHRISTOPHER T	officer	Withheld for tax	534	86,166	Form 4
2026-04-03	Tice April J.	officer	Withheld for tax	372	79,553	Form 4
2026-04-01	McHugh Mark	director	Withheld for tax	7,716	416,550	Form 4
2026-04-01	McHugh Mark	director	Withheld for tax	4,968	407,294	Form 4
2026-04-01	McHugh Mark	director	Withheld for tax	4,288	412,262	Form 4
2026-04-01	Rogers W. Rhett	officer	Withheld for tax	3,858	129,342	Form 4
2026-04-01	Bridwell Mark R	officer	Withheld for tax	3,265	139,678	Form 4
2026-04-01	CORR CHRISTOPHER T	officer	Withheld for tax	2,137	87,954	Form 4
2026-04-01	Tice April J.	officer	Withheld for tax	1,484	82,303	Form 4
2026-04-01	McHugh Mark	director	Withheld for tax	1,412	424,266	Form 4
2026-04-01	Rogers W. Rhett	officer	Withheld for tax	1,361	126,882	Form 4
2026-04-01	Tice April J.	officer	Withheld for tax	1,317	79,925	Form 4
2026-04-01	Rogers W. Rhett	officer	Withheld for tax	1,099	128,243	Form 4
2026-04-01	Tice April J.	officer	Withheld for tax	1,061	81,242	Form 4
2026-04-01	Bridwell Mark R	officer	Withheld for tax	1,010	137,796	Form 4
2026-04-01	Bridwell Mark R	officer	Withheld for tax	872	138,806	Form 4
2026-04-01	CORR CHRISTOPHER T	officer	Withheld for tax	685	86,700	Form 4
2026-04-01	Rogers W. Rhett	officer	Withheld for tax	589	133,200	Form 4
2026-04-01	CORR CHRISTOPHER T	officer	Withheld for tax	569	87,385	Form 4
2026-04-01	Bridwell Mark R	officer	Withheld for tax	530	142,943	Form 4
2026-04-01	CORR CHRISTOPHER T	officer	Withheld for tax	353	90,091	Form 4
2026-04-01	Tice April J.	officer	Withheld for tax	236	83,787	Form 4
2026-03-20	Daniels Ryan M.	officer	Award / grant	10,256	54,600	Form 4
2026-02-27	BASS KEITH E	director	Award / grant	1,017	37,320	Form 4
2026-02-02	Rogers W. Rhett	officer	Award / grant	3,877	133,789	Form 4
2026-02-02	Tice April J.	officer	Award / grant	111	84,023	Form 4
2026-02-02	McHugh Mark	director	Award / grant	17,058	425,678	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iiDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks

Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

Member	Chamber	Type	Filed	Traded	Size
Angus King	Senate	sale	2014-12-12	2014-11-10	$1–15K
Mr. Richard L. Hanna	House	sale	2014-09-16	2014-08-19	$100–250K

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Seasonality · by month i