Issued 2026-09-16 at $3.48 · now $3.48 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, RXT has typically landed between $2.27 and $4.87 — a range of −34.8% to +40.0% from the issuance price $3.48.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,513 overlapping 1 month windows · 2020-08-05 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($3.48) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where RXT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $3.48 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $3.48 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $3.35 (-3.7%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $2.89–$3.81
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $2.27–$4.87
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-03-03 | −60.5% | −60.5% | +0.0% |
| 2026-03-04 | −60.4% | −60.4% | +0.0% |
| 2026-03-05 | −60.2% | −60.2% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-04-09 | +521.0% | +0.0% | +521.0% |
| 2026-04-15 | +492.7% | +0.0% | +492.7% |
| 2026-04-13 | +427.5% | +0.0% | +427.5% |
1,513 overlapping windows · 2020-08-05 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~7 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | TEAL-GUESS KELLIE | officer | Sale | 33,558 @ $3.13 | $105K | −2.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,285,176 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-04 | Kandiah Gajakarnan Vibushanan | director | Sale | 498,728 @ $3.21 | $1.6M | −11.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 3,684,955 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-02 | SINHA DHARMENDRA KUMAR | officer | Sale | 107,002 @ $2.95 | $316K | −3.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 3,263,429 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-02 | Marino Mark A. | officer | Sale | 51,373 @ $2.95 | $152K | −1.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 2,865,853 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-02 | Kandiah Gajakarnan Vibushanan | director | Sale | 8,258 @ $2.95 | $24K | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,183,683 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-14 | Scott Anthony | director | Sale | 48,780 @ $4.25 | $208K | −21.3% of holding | −18.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 180,215 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-04 | Marino Mark A. | officer | Sale | 48,099 @ $5.56 | $267K | −1.6% of holding | +21.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,917,226 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-04 | SINHA DHARMENDRA KUMAR | officer | Sale | 48,099 @ $5.56 | $267K | −1.4% of holding | +21.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,370,431 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-04 | TEAL-GUESS KELLIE | officer | Sale | 33,966 @ $5.56 | $189K | −2.5% of holding | +21.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,318,734 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-18 | TEAL-GUESS KELLIE | officer | Sale | 113,232 @ $5.12 | $580K | −11.1% of holding | +56.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 909,152 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-18 | SINHA DHARMENDRA KUMAR | officer | Sale | 188,123 @ $1.81 | $341K | −7.6% of holding | −28.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,276,057 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-18 | Marino Mark A. | officer | Sale | 14,058 @ $1.81 | $25K | −0.6% of holding | −28.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,158,874 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-02 | SINHA DHARMENDRA KUMAR | officer | Sale | 45,393 @ $1.81 | $82K | −1.8% of holding | −50.9% | +28.6% | 2,464,180 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-02 | TEAL-GUESS KELLIE | officer | Sale | 21,266 @ $1.81 | $38K | −2.0% of holding | −50.9% | +28.6% | 1,022,384 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-02 | Marino Mark A. | officer | Sale | 20,183 @ $1.81 | $37K | −0.9% of holding | −50.9% | +28.6% | 2,172,932 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-23 | Marino Mark A. | officer | Sale | 234,683 @ $1.63 | $383K | −9.7% of holding | −9.3% | +115.4% | 2,193,115 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-01 | SINHA DHARMENDRA KUMAR | officer | Sale | 59,322 @ $1.01 | $60K | −2.3% of holding | −5.3% | +352.7% | 2,509,573 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | TEAL-GUESS KELLIE | officer | Sale | 18,301 @ $1.01 | $18K | −1.7% of holding | −5.3% | +352.7% | 1,043,650 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-28 | SINHA DHARMENDRA KUMAR | officer | Sale | 91,151 @ $1.04 | $95K | −3.4% of holding | −7.6% | +415.9% | 2,568,895 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-15 | Maletira Amar | director | Sale | 1,780,619 @ $1.35 | $2.4M | −27.9% of holding | +5.4% | +30.3% | 4,608,619 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-08 | Scott Anthony | director | Sale | 40,000 @ $1.43 | $57K | −17.3% of holding | −6.2% | +16.8% | 191,045 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-17 | Maletira Amar | director | Sale | 521,840 @ $1.87 | $976K | −10.7% of holding | −27.4% | −47.8% | 4,368,328 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-17 | SINHA DHARMENDRA KUMAR | officer | Sale | 176,374 @ $1.87 | $330K | −7.7% of holding | −27.4% | −47.8% | 2,117,455 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-17 | Koushik Srini | officer | Sale | 73,972 @ $1.87 | $138K | −7.3% of holding | −27.4% | −47.8% | 935,114 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-17 | Marino Mark A. | officer | Sale | 20,217 @ $1.87 | $38K | −1.0% of holding | −27.4% | −47.8% | 1,917,446 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-03 | Maletira Amar | director | Sale | 38,355 @ $2.37 | $91K | −0.8% of holding | −25.9% | −50.4% | 4,890,168 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-03 | SINHA DHARMENDRA KUMAR | officer | Sale | 17,480 @ $2.37 | $41K | −0.8% of holding | −25.9% | −50.4% | 2,293,829 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-03 | Koushik Srini | officer | Sale | 9,165 @ $2.37 | $22K | −0.9% of holding | −25.9% | −50.4% | 1,009,086 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-03 | TEAL-GUESS KELLIE | officer | Sale | 5,412 @ $2.37 | $13K | −0.6% of holding | −25.9% | −50.4% | 883,816 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-28 | Marino Mark A. | officer | Sale | 94,571 @ $2.34 | $221K | −4.5% of holding | −23.1% | −56.0% | 1,995,033 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-24 | Marino Mark A. | officer | Sale | 202,230 @ $2.61 | $528K | −10.6% of holding | −29.0% | −62.6% | 1,713,126 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-27 | Marino Mark A. | officer | Sale | 14,458 @ $2.34 | $34K | −0.7% of holding | +11.4% | −52.6% | 1,915,356 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-03 | Maletira Amar | director | Sale | 55,461 @ $2.54 | $141K | −1.1% of holding | −7.6% | −52.3% | 4,928,523 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-03 | SINHA DHARMENDRA KUMAR | officer | Sale | 23,357 @ $2.54 | $59K | −1.0% of holding | −7.6% | −52.3% | 2,311,309 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-03 | Lillie Brian | director | Sale | 20,165 @ $2.54 | $51K | −1.0% of holding | −7.6% | −52.3% | 1,987,623 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-03 | Koushik Srini | officer | Sale | 8,028 @ $2.54 | $20K | −0.8% of holding | −7.6% | −52.3% | 1,018,251 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-03 | TEAL-GUESS KELLIE | officer | Sale | 6,993 @ $2.54 | $18K | −0.8% of holding | −7.6% | −52.3% | 889,228 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
42 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | Roberts Anthony C. | director | Withheld for tax | 35,472 | 177,513 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Roberts Anthony C. | director | Award / grant | 37,950 | 215,463 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Garber Mitchell Alan | director | Award / grant | 37,950 | 411,810 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | BENJAMIN JEFFREY D | director | Award / grant | 71,156 | 636,318 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Scott Anthony | director | Award / grant | 37,950 | 228,995 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Kandiah Gajakarnan Vibushanan | director | Withheld for tax | 8,059 | 4,191,941 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-03 | TEAL-GUESS KELLIE | officer | Award / grant | 443,548 | 1,352,700 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-03 | Marino Mark A. | officer | Award / grant | 806,451 | 2,965,325 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-03 | SINHA DHARMENDRA KUMAR | officer | Award / grant | 1,142,473 | 3,418,530 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-03 | Kandiah Gajakarnan Vibushanan | director | Award / grant | 200,000 | 4,200,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | Marino Mark A. | officer | Withheld for tax | 18,561 | 2,427,798 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-13 | Maletira Amar | director | Award / grant | 482,598 | 6,389,238 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-04 | Kandiah Gajakarnan Vibushanan | director | Award / grant | 4,000,000 | 4,000,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-04 | Kandiah Gajakarnan Vibushanan | director | Award / grant | 6,000,000 | 6,000,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-01 | Maletira Amar | director | Withheld for tax | 128,060 | 5,906,640 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-01 | SINHA DHARMENDRA KUMAR | officer | Withheld for tax | 55,917 | 2,660,046 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-01 | Koushik Srini | officer | Withheld for tax | 28,438 | 1,338,459 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-01 | Marino Mark A. | officer | Withheld for tax | 18,562 | 2,446,359 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-01 | TEAL-GUESS KELLIE | officer | Withheld for tax | 17,236 | 1,061,951 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-15 | Koushik Srini | officer | Withheld for tax | 11,477 | 1,366,897 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-18 | SINHA DHARMENDRA KUMAR | officer | Withheld for tax | 147,961 | 2,715,963 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-20 | Roberts Anthony C. | director | Withheld for tax | 24,416 | 212,985 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-20 | ATKINS BETSY S | director | Award / grant | 75,471 | 231,045 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-20 | Roberts Anthony C. | director | Award / grant | 75,471 | 237,401 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-20 | Gross Mark | director | Award / grant | 75,471 | 168,095 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-20 | Samant Shashank | director | Award / grant | 75,471 | 389,552 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-20 | Garber Mitchell Alan | director | Award / grant | 75,471 | 373,860 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-20 | Scott Anthony | director | Award / grant | 75,471 | 231,045 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-20 | BENJAMIN JEFFREY D | director | Award / grant | 94,338 | 565,162 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-01 | Maletira Amar | director | Withheld for tax | 126,080 | 6,034,700 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-01 | SINHA DHARMENDRA KUMAR | officer | Withheld for tax | 55,917 | 2,863,924 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-01 | Koushik Srini | officer | Withheld for tax | 28,438 | 1,378,374 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-01 | Marino Mark A. | officer | Withheld for tax | 18,562 | 2,464,921 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-01 | TEAL-GUESS KELLIE | officer | Withheld for tax | 17,236 | 1,079,187 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-17 | TEAL-GUESS KELLIE | officer | Withheld for tax | 99,213 | 784,603 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-04 | TEAL-GUESS KELLIE | officer | Award / grant | 311,320 | 1,095,923 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-04 | Marino Mark A. | officer | Award / grant | 566,037 | 2,483,483 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-04 | SINHA DHARMENDRA KUMAR | officer | Award / grant | 801,886 | 2,919,341 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-04 | Maletira Amar | director | Award / grant | 1,792,452 | 6,160,780 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-04 | Koushik Srini | officer | Award / grant | 471,698 | 1,406,812 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.