Issued 2026-09-16 at $5.40 · now $5.40 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, RXST has typically landed between $4.14 and $6.88 — a range of −23.2% to +27.5% from the issuance price $5.40.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,267 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-07-30 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($5.40) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where RXST has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $5.4 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $5.4 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $5.33 (-1.4%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $4.67–$5.98
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $4.14–$6.88
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2025-06-10 | −49.0% | −49.3% | +0.0% |
| 2025-06-13 | −48.8% | −48.8% | +0.0% |
| 2025-06-11 | −48.1% | −48.1% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2022-05-09 | +55.1% | +0.0% | +55.1% |
| 2023-11-13 | +53.7% | +0.0% | +53.7% |
| 2025-11-05 | +51.4% | +0.0% | +51.4% |
1,267 overlapping windows · 2021-07-30 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Wilterding Mark | officer | Sale | 7,765 @ $6.96 | $54K | −23.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 25,049 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-02 | Kurtz Ronald M MD | director | Sale | 5,100 @ $6.96 | $35K | −6.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 71,775 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-02 | Goldshleger Ilya | officer | Sale | 2,041 @ $6.96 | $14K | −2.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 81,509 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-02 | Weinberg Eric | officer | Sale | 2,041 @ $6.96 | $14K | −1.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 200,348 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-12 | Fountain Tamara | director | Sale | 7,000 @ $25.71 | $180K | −22.0% of holding | −39.7% | −82.2% | 24,793 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-22 | Maniar Shweta | director | Sale | 3,519 @ $30.87 | $109K | −32.3% of holding | −6.2% | −80.4% | 7,383 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-16 | Corley Jesse Anderson | director | Purchase | 1,767 @ $31.13 | $55K | +122.5% of holding | −4.6% | −83.3% | 3,210 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-15 | Corley Jesse Anderson | director | Purchase | 1,443 @ $31.18 | $45K | ownership Δ n/a | −7.7% | −83.0% | 1,443 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
213 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Weinberg Eric | officer | Option exercise | 35,168 | 235,516 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Weinberg Eric | officer | Option exercise | 35,168 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Weinberg Eric | officer | Award / grant | 82,608 | 82,608 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Kurtz Ronald M MD | director | Disposition | 149,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Kurtz Ronald M MD | director | Disposition | 215,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Kurtz Ronald M MD | director | Award / grant | 254,751 | 254,751 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Kurtz Ronald M MD | director | Award / grant | 173,913 | 173,913 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Kurtz Ronald M MD | director | Award / grant | 96,129 | 96,129 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Kurtz Ronald M MD | director | Award / grant | 161,654 | 161,654 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Weinberg Eric | officer | Disposition | 87,437 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Weinberg Eric | officer | Disposition | 95,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Weinberg Eric | officer | Disposition | 92,200 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Weinberg Eric | officer | Disposition | 50,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Weinberg Eric | officer | Disposition | 125,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Weinberg Eric | officer | Award / grant | 65,742 | 65,742 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Weinberg Eric | officer | Award / grant | 82,608 | 82,608 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Weinberg Eric | officer | Award / grant | 59,483 | 59,483 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Weinberg Eric | officer | Award / grant | 32,258 | 32,258 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Weinberg Eric | officer | Award / grant | 93,984 | 93,984 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Wilterding Mark | officer | Disposition | 258,770 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Wilterding Mark | officer | Award / grant | 258,770 | 258,770 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Goldshleger Ilya | officer | Disposition | 98,367 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Goldshleger Ilya | officer | Disposition | 120,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Goldshleger Ilya | officer | Disposition | 92,200 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Goldshleger Ilya | officer | Disposition | 50,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Goldshleger Ilya | officer | Disposition | 125,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Goldshleger Ilya | officer | Award / grant | 73,960 | 73,960 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Goldshleger Ilya | officer | Award / grant | 104,347 | 104,347 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Goldshleger Ilya | officer | Award / grant | 59,483 | 59,483 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Goldshleger Ilya | officer | Award / grant | 32,258 | 32,258 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Goldshleger Ilya | officer | Award / grant | 93,984 | 93,984 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Wilterding Mark | officer | Disposition | 258,770 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Wilterding Mark | officer | Award / grant | 258,770 | 258,770 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Weinberg Eric | officer | Disposition | 87,437 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Weinberg Eric | officer | Disposition | 95,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Weinberg Eric | officer | Disposition | 92,200 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Weinberg Eric | officer | Disposition | 50,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Weinberg Eric | officer | Disposition | 125,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Weinberg Eric | officer | Award / grant | 65,742 | 65,742 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Weinberg Eric | officer | Award / grant | 82,608 | 82,608 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.