Issued 2026-09-16 at $49.01 · now $49.01 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, RUSHA has typically landed between $43.40 and $56.87 — a range of −11.4% to +16.0% from the issuance price $49.01.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($49.01) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where RUSHA has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $49.01 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $49.01 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $49.76 (+1.5%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $46.84–$52.67
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $43.4–$56.87
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-09-23 | −46.6% | −46.6% | +0.0% |
| 2008-09-26 | −46.4% | −46.4% | +0.0% |
| 2008-09-16 | −45.9% | −45.9% | +0.9% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-03-05 | +66.7% | −0.8% | +69.5% |
| 2009-03-09 | +63.2% | +0.0% | +70.9% |
| 2009-03-11 | +62.3% | +0.0% | +62.3% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | RUSH WILLIAM M RUSTY | director | Sale | 71,574 @ $81.05 | $5.8M | −29.1% of holding | −40.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 174,155 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-03 | McRoberts Michael | director | Sale | 6,500 @ $81.44 | $529K | −28.6% of holding | −40.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 16,229 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Goldstone Michael L | officer | Sale | 2,100 @ $81.30 | $171K | −14.3% of holding | −40.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,590 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-31 | Keller Steven L | officer | Sale | 20,678 @ $80.73 | $1.7M | −19.7% of holding | −6.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 84,374 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-31 | RUSH WILLIAM M RUSTY | director | Sale | 7,176 @ $80.76 | $580K | −4.0% of holding | −6.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 174,155 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-30 | Goldstone Michael L | officer | Sale | 2,400 @ $81.05 | $195K | −16.0% of holding | −8.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,590 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-30 | Keller Steven L | officer | Sale | 1,822 @ $81.12 | $148K | −2.1% of holding | −8.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 84,374 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-30 | McRoberts Michael | director | Sale | 8,000 @ $72.23 | $578K | −33.0% of holding | −14.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 16,229 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Chess Raymond Joseph | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $65.05 | $651K | −19.5% of holding | +9.6% | −36.6% | 41,171 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-19 | Pollard Jody | officer | Sale | 11,250 @ $71.92 | $809K | −76.9% of holding | −9.3% | −6.8% | 3,385 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-19 | McRoberts Michael | director | Sale | 8,000 @ $70.81 | $566K | −33.0% of holding | −9.3% | −6.8% | 16,229 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-19 | Goldstone Michael L | officer | Sale | 4,500 @ $71.86 | $323K | −26.3% of holding | −9.3% | −6.8% | 12,590 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-22 | Goldstone Michael L | officer | Sale | 4,500 @ $57.25 | $258K | −26.5% of holding | −4.0% | +18.3% | 12,510 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-12 | Wilder Jason | officer | Sale | 4,980 @ $55.55 | $277K | −5.9% of holding | −2.0% | +19.3% | 79,692 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-04 | McRoberts Michael | director | Sale | 6,000 @ $54.64 | $328K | −27.6% of holding | +2.3% | +14.4% | 15,771 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-19 | Wilder Jason | officer | Sale | 748 @ $56.08 | $42K | −0.9% of holding | −5.6% | −22.1% | 84,672 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-16 | Goldstone Michael L | officer | Sale | 4,500 @ $52.10 | $234K | −26.5% of holding | −6.4% | −22.6% | 12,510 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-16 | Wilder Jason | officer | Sale | 483 @ $56.39 | $27K | −0.6% of holding | −6.4% | −22.6% | 85,420 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-25 | Pollard Jody | officer | Sale | 11,250 @ $56.43 | $635K | −78.3% of holding | +2.1% | −5.9% | 3,117 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-02-20 | McRoberts Michael | director | Sale | 4,000 @ $58.52 | $234K | −20.2% of holding | −0.7% | −7.3% | 15,771 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
111 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Mendoza Elaine | director | Gift | 750 | 18,931 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | RUSH WILLIAM M RUSTY | director | Option exercise | 71,574 | 245,729 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | McRoberts Michael | director | Option exercise | 6,500 | 22,729 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | Goldstone Michael L | officer | Option exercise | 2,100 | 14,690 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | McRoberts Michael | director | Option exercise | 6,500 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | RUSH WILLIAM M RUSTY | director | Option exercise | 71,574 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | Goldstone Michael L | officer | Option exercise | 2,100 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | Keller Steven L | officer | Option exercise | 20,678 | 105,052 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | RUSH WILLIAM M RUSTY | director | Option exercise | 7,176 | 181,331 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | Keller Steven L | officer | Option exercise | 20,678 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | RUSH WILLIAM M RUSTY | director | Option exercise | 7,176 | 71,574 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-30 | Goldstone Michael L | officer | Option exercise | 2,400 | 14,990 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-30 | Keller Steven L | officer | Option exercise | 1,822 | 86,196 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-30 | Goldstone Michael L | officer | Option exercise | 2,400 | 2,100 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-30 | Keller Steven L | officer | Option exercise | 1,822 | 20,678 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | CARY WILLIAM H | director | Award / grant | 1,268 | 32,765 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Akin Thomas A | director | Award / grant | 2,113 | 324,180 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | CLARKE TROY A | director | Award / grant | 2,113 | 18,430 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Boerger Amy | director | Award / grant | 1,268 | 6,997 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Guglielmo Kennon | director | Award / grant | 2,113 | 74,186 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Mendoza Elaine | director | Award / grant | 1,268 | 19,681 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chess Raymond Joseph | director | Award / grant | 1,585 | 42,756 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-30 | McRoberts Michael | director | Option exercise | 8,000 | 24,229 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-30 | McRoberts Michael | director | Option exercise | 8,000 | 6,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | RUSH WILLIAM M RUSTY | director | Withheld for tax | 13,773 | 839,571 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | RUSH WILLIAM M RUSTY | director | Withheld for tax | 9,182 | 830,389 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | McRoberts Michael | director | Withheld for tax | 7,643 | 85,298 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | McRoberts Michael | director | Withheld for tax | 7,508 | 92,941 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Keller Steven L | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,329 | 271,267 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Wilder Jason | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,719 | 97,973 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Pollard Jody | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,424 | 178,178 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Keller Steven L | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,280 | 267,987 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Wilder Jason | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,479 | 95,494 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Pollard Jody | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,283 | 175,895 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Goldstone Michael L | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,079 | 72,990 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Goldstone Michael L | officer | Withheld for tax | 971 | 74,069 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | RUSH WILLIAM M RUSTY | director | Withheld for tax | 9,182 | 821,207 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | McRoberts Michael | director | Withheld for tax | 4,895 | 80,403 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | Keller Steven L | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,281 | 264,706 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | Wilder Jason | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,024 | 92,470 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.