RUMRumble Inc.Communication Services · Internet Content & Informationas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $8.30 · now $8.30 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, RUM has typically landed between $6.18 and $12.00 — a range of −25.5% to +44.6% from the issuance price $8.30.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,340 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-04-15 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($8.30) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where RUM has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $8.3 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$6.18worst · -25.5%$12best · +44.6%
  • now $8.3 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $8.13 (-2.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $7.28–$8.99
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $6.18–$12
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,340 windows spanning 2021-04-15 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2022-09-19−45.7%−48.2%+0.0%
2022-09-22−45.1%−46.4%+1.7%
2022-11-07−43.2%−44.0%+0.0%
3 best
2024-11-22+150.7%+0.0%+150.7%
2024-01-18+116.7%+0.0%+132.3%
2024-01-17+110.8%−3.9%+123.3%

1,340 overlapping windows · 2021-04-15 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
60%
+22.8%
n=5
Feb
20%
−9.6%
n=5
Mar
40%
+2.8%
n=5
Apr
60%
+5.8%
n=5
May
50%
+6.1%
n=6
Jun
0%
−9.8%
n=6
Jul
33%
−0.4%
n=6
Aug
33%
+6.8%
n=6
Sep
17%
−7.6%
n=6
Oct
40%
−1.8%
n=5
Nov
40%
−0.5%
n=5
Dec
60%
+10.3%
n=5

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$10$52026-06-17: 1 insider purchase, $36.2M — Tether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A.2026-02-06: 1 insider purchase, $243K — Tether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A.2026-02-05: 1 insider purchase, $2.9M — Tether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A.2026-02-03: 1 insider purchase, $1.1M — Tether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A.2025-11-21: 1 insider purchase, $1.5M — Tether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A.2025-11-20: 1 insider purchase, $2.4M — Tether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A.2025-11-19: 1 insider purchase, $1.9M — Tether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A.2025-11: 3 open-market purchases, $5.8M2026-02: 3 open-market purchases, $4.2M2026-06: 1 open-market purchase, $36.2M↑ buys↓ salestenPercentOwner Tether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A. — Purchase on 2026-06-17, filed 5 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Tether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A. — Purchase on 2026-02-06, filed same daytenPercentOwner Tether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A. — Purchase on 2026-02-05, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner Tether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A. — Purchase on 2026-02-03, filed 3 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Tether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A. — Purchase on 2025-11-21, filed same daytenPercentOwner Tether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A. — Purchase on 2025-11-20, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner Tether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A. — Purchase on 2025-11-19, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-06-17Tether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A.tenPercentOwnerPurchase4,599,365 @ $7.88$36.2M+8.9% of holding−20.4%not yet — horizon still open56,143,764Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-02-06Tether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A.tenPercentOwnerPurchase44,355 @ $5.48$243K+0.0% of holding−7.6%−5.1%105,174,015Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-05Tether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A.tenPercentOwnerPurchase538,955 @ $5.41$2.9M+0.5% of holding−0.8%+4.7%105,129,660Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-03Tether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A.tenPercentOwnerPurchase193,702 @ $5.49$1.1M+0.2% of holding+0.1%−3.1%104,590,705Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-21Tether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A.tenPercentOwnerPurchase270,478 @ $5.46$1.5M+0.3% of holding+17.3%+56.8%104,397,003Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-20Tether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A.tenPercentOwnerPurchase440,000 @ $5.38$2.4M+0.4% of holding+27.8%+51.8%104,126,525Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-19Tether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A.tenPercentOwnerPurchase353,192 @ $5.45$1.9M+0.3% of holding+23.8%+37.6%103,686,525Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-07Milnes RyandirectorSale24,978,210 @ $7.50$187.3M−100.0% of holding−31.4%−42.8%0Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-07Arsov RobertdirectorSale12,350,025 @ $7.50$92.6M−70.6% of holding−31.4%−42.8%5,149,566Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-07Pavlovski ChristopherdirectorSale9,636,434 @ $7.50$72.3M−100.0% of holding−31.4%−42.8%0Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-07Alexandroff BrandonofficerSale6,828,420 @ $7.50$51.2M−99.1% of holding−31.4%−42.8%64,210Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-07Ramolo ClaudioofficerSale4,812,646 @ $7.50$36.1M−99.7% of holding−31.4%−42.8%14,283Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-07Hlibowicki WojciechofficerSale3,817,165 @ $7.50$28.6M−99.9% of holding−31.4%−42.8%4,592Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-07Hlibowicki WojciechofficerSale3,096,802 @ $7.50$23.2M−100.0% of holding−31.4%−42.8%0Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-07Alexandroff BrandonofficerSale2,043,839 @ $7.50$15.3M−100.0% of holding−31.4%−42.8%0Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-07Ramolo ClaudioofficerSale1,457,085 @ $7.50$10.9M−100.0% of holding−31.4%−42.8%0Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-07Pavlovski ChristopherdirectorSale354,849 @ $7.50$2.7M−40.4% of holding−31.4%−42.8%522,927Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-07Hughes TylerofficerSale312,727 @ $7.50$2.3M−82.8% of holding−31.4%−42.8%65,127Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

117 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-02Tether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A.tenPercentOwnerOther acquisition16,744,30716,744,307Form 4
2026-09-02Tether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A.tenPercentOwnerOther acquisition16,744,30716,744,307Form 4
2026-09-02Tether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A.tenPercentOwnerOther acquisition16,744,30716,744,307Form 4
2026-09-02Tether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A.tenPercentOwnerOther acquisition16,744,30716,744,307Form 4
2026-09-02Tether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A.tenPercentOwnerOther acquisition16,744,30716,744,307Form 4
2026-09-02Tether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A.tenPercentOwnerOther acquisition16,744,30716,744,307Form 4
2026-09-02Tether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A.tenPercentOwnerOther acquisition16,744,30716,744,307Form 4
2026-06-30Masci MichaelofficerWithheld for tax9,331319,060Form 4
2026-06-29CAPPUCCIO PAUL TdirectorOption exercise62,767158,540Form 4
2026-06-29CAPPUCCIO PAUL TdirectorOption exercise62,76730,849Form 4
2026-06-18Tether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A.tenPercentOwnerOther acquisition46,719,91046,719,910Form 4
2026-06-17Tether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A.tenPercentOwnerOther acquisition51,544,39951,544,399Form 4
2026-06-17Tether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A.tenPercentOwnerOther acquisition36,703,354141,877,369Form 4
2026-06-17Tether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A.tenPercentOwnerOther acquisition51,544,39951,544,399Form 4
2026-06-17Tether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A.tenPercentOwnerOther acquisition36,703,354141,877,369Form 4
2026-06-17Tether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A.tenPercentOwnerOther acquisition51,544,39951,544,399Form 4
2026-06-17Tether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A.tenPercentOwnerOther acquisition36,703,354141,877,369Form 4
2026-06-17Tether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A.tenPercentOwnerOther acquisition51,544,39951,544,399Form 4
2026-06-17Tether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A.tenPercentOwnerOther acquisition36,703,354141,877,369Form 4
2026-06-12Evershed PhilipdirectorWithheld for tax20,25796,672Form 4
2026-06-12CAPPUCCIO PAUL TdirectorWithheld for tax16,786123,505Form 4
2026-06-12Milnes RyandirectorWithheld for tax14,96484,068Form 4
2026-06-12Biber KatiedirectorWithheld for tax13,87775,383Form 4
2026-06-12Naumoff JerrydirectorWithheld for tax6,81984,268Form 4
2026-06-12Milnes RyandirectorAward / grant33,51999,032Form 4
2026-06-12Naumoff JerrydirectorAward / grant33,51991,087Form 4
2026-06-12CAPPUCCIO PAUL TdirectorAward / grant44,518140,291Form 4
2026-06-12Biber KatiedirectorAward / grant33,51989,260Form 4
2026-06-12Evershed PhilipdirectorAward / grant45,041116,929Form 4
2026-04-02Pavlovski ChristopherdirectorWithheld for tax32,100591,968Form 4
2026-04-02Biber KatiedirectorWithheld for tax16,54155,741Form 4
2026-04-02Evershed PhilipdirectorWithheld for tax12,53071,888Form 4
2026-04-02Hughes TylerofficerWithheld for tax12,426168,328Form 4
2026-04-02Hlibowicki WojciechofficerWithheld for tax12,426168,328Form 4
2026-04-02Ramolo ClaudioofficerWithheld for tax4,13358,209Form 4
2026-04-01Masci MichaelofficerAward / grant99,80099,800Form 4
2026-04-01Masci MichaelofficerAward / grant452,866452,866Form 4
2026-04-01Masci MichaelofficerAward / grant878,596878,596Form 4
2026-04-01Masci MichaelofficerAward / grant228,591328,391Form 4
2026-03-10Pavlovski ChristopherdirectorAward / grant1,115,5591,115,559Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.