RRXRegal Rexnord CorporationIndustrials · Industrial - Machineryas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $149.20 · now $149.20 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, RRX has typically landed between $124.91 and $178.03 — a range of −16.3% to +19.3% from the issuance price $149.20.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($149.20) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where RRX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $149.2 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$124.91worst · -16.3%$178.03best · +19.3%
  • now $149.2 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $149.13 (-0.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $137.52–$160.75
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $124.91–$178.03
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−40.8%−40.8%+0.0%
2008-09-10−37.6%−37.6%+4.4%
2008-09-25−36.7%−36.7%+0.0%
3 best
2025-04-10+50.0%−0.0%+50.0%
2026-01-12+47.2%+0.0%+47.2%
2025-04-16+46.3%+0.0%+50.1%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
−0.4%
n=20
Feb
60%
+5.3%
n=20
Mar
55%
−0.7%
n=20
Apr
60%
+2.0%
n=20
May
35%
−0.1%
n=20
Jun
50%
+1.1%
n=20
Jul
65%
+3.7%
n=20
Aug
45%
−1.4%
n=20
Sep
40%
−3.1%
n=20
Oct
60%
+0.4%
n=20
Nov
85%
+4.7%
n=20
Dec
55%
+1.5%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$238$1282026-08-10: 1 insider sale, $30K — Scarpelli Alexander P2026-05-22: 1 insider sale, $1.3M — Rehard Robert2026-05-14: 1 insider sale, $2.0M — Morton Jerrald R2026-05-11: 8 insider sales, $5.0M — Pinkham Louis V., Walker-Lee Robin A …2026-02-25: 2 insider sales, $281K — Rehard Robert, Scarpelli Alexander P2026-02-24: 1 insider sale, $288K — Rehard Robert2026-02-09: 13 insider sales, $11.8M — Pinkham Louis V., Morton Jerrald R, Rehard Robert, Lewis Cheryl …2026-02-05: 1 insider sale, $900K — STOELTING CURTIS W2026-02-04: 1 insider sale, $810K — STOELTING CURTIS W2025-11-25: 3 insider sales, $5.3M — Pinkham Louis V. …2025-11: 3 open-market sales, $5.3M2026-02: 18 open-market sales, $14.1M2026-05: 10 open-market sales, $8.3M2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $30K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Scarpelli Alexander P — Sale on 2026-08-10, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Rehard Robert — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Morton Jerrald R — Sale on 2026-05-14, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Pinkham Louis V. — Sale on 2026-05-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Pinkham Louis V. — Sale on 2026-05-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Pinkham Louis V. — Sale on 2026-05-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Pinkham Louis V. — Sale on 2026-05-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Pinkham Louis V. — Sale on 2026-05-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Pinkham Louis V. — Sale on 2026-05-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Walker-Lee Robin A — Sale on 2026-05-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Pinkham Louis V. — Sale on 2026-05-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Rehard Robert — Sale on 2026-02-25, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Scarpelli Alexander P — Sale on 2026-02-25, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Rehard Robert — Sale on 2026-02-24, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Pinkham Louis V. — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Morton Jerrald R — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Rehard Robert — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Pinkham Louis V. — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Pinkham Louis V. — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Pinkham Louis V. — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Pinkham Louis V. — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Lewis Cheryl — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Pinkham Louis V. — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Pinkham Louis V. — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Pinkham Louis V. — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Pinkham Louis V. — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Morton Jerrald R — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STOELTING CURTIS W — Sale on 2026-02-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STOELTING CURTIS W — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Pinkham Louis V. — Sale on 2025-11-25, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Pinkham Louis V. — Sale on 2025-11-25, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Pinkham Louis V. — Sale on 2025-11-25, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-10Scarpelli Alexander PofficerSale170 @ $176.24$30K−4.9% of holding−6.6%not yet — horizon still open3,274Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-22Rehard RobertofficerSale6,499 @ $200.00$1.3M−18.9% of holding+10.4%not yet — horizon still open27,965Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-14Morton Jerrald RofficerSale9,390 @ $209.13$2.0M−35.8% of holding+4.6%not yet — horizon still open16,806Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-11Pinkham Louis V.directorSale6,197 @ $209.88$1.3M−7.8% of holding−3.3%not yet — horizon still open73,061Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-11Pinkham Louis V.directorSale5,564 @ $212.01$1.2M−8.2% of holding−3.3%not yet — horizon still open61,972Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-11Pinkham Louis V.directorSale5,525 @ $210.90$1.2M−7.6% of holding−3.3%not yet — horizon still open67,536Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-11Pinkham Louis V.directorSale1,900 @ $215.43$409K−3.2% of holding−3.3%not yet — horizon still open57,048Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-11Pinkham Louis V.directorSale1,624 @ $212.89$346K−2.6% of holding−3.3%not yet — horizon still open60,348Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-11Pinkham Louis V.directorSale1,400 @ $213.98$300K−2.3% of holding−3.3%not yet — horizon still open58,948Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-11Walker-Lee Robin AdirectorSale1,297 @ $213.85$277K−19.1% of holding−3.3%not yet — horizon still open5,503Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-11Pinkham Louis V.directorSale299 @ $216.24$65K−0.5% of holding−3.3%not yet — horizon still open56,749Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-25Rehard RobertofficerSale968 @ $223.00$216K−2.7% of holding−8.3%−35.9%34,447Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-25Scarpelli Alexander PofficerSale290 @ $223.75$65K−7.7% of holding−8.3%−35.9%3,470Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-24Rehard RobertofficerSale1,289 @ $223.13$288K−3.5% of holding−8.6%−39.3%35,415Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-09Pinkham Louis V.directorSale10,852 @ $216.84$2.4M−10.8% of holding−4.0%−31.7%89,348Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-09Morton Jerrald RofficerSale7,924 @ $215.77$1.7M−24.8% of holding−4.0%−31.7%24,084Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-09Rehard RobertofficerSale7,704 @ $216.72$1.7M−18.4% of holding−4.0%−31.7%34,154Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-09Pinkham Louis V.directorSale6,839 @ $215.87$1.5M−6.4% of holding−4.0%−31.7%100,200Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-09Pinkham Louis V.directorSale6,103 @ $213.73$1.3M−5.3% of holding−4.0%−31.7%109,610Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-09Pinkham Louis V.directorSale5,911 @ $217.76$1.3M−6.6% of holding−4.0%−31.7%83,437Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-09Pinkham Louis V.directorSale2,571 @ $214.48$551K−2.3% of holding−4.0%−31.7%107,039Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-09Lewis CherylofficerSale2,262 @ $215.73$488K−14.6% of holding−4.0%−31.7%13,219Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-09Pinkham Louis V.directorSale2,004 @ $211.80$424K−1.7% of holding−4.0%−31.7%117,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-09Pinkham Louis V.directorSale1,287 @ $212.39$273K−1.1% of holding−4.0%−31.7%115,713Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-09Pinkham Louis V.directorSale1,061 @ $210.63$223K−0.9% of holding−4.0%−31.7%119,004Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-09Pinkham Louis V.directorSale100 @ $218.45$22K−0.1% of holding−4.0%−31.7%83,337Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-09Morton Jerrald RofficerSale54 @ $216.37$12K−0.2% of holding−4.0%−31.7%24,030Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-05STOELTING CURTIS WdirectorSale4,500 @ $200.00$900K−28.8% of holding−2.1%−25.4%11,117Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-04STOELTING CURTIS WdirectorSale4,500 @ $180.00$810K−22.4% of holding+6.6%−11.8%15,617Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-25Pinkham Louis V.directorSale19,971 @ $146.61$2.9M−16.2% of holding−3.9%+25.0%103,362Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-25Pinkham Louis V.directorSale15,864 @ $145.68$2.3M−11.4% of holding−3.9%+25.0%123,333Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-25Pinkham Louis V.directorSale100 @ $147.19$15K−0.1% of holding−3.9%+25.0%103,262Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-15Pinkham Louis V.directorSale7,866 @ $140.12$1.1M−4.2% of holding−0.3%−15.5%178,681Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-15Pinkham Louis V.directorSale2,727 @ $140.94$384K−1.5% of holding−0.3%−15.5%175,954Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

254 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-02Long KevinofficerWithheld for tax2656,976Form 4
2026-08-14Long KevinofficerWithheld for tax2617,241Form 4
2026-08-14Klossner MarkofficerWithheld for tax1316,469Form 4
2026-07-14Paul AamirofficerAward / grant8048,484Form 4
2026-07-14Rehard RobertofficerAward / grant1727,982Form 4
2026-07-14Long KevinofficerAward / grant127,502Form 4
2026-07-14Morton Jerrald RofficerAward / grant1216,819Form 4
2026-07-14Dubovoy Hugo Jr.officerAward / grant98,871Form 4
2026-07-14Klossner MarkofficerAward / grant96,600Form 4
2026-07-14Lewis CherylofficerAward / grant914,917Form 4
2026-07-14Lang BrookeofficerAward / grant77,787Form 4
2026-07-14Dickson Timothy A.officerAward / grant54,957Form 4
2026-07-14Hilton Michael FdirectorAward / grant39,163Form 4
2026-07-14DOSS MICHAEL PdirectorAward / grant34,831Form 4
2026-07-14Scarpelli Alexander PofficerAward / grant23,444Form 4
2026-07-14Walker-Lee Robin AdirectorAward / grant25,505Form 4
2026-07-14Hodge Rashida AdirectorAward / grant22,222Form 4
2026-07-14STOELTING CURTIS WdirectorAward / grant21,222Form 4
2026-07-14SACHDEV RAKESHdirectorAward / grant228,265Form 4
2026-07-14BAKKER GERBENdirectorAward / grant22,222Form 4
2026-07-14Bertsch JandirectorAward / grant29,701Form 4
2026-07-14Burt Stephen MdirectorAward / grant226,265Form 4
2026-07-14CRANDALL THEODORE DdirectorAward / grant29,496Form 4
2026-07-01Paul AamirofficerAward / grant35,75248,404Form 4
2026-07-01Paul AamirofficerAward / grant12,64412,652Form 4
2026-06-01Klossner MarkofficerAward / grant1,4846,591Form 4
2026-06-01Scarpelli Alexander PofficerWithheld for tax313,442Form 4
2026-05-14STOELTING CURTIS WdirectorGift36026,455Form 4
2026-05-11Pinkham Louis V.directorWithheld for tax16,92479,258Form 4
2026-05-11Pinkham Louis V.directorOption exercise9,42496,182Form 4
2026-05-11Pinkham Louis V.directorOption exercise10,00986,758Form 4
2026-05-11Pinkham Louis V.directorOption exercise9,4249,426Form 4
2026-05-11STOELTING CURTIS WdirectorAward / grant92312,042Form 4
2026-05-11BAKKER GERBENdirectorAward / grant9232,220Form 4
2026-05-11Bertsch JandirectorAward / grant9239,699Form 4
2026-05-11Walker-Lee Robin AdirectorAward / grant9236,800Form 4
2026-05-11Pinkham Louis V.directorOption exercise10,0090Form 4
2026-05-11Burt Stephen MdirectorAward / grant92326,263Form 4
2026-05-11CRANDALL THEODORE DdirectorAward / grant9239,494Form 4
2026-05-11SACHDEV RAKESHdirectorAward / grant92328,263Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.