Issued 2026-09-16 at $7.91 · now $7.91 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, RPC has typically landed between $6.17 and $9.17 — a range of −22.0% to +16.0% from the issuance price $7.91.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
148 overlapping 1 month windows · 2026-01-14 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($7.91) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where RPC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $7.91 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $7.91 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $7.83 (-1.0%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $7.2–$8.45
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $6.17–$9.17
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-02-10 | −31.9% | −31.9% | +0.4% |
| 2026-02-11 | −31.6% | −32.2% | +0.0% |
| 2026-02-09 | −27.7% | −27.7% | +1.3% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-04-09 | +23.4% | −0.1% | +23.4% |
| 2026-04-10 | +18.9% | +0.0% | +23.5% |
| 2026-07-08 | +18.3% | +0.0% | +22.9% |
148 overlapping windows · 2026-01-14 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | Stewart Robert B Jr | director | Purchase | 7,000 @ $7.27 | $51K | +4.7% of holding | −1.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 156,525 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-23 | McCoy David M. | director | Purchase | 70,000 @ $7.37 | $516K | −20.6% of holding | −2.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 270,068 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-12 | Charles K. Huebner Trust | other | Purchase | 12,500 @ $7.31 | $91K | +7.1% of holding | +0.1% | −1.3% | 188,554 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-24 | Stewart Robert B Jr | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $8.27 | $41K | +3.5% of holding | −10.9% | −5.0% | 149,525 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-19 | Charles K. Huebner Trust | other | Purchase | 20,000 @ $8.68 | $174K | +12.8% of holding | −7.0% | −11.2% | 176,054 | Form 4 · filed 25 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-19 | Stewart Robert B Jr | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $8.65 | $87K | +7.4% of holding | −7.0% | −11.2% | 144,525 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
104 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Williams Mel | other | Conversion | 104,698 | 104,698 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Williams Mel | other | Conversion | 104,698 | 104,698 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Williams Mel | other | Conversion | 4,294,856 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Williams Mel | other | Conversion | 4,294,856 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Williams Mel | other | Conversion | 4,294,856 | 8,313,851 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Williams Mel | other | Conversion | 104,698 | 104,698 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Williams Mel | other | Conversion | 104,698 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Williams Mel | other | Conversion | 104,698 | 104,698 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Williams Mel | other | Conversion | 104,698 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Williams Mel | other | Conversion | 4,294,856 | 8,313,851 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Williams Mel | other | Conversion | 4,294,856 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Williams Mel | other | Conversion | 104,698 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Williams Mel | other | Conversion | 4,294,856 | 8,313,851 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Williams Mel | other | Conversion | 4,294,856 | 8,313,851 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Williams Mel | other | Conversion | 104,698 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Williams Mel | other | Conversion | 4,294,856 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | BLEWITT STEPHEN J | director | Award / grant | 22,699 | 42,443 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Gwilliam Scott L. | director | Award / grant | 24,540 | 92,975 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Stewart Robert B Jr | director | Award / grant | 22,699 | 179,224 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Glassman Jennifer T | director | Award / grant | 24,540 | 44,284 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Benford Tracey | director | Award / grant | 30,675 | 85,204 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Barnes Travis H. | director | Award / grant | 22,699 | 89,533 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Jensen Richard J. | officer | Award / grant | 83,724 | 83,724 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Corsi Andrew | officer | Award / grant | 6,733 | 6,733 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Blatherwick Nell M. | other | Award / grant | 9,442 | 9,442 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Blatherwick Nell M. | other | Award / grant | 35,921 | 35,921 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Blatherwick Nell M. | other | Award / grant | 32,803 | 32,803 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Blatherwick Nell M. | other | Award / grant | 68,366 | 68,366 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Sarsfield Luke A. III | director | Award / grant | 175,644 | 175,644 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Jairath Sarita Narson | officer | Award / grant | 130,562 | 130,562 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Corsi Andrew | officer | Award / grant | 11,710 | 11,710 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Sarsfield Luke A. III | director | Award / grant | 64,100 | 64,100 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Blatherwick Nell M. | other | Award / grant | 19,529 | 19,529 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Williams Mel | other | Award / grant | 146,370 | 146,370 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | HOOD MARK C | officer | Award / grant | 58,548 | 58,548 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Coussens Amanda N. | director | Award / grant | 83,724 | 83,724 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-14 | Coussens Amanda N. | director | Withheld for tax | 25,828 | 107,629 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-14 | Sarsfield Luke A. III | director | Withheld for tax | 24,966 | 306,318 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-14 | Jensen Richard J. | officer | Withheld for tax | 20,097 | 100,809 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-14 | HOOD MARK C | officer | Withheld for tax | 17,777 | 126,660 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.