ROCKGibraltar Industries, Inc.Industrials · Constructionas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $44.84 · now $44.84 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ROCK has typically landed between $37.31 and $52.63 — a range of −16.8% to +17.4% from the issuance price $44.84.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($44.84) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where ROCK has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $44.84 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$37.31worst · -16.8%$52.63best · +17.4%
  • now $44.84 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $44.96 (+0.3%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $41.4–$48.52
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $37.31–$52.63
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2009-02-10−64.2%−64.2%+0.0%
2009-02-09−63.8%−63.8%+0.0%
2009-02-06−62.6%−62.6%+0.0%
3 best
2009-07-09+97.4%−0.7%+97.4%
2009-07-14+92.8%+0.0%+92.8%
2009-07-10+90.1%+0.0%+98.7%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
60%
−0.0%
n=20
Feb
20%
−5.1%
n=20
Mar
55%
−0.6%
n=20
Apr
40%
−0.2%
n=20
May
50%
+1.8%
n=20
Jun
50%
+0.6%
n=20
Jul
55%
+2.0%
n=20
Aug
50%
+3.6%
n=20
Sep
55%
+1.5%
n=20
Oct
45%
+2.0%
n=20
Nov
65%
+5.0%
n=20
Dec
55%
+3.3%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$75$342026-05-26: 1 insider purchase, $739K — Bosway William T2026-05-21: 2 insider purchases, $50K — Bolanowski Katherine …2026-05-20: 1 insider purchase, $35K — Lovechio Joseph A2026-03-13: 1 insider purchase, $41K — Bosway William T2026-03-10: 2 insider purchases, $561K — METCALF JAMES S, Bosway William T2026-03-09: 1 insider purchase, $172K — Bosway William T2026-03: 4 open-market purchases, $775K2026-05: 4 open-market purchases, $823K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Bosway William T — Purchase on 2026-05-26, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Bolanowski Katherine — Purchase on 2026-05-21, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Bolanowski Katherine — Purchase on 2026-05-21, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Lovechio Joseph A — Purchase on 2026-05-20, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Bosway William T — Purchase on 2026-03-13, filed 3 days after the tradedirector METCALF JAMES S — Purchase on 2026-03-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Bosway William T — Purchase on 2026-03-10, filed same daydirector Bosway William T — Purchase on 2026-03-09, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-05-26Bosway William TdirectorPurchase19,735 @ $37.44$739K+8.6% of holding+19.8%not yet — horizon still open250,320Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-21Bolanowski KatherineofficerPurchase1,256 @ $35.63$45K+7.9% of holding+11.6%not yet — horizon still open17,245Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-21Bolanowski KatherineofficerPurchase144 @ $35.66$5K+0.8% of holding+11.6%not yet — horizon still open17,389Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-20Lovechio Joseph AofficerPurchase1,000 @ $34.62$35K+8.1% of holding+13.1%not yet — horizon still open13,390Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-13Bosway William TdirectorPurchase1,000 @ $41.37$41K+0.4% of holding−4.5%−6.4%230,585Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-10METCALF JAMES SdirectorPurchase12,444 @ $40.35$502K+407.2% of holding−1.8%−3.0%15,500Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-10Bosway William TdirectorPurchase1,500 @ $39.52$59K+0.7% of holding−1.8%−3.0%229,585Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-09Bosway William TdirectorPurchase4,500 @ $38.29$172K+2.0% of holding+3.5%+7.6%228,085Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-05Nish James BdirectorSale1,172 @ $58.21$68K−8.9% of holding−0.7%−12.7%11,976Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-02Nish James BdirectorSale1,670 @ $57.38$96K−10.6% of holding−3.2%−13.5%14,148Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-02Nish James BdirectorSale1,000 @ $57.91$58K−7.1% of holding−3.2%−13.5%13,148Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

97 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-19Lovechio Joseph AofficerWithheld for tax63812,752Form 4
2026-07-02Shah Manish HdirectorAward / grant4837,649Form 4
2026-06-30Bosway William TdirectorAward / grant54845,041Form 4
2026-06-30Catlett Janet AnneofficerAward / grant1012,533Form 4
2026-06-30Lovechio Joseph AofficerAward / grant3222,385Form 4
2026-06-30Bolanowski KatherineofficerAward / grant2597,280Form 4
2026-06-30Watorek Jeffrey J.officerAward / grant871,632Form 4
2026-05-07Shah Manish HdirectorAward / grant3,05912,734Form 4
2026-05-07Pope Atlee ValentinedirectorAward / grant3,05914,801Form 4
2026-05-07Myers Linda KristinedirectorAward / grant3,05921,701Form 4
2026-05-07Nish James BdirectorAward / grant3,05915,035Form 4
2026-05-07Mizell Gwendolyn GdirectorAward / grant3,05912,734Form 4
2026-05-07Barberio Mark GdirectorAward / grant3,05918,403Form 4
2026-05-07METCALF JAMES SdirectorAward / grant3,05918,559Form 4
2026-04-26Catlett Janet AnneofficerWithheld for tax16913,418Form 4
2026-04-10Shah Manish HdirectorAward / grant4267,166Form 4
2026-03-31Lovechio Joseph AofficerAward / grant2852,063Form 4
2026-03-31Bolanowski KatherineofficerAward / grant2407,021Form 4
2026-03-31Watorek Jeffrey J.officerAward / grant791,546Form 4
2026-03-31Bosway William TdirectorAward / grant51244,494Form 4
2026-03-31Catlett Janet AnneofficerAward / grant942,431Form 4
2026-03-06Bolanowski KatherineofficerAward / grant4386,781Form 4
2026-03-06Lovechio Joseph AofficerAward / grant7651,778Form 4
2026-03-06Watorek Jeffrey J.officerAward / grant601,467Form 4
2026-03-06Catlett Janet AnneofficerAward / grant2852,338Form 4
2026-03-04Bosway William TdirectorWithheld for tax30,026223,585Form 4
2026-03-04Catlett Janet AnneofficerWithheld for tax3,24613,587Form 4
2026-03-04Watorek Jeffrey J.officerWithheld for tax2,96216,576Form 4
2026-03-04Bolanowski KatherineofficerWithheld for tax2,60115,989Form 4
2026-03-03Bosway William TdirectorWithheld for tax1,955253,611Form 4
2026-03-03Lovechio Joseph AofficerWithheld for tax37912,390Form 4
2026-03-03Bolanowski KatherineofficerWithheld for tax28618,590Form 4
2026-03-03Catlett Janet AnneofficerWithheld for tax26816,833Form 4
2026-03-03Watorek Jeffrey J.officerWithheld for tax11719,538Form 4
2026-03-02Bosway William TdirectorAward / grant27,801255,566Form 4
2026-03-02Bolanowski KatherineofficerAward / grant3,41018,876Form 4
2026-03-02Watorek Jeffrey J.officerAward / grant1,30719,655Form 4
2026-03-02Catlett Janet AnneofficerAward / grant3,33217,101Form 4
2026-03-02Lovechio Joseph AofficerAward / grant4,84012,769Form 4
2026-03-01Bosway William TdirectorWithheld for tax5,872227,765Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.