RNXTRenovoRx, Inc.Healthcare · Biotechnologyas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $1.55 · now $1.55 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, RNXT has typically landed between $1.07 and $2.23 — a range of −31.2% to +43.9% from the issuance price $1.55.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,247 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-08-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($1.55) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where RNXT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $1.55 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$1.07worst · -31.2%$2.23best · +43.9%
  • now $1.55 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $1.51 (-2.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $1.31–$1.71
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $1.07–$2.23
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,247 windows spanning 2021-08-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2023-10-20−47.5%−48.3%+1.7%
2022-03-23−47.5%−47.5%+0.0%
2023-11-06−47.5%−49.2%+0.0%
3 best
2023-11-29+236.8%−8.8%+236.8%
2023-11-30+209.4%−3.1%+257.8%
2023-12-01+184.6%−4.6%+252.3%

1,247 overlapping windows · 2021-08-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
60%
−5.0%
n=5
Feb
60%
+10.2%
n=5
Mar
20%
−9.3%
n=5
Apr
0%
−16.4%
n=5
May
60%
+5.1%
n=5
Jun
60%
+4.4%
n=5
Jul
20%
−3.2%
n=5
Aug
40%
+10.7%
n=5
Sep
33%
−7.5%
n=6
Oct
0%
−12.1%
n=5
Nov
60%
+2.8%
n=5
Dec
60%
+48.0%
n=5

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$3$12026-05-19: 1 insider purchase, $20K — VOLL MARK2026-03-20: 12 insider purchases, $0 — Marton Laurence, VOLL MARK, Bagai Shaun …2026-01-21: 1 insider purchase, $10K — Agah Ramtin2025-12-31: 1 insider purchase, $8K — Agah Ramtin2025-12-30: 1 insider purchase, $169 — Agah Ramtin2025-12-18: 1 insider purchase, $5K — Bagai Shaun2025-12-17: 1 insider purchase, $4K — Bagai Shaun2025-12-16: 1 insider purchase, $10K — Agah Ramtin2025-12-05: 1 insider purchase, $10K — Agah Ramtin2025-11-24: 1 insider purchase, $10K — Agah Ramtin2025-11-21: 1 insider purchase, $8K — Agah Ramtin2025-08-25: 1 insider purchase, $5K — Bagai Shaun2025-08-22: 1 insider purchase, $5K — Bagai Shaun2025-08: 2 open-market purchases, $9K2025-11: 2 open-market purchases, $18K2025-12: 6 open-market purchases, $37K2026-01: 1 open-market purchase, $10K2026-05: 1 open-market purchase, $20K↑ buys↓ salesofficer VOLL MARK — Purchase on 2026-05-19, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Marton Laurence — Purchase on 2026-03-20, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer VOLL MARK — Purchase on 2026-03-20, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Marton Laurence — Purchase on 2026-03-20, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Marton Laurence — Purchase on 2026-03-20, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Bagai Shaun — Purchase on 2026-03-20, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Bagai Shaun — Purchase on 2026-03-20, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer VOLL MARK — Purchase on 2026-03-20, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer VOLL MARK — Purchase on 2026-03-20, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer VOLL MARK — Purchase on 2026-03-20, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Bagai Shaun — Purchase on 2026-03-20, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Bagai Shaun — Purchase on 2026-03-20, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Marton Laurence — Purchase on 2026-03-20, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Agah Ramtin — Purchase on 2026-01-21, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Agah Ramtin — Purchase on 2025-12-31, filed 5 days after the tradedirector Agah Ramtin — Purchase on 2025-12-30, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Bagai Shaun — Purchase on 2025-12-18, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Bagai Shaun — Purchase on 2025-12-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Agah Ramtin — Purchase on 2025-12-16, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Agah Ramtin — Purchase on 2025-12-05, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Agah Ramtin — Purchase on 2025-11-24, filed same daydirector Agah Ramtin — Purchase on 2025-11-21, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Bagai Shaun — Purchase on 2025-08-25, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Bagai Shaun — Purchase on 2025-08-22, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-05-19VOLL MARKofficerPurchase25,000 @ $0.79$20K+21.3% of holding+12.1%not yet — horizon still open142,380Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-20Marton LaurencedirectorPurchase4,860—ownership Δ n/a−13.6%not yet — horizon still open4,860Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-20VOLL MARKofficerPurchase48,600—ownership Δ n/a−13.6%not yet — horizon still open48,600Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-20Marton LaurencedirectorPurchase9,720—ownership Δ n/a−13.6%not yet — horizon still open9,720Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-20Marton LaurencedirectorPurchase4,860—ownership Δ n/a−13.6%not yet — horizon still open4,860Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-20Bagai ShaundirectorPurchase24,300—+8.4% of holding−13.6%not yet — horizon still open313,357Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-20Bagai ShaundirectorPurchase12,150—ownership Δ n/a−13.6%not yet — horizon still open12,150Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-20VOLL MARKofficerPurchase97,200—ownership Δ n/a−13.6%not yet — horizon still open97,200Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-20VOLL MARKofficerPurchase97,200—ownership Δ n/a−13.6%not yet — horizon still open97,200Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-20VOLL MARKofficerPurchase48,600—ownership Δ n/a−13.6%not yet — horizon still open48,600Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-20Bagai ShaundirectorPurchase24,300—+8.4% of holding−13.6%not yet — horizon still open313,357Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-20Bagai ShaundirectorPurchase12,150—ownership Δ n/a−13.6%not yet — horizon still open12,150Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-20Marton LaurencedirectorPurchase9,720—ownership Δ n/a−13.6%not yet — horizon still open9,720Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-01-21Agah RamtindirectorPurchase10,000 @ $1.00$10K+1.3% of holding−9.1%−22.6%798,460Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-31Agah RamtindirectorPurchase9,795 @ $0.86$8K+1.3% of holding+19.4%+2.0%788,460Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-12-30Agah RamtindirectorPurchase205 @ $0.83$169+0.0% of holding+18.2%−3.8%778,665Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-18Bagai ShaundirectorPurchase5,000 @ $0.90$5K+1.5% of holding+9.2%−8.2%340,040Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-17Bagai ShaundirectorPurchase5,000 @ $0.85$4K+1.5% of holding+18.3%−7.2%335,040Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-16Agah RamtindirectorPurchase12,000 @ $0.85$10K+1.6% of holding+18.9%−1.7%778,460Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-05Agah RamtindirectorPurchase10,000 @ $0.96$10K+1.3% of holding+6.4%−16.7%766,460Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-24Agah RamtindirectorPurchase12,000 @ $0.80$10K+1.6% of holding+10.4%+12.4%756,460Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-21Agah RamtindirectorPurchase10,000 @ $0.80$8K+1.4% of holding+9.7%+2.5%744,460Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-25Bagai ShaundirectorPurchase5,000 @ $0.91$5K+1.5% of holding+30.4%−7.2%330,040Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-22Bagai ShaundirectorPurchase5,000 @ $0.95$5K+1.6% of holding+27.7%−11.2%325,040Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-05Agah RamtindirectorPurchase21,000 @ $1.40$29K+2.9% of holding−12.1%−48.2%734,460Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-04-15Agah RamtindirectorPurchase15,000 @ $0.90$14K+1.4% of holding+13.5%+18.9%1,113,460Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-04-15Bagai ShaundirectorPurchase7,500 @ $0.91$7K+2.4% of holding+13.5%+18.9%320,040Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-11Agah RamtindirectorPurchase20,000 @ $0.80$16K+1.9% of holding+23.5%+15.0%1,098,460Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-04-10Kocak RonofficerPurchase6,500 @ $0.79$5K+106.6% of holding+22.9%+15.1%12,595Form 4 · filed same day
2025-04-09Agah RamtindirectorPurchase30,000 @ $0.81$24K+2.9% of holding+24.8%+11.9%1,078,460Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-09Bagai ShaundirectorPurchase10,000 @ $0.83$8K+3.3% of holding+24.8%+11.9%312,540Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-09Kocak RonofficerPurchase6,000 @ $0.80$5K+6315.8% of holding+24.8%+11.9%6,095Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-08Agah RamtindirectorPurchase26,000 @ $0.84$22K+2.5% of holding+16.2%+14.9%1,048,460Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-08Marton LaurencedirectorPurchase12,050 @ $0.85$10K+35.8% of holding+16.2%+14.9%45,684Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-08Kocak RonofficerPurchase95 @ $0.80$76ownership Δ n/a+16.2%+14.9%95Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-04-07Bagai ShaundirectorPurchase10,000 @ $0.83$8K+3.4% of holding+22.9%+21.0%302,540Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

25 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-10VOLL MARKofficerAward / grant80,000222,380Form 4
2026-04-03Gentry LeesaofficerAward / grant128,550128,550Form 4
2026-04-03Bagai ShaundirectorAward / grant946,107946,107Form 4
2026-04-03VOLL MARKofficerAward / grant80,000117,380Form 4
2026-04-03Agah RamtindirectorAward / grant621,727621,727Form 4
2026-03-25VOLL MARKofficerAward / grant12,38037,380Form 4
2025-10-01RYAN UNA SdirectorAward / grant47,64047,640Form 4
2025-10-01Spiegel Robert J.directorAward / grant47,64047,640Form 4
2025-10-01Marton LaurencedirectorAward / grant47,64047,640Form 4
2025-10-01Macfarlane K. AngeladirectorAward / grant47,64047,640Form 4
2025-07-01Bagai ShaundirectorAward / grant102,498102,498Form 4
2025-07-01Gentry LeesaofficerAward / grant6,6196,619Form 4
2025-07-01Kocak RonofficerAward / grant41,60041,600Form 4
2025-07-01Agah RamtindirectorAward / grant63,63663,636Form 4
2025-05-02Marton LaurencedirectorOption exercise20,48066,164Form 4
2025-05-02Marton LaurencedirectorOption exercise20,4800Form 4
2025-04-22Agah RamtindirectorGift400,000713,460Form 4
2025-04-14Kocak RonofficerAward / grant166,400166,400Form 4
2025-04-14Bagai ShaundirectorAward / grant409,992409,992Form 4
2025-04-14Gentry LeesaofficerAward / grant26,47726,477Form 4
2025-04-14Agah RamtindirectorAward / grant254,542254,542Form 4
2022-04-22RYAN UNA SdirectorOther acquisition16,20697,165Form 4
2022-04-22RYAN UNA SdirectorOther acquisition26,83880,959Form 4
2022-03-03RYAN UNA SdirectorOther acquisition47,78947,789Form 4
2022-03-03RYAN UNA SdirectorOther acquisition6,33254,121Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.