RNRRenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd.Financial Services · Insurance - Reinsuranceas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $328.43 · now $328.43 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, RNR has typically landed between $295.98 and $368.12 — a range of −9.9% to +12.1% from the issuance price $328.43.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($328.43) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where RNR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $328.43 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$295.98worst · -9.9%$368.12best · +12.1%
  • now $328.43 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $333.6 (+1.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $319.49–$347.71
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $295.98–$368.12
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−39.6%−39.6%+0.1%
2020-02-19−36.9%−39.6%+0.0%
2020-02-20−34.1%−39.0%+0.8%
3 best
2022-10-07+41.8%+0.0%+42.0%
2022-10-11+37.4%−0.7%+38.6%
2022-10-12+37.0%+0.0%+39.5%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
45%
−1.4%
n=20
Feb
70%
+2.1%
n=20
Mar
55%
+0.9%
n=20
Apr
55%
+0.7%
n=20
May
55%
+0.1%
n=20
Jun
50%
+0.4%
n=20
Jul
75%
+1.2%
n=20
Aug
60%
+1.2%
n=20
Sep
75%
+1.9%
n=20
Oct
60%
+0.1%
n=20
Nov
85%
+3.6%
n=20
Dec
70%
+1.3%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$338$2312026-09-03: 2 insider sales, $3.2M — Curtis Ross …2026-08-26: 1 insider sale, $126K — Curtis Ross2026-08-24: 1 insider sale, $1.6M — Curtis Ross2026-08-17: 1 insider sale, $1.6M — Curtis Ross2026-07-28: 3 insider sales, $1.7M — Qutub Robert …2026-05-18: 1 insider sale, $440K — Sanders Carol P2026-02-06: 2 insider sales, $1.5M — Qutub Robert …2026-02-05: 1 insider sale, $1.5M — Curtis Ross2026-02-04: 3 insider sales, $4.4M — Curtis Ross …2025-08-12: 4 insider sales, $1.4M — BUSHNELL DAVID C …2025-08: 4 open-market sales, $1.4M2026-02: 6 open-market sales, $7.5M2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $440K2026-07: 3 open-market sales, $1.7M2026-08: 3 open-market sales, $3.4M2026-09: 2 open-market sales, $3.2M↑ buys↓ salesofficer Curtis Ross — Sale on 2026-09-03, filed same dayofficer Curtis Ross — Sale on 2026-09-03, filed same dayofficer Curtis Ross — Sale on 2026-08-26, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Curtis Ross — Sale on 2026-08-24, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Curtis Ross — Sale on 2026-08-17, filed same dayofficer Qutub Robert — Sale on 2026-07-28, filed same dayofficer Qutub Robert — Sale on 2026-07-28, filed same dayofficer Qutub Robert — Sale on 2026-07-28, filed same daydirector Sanders Carol P — Sale on 2026-05-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Qutub Robert — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed same dayofficer Qutub Robert — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed same dayofficer Curtis Ross — Sale on 2026-02-05, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Curtis Ross — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Curtis Ross — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Curtis Ross — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector BUSHNELL DAVID C — Sale on 2025-08-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BUSHNELL DAVID C — Sale on 2025-08-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BUSHNELL DAVID C — Sale on 2025-08-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BUSHNELL DAVID C — Sale on 2025-08-12, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-03Curtis RossofficerSale5,000 @ $340.00$1.7M−3.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open155,991Form 4 · filed same day
2026-09-03Curtis RossofficerSale4,623 @ $335.00$1.5M−2.8% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open160,991Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-26Curtis RossofficerSale377 @ $335.00$126K−0.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open165,614Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-24Curtis RossofficerSale5,000 @ $330.00$1.6M−2.9% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open165,991Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-17Curtis RossofficerSale5,000 @ $325.00$1.6M−2.8% of holding+5.5%not yet — horizon still open170,991Form 4 · filed same day
2026-07-28Qutub RobertofficerSale2,640 @ $333.23$880K−3.5% of holding−4.2%not yet — horizon still open73,685Form 4 · filed same day
2026-07-28Qutub RobertofficerSale1,582 @ $332.16$525K−2.0% of holding−4.2%not yet — horizon still open76,325Form 4 · filed same day
2026-07-28Qutub RobertofficerSale778 @ $334.10$260K−1.1% of holding−4.2%not yet — horizon still open72,907Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-18Sanders Carol PdirectorSale1,479 @ $297.36$440K−20.4% of holding+1.4%not yet — horizon still open5,762Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-06Qutub RobertofficerSale2,716 @ $306.03$831K−3.6% of holding+0.8%−6.3%73,023Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-06Qutub RobertofficerSale2,284 @ $305.42$698K−2.9% of holding+0.8%−6.3%75,739Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-05Curtis RossofficerSale5,000 @ $305.00$1.5M−2.9% of holding−2.9%−9.0%166,813Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-04Curtis RossofficerSale5,000 @ $300.00$1.5M−2.8% of holding+1.5%−4.6%171,813Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-04Curtis RossofficerSale5,000 @ $295.00$1.5M−2.8% of holding+1.5%−4.6%176,813Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-04Curtis RossofficerSale5,000 @ $290.00$1.4M−2.7% of holding+1.5%−4.6%181,813Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-12BUSHNELL DAVID CdirectorSale2,544 @ $239.55$609K−13.6% of holding−0.3%+19.4%16,161Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-12BUSHNELL DAVID CdirectorSale1,700 @ $241.58$411K−11.4% of holding−0.3%+19.4%13,161Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-12BUSHNELL DAVID CdirectorSale1,300 @ $240.36$312K−8.0% of holding−0.3%+19.4%14,861Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-12BUSHNELL DAVID CdirectorSale300 @ $242.78$73K−2.3% of holding−0.3%+19.4%12,861Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-16Marra David EofficerSale1,000 @ $237.38$237K−1.1% of holding−2.0%+3.7%89,723Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-08Fraser James ChristopherofficerSale11,821 @ $250.45$3.0M−43.5% of holding−8.5%−12.4%15,333Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-08Fraser James ChristopherofficerSale1,847 @ $251.17$464K−12.0% of holding−8.5%−12.4%13,486Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-07Fraser James ChristopherofficerSale332 @ $249.54$83K−1.2% of holding−7.3%−13.3%27,154Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-15Marra David EofficerSale1,000 @ $254.16$254K−1.2% of holding−12.3%−13.7%79,392Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

93 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-05-11Klehm Henry IIIdirectorAward / grant50620,811Form 4
2026-05-11Hooley Stephen CdirectorAward / grant591591Form 4
2026-03-10ODonnell KevindirectorWithheld for tax7,647436,823Form 4
2026-03-10Qutub RobertofficerWithheld for tax3,08777,907Form 4
2026-03-10Marra David EofficerWithheld for tax2,63095,465Form 4
2026-03-10Bender Shannon LowryofficerWithheld for tax1,52536,122Form 4
2026-03-10Bender Shannon LowryofficerDisposition48337,647Form 4
2026-03-10Marra David EofficerDisposition65298,095Form 4
2026-03-10ODonnell KevindirectorDisposition2,424444,470Form 4
2026-03-10Curtis RossofficerDisposition1,070175,991Form 4
2026-03-10Qutub RobertofficerDisposition97980,994Form 4
2026-03-01ODonnell KevindirectorWithheld for tax1,595449,978Form 4
2026-03-01ODonnell KevindirectorWithheld for tax1,068448,910Form 4
2026-03-01ODonnell KevindirectorWithheld for tax1,039447,871Form 4
2026-03-01ODonnell KevindirectorWithheld for tax977446,894Form 4
2026-03-01Qutub RobertofficerWithheld for tax51783,084Form 4
2026-03-01Qutub RobertofficerWithheld for tax43282,652Form 4
2026-03-01Marra David EofficerWithheld for tax38298,747Form 4
2026-03-01Qutub RobertofficerWithheld for tax35082,302Form 4
2026-03-01Qutub RobertofficerWithheld for tax32981,973Form 4
2026-03-01Marra David EofficerWithheld for tax31799,129Form 4
2026-03-01Bender Shannon LowryofficerWithheld for tax26338,130Form 4
2026-03-01Marra David EofficerWithheld for tax25499,446Form 4
2026-03-01Bender Shannon LowryofficerWithheld for tax21838,393Form 4
2026-03-01Bender Shannon LowryofficerWithheld for tax21338,611Form 4
2026-03-01Bender Shannon LowryofficerWithheld for tax20438,824Form 4
2026-03-01HENNES DUNCAN PdirectorAward / grant5788,696Form 4
2026-03-01ODonnell KevindirectorAward / grant8,596425,785Form 4
2026-03-01ODonnell KevindirectorAward / grant25,788451,573Form 4
2026-03-01TRUDELL CYNTHIAdirectorAward / grant5786,534Form 4
2026-03-01Marra David EofficerAward / grant2,97590,774Form 4
2026-03-01Fraser James ChristopherofficerAward / grant1,61115,097Form 4
2026-03-01Marra David EofficerAward / grant8,92699,700Form 4
2026-03-01GIDUMAL SHYAM HdirectorAward / grant5783,809Form 4
2026-03-01Curtis RossofficerAward / grant2,562169,375Form 4
2026-03-01Curtis RossofficerAward / grant7,686177,061Form 4
2026-03-01Brosnan Sean GofficerAward / grant6,34323,103Form 4
2026-03-01Bender Shannon LowryofficerAward / grant1,78533,672Form 4
2026-03-01Bender Shannon LowryofficerAward / grant5,35639,028Form 4
2026-03-01Qutub RobertofficerAward / grant2,64475,667Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.