RNGR · TickerCove

RNGRRanger Energy Services, Inc.Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Servicesas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $16.46 · now $16.46 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, RNGR has typically landed between $14.17 and $19.44 — a range of −13.9% to +18.1% from the issuance price $16.46.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

2,265 overlapping 1 month windows · 2017-08-11 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($16.46) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$16.46 · 70% of range

$12.18 low$18.29 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.7%

typical move · IQR 11.9%

−13.9%worst (p90)+18.1%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where RNGR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $16.46 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $16.46 (+0.0%)
typical $16.74 (+1.7%)
middle 50% $15.76–$17.71
90% range $14.17–$19.44

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,265 windows spanning 2017-08-11 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-10	−55.8%	−55.8%	+1.1%
2020-02-07	−53.1%	−53.1%	+1.4%
2020-02-21	−50.0%	−56.0%	+0.0%
3 best
2018-12-26	+75.7%	+0.0%	+75.7%
2018-12-27	+68.9%	+0.0%	+68.9%
2018-12-24	+64.3%	−3.1%	+64.3%

2,265 overlapping windows · 2017-08-11 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~10 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

78%

+14.0%

n=9

Feb

44%

−1.1%

n=9

Mar

33%

−4.0%

n=9

Apr

56%

−2.5%

n=9

May

44%

+2.8%

n=9

Jun

33%

+1.1%

n=9

Jul

67%

+0.9%

n=9

Aug

56%

+0.4%

n=9

Sep

50%

+3.9%

n=10

Oct

33%

−6.7%

n=9

Nov

67%

+9.2%

n=9

Dec

44%

−3.6%

n=9

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-20	Bodden Stuart	director	Sale	95,000 @ $17.16	$1.6M	−25.8% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	273,800	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-10	Hooker J. Matt	officer	Sale	11,620 @ $16.63	$193K	−11.7% of holding	+5.2%	not yet — horizon still open	87,528	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-23	Hooker J. Matt	officer	Sale	1,291 @ $16.50	$21K	−1.3% of holding	+3.5%	not yet — horizon still open	99,148	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-13	Hooker J. Matt	officer	Sale	2,269 @ $16.50	$37K	−2.2% of holding	+4.1%	not yet — horizon still open	100,439	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-17	Agee Brett T.	director	Sale	14,014 @ $14.51	$203K	−1.4% of holding	−9.3%	+21.0%	987,791	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-16	Agee Brett T.	director	Sale	22,985 @ $14.47	$333K	−2.2% of holding	−12.6%	+18.6%	1,015,194	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-16	Agee Brett T.	director	Sale	13,389 @ $14.52	$194K	−1.3% of holding	−12.6%	+18.6%	1,001,805	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-15	Agee Brett T.	director	Sale	7,015 @ $14.32	$100K	−0.7% of holding	−11.6%	+19.1%	1,038,179	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-22	Agee Brett T.	director	Sale	2,220 @ $13.71	$30K	−0.2% of holding	+0.7%	+20.7%	1,045,194	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-20	Agee Brett T.	director	Sale	3,138 @ $12.81	$40K	−0.3% of holding	+2.8%	+23.9%	1,047,414	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-19	Agee Brett T.	director	Sale	10,000 @ $12.83	$128K	−0.9% of holding	+10.1%	+26.1%	1,050,552	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-18	Agee Brett T.	director	Sale	10,000 @ $12.82	$128K	−0.9% of holding	+8.1%	+22.9%	1,060,552	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-15	Agee Brett T.	director	Sale	11,147 @ $12.63	$141K	−1.0% of holding	+12.0%	+23.9%	1,070,552	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-12	Agee Brett T.	director	Sale	25,000 @ $12.76	$319K	−2.3% of holding	+5.9%	+21.8%	1,081,699	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-21	Agee Brett T.	director	Sale	100,000 @ $14.07	$1.4M	−5.6% of holding	−5.5%	−20.5%	1,677,355	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-20	Agee Brett T.	director	Sale	4,877 @ $14.51	$71K	−0.3% of holding	−6.3%	−22.8%	1,777,355	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-19	Agee Brett T.	director	Sale	13,343 @ $14.52	$194K	−0.7% of holding	−5.8%	−17.0%	1,782,232	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-14	Agee Brett T.	director	Sale	100 @ $14.52	$1K	−0.0% of holding	−10.2%	−17.2%	1,795,575	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-13	Agee Brett T.	director	Sale	7,864 @ $14.65	$115K	−0.4% of holding	−8.9%	−20.5%	1,795,675	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-12	Agee Brett T.	director	Sale	30,000 @ $14.61	$438K	−1.6% of holding	−12.9%	−22.4%	1,803,539	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-11	Agee Brett T.	director	Sale	10,021 @ $14.51	$145K	−0.5% of holding	−11.0%	−21.6%	1,833,539	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-10	Agee Brett T.	director	Sale	439 @ $14.50	$6K	−0.0% of holding	−10.0%	−21.9%	1,843,560	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-12-16	Agee Brett T.	director	Sale	19,209 @ $15.30	$294K	−1.0% of holding	+15.3%	−16.6%	1,843,999	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-12	Agee Brett T.	director	Sale	30,791 @ $15.52	$478K	−1.6% of holding	+14.4%	−16.5%	1,863,208	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-12-10	Agee Brett T.	director	Sale	116,136 @ $15.69	$1.8M	−5.8% of holding	+7.1%	−17.2%	1,893,999	Form 4 · filed same day
2024-12-09	Agee Brett T.	director	Sale	21,729 @ $15.82	$344K	−1.1% of holding	+4.1%	−18.9%	2,010,135	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-06	Agee Brett T.	director	Sale	27,635 @ $16.58	$458K	−1.3% of holding	+0.5%	−17.1%	2,031,864	Form 4 · filed same day
2024-12-05	Agee Brett T.	director	Sale	54,608 @ $17.06	$932K	−2.6% of holding	−3.9%	−25.1%	2,059,499	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

86 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-07-24	MASHINSKI CARLA S	director	Option exercise	10,712	20,492	Form 4
2026-07-24	Shivram Krishna	director	Option exercise	10,712	51,562	Form 4
2026-07-24	WOOLVERTON SEAN C	director	Option exercise	10,712	20,492	Form 4
2026-07-24	KEARNEY MICHAEL C	director	Option exercise	10,712	51,607	Form 4
2026-07-24	WOOLVERTON SEAN C	director	Disposition	3,214	17,278	Form 4
2026-07-24	MASHINSKI CARLA S	director	Disposition	3,214	17,278	Form 4
2026-07-24	KEARNEY MICHAEL C	director	Disposition	3,214	48,393	Form 4
2026-07-24	MASHINSKI CARLA S	director	Option exercise	10,712	0	Form 4
2026-07-24	WOOLVERTON SEAN C	director	Option exercise	10,712	0	Form 4
2026-07-24	KEARNEY MICHAEL C	director	Option exercise	10,712	0	Form 4
2026-07-24	MASHINSKI CARLA S	director	Option exercise	10,712	0	Form 4
2026-07-24	Shivram Krishna	director	Option exercise	10,712	0	Form 4
2026-07-24	KEARNEY MICHAEL C	director	Option exercise	10,712	0	Form 4
2026-07-24	Shivram Krishna	director	Option exercise	10,712	0	Form 4
2026-07-24	WOOLVERTON SEAN C	director	Option exercise	10,712	0	Form 4
2026-05-15	Shivram Krishna	director	Award / grant	7,259	7,259	Form 4
2026-05-15	WOOLVERTON SEAN C	director	Award / grant	7,259	7,259	Form 4
2026-05-15	MASHINSKI CARLA S	director	Award / grant	7,259	7,259	Form 4
2026-05-15	WOOLVERTON SEAN C	director	Award / grant	7,259	7,259	Form 4
2026-05-15	KEARNEY MICHAEL C	director	Award / grant	7,259	7,259	Form 4
2026-05-15	Shivram Krishna	director	Award / grant	7,259	7,259	Form 4
2026-03-13	Bodden Stuart	director	Withheld for tax	20,292	368,800	Form 4
2026-03-13	Cougle Melissa	director	Withheld for tax	7,484	86,501	Form 4
2026-03-13	Hooker J. Matt	officer	Withheld for tax	5,120	102,708	Form 4
2026-03-13	Hooker J. Matt	officer	Option exercise	3,790	7,583	Form 4
2026-03-13	Cougle Melissa	director	Option exercise	5,307	10,616	Form 4
2026-03-13	Bodden Stuart	director	Option exercise	15,331	30,668	Form 4
2026-03-13	Bodden Stuart	director	Option exercise	15,331	389,092	Form 4
2026-03-13	Hooker J. Matt	officer	Option exercise	3,790	107,828	Form 4
2026-03-13	Cougle Melissa	director	Option exercise	5,307	93,985	Form 4
2026-03-13	Hooker J. Matt	officer	Option exercise	3,790	107,828	Form 4
2026-03-13	Bodden Stuart	director	Option exercise	15,331	389,092	Form 4
2026-03-13	Cougle Melissa	director	Option exercise	5,307	93,985	Form 4
2026-03-03	Bodden Stuart	director	Withheld for tax	32,760	373,761	Form 4
2026-03-03	Cougle Melissa	director	Withheld for tax	8,397	88,678	Form 4
2026-03-03	Hooker J. Matt	officer	Withheld for tax	5,854	104,038	Form 4
2026-03-03	Hooker J. Matt	officer	Award / grant	13,998	109,892	Form 4
2026-03-03	Hooker J. Matt	officer	Award / grant	12,605	12,605	Form 4
2026-03-03	Bodden Stuart	director	Award / grant	82,787	406,521	Form 4
2026-03-03	Cougle Melissa	director	Award / grant	20,069	97,075	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i