Issued 2026-09-16 at $73.54 · now $73.54 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, RNG has typically landed between $56.45 and $92.48 — a range of −23.2% to +25.8% from the issuance price $73.54.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
3,240 overlapping 1 month windows · 2013-09-27 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($73.54) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where RNG has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $73.54 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $73.54 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $72.54 (-1.4%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $64.79–$80.28
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $56.45–$92.48
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,240 windows spanning 2013-09-27 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2022-04-11 | −45.1% | −45.1% | +0.0% |
| 2022-04-19 | −43.0% | −43.0% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-13 | −42.8% | −42.8% | +2.4% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-07-22 | +74.5% | +0.0% | +80.4% |
| 2026-07-23 | +73.9% | +0.0% | +75.9% |
| 2026-07-21 | +67.0% | −4.8% | +71.7% |
3,240 overlapping windows · 2013-09-27 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~13 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
38%
+2.6%
n=13
Feb
62%
+4.6%
n=13
Mar
38%
−6.2%
n=13
Apr
69%
+1.3%
n=13
May
69%
+2.5%
n=13
Jun
46%
+0.2%
n=13
Jul
62%
+9.0%
n=13
Aug
38%
+1.3%
n=13
Sep
23%
−3.2%
n=13
Oct
62%
+1.4%
n=13
Nov
69%
+3.4%
n=13
Dec
54%
+4.4%
n=13
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Makagon Kira | director | Sale | 36,185 @ $70.11 | $2.5M | −12.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 245,385 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | Arora Tarun | officer | Sale | 2,679 @ $70.74 | $190K | −3.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 65,692 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | Arora Tarun | officer | Sale | 1,493 @ $69.69 | $104K | −2.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 68,371 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-03 | Shmunis Vladimir | director | Sale | 7,774 @ $76.45 | $594K | −4.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 182,252 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-03 | Shmunis Vladimir | director | Sale | 3,146 @ $77.00 | $242K | −1.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 179,106 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-03 | Arora Tarun | officer | Sale | 954 @ $77.00 | $73K | −1.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 69,864 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-03 | Shmunis Vladimir | director | Sale | 245 @ $75.36 | $18K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 190,026 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-02 | Shmunis Vladimir | director | Sale | 8,064 @ $72.35 | $583K | −4.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 190,784 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-02 | Agarwal Vaibhav | officer | Sale | 7,046 @ $72.10 | $508K | −4.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 146,700 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-02 | Shmunis Vladimir | director | Sale | 5,709 @ $71.21 | $407K | −2.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 198,848 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-02 | Shmunis Vladimir | director | Sale | 1,270 @ $70.32 | $89K | −0.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 204,557 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-02 | Shmunis Vladimir | director | Sale | 513 @ $72.76 | $37K | −0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 190,271 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-28 | Arora Tarun | officer | Sale | 4,568 @ $69.60 | $318K | −5.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 75,141 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-25 | Arora Tarun | officer | Sale | 675 @ $67.45 | $46K | −0.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 79,709 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-21 | Agarwal Vaibhav | officer | Sale | 4,044 @ $65.07 | $263K | −2.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 161,048 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | Arora Tarun | officer | Sale | 1,876 @ $65.26 | $122K | −2.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 80,384 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Agarwal Vaibhav | officer | Sale | 1,688 @ $65.50 | $111K | −1.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 169,282 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-02 | THEIS ROBERT I | director | Sale | 2,530 @ $40.28 | $102K | −7.6% of holding | +41.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 30,834 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-02 | Shenkan Amy Guggenheim | director | Sale | 1,265 @ $40.59 | $51K | −4.1% of holding | +41.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 29,372 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-16 | Shmunis Vladimir | director | Sale | 10,105 @ $38.15 | $386K | −4.2% of holding | +9.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 231,662 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-16 | Shmunis Vladimir | director | Sale | 1,591 @ $38.68 | $62K | −0.7% of holding | +9.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 230,071 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | Shmunis Vladimir | director | Sale | 14,832 @ $38.48 | $571K | −5.8% of holding | +9.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 242,491 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | Shmunis Vladimir | director | Sale | 724 @ $39.30 | $28K | −0.3% of holding | +9.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 241,767 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | Arora Tarun | officer | Sale | 4,171 @ $38.85 | $162K | −4.7% of holding | +5.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 85,332 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Agarwal Vaibhav | officer | Sale | 7,047 @ $46.17 | $325K | −4.0% of holding | −12.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 169,282 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-29 | Arora Tarun | officer | Sale | 2,515 @ $43.32 | $109K | −3.6% of holding | −8.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 68,100 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-29 | Arora Tarun | officer | Sale | 1,100 @ $42.27 | $46K | −1.5% of holding | −8.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 70,615 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-27 | Makagon Kira | director | Sale | 11,378 @ $42.32 | $481K | −5.0% of holding | −7.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 218,334 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-27 | Makagon Kira | director | Sale | 5,610 @ $42.99 | $241K | −2.6% of holding | −7.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 212,724 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | Arora Tarun | officer | Sale | 919 @ $42.66 | $39K | −1.3% of holding | −16.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 71,715 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-21 | Agarwal Vaibhav | officer | Sale | 4,044 @ $42.06 | $170K | −3.0% of holding | −15.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 132,181 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Agarwal Vaibhav | officer | Sale | 2,220 @ $40.62 | $90K | −1.6% of holding | −12.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 140,416 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-27 | Makagon Kira | director | Sale | 4,470 @ $40.14 | $179K | −1.8% of holding | −2.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 238,115 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-27 | Makagon Kira | director | Sale | 1,400 @ $40.67 | $57K | −0.6% of holding | −2.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 236,715 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-21 | Arora Tarun | officer | Sale | 953 @ $43.00 | $41K | −1.3% of holding | −0.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 74,539 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-02 | THEIS ROBERT I | director | Sale | 2,429 @ $37.85 | $92K | −6.8% of holding | +15.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 33,464 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-02 | Shenkan Amy Guggenheim | director | Sale | 1,264 @ $37.92 | $48K | −4.0% of holding | +15.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 30,637 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-02 | THEIS ROBERT I | director | Sale | 100 @ $38.80 | $4K | −0.3% of holding | +15.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 33,364 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-27 | Makagon Kira | director | Sale | 39,058 @ $35.68 | $1.4M | −13.6% of holding | −0.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 248,367 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-27 | Makagon Kira | director | Sale | 5,782 @ $36.54 | $211K | −2.3% of holding | −0.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 242,585 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-26 | Makagon Kira | director | Sale | 3,800 @ $35.65 | $135K | −1.3% of holding | −3.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 289,495 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-26 | Makagon Kira | director | Sale | 2,070 @ $36.28 | $75K | −0.7% of holding | −3.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 287,425 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Arora Tarun | officer | Sale | 8,840 @ $40.69 | $360K | −10.5% of holding | −9.9% | +58.6% | 75,492 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Arora Tarun | officer | Sale | 2,623 @ $36.44 | $96K | −3.0% of holding | +7.2% | +80.6% | 84,332 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-03 | Arora Tarun | officer | Sale | 1,100 @ $35.44 | $39K | −1.2% of holding | +7.2% | +80.6% | 86,955 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-02 | Agarwal Vaibhav | officer | Sale | 18,680 @ $36.33 | $679K | −11.8% of holding | +8.1% | +81.3% | 139,493 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Shenkan Amy Guggenheim | director | Sale | 3,414 @ $36.10 | $123K | −9.6% of holding | +8.1% | +81.3% | 32,001 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Shenkan Amy Guggenheim | director | Sale | 100 @ $36.84 | $4K | −0.3% of holding | +8.1% | +81.3% | 31,901 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-27 | Makagon Kira | director | Sale | 22,013 @ $35.15 | $774K | −6.1% of holding | +7.2% | +78.6% | 339,728 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-27 | Makagon Kira | director | Sale | 183 @ $36.00 | $7K | −0.1% of holding | +7.2% | +78.6% | 339,545 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-26 | Arora Tarun | officer | Sale | 773 @ $34.80 | $27K | −0.8% of holding | +3.1% | +73.0% | 96,179 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-24 | Shmunis Vladimir | director | Sale | 75,147 @ $35.41 | $2.7M | −33.8% of holding | +5.8% | +75.4% | 147,369 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-24 | Shmunis Vladimir | director | Sale | 20,684 @ $36.24 | $750K | −14.0% of holding | +5.8% | +75.4% | 126,685 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-23 | Shmunis Vladimir | director | Sale | 25,510 @ $34.41 | $878K | −9.5% of holding | +10.4% | +82.5% | 242,290 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-23 | Shmunis Vladimir | director | Sale | 9,339 @ $35.52 | $332K | −3.9% of holding | +10.4% | +82.5% | 232,951 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-23 | Shmunis Vladimir | director | Sale | 6,204 @ $37.45 | $232K | −2.7% of holding | +10.4% | +82.5% | 222,907 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-23 | Agarwal Vaibhav | officer | Sale | 4,351 @ $35.65 | $155K | −2.4% of holding | +10.4% | +82.5% | 178,921 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-23 | Agarwal Vaibhav | officer | Sale | 4,093 @ $34.44 | $141K | −2.2% of holding | +10.4% | +82.5% | 183,272 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-23 | Shmunis Vladimir | director | Sale | 3,840 @ $36.34 | $140K | −1.6% of holding | +10.4% | +82.5% | 229,111 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-23 | Agarwal Vaibhav | officer | Sale | 1,100 @ $37.49 | $41K | −0.6% of holding | +10.4% | +82.5% | 176,721 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
145 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Shmunis Vladimir | director | Withheld for tax | 27,681 | 205,827 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Makagon Kira | director | Withheld for tax | 13,260 | 281,570 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Agarwal Vaibhav | officer | Withheld for tax | 7,302 | 153,746 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Marlow John H | officer | Withheld for tax | 6,893 | 312,703 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Arora Tarun | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,323 | 70,818 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Shmunis Vladimir | director | Award / grant | 3,437 | 233,508 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Makagon Kira | director | Withheld for tax | 9,222 | 294,830 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Marlow John H | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,649 | 319,596 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Agarwal Vaibhav | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,190 | 165,092 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Arora Tarun | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,747 | 82,260 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Marlow John H | officer | Award / grant | 3,093 | 328,245 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Makagon Kira | director | Withheld for tax | 1,749 | 304,052 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Agarwal Vaibhav | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,749 | 170,970 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Arora Tarun | officer | Withheld for tax | 700 | 86,007 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Arora Tarun | officer | Award / grant | 1,375 | 86,707 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Makagon Kira | director | Award / grant | 3,437 | 305,801 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Agarwal Vaibhav | officer | Award / grant | 3,437 | 172,719 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Shmunis Vladimir | director | Withheld for tax | 28,232 | 257,323 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Makagon Kira | director | Withheld for tax | 13,260 | 302,364 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Agarwal Vaibhav | officer | Withheld for tax | 7,302 | 176,329 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Marlow John H | officer | Withheld for tax | 6,893 | 325,152 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Arora Tarun | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,322 | 89,503 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Shmunis Vladimir | director | Award / grant | 4,520 | 285,555 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | Arora Tarun | officer | Award / grant | 25,725 | 93,825 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | Shmunis Vladimir | director | Award / grant | 154,350 | 281,035 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | Makagon Kira | director | Award / grant | 102,900 | 315,624 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | Agarwal Vaibhav | officer | Award / grant | 51,450 | 183,631 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | Marlow John H | officer | Award / grant | 45,019 | 332,045 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Makagon Kira | director | Withheld for tax | 9,223 | 229,712 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Marlow John H | officer | Withheld for tax | 9,145 | 287,026 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Agarwal Vaibhav | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,191 | 136,225 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Arora Tarun | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,747 | 72,634 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Marlow John H | officer | Award / grant | 4,068 | 296,171 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Agarwal Vaibhav | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,300 | 142,636 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Makagon Kira | director | Withheld for tax | 2,300 | 238,935 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Arora Tarun | officer | Withheld for tax | 889 | 76,381 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Makagon Kira | director | Award / grant | 4,520 | 241,235 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Agarwal Vaibhav | officer | Award / grant | 4,520 | 144,936 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Arora Tarun | officer | Award / grant | 1,808 | 77,270 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Makagon Kira | director | Withheld for tax | 46,250 | 293,295 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.