Issued 2026-09-16 at $7.91 · now $7.91 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, RNAC has typically landed between $5.47 and $11.40 — a range of −30.9% to +44.2% from the issuance price $7.91.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,552 overlapping 1 month windows · 2016-06-22 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($7.91) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where RNAC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $7.91 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $7.91 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $7.44 (-5.9%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $6.35–$8.54
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $5.47–$11.4
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,552 windows spanning 2016-06-22 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2018-10-01 | −67.1% | −67.1% | +0.0% |
| 2018-10-02 | −66.8% | −66.8% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-18 | −65.3% | −65.3% | +4.2% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2019-12-18 | +138.4% | +0.0% | +138.4% |
| 2019-12-17 | +119.9% | −3.3% | +119.9% |
| 2019-12-16 | +106.6% | −3.9% | +106.6% |
2,552 overlapping windows · 2016-06-22 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~11 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
50%
+5.7%
n=10
Feb
60%
+1.3%
n=10
Mar
40%
−10.1%
n=10
Apr
40%
−7.8%
n=10
May
70%
+16.1%
n=10
Jun
50%
+8.8%
n=10
Jul
27%
−9.1%
n=11
Aug
73%
+6.7%
n=11
Sep
45%
+0.1%
n=11
Oct
50%
−2.0%
n=10
Nov
50%
−3.0%
n=10
Dec
20%
−10.8%
n=10
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-06 | Brunn Carsten | director | Sale | 23,766 @ $6.82 | $162K | −6.8% of holding | −8.7% | +28.1% | 323,530 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-06 | Davis Blaine | officer | Sale | 10,591 @ $6.82 | $72K | −8.0% of holding | −8.7% | +28.1% | 121,220 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-06 | Miljkovic Milos | officer | Sale | 3,573 @ $6.82 | $24K | −5.7% of holding | −8.7% | +28.1% | 58,820 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-04 | BARABE TIMOTHY C | director | Purchase | 30,000 @ $6.86 | $206K | +123.1% of holding | +0.6% | −23.7% | 54,366 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-11 | SPRINGER TIMOTHY A | director | Purchase | 36,338 @ $10.77 | $391K | +5.9% of holding | −14.3% | −35.9% | 656,513 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-04-11 | SPRINGER TIMOTHY A | director | Purchase | 6,412 @ $10.77 | $69K | +0.1% of holding | −14.3% | −35.9% | 8,643,685 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-04-10 | SPRINGER TIMOTHY A | director | Purchase | 45,144 @ $10.43 | $471K | +7.9% of holding | −10.4% | −35.2% | 616,724 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-10 | SPRINGER TIMOTHY A | director | Purchase | 7,966 @ $10.43 | $83K | +0.1% of holding | −10.4% | −35.2% | 8,636,664 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-10 | SPRINGER TIMOTHY A | director | Purchase | 3,451 @ $10.92 | $38K | +0.6% of holding | −10.4% | −35.2% | 620,175 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-10 | SPRINGER TIMOTHY A | director | Purchase | 609 @ $10.92 | $7K | +0.0% of holding | −10.4% | −35.2% | 8,637,273 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-09 | SPRINGER TIMOTHY A | director | Purchase | 41,604 @ $9.43 | $392K | +7.9% of holding | −15.7% | −34.1% | 571,402 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-09 | SPRINGER TIMOTHY A | director | Purchase | 7,342 @ $9.43 | $69K | +0.1% of holding | −15.7% | −34.1% | 8,628,667 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-09 | SPRINGER TIMOTHY A | director | Purchase | 178 @ $9.95 | $2K | +0.0% of holding | −15.7% | −34.1% | 571,580 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-09 | SPRINGER TIMOTHY A | director | Purchase | 31 @ $9.95 | $308 | +0.0% of holding | −15.7% | −34.1% | 8,628,698 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-20 | SPRINGER TIMOTHY A | director | Purchase | 54,889 @ $15.59 | $856K | +0.6% of holding | −26.2% | −59.1% | 8,621,325 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-19 | SPRINGER TIMOTHY A | director | Purchase | 20,234 @ $14.97 | $303K | +0.2% of holding | −25.2% | −50.8% | 8,566,436 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-18 | SPRINGER TIMOTHY A | director | Purchase | 14,740 @ $14.42 | $213K | +0.2% of holding | −21.6% | −55.5% | 8,546,202 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-14 | SPRINGER TIMOTHY A | director | Purchase | 4,022 @ $18.00 | $72K | +0.0% of holding | +0.9% | −39.0% | 8,531,462 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-13 | SPRINGER TIMOTHY A | director | Purchase | 8,983 @ $17.78 | $160K | +0.1% of holding | −0.6% | −35.6% | 8,527,440 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-13 | SPRINGER TIMOTHY A | director | Purchase | 7,962 @ $16.86 | $134K | +0.1% of holding | −0.6% | −35.6% | 8,518,457 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-06 | Brunn Carsten | director | Sale | 8,708 @ $16.83 | $147K | −4.1% of holding | +4.9% | −28.9% | 204,096 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-06 | Davis Blaine | officer | Sale | 4,028 @ $16.83 | $68K | −4.1% of holding | +4.9% | −28.9% | 94,811 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-06 | Kurtoglu Metin | officer | Sale | 2,458 @ $16.83 | $41K | −3.8% of holding | +4.9% | −28.9% | 62,258 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-06 | Jewell Christopher M | officer | Sale | 1,286 @ $16.83 | $22K | −2.3% of holding | +4.9% | −28.9% | 53,490 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-06 | Miljkovic Milos | officer | Sale | 948 @ $16.83 | $16K | −2.6% of holding | +4.9% | −28.9% | 35,393 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-06 | English Emily | officer | Sale | 906 @ $16.83 | $15K | −2.2% of holding | +4.9% | −28.9% | 40,226 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-03 | Brunn Carsten | director | Sale | 8,563 @ $16.72 | $143K | −3.9% of holding | +12.8% | −24.3% | 212,804 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-03 | Davis Blaine | officer | Sale | 3,961 @ $16.72 | $66K | −3.9% of holding | +12.8% | −24.3% | 98,839 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-03 | Kurtoglu Metin | officer | Sale | 2,417 @ $16.72 | $40K | −3.6% of holding | +12.8% | −24.3% | 64,716 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-03 | Jewell Christopher M | officer | Sale | 1,264 @ $16.72 | $21K | −2.3% of holding | +12.8% | −24.3% | 54,776 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-03 | Miljkovic Milos | officer | Sale | 932 @ $16.72 | $16K | −2.5% of holding | +12.8% | −24.3% | 36,341 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-03 | English Emily | officer | Sale | 891 @ $16.72 | $15K | −2.1% of holding | +12.8% | −24.3% | 41,132 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-23 | SPRINGER TIMOTHY A | director | Purchase | 5,181 @ $19.00 | $98K | +0.1% of holding | −0.4% | −48.8% | 8,507,895 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-12-20 | SPRINGER TIMOTHY A | director | Purchase | 21,800 @ $18.94 | $413K | +0.3% of holding | −1.9% | −43.9% | 8,502,714 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-19 | SPRINGER TIMOTHY A | director | Purchase | 11,303 @ $17.39 | $197K | +0.1% of holding | −3.6% | −48.7% | 8,467,009 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-19 | SPRINGER TIMOTHY A | director | Purchase | 10,529 @ $18.35 | $193K | +0.1% of holding | −3.6% | −48.7% | 8,477,538 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-19 | SPRINGER TIMOTHY A | director | Purchase | 3,376 @ $18.93 | $64K | +0.0% of holding | −3.6% | −48.7% | 8,480,914 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-10 | Kurtoglu Metin | officer | Sale | 2,901 @ $24.35 | $71K | −5.4% of holding | −16.4% | −54.0% | 51,033 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-09 | Kurtoglu Metin | officer | Sale | 6,224 @ $25.26 | $157K | −10.1% of holding | −27.4% | −58.6% | 55,572 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-09 | Kurtoglu Metin | officer | Sale | 4,539 @ $25.83 | $117K | −8.2% of holding | −27.4% | −58.6% | 51,033 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
85 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | Hoge Elizabeth | tenPercentOwner | Option exercise | 22,740 | 33,662 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-02 | Kalayoglu Murat | director | Option exercise | 22,740 | 33,662 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-02 | Kalayoglu Murat | director | Option exercise | 758,001 | 5,313,261 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-02 | Kalayoglu Murat | director | Option exercise | 22,740 | 33,662 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-02 | Hoge Elizabeth | tenPercentOwner | Option exercise | 758,001 | 5,313,261 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-02 | Hoge Elizabeth | tenPercentOwner | Option exercise | 22,740 | 33,662 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-02 | Hoge Elizabeth | tenPercentOwner | Option exercise | 758,001 | 5,313,261 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-02 | Hoge Elizabeth | tenPercentOwner | Option exercise | 758,001 | 5,313,261 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-02 | Hoge Elizabeth | tenPercentOwner | Option exercise | 22,740 | 33,662 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-02 | Kalayoglu Murat | director | Option exercise | 758,001 | 5,313,261 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Singer Michael | director | Gift | 6,555 | 49,578 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Singer Michael | director | Award / grant | 7,800 | 7,800 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | English Emily | officer | Award / grant | 24,000 | 94,226 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | English Emily | officer | Award / grant | 71,000 | 71,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Malik Kemal | director | Award / grant | 2,600 | 11,133 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Miljkovic Milos | officer | Award / grant | 27,000 | 62,393 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Miljkovic Milos | officer | Award / grant | 77,000 | 77,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | BARABE TIMOTHY C | director | Award / grant | 2,600 | 56,966 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | BARABE TIMOTHY C | director | Award / grant | 7,800 | 7,800 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Seymour June Ann | officer | Award / grant | 19,000 | 19,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Malik Kemal | director | Award / grant | 7,800 | 7,800 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Seymour June Ann | officer | Award / grant | 6,500 | 6,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Davis Blaine | officer | Award / grant | 37,000 | 131,811 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Davis Blaine | officer | Award / grant | 109,000 | 109,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | DeSilva Nishan M | director | Award / grant | 2,600 | 11,366 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | DeSilva Nishan M | director | Award / grant | 7,800 | 7,800 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | ZENNER PATRICK J | director | Award / grant | 2,600 | 12,974 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | ZENNER PATRICK J | director | Award / grant | 7,800 | 7,800 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Brunn Carsten | director | Award / grant | 143,200 | 347,296 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Brunn Carsten | director | Award / grant | 415,700 | 415,700 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Kalayoglu Murat | director | Award / grant | 2,600 | 511,577 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Kalayoglu Murat | director | Award / grant | 7,800 | 7,800 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | SPRINGER TIMOTHY A | director | Award / grant | 2,600 | 8,646,285 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | SPRINGER TIMOTHY A | director | Award / grant | 7,800 | 7,800 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Singer Michael | director | Award / grant | 2,600 | 56,133 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-30 | English Emily | officer | Option exercise | 7,500 | 70,226 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-30 | English Emily | officer | Option exercise | 7,500 | 19,369 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-30 | English Emily | officer | Option exercise | 7,500 | 19,369 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-16 | Bot Adrian Ion | director | Award / grant | 5,800 | 5,800 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-16 | Bot Adrian Ion | director | Award / grant | 17,200 | 17,200 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.