Issued 2026-09-16 at $9.50 · now $9.50 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, RNA has typically landed between $7.91 and $11.31 — a range of −16.7% to +19.1% from the issuance price $9.50.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
118 overlapping 1 month windows · 2026-02-27 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($9.50) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where RNA has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $9.5 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $9.5 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $9.14 (-3.8%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $8.55–$9.73
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $7.91–$11.31
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 118 windows spanning 2026-02-27 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-08-17 | −26.7% | −26.7% | +12.7% |
| 2026-08-14 | −21.4% | −21.4% | +13.7% |
| 2026-03-04 | −18.7% | −25.5% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-07-29 | +25.0% | +0.0% | +25.2% |
| 2026-08-05 | +24.4% | +0.0% | +24.4% |
| 2026-08-04 | +21.8% | +0.0% | +21.8% |
118 overlapping windows · 2026-02-27 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | Boyce Sarah | director | Sale | 7,993 @ $72.45 | $579K | −2.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 269,007 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-21 | Boyce Sarah | director | Sale | 6,394 @ $72.45 | $463K | −2.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 277,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-21 | Flanagan W. Michael | director | Sale | 3,976 @ $72.45 | $288K | −4.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 87,651 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-21 | Hughes Steven George | officer | Sale | 2,878 @ $72.45 | $209K | −8.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 31,599 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-21 | MacLean Michael F | director | Sale | 2,735 @ $72.45 | $198K | −4.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 59,290 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-21 | Flanagan W. Michael | director | Sale | 2,558 @ $72.45 | $185K | −2.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 85,093 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-21 | Hughes Steven George | officer | Sale | 2,017 @ $72.45 | $146K | −5.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 34,477 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-21 | MacLean Michael F | director | Sale | 1,807 @ $72.45 | $131K | −2.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 62,025 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-21 | LEVIN ARTHUR A | director | Sale | 1,758 @ $72.45 | $127K | −9.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 16,562 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-21 | McCarthy Teresa | officer | Sale | 1,476 @ $72.45 | $107K | −1.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 115,391 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-21 | McCarthy Teresa | officer | Sale | 1,453 @ $72.45 | $105K | −1.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 113,938 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-07 | Boyce Sarah | director | Sale | 8,576 @ $72.23 | $619K | −2.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 283,394 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-07 | Calderaro Charles III | officer | Sale | 3,727 @ $72.23 | $269K | −7.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 49,797 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-07 | Moriarty John B | officer | Sale | 2,374 @ $72.23 | $171K | −3.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 74,557 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-07 | Hughes Steven George | officer | Sale | 2,373 @ $72.23 | $171K | −6.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 36,494 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-07 | Flanagan W. Michael | director | Sale | 2,373 @ $72.23 | $171K | −2.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 91,627 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-07 | MacLean Michael F | director | Sale | 1,974 @ $72.23 | $143K | −3.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 63,832 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-07 | McCarthy Teresa | officer | Sale | 1,965 @ $72.23 | $142K | −1.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 116,867 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-22 | Hughes Steven George | officer | Sale | 2,209 @ $47.54 | $105K | −5.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 38,867 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-15 | McCarthy Teresa | officer | Sale | 20,000 @ $50.15 | $1.0M | −17.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 97,130 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-03 | Mosbrooker Eric | officer | Sale | 6,562 @ $45.38 | $298K | −10.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 55,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-22 | Hughes Steven George | officer | Sale | 2,208 @ $40.58 | $90K | −5.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 38,867 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-15 | McCarthy Teresa | officer | Sale | 15,000 @ $41.41 | $621K | −13.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 97,130 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-15 | Hughes Steven George | officer | Sale | 1,542 @ $45.41 | $70K | −3.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 38,867 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-11 | Flanagan W. Michael | director | Sale | 20,000 @ $38.94 | $779K | −20.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 80,195 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-05 | Boyce Sarah | director | Sale | 50,000 @ $49.95 | $2.5M | −14.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 305,871 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-05 | WILSON TROY EDWARD | director | Sale | 15,000 @ $50.00 | $750K | −21.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 54,425 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-05 | WILSON TROY EDWARD | director | Sale | 14,500 @ $50.00 | $725K | −17.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 69,425 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-03 | Mosbrooker Eric | officer | Sale | 6,563 @ $47.07 | $309K | −10.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 55,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-02 | Gallagher Kathleen P. | director | Sale | 188 @ $47.42 | $9K | −0.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 50,204 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-28 | Boyce Sarah | director | Sale | 25,000 @ $49.39 | $1.2M | −7.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 305,871 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-22 | Hughes Steven George | officer | Sale | 2,208 @ $46.40 | $102K | −5.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 38,867 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-15 | McCarthy Teresa | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $46.56 | $466K | −9.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 97,130 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-13 | Hughes Steven George | officer | Sale | 1,542 @ $46.66 | $72K | −3.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 38,867 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-06 | Mosbrooker Eric | officer | Sale | 124,687 @ $44.06 | $5.5M | −67.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 61,120 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-06 | LEVIN ARTHUR A | director | Sale | 107,500 @ $47.62 | $5.1M | −84.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 19,650 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-06 | Hughes Steven George | officer | Sale | 33,983 @ $42.74 | $1.5M | −46.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 38,867 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-06 | MacLean Michael F | director | Sale | 30,914 @ $42.73 | $1.3M | −32.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 65,806 | Form 4 · filed 9 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-06 | WILSON TROY EDWARD | director | Sale | 22,000 @ $45.00 | $990K | −24.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 69,425 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-06 | WILSON TROY EDWARD | director | Sale | 17,777 @ $45.00 | $800K | −50.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 17,776 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-06 | Hughes Steven George | officer | Sale | 17,667 @ $42.74 | $755K | −19.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 72,850 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-06 | WILSON TROY EDWARD | director | Sale | 15,000 @ $45.00 | $675K | −5.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 285,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-06 | Hughes Steven George | officer | Sale | 12,334 @ $42.74 | $527K | −14.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 72,850 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-06 | Hughes Steven George | officer | Sale | 11,283 @ $42.74 | $482K | −13.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 72,850 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-06 | WILSON TROY EDWARD | director | Sale | 7,500 @ $45.00 | $338K | −9.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 69,425 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-06 | Mosbrooker Eric | officer | Sale | 6,120 @ $44.06 | $270K | −10.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 55,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-06 | Hughes Steven George | officer | Sale | 6,167 @ $42.74 | $264K | −7.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 72,850 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-04 | Moriarty John B | officer | Sale | 2,245 @ $36.21 | $81K | −4.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 47,755 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-17 | Gallagher Kathleen P. | director | Sale | 911 @ $30.24 | $28K | −1.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 50,392 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-11 | Flanagan W. Michael | director | Sale | 20,000 @ $32.88 | $658K | −20.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 80,195 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-02 | Gallagher Kathleen P. | director | Sale | 5,875 @ $32.48 | $191K | −10.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 50,554 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-01 | Gallagher Kathleen P. | director | Sale | 5,875 @ $32.40 | $190K | −10.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 50,554 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-01 | Gallagher Kathleen P. | director | Sale | 5,546 @ $27.83 | $154K | −9.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 50,554 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-01 | Gallagher Kathleen P. | director | Sale | 329 @ $27.83 | $9K | −0.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 50,554 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-20 | Boyce Sarah | director | Sale | 31,540 @ $31.06 | $980K | −9.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 305,871 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-20 | Flanagan W. Michael | director | Sale | 11,780 @ $31.06 | $366K | −12.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 80,195 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-20 | Hughes Steven George | officer | Sale | 9,578 @ $31.06 | $297K | −11.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 72,850 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-20 | MacLean Michael F | director | Sale | 7,935 @ $31.06 | $246K | −7.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 96,720 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-20 | McCarthy Teresa | officer | Sale | 7,778 @ $31.06 | $242K | −7.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 97,130 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-11 | Flanagan W. Michael | director | Sale | 20,000 @ $30.13 | $603K | −17.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 91,975 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
133 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-20 | Gallagher Kathleen P. | director | Award / grant | 205,000 | 205,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Hoyos Rocio Martin | officer | Award / grant | 60,000 | 60,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Hughes Steven George | officer | Award / grant | 30,000 | 73,097 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Hughes Steven George | officer | Award / grant | 60,000 | 60,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Kenney Stephanie | officer | Award / grant | 30,000 | 35,460 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Kenney Stephanie | officer | Award / grant | 60,000 | 60,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Winslow Brendan R. | officer | Award / grant | 30,000 | 43,601 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Winslow Brendan R. | officer | Award / grant | 60,000 | 60,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Younis Husam | officer | Award / grant | 30,000 | 52,657 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Younis Husam | officer | Award / grant | 60,000 | 60,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Gallagher Kathleen P. | director | Award / grant | 102,500 | 131,361 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Hoyos Rocio Martin | officer | Award / grant | 30,000 | 46,660 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | WILSON TROY EDWARD | director | Award / grant | 20,000 | 20,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | Boyce Sarah | director | Award / grant | 20,000 | 20,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | BOESS CARSTEN | director | Award / grant | 20,000 | 20,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | Flanagan W. Michael | director | Award / grant | 20,000 | 20,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | Skerjanec Simona | director | Award / grant | 20,000 | 20,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-19 | LEVIN ARTHUR A | director | Gift | 1,330 | 18,320 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-18 | Boyce Sarah | director | Gift | 29,159 | 291,970 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-17 | Mosbrooker Eric | officer | Withheld for tax | 36,564 | 90,436 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-17 | Gallagher Kathleen P. | director | Withheld for tax | 33,336 | 88,868 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-17 | Moriarty John B | officer | Withheld for tax | 26,824 | 76,931 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-17 | McCarthy Teresa | officer | Withheld for tax | 17,298 | 118,832 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-17 | Boyce Sarah | director | Withheld for tax | 15,742 | 321,129 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-17 | Flanagan W. Michael | director | Withheld for tax | 13,695 | 94,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-17 | Mosbrooker Eric | officer | Withheld for tax | 11,426 | 79,010 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-17 | Calderaro Charles III | officer | Withheld for tax | 9,726 | 53,524 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-17 | Gallagher Kathleen P. | director | Withheld for tax | 8,030 | 80,838 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-17 | Flanagan W. Michael | director | Award / grant | 27,500 | 107,695 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-17 | Boyce Sarah | director | Award / grant | 31,000 | 336,871 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-17 | Calderaro Charles III | officer | Award / grant | 23,250 | 63,250 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-17 | Gallagher Kathleen P. | director | Award / grant | 72,000 | 122,204 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-17 | McCarthy Teresa | officer | Award / grant | 39,000 | 136,130 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-17 | Moriarty John B | officer | Award / grant | 56,000 | 103,755 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-17 | Mosbrooker Eric | officer | Award / grant | 72,000 | 127,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-22 | Hughes Steven George | officer | Option exercise | 2,209 | 41,076 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-22 | Hughes Steven George | officer | Option exercise | 2,209 | 68,458 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-15 | McCarthy Teresa | officer | Option exercise | 20,000 | 117,130 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-15 | McCarthy Teresa | officer | Option exercise | 20,000 | 65,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-03 | Mosbrooker Eric | officer | Option exercise | 6,562 | 61,562 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.