RMDResMed Inc.Healthcare · Medical - Instruments & Suppliesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $228.25 · now $228.25 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, RMD has typically landed between $200.84 and $258.43 — a range of −12.0% to +13.2% from the issuance price $228.25.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-022026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.756.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($228.25) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where RMD has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $228.25 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$200.84worst · -12.0%$258.43best · +13.2%
  • now $228.25 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $228.51 (+0.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $217.31$239.7
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $200.84$258.43
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-20−35.0%−35.0%+0.0%
2008-09-26−33.8%−33.8%+0.0%
2008-09-25−31.0%−31.0%+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-20+37.6%+0.0%+44.4%
2020-03-23+32.6%+0.0%+36.1%
2024-04-17+26.8%+0.0%+27.2%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-022026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$28.3B
market cap
$10.34
EPS (TTM)
18.9
P/E (TTM)
2026-08-06
next earnings
Revenue$5.1B
'20'25
Net income$1.4B
'20'25
Free cash flow$1.7B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr27.2%
'20'25
ROE · by yr23.5%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.14
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 54 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $228.25$213.60$306.40
  • DCF (intrinsic)$295.68
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 27.4× · n=54$283.73
  • Analyst target · range $220.00$300.00$234.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$228.25

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
67%
+2.9%
n=18
Feb
58%
−0.1%
n=19
Mar
63%
+1.4%
n=19
Apr
63%
+1.6%
n=19
May
58%
−0.6%
n=19
Jun
68%
+2.9%
n=19
Jul
89%
+5.1%
n=19
Aug
63%
+2.3%
n=19
Sep
21%
−1.5%
n=19
Oct
39%
+0.1%
n=18
Nov
83%
+2.6%
n=18
Dec
61%
+0.0%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$291$1832026-09-08: 1 insider sale, $1.1M — Farrell Michael J.2026-09-02: 1 insider sale, $228K — FARRELL PETER C2026-08-07: 1 insider sale, $1.0M — Farrell Michael J.2026-08-05: 1 insider sale, $1.8M — FARRELL PETER C2026-07-07: 1 insider sale, $1.1M — Farrell Michael J.2026-06-08: 1 insider sale, $968K — Farrell Michael J.2026-05-07: 1 insider sale, $1.0M — Farrell Michael J.2026-04-07: 1 insider sale, $1.1M — Farrell Michael J.2026-04-01: 2 insider sales, $674K — FARRELL PETER C, Sandercock Brett2026-03-09: 1 insider sale, $1.3M — Farrell Michael J.2026-03-04: 1 insider sale, $520K — FARRELL PETER C2026-03-02: 1 insider sale, $254K — Sandercock Brett2026-02-09: 1 insider sale, $1.4M — Farrell Michael J.2026-02-04: 2 insider sales, $516K — FARRELL PETER C, Rider Michael J2026-02-02: 1 insider sale, $257K — Sandercock Brett2026-01-07: 2 insider sales, $1.7M — Farrell Michael J., FARRELL PETER C2026-01-02: 2 insider sales, $254K — Sandercock Brett, Rider Michael J2025-12-08: 1 insider sale, $1.3M — Farrell Michael J.2025-12-03: 1 insider sale, $503K — FARRELL PETER C2025-12-01: 2 insider sales, $256K — Sandercock Brett, Rider Michael J2025-11-25: 1 insider sale, $524K — De Witte Jan2025-11-12: 1 insider sale, $504K — FARRELL PETER C2025-11-11: 1 insider sale, $122K — De Witte Jan2025-11-07: 1 insider sale, $2.0M — Farrell Michael J.2025-11-03: 1 insider sale, $743K — Sandercock Brett2025-10-07: 1 insider sale, $2.3M — Farrell Michael J.2025-10-01: 2 insider sales, $851K — Sandercock Brett, Rider Michael J2025-09-08: 1 insider sale, $2.2M — Farrell Michael J.2025-09-02: 1 insider sale, $812K — Sandercock Brett2025-08-18: 1 insider sale, $739K — Hernandez John2025-08: 4 open-market sales, $3.8M2025-09: 2 open-market sales, $3.0M2025-10: 3 open-market sales, $3.1M2025-11: 5 open-market sales, $3.9M2025-12: 4 open-market sales, $2.0M2026-01: 4 open-market sales, $2.0M2026-02: 4 open-market sales, $2.1M2026-03: 3 open-market sales, $2.0M2026-04: 3 open-market sales, $1.8M2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $1.0M2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $968K2026-07: 1 open-market sale, $1.1M2026-08: 2 open-market sales, $2.8M2026-09: 2 open-market sales, $1.3M↑ buys↓ salesdirector Farrell Michael J. — Sale on 2026-09-08, filed 2 days after the tradedirector FARRELL PETER C — Sale on 2026-09-02, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Farrell Michael J. — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 4 days after the tradedirector FARRELL PETER C — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Farrell Michael J. — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Farrell Michael J. — Sale on 2026-06-08, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Farrell Michael J. — Sale on 2026-05-07, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Farrell Michael J. — Sale on 2026-04-07, filed 2 days after the tradedirector FARRELL PETER C — Sale on 2026-04-01, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Sandercock Brett — Sale on 2026-04-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Farrell Michael J. — Sale on 2026-03-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector FARRELL PETER C — Sale on 2026-03-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Sandercock Brett — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Farrell Michael J. — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 1 day after the tradedirector FARRELL PETER C — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Rider Michael J — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Sandercock Brett — Sale on 2026-02-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Farrell Michael J. — Sale on 2026-01-07, filed 1 day after the tradedirector FARRELL PETER C — Sale on 2026-01-07, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Sandercock Brett — Sale on 2026-01-02, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Rider Michael J — Sale on 2026-01-02, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Farrell Michael J. — Sale on 2025-12-08, filed 1 day after the tradedirector FARRELL PETER C — Sale on 2025-12-03, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Sandercock Brett — Sale on 2025-12-01, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Rider Michael J — Sale on 2025-12-01, filed 1 day after the tradedirector De Witte Jan — Sale on 2025-11-25, filed 1 day after the tradedirector FARRELL PETER C — Sale on 2025-11-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector De Witte Jan — Sale on 2025-11-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Farrell Michael J. — Sale on 2025-11-07, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Sandercock Brett — Sale on 2025-11-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Farrell Michael J. — Sale on 2025-10-07, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Sandercock Brett — Sale on 2025-10-01, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Rider Michael J — Sale on 2025-10-01, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Farrell Michael J. — Sale on 2025-09-08, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Sandercock Brett — Sale on 2025-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Hernandez John — Sale on 2025-08-18, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-08Farrell Michael J.directorSale4,991 @ $222.44$1.1M−1.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open466,256Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-02FARRELL PETER CdirectorSale970 @ $234.73$228K−1.8% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open51,803Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-07Farrell Michael J.directorSale4,991 @ $205.69$1.0M−1.1% of holding+5.2%not yet — horizon still open466,256Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-05FARRELL PETER CdirectorSale8,000 @ $225.00$1.8M−13.2% of holding+1.9%not yet — horizon still open52,773Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-07Farrell Michael J.directorSale4,991 @ $218.55$1.1M−1.1% of holding−1.0%not yet — horizon still open466,223Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-08Farrell Michael J.directorSale4,991 @ $193.96$968K−1.1% of holding+6.0%not yet — horizon still open466,256Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-07Farrell Michael J.directorSale4,991 @ $207.82$1.0M−1.1% of holding−7.4%not yet — horizon still open466,223Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-07Farrell Michael J.directorSale4,991 @ $225.50$1.1M−1.1% of holding−18.6%not yet — horizon still open466,223Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-01FARRELL PETER CdirectorSale2,000 @ $225.00$450K−3.2% of holding−18.0%not yet — horizon still open60,773Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-01Sandercock BrettofficerSale1,000 @ $224.31$224K−1.2% of holding−18.0%not yet — horizon still open83,495Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-09Farrell Michael J.directorSale4,991 @ $251.03$1.3M−1.1% of holding−8.7%−25.9%466,223Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-04FARRELL PETER CdirectorSale2,000 @ $260.22$520K−3.1% of holding−9.5%−22.9%62,773Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02Sandercock BrettofficerSale1,000 @ $254.30$254K−1.2% of holding−7.8%−18.8%84,495Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-09Farrell Michael J.directorSale4,991 @ $273.78$1.4M−1.1% of holding−10.2%−29.7%466,223Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-04FARRELL PETER CdirectorSale2,000 @ $251.31$503K−3.0% of holding−1.6%−27.3%64,773Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-04Rider Michael JofficerSale50 @ $260.00$13K−0.5% of holding−1.6%−27.3%9,691Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-02Sandercock BrettofficerSale1,000 @ $257.03$257K−1.2% of holding+3.4%−23.4%85,495Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-07Farrell Michael J.directorSale4,991 @ $248.46$1.2M−1.1% of holding+9.3%−27.5%466,223Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-07FARRELL PETER CdirectorSale2,000 @ $248.83$498K−2.9% of holding+9.3%−27.5%66,773Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-02Sandercock BrettofficerSale1,000 @ $241.75$242K−1.1% of holding+1.8%−19.8%86,495Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-01-02Rider Michael JofficerSale50 @ $241.75$12K−0.5% of holding+1.8%−19.8%9,741Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-08Farrell Michael J.directorSale4,991 @ $251.41$1.3M−1.1% of holding−0.8%−28.9%466,223Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-03FARRELL PETER CdirectorSale2,000 @ $251.47$503K−2.8% of holding−3.3%−30.1%68,773Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-01Sandercock BrettofficerSale1,000 @ $244.16$244K−1.1% of holding−3.6%−36.0%87,495Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-01Rider Michael JofficerSale50 @ $244.16$12K−0.5% of holding−3.6%−36.0%9,791Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-25De Witte JandirectorSale2,055 @ $255.00$524K−32.5% of holding−6.9%−37.8%4,261Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-12FARRELL PETER CdirectorSale2,000 @ $252.05$504K−2.9% of holding+0.2%−28.3%66,110Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-11De Witte JandirectorSale487 @ $250.25$122K−8.4% of holding−0.7%−29.3%5,319Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-07Farrell Michael J.directorSale8,011 @ $249.75$2.0M−1.7% of holding−3.5%−29.2%467,866Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-03Sandercock BrettofficerSale3,000 @ $247.54$743K−3.4% of holding+1.2%−23.4%85,745Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-07Farrell Michael J.directorSale8,009 @ $282.85$2.3M−1.7% of holding−14.7%−21.3%467,792Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-01Sandercock BrettofficerSale3,000 @ $274.36$823K−3.3% of holding−8.6%−15.5%86,745Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-01Rider Michael JofficerSale100 @ $274.36$27K−0.9% of holding−8.6%−15.5%11,327Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-08Farrell Michael J.directorSale8,009 @ $278.14$2.2M−1.7% of holding−2.0%−16.1%467,792Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-02Sandercock BrettofficerSale3,000 @ $270.77$812K−3.3% of holding−4.7%−11.6%87,745Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-18Hernandez JohndirectorSale2,575 @ $287.10$739K−38.9% of holding−7.5%−16.4%4,045Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-07Farrell Michael J.directorSale8,009 @ $279.48$2.2M−1.7% of holding−2.7%−12.5%455,503Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-01Sandercock BrettofficerSale3,000 @ $281.90$846K−3.5% of holding−5.7%−20.9%83,283Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-01Rider Michael JofficerSale50 @ $281.90$14K−0.6% of holding−5.7%−20.9%8,486Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-07-07Farrell Michael J.directorSale8,009 @ $256.72$2.1M−1.7% of holding+10.0%−15.3%455,503Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-02FARRELL PETER CdirectorSale945 @ $255.49$241K−1.4% of holding+8.9%−16.0%68,273Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-01Sandercock BrettofficerSale3,883 @ $256.99$998K−4.4% of holding+3.8%−16.6%84,283Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-01Rider Michael JofficerSale66 @ $256.99$17K−0.8% of holding+3.8%−16.6%8,536Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-09Farrell Michael J.directorSale8,009 @ $251.21$2.0M−1.7% of holding−1.8%−14.6%455,503Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-04FARRELL PETER CdirectorSale2,000 @ $247.32$495K−2.8% of holding−1.9%−14.4%69,218Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-02Sandercock BrettofficerSale1,000 @ $243.78$244K−1.2% of holding−0.1%−13.2%85,283Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-02Rider Michael JofficerSale41 @ $243.78$10K−0.5% of holding−0.1%−13.2%8,870Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-22Sandercock BrettofficerSale3,644 @ $244.59$891K−4.1% of holding−0.1%−12.7%86,283Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-05-20De Witte JandirectorSale2,000 @ $243.47$487K−25.6% of holding+1.7%−12.3%5,806Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-07Farrell Michael J.directorSale8,009 @ $243.23$1.9M−1.7% of holding−3.5%−20.8%455,503Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-07FARRELL PETER CdirectorSale2,000 @ $242.25$485K−2.7% of holding−3.5%−20.8%71,218Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-08Sandercock BrettofficerSale1,000 @ $215.58$216K−1.1% of holding+5.3%+2.3%89,864Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-04-07Farrell Michael J.directorSale8,009 @ $209.85$1.7M−1.7% of holding+3.6%+0.1%455,472Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-04-02FARRELL PETER CdirectorSale2,000 @ $219.74$439K−2.7% of holding+7.2%+5.4%73,218Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-04-01Rider Michael JofficerSale64 @ $222.86$14K−0.7% of holding+6.8%+2.5%8,846Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-10Ghoshal KaushikdirectorSale9,745 @ $239.31$2.3M−50.1% of holding−2.4%+1.8%9,725Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-10Sandercock BrettofficerSale1,000 @ $230.36$230K−1.1% of holding−2.4%+1.8%90,864Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-07Farrell Michael J.directorSale8,009 @ $229.20$1.8M−1.7% of holding+3.8%+7.4%455,472Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-05FARRELL PETER CdirectorSale2,000 @ $227.71$455K−2.6% of holding+3.0%+10.8%75,218Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-03Ghoshal KaushikdirectorSale4,726 @ $235.43$1.1M−32.7% of holding−1.0%+6.4%9,725Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

109 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-08Farrell Michael J.directorOption exercise4,991471,247Form 4
2026-09-08Farrell Michael J.directorOption exercise4,9919,984Form 4
2026-08-07Farrell Michael J.directorOption exercise4,991471,247Form 4
2026-08-07Farrell Michael J.directorOption exercise4,99114,975Form 4
2026-07-07Farrell Michael J.directorOption exercise4,991471,214Form 4
2026-07-07Farrell Michael J.directorOption exercise4,99119,966Form 4
2026-06-08Farrell Michael J.directorOption exercise4,991471,214Form 4
2026-06-08Farrell Michael J.directorOption exercise4,99124,957Form 4
2026-06-01Rider Michael JofficerWithheld for tax2699,488Form 4
2026-05-07Farrell Michael J.directorOption exercise4,991471,214Form 4
2026-05-07Farrell Michael J.directorOption exercise4,99129,948Form 4
2026-04-07Farrell Michael J.directorOption exercise4,991471,214Form 4
2026-04-07Farrell Michael J.directorOption exercise4,99134,939Form 4
2026-03-09Farrell Michael J.directorOption exercise4,991471,214Form 4
2026-03-09Farrell Michael J.directorOption exercise4,99139,930Form 4
2026-02-09Farrell Michael J.directorOption exercise4,991471,214Form 4
2026-02-09Farrell Michael J.directorOption exercise4,99144,921Form 4
2026-01-07Farrell Michael J.directorOption exercise4,991471,214Form 4
2026-01-07Farrell Michael J.directorOption exercise4,99149,912Form 4
2025-12-08Farrell Michael J.directorOption exercise4,991471,214Form 4
2025-12-08Farrell Michael J.directorOption exercise4,99154,903Form 4
2025-11-24Farrell Michael J.directorAward / grant33,28833,288Form 4
2025-11-24Mowad-Nassar NicoledirectorAward / grant1,3311,331Form 4
2025-11-24FARRELL PETER CdirectorAward / grant1,3311,331Form 4
2025-11-20Burt CaroldirectorAward / grant1,0732,156Form 4
2025-11-20FARRELL PETER CdirectorAward / grant53670,773Form 4
2025-11-20De Witte JandirectorAward / grant1,0736,316Form 4
2025-11-20DelOrefice ChristopherdirectorAward / grant1,0732,423Form 4
2025-11-20Drexler KarendirectorAward / grant1,07310,602Form 4
2025-11-20TAYLOR RONALD RdirectorAward / grant1,07324,771Form 4
2025-11-20Tan DesneydirectorAward / grant1,0736,002Form 4
2025-11-20Farrell Michael J.directorAward / grant13,551473,520Form 4
2025-11-20Farrell Michael J.directorWithheld for tax7,297466,223Form 4
2025-11-20Sandercock BrettofficerAward / grant2,71088,495Form 4
2025-11-20Gill HarjitdirectorAward / grant1,07310,940Form 4
2025-11-20Hernandez JohndirectorAward / grant1,0735,118Form 4
2025-11-20Leong JustinofficerAward / grant1,84829,028Form 4
2025-11-20Mowad-Nassar NicoledirectorAward / grant536777Form 4
2025-11-14FARRELL PETER CdirectorWithheld for tax7,31470,238Form 4
2025-11-14FARRELL PETER CdirectorOption exercise11,44277,552Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-27$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-07-062026-06-30$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-07-062026-06-16$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-27$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-01$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-06-092026-05-15$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-05-112026-04-13$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-05-112026-04-24$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-04-072026-03-23$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-04-072026-03-30$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-03-092026-02-24$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-02-062026-01-23$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-02-062026-01-29$1–15K
Kelly Louise MorrisonHousesale2025-06-182025-06-04$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.