RMAX · TickerCove

RMAXRE/MAX Holdings, Inc.Real Estate · Real Estate - Servicesas of 2026-09-03

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-03 at $12.36 · now $12.36 (2026-08-24, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-03 close, RMAX has typically landed between $9.90 and $15.05 — a range of −19.9% to +21.8% from the issuance price $12.36.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

3,221 overlapping 1 month windows · 2013-10-02 – 2026-07-24 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 54.0% (90% CI 51.8–56.2%, ≈1,380 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-03 issuance close ($12.36) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-02, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$12.36 · 77% of range

$5.66 low$14.41 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-08-24 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,380 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

54.0%

90% CI 51.8%–56.2%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−1.6%

typical move · IQR 16.0%

−19.9%worst (p90)+21.8%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where RMAX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-03 close of $12.36 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $12.36 (+0.0%)
typical $12.16 (-1.6%)
middle 50% $11.17–$13.15
90% range $9.9–$15.05

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,221 windows spanning 2013-10-02 to 2026-08-24. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-18	−62.8%	−62.8%	+4.0%
2020-02-20	−56.0%	−64.2%	+0.0%
2020-02-19	−47.7%	−62.6%	+4.6%
3 best
2026-03-27	+95.7%	−1.9%	+95.7%
2026-03-30	+90.9%	−2.4%	+94.7%
2026-04-01	+90.5%	+0.0%	+99.5%

3,221 overlapping windows · 2013-10-02 – 2026-08-24 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~13 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

38%

+1.1%

n=13

Feb

31%

−5.7%

n=13

Mar

46%

−1.8%

n=13

Apr

46%

+5.1%

n=13

May

38%

−1.8%

n=13

Jun

85%

+3.2%

n=13

Jul

62%

+1.9%

n=13

Aug

46%

+3.6%

n=13

Sep

42%

−1.7%

n=12

Oct

50%

−2.2%

n=12

Nov

54%

−0.0%

n=13

Dec

54%

+3.2%

n=13

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-04-29	Peterson Adam K	director	Sale	216,281 @ $11.10	$2.4M	−18.0% of holding	−20.1%	not yet — horizon still open	982,440	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-28	Peterson Adam K	director	Sale	493,006 @ $10.97	$5.4M	−29.1% of holding	−22.1%	not yet — horizon still open	1,198,721	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-27	Peterson Adam K	director	Sale	632,091 @ $9.84	$6.2M	−27.2% of holding	−11.1%	not yet — horizon still open	1,691,727	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-01	Peterson Adam K	director	Sale	61,000 @ $5.71	$348K	−2.3% of holding	+80.5%	not yet — horizon still open	2,604,643	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-31	Peterson Adam K	director	Sale	81,693 @ $5.80	$474K	−3.0% of holding	+75.3%	not yet — horizon still open	2,665,643	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-19	Peterson Adam K	director	Sale	67,500 @ $6.84	$462K	ownership Δ n/a	−11.1%	+91.3%	—	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-19	Peterson Adam K	director	Sale	67,500 @ $6.84	$462K	ownership Δ n/a	−11.1%	+91.3%	—	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-19	Peterson Adam K	director	Sale	67,500 @ $6.84	$462K	ownership Δ n/a	−11.1%	+91.3%	—	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-19	Peterson Adam K	director	Sale	67,500 @ $6.84	$462K	ownership Δ n/a	−11.1%	+91.3%	—	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-18	Peterson Adam K	director	Sale	52,362 @ $6.90	$361K	ownership Δ n/a	−6.2%	+98.3%	—	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-18	Peterson Adam K	director	Sale	52,362 @ $6.90	$361K	ownership Δ n/a	−6.2%	+98.3%	—	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-18	Peterson Adam K	director	Sale	52,362 @ $6.90	$361K	ownership Δ n/a	−6.2%	+98.3%	—	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-18	Peterson Adam K	director	Sale	52,362 @ $6.90	$361K	ownership Δ n/a	−6.2%	+98.3%	—	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-30	Dow Roger J.	director	Sale	9,100 @ $9.37	$85K	−14.0% of holding	−15.2%	−38.9%	55,961	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-16	Lee Abigail C.	officer	Sale	10,000 @ $7.78	$78K	−6.2% of holding	−0.9%	−16.7%	151,874	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-27	Jenkins Leah R	officer	Sale	3,303 @ $9.28	$31K	−11.5% of holding	−0.4%	−7.8%	25,333	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-01-10	Peterson Adam K	director	Purchase	11,798 @ $9.64	$114K	+0.4% of holding	−1.4%	−23.4%	3,247,929	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-01-02	Peterson Adam K	director	Purchase	15,000 @ $10.30	$155K	+0.5% of holding	−5.9%	−28.4%	3,236,131	Form 4 · filed same day
2024-12-30	Peterson Adam K	director	Purchase	13,636 @ $10.45	$142K	+0.4% of holding	−9.6%	−30.3%	3,221,131	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2024-12-18	Peterson Adam K	director	Purchase	29,455 @ $10.82	$319K	+0.9% of holding	−9.0%	−23.1%	3,207,495	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

149 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-24	RIHI, Inc.	tenPercentOwner	Other acquisition	12,559,600	0	Form 4
2026-08-24	Liniger David L.	director	Other acquisition	12,559,600	0	Form 4
2026-08-24	Liniger Gail A.	tenPercentOwner	Other acquisition	12,559,600	0	Form 4
2026-08-24	Scherping Katherine Lee	director	Disposition	41,486	0	Form 4
2026-08-24	Lombardo Victor Stephen	officer	Disposition	219,700	0	Form 4
2026-08-24	Lombardo Victor Stephen	officer	Disposition	219,700	0	Form 4
2026-08-24	Scherping Katherine Lee	director	Disposition	41,486	0	Form 4
2026-08-24	Lombardo Victor Stephen	officer	Disposition	219,700	0	Form 4
2026-08-24	Scherping Katherine Lee	director	Disposition	41,486	0	Form 4
2026-08-24	Lombardo Victor Stephen	officer	Disposition	219,700	0	Form 4
2026-08-24	Lombardo Victor Stephen	officer	Disposition	219,700	0	Form 4
2026-08-24	Scherping Katherine Lee	director	Disposition	41,486	0	Form 4
2026-08-24	Scherping Katherine Lee	director	Disposition	41,486	0	Form 4
2026-08-24	Callahan Karri R.	officer	Disposition	524,314	0	Form 4
2026-08-24	Carlson Erik	director	Disposition	1,483,776	290,323	Form 4
2026-08-24	Carlson Erik	director	Disposition	290,323	0	Form 4
2026-08-24	Jenkins Leah R	officer	Disposition	72,640	0	Form 4
2026-08-24	Jenkins Norman K.	director	Disposition	38,896	0	Form 4
2026-08-24	Lim Christopher Inwhan	officer	Disposition	225,706	0	Form 4
2026-08-24	Liniger David L.	director	Award / grant	7,667,912	8,022,623	Form 4
2026-08-24	Liniger David L.	director	Award / grant	2,837,149	2,837,149	Form 4
2026-08-24	Liniger David L.	director	Disposition	8,022,623	0	Form 4
2026-08-24	Liniger David L.	director	Disposition	2,837,149	0	Form 4
2026-08-24	Liniger Gail A.	tenPercentOwner	Award / grant	7,667,912	8,022,623	Form 4
2026-08-24	Liniger Gail A.	tenPercentOwner	Award / grant	2,837,149	2,837,149	Form 4
2026-08-24	Liniger Gail A.	tenPercentOwner	Disposition	8,022,623	0	Form 4
2026-08-24	Liniger Gail A.	tenPercentOwner	Disposition	2,837,149	0	Form 4
2026-08-24	Lombardo Victor Stephen	officer	Disposition	219,700	0	Form 4
2026-08-24	Menogan Annita M	director	Disposition	42,724	0	Form 4
2026-08-24	RAFFAELI C CATHLEEN	director	Disposition	28,021	0	Form 4
2026-08-24	Callahan Karri R.	officer	Disposition	524,314	0	Form 4
2026-08-24	Carlson Erik	director	Disposition	1,483,776	290,323	Form 4
2026-08-24	Carlson Erik	director	Disposition	290,323	0	Form 4
2026-08-24	Liniger David L.	director	Award / grant	7,667,912	8,022,623	Form 4
2026-08-24	Liniger David L.	director	Award / grant	2,837,149	2,837,149	Form 4
2026-08-24	Liniger David L.	director	Disposition	8,022,623	0	Form 4
2026-08-24	Liniger David L.	director	Disposition	2,837,149	0	Form 4
2026-08-24	Dow Roger J.	director	Disposition	66,346	0	Form 4
2026-08-24	Liniger Gail A.	tenPercentOwner	Award / grant	7,667,912	8,022,623	Form 4
2026-08-24	Liniger Gail A.	tenPercentOwner	Award / grant	2,837,149	2,837,149	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

15d remaining

2026-09-0450% elapsed2026-10-02

Logged immutably 2026-09-04; scored automatically on 2026-10-02 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i